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Question: Sports betting, is it skilled based or luck based?
Skilled based - 31 (75.6%)
luck based - 10 (24.4%)
Total Voters: 41

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Author Topic: sports betting, skilled base or luck base?  (Read 1881 times)
Yamifoud
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February 19, 2025, 11:25:46 PM
 #181

It is a combination of the two but should be more on luck. Besides, having odds doesn't mean that will help us determine who will win exactly. The same thing when choosing a team to win, whether it is a favorite or the underdog. This means that aside from analyzing their performance to see which team we have to place our bet on, we also hope for luck. In this probability game, we will say that our luck determines whether we are going to win or not, while strategies are just backups.

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February 19, 2025, 11:50:42 PM
 #182

Apparently sports betting involves so many tactics but the majority of it's game is based on luck...

No, sports betting is not the same as a casino, where in most cases your winnings will depend on luck. If you are well versed in the sport you are betting on, then your chances of winning will be significantly higher than if you were choosing a result at random.

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February 19, 2025, 11:54:37 PM
 #183

Apparently sports betting involves so many tactics but the majority of it's game is based on luck...

No, sports betting is not the same as a casino, where in most cases your winnings will depend on luck. If you are well versed in the sport you are betting on, then your chances of winning will be significantly higher than if you were choosing a result at random.
Yeah, based on the information you've got connected to the players, venue, recent match history, and several data, it is easy to come up with the right prediction on the outcome of the match. However, at times things go out of our prediction, and this is all because of the luck factor. This way luck also has its role. To me, sports betting is kind of 85% skill and the remaining 15% depends on luck.
EarnOnVictor
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February 20, 2025, 12:10:37 AM
 #184

Apparently sports betting involves so many tactics but the majority of it's game is based on luck...

No, sports betting is not the same as a casino, where in most cases your winnings will depend on luck. If you are well versed in the sport you are betting on, then your chances of winning will be significantly higher than if you were choosing a result at random.
I think the guy understands this, he might only not know the gravity of the word "majority used."

No one can say any aspect of gambling doesn't have luck associated with it no matter how much we would want to deny that, but at the same time, where skills/efforts should be given praise, luck shouldn't deny them that. There are more times in sports betting you will be almost 100% sure of your predictions, and it will come as predicted. That can't be said of the casino games that are almost 100% reliant on luck.

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February 20, 2025, 04:18:13 AM
 #185

It is a combination of the two but should be more on luck. Besides, having odds doesn't mean that will help us determine who will win exactly. The same thing when choosing a team to win, whether it is a favorite or the underdog. This means that aside from analyzing their performance to see which team we have to place our bet on, we also hope for luck. In this probability game, we will say that our luck determines whether we are going to win or not, while strategies are just backups.
Yes, I agree that is a combination of both luck and skill that will help us to win. Without one of those things, we will difficult to win and lose our money. If you don't want to lose money in betting, you must control your funds and only place a small money to betting so you will not regret with you lose the money. We can analyze the team performance to see which team that have potential to win but we must realize that will not a guarantee we can win because everything can happen in the field.

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February 20, 2025, 04:07:47 PM
 #186


Yes, I agree that is a combination of both luck and skill that will help us to win. Without one of those things, we will difficult to win and lose our money. If you don't want to lose money in betting, you must control your funds and only place a small money to betting so you will not regret with you lose the money. We can analyze the team performance to see which team that have potential to win but we must realize that will not a guarantee we can win because everything can happen in the field.

That is exactly what we are looking for, to have the balance between luck and skill, it is very difficult to achieve such a thing, because we are not always on a roll, knowing these things that are so basic, there is no other choice but to appeal to control the money with which we are playing or with which we are going to play, it is always advisable to do it before playing, not during the game, during the game we can activate adrenaline along with greed and that will bring very bad results, that is what we need to Control.


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February 20, 2025, 04:27:10 PM
 #187

Yeah, based on the information you've got connected to the players, venue, recent match history, and several data, it is easy to come up with the right prediction on the outcome of the match. However, at times things go out of our prediction, and this is all because of the luck factor. This way luck also has its role. To me, sports betting is kind of 85% skill and the remaining 15% depends on luck.
85% is actually really high although sometimes due to the result we get from the data’s we have gathered on a particular game our confidence is on the high side but even as that I still think our prediction skill increases our chance of winning up to 60-70% I give the luck factor and other unforeseen factors the rest 30 to 40%, we do what we can with the data we have at hand, but in most cases the team playing can just disappoint us on the spot by under performing as expected.

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February 20, 2025, 05:09:51 PM
 #188

My personal take on this one is that sports betting is that it’s skill-based...

I think if I just work on my skills, I can turn a profit eventually, yep, "eventually" is the trick word here. But after more than five years of sports betting, I'm still not making money. Now I'm wondering: is sports betting really about skill, or is it just luck? If it's about skill, maybe I just haven't got what it takes, and I'm just riding on luck.

What do you think about this topic?

Based on your experience, is it primarily luck, or do you still believe it’s skill-based, even if you haven't proven yourself yet?

Sports betting is basically about your knowledge on the type of sports you are interested in betting on, so it's a skilled based game but there's still a percentage of luck involved in this. No matter how well your predictions or analysis might be, there are times where it can fail you, and there are so many factors involved in this that cannot be controlled. Sports betting involves more of skills than luck but it doesn't mean that it's hundred percent guaranteed that's why you must always cut down the risks you are taking, remember that you are not in control of the game.

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February 20, 2025, 05:14:27 PM
 #189

What do you think about this topic?

I guess I've said something similar in some other thread before. it doesn't matter if it's sport betting or gambling in general, they all are lucky based. Skill comes in play when you have a lot of experience with gambling or betting to be precise. That way, you know how to properly arrange your odds to favor you and know which team to bet on or not. Even after all that, you might still have to hope that you are lucky so your games all comes out as predicted. Just one game can ruin your bet. So it's all luck not skill.

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February 20, 2025, 07:02:55 PM
 #190

Yeah, based on the information you've got connected to the players, venue, recent match history, and several data, it is easy to come up with the right prediction on the outcome of the match. However, at times things go out of our prediction, and this is all because of the luck factor. This way luck also has its role. To me, sports betting is kind of 85% skill and the remaining 15% depends on luck.

Of course, no matter how well you know about sports, there may always be some circumstances that do not depend on you, but may affect the outcome of the meeting. Therefore, from time to time we observe how an outsider defeats the leader of the championship and it is difficult to predict such a result.

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February 20, 2025, 07:32:46 PM
 #191

Yeah, based on the information you've got connected to the players, venue, recent match history, and several data, it is easy to come up with the right prediction on the outcome of the match. However, at times things go out of our prediction, and this is all because of the luck factor. This way luck also has its role. To me, sports betting is kind of 85% skill and the remaining 15% depends on luck.

Of course, no matter how well you know about sports, there may always be some circumstances that do not depend on you, but may affect the outcome of the meeting. Therefore, from time to time we observe how an outsider defeats the leader of the championship and it is difficult to predict such a result.
Since it's kind of difficult to predict the results of the match because some unpredictable circumstance might occur during the game play time, a gambler can not be a hundred percent sure of his predictions when the game hasn't ended. This is why gamble is based on luck, although your skill might also help you achieve a winning but luck plays a big role in gambe which makes luck very important while you are gambling.

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February 20, 2025, 10:20:44 PM
 #192


Yes, I agree that is a combination of both luck and skill that will help us to win. Without one of those things, we will difficult to win and lose our money. If you don't want to lose money in betting, you must control your funds and only place a small money to betting so you will not regret with you lose the money. We can analyze the team performance to see which team that have potential to win but we must realize that will not a guarantee we can win because everything can happen in the field.

That is exactly what we are looking for, to have the balance between luck and skill, it is very difficult to achieve such a thing, because we are not always on a roll, knowing these things that are so basic, there is no other choice but to appeal to control the money with which we are playing or with which we are going to play, it is always advisable to do it before playing, not during the game, during the game we can activate adrenaline along with greed and that will bring very bad results, that is what we need to Control.

And even if we know everything, gambling guarantees nothing when it comes to winning. But what we are trying here is to increase the odds of winning. That is why we go through game analysis and apply strategies. It is very important rather than wild guesses and gambling blindly because that only relies on luck, which is not how sports betting is meant to be, or in general.
Self-control is a part of being a responsible gambler, and it is necessary just to keep everything working right and not compromise our budgeting.

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February 20, 2025, 10:29:33 PM
 #193

I guess I've said something similar in some other thread before. it doesn't matter if it's sport betting or gambling in general, they all are lucky based. Skill comes in play when you have a lot of experience with gambling or betting to be precise. That way, you know how to properly arrange your odds to favor you and know which team to bet on or not. Even after all that, you might still have to hope that you are lucky so your games all comes out as predicted. Just one game can ruin your bet. So it's all luck not skill.
Specific games require skills and not only luck but you're right that if dive down to gambling in general, we'd end up about how being lucky we are just to get into these wins.

The odds, the chances, we're all hoping for them to get into but we have to do our work in doing the research. And that's part of the skills and that's why, it's still gonna need some job to do before we rely on luck.

Anyway, if you say so that it's all luck and not skill, you are not wrong with that and if someone says it's the opposite, the same thing not wrong too.

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February 20, 2025, 10:36:48 PM
 #194

Yeah, based on the information you've got connected to the players, venue, recent match history, and several data, it is easy to come up with the right prediction on the outcome of the match. However, at times things go out of our prediction, and this is all because of the luck factor. This way luck also has its role. To me, sports betting is kind of 85% skill and the remaining 15% depends on luck.

Of course, no matter how well you know about sports, there may always be some circumstances that do not depend on you, but may affect the outcome of the meeting. Therefore, from time to time we observe how an outsider defeats the leader of the championship and it is difficult to predict such a result.
Since it's kind of difficult to predict the results of the match because some unpredictable circumstance might occur during the game play time, a gambler can not be a hundred percent sure of his predictions when the game hasn't ended. This is why gamble is based on luck, although your skill might also help you achieve a winning but luck plays a big role in gambe which makes luck very important while you are gambling.

Indeed, even you did your research there are factors that can still affect the outcome, things that unforeseen when you place your bet, a good example if injuries happened during the game surely it affects the performances of the players or the team, it's something that can change the direction of the outcome.

There's no guarantee at you can assume and hope that with luck will be at your side after placing your bet.

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February 20, 2025, 10:47:25 PM
 #195

I can not say that, sport betting is luck based because the gambler isn’t the one playing the match but rather betting on them and as such, you shouldn’t be one considered luck but the players in the match.
There are a whole lot of factors that contributes to the success of a sport bettor and one is how much and how well they’ve been able to observe and get knowledgeable in a particular game or players and teams and if these factors are carefully selected, there would be more success than losses for a player.

I will say that, sport betting is more of skill based to luck and if there is anything like luck in sport betting, then I would prefer it’s been categorized as skill 85% while luck is 15% and as a Bettor, you own just 5% from the luck while the other 10% goes to the match players.
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February 20, 2025, 11:15:36 PM
 #196

My personal take on this one is that sports betting is that it’s skill-based...

I think if I just work on my skills, I can turn a profit eventually, yep, "eventually" is the trick word here. But after more than five years of sports betting, I'm still not making money. Now I'm wondering: is sports betting really about skill, or is it just luck? If it's about skill, maybe I just haven't got what it takes, and I'm just riding on luck.

What do you think about this topic?

Based on your experience, is it primarily luck, or do you still believe it’s skill-based, even if you haven't proven yourself yet?

Generally, betting on a game is skill based and you can’t be able to come up with a better explanation to this to disapprove it of not being a luck based game. You are yet to make money from it because the luck is yet to shine on you. Even when you have the skills, let’s say you know very well teams that has a loser tendency to win a game than the other one, that doesn’t mean you will win any game you predicted to that gives such team a chance to win. The probability of your prediction winning hs lesser odds than your prediction of probability of now winning, so in some games, some people try their luck to give a good chance to teams that are less privileged to win in order to win big. So it is all based on luck and no strategy works for it to compare it to a skill tht one can apply at anytime.

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February 20, 2025, 11:37:19 PM
 #197

Apparently sports betting involves so many tactics but the majority of it's game is based on luck...

No, sports betting is not the same as a casino, where in most cases your winnings will depend on luck. If you are well versed in the sport you are betting on, then your chances of winning will be significantly higher than if you were choosing a result at random.

You talked about the word "CHANCE". That "chance of winning" brought in the luck he's talking about. Although elements of luck may be low in sport betting when compare to other betting but it can't be fully erased. Have once mistakenly played "home or draw" instead of my prediction which was "home or away". This mistake made me won the ticket. Predictions is not /00% accurate, this made luck have it way into sport betting especially when playing an accumulated bet.

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February 20, 2025, 11:47:00 PM
 #198

Apparently sports betting involves so many tactics but the majority of it's game is based on luck...

No, sports betting is not the same as a casino, where in most cases your winnings will depend on luck. If you are well versed in the sport you are betting on, then your chances of winning will be significantly higher than if you were choosing a result at random.

You talked about the word "CHANCE". That "chance of winning" brought in the luck he's talking about. Although elements of luck may be low in sport betting when compare to other betting but it can't be fully erased. Have once mistakenly played "home or draw" instead of my prediction which was "home or away". This mistake made me won the ticket. Predictions is not /00% accurate, this made luck have it way into sport betting especially when playing an accumulated bet.

Not only in accumulated bet both in single bet, because there are some people who always base on a single bet and they will still end up experiencing lose. So whether accumulated bet or not so far as is gambling, of course luck always play it roll. even if you want to apply the whole gambling skill, You will definitely experience lose one day, so the fact remains that gambling is just a luck based.

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February 20, 2025, 11:57:55 PM
 #199

Yeah, based on the information you've got connected to the players, venue, recent match history, and several data, it is easy to come up with the right prediction on the outcome of the match. However, at times things go out of our prediction, and this is all because of the luck factor. This way luck also has its role. To me, sports betting is kind of 85% skill and the remaining 15% depends on luck.

Of course, no matter how well you know about sports, there may always be some circumstances that do not depend on you, but may affect the outcome of the meeting. Therefore, from time to time we observe how an outsider defeats the leader of the championship and it is difficult to predict such a result.
Since it's kind of difficult to predict the results of the match because some unpredictable circumstance might occur during the game play time, a gambler can not be a hundred percent sure of his predictions when the game hasn't ended. This is why gamble is based on luck, although your skill might also help you achieve a winning but luck plays a big role in gambe which makes luck very important while you are gambling.

Indeed, even you did your research there are factors that can still affect the outcome, things that unforeseen when you place your bet, a good example if injuries happened during the game surely it affects the performances of the players or the team, it's something that can change the direction of the outcome.

There's no guarantee at you can assume and hope that with luck will be at your side after placing your bet.

A game may still go against you even though you make a good analysis of the match. Imagine when an underdog lunch a counter attack that lead to there goal till full match ends. Do you even see this in your prediction. Imagine a red card given within the match and many more. Sport betting go along with good analysis and luck.

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February 21, 2025, 12:20:40 AM
 #200

Indeed, even you did your research there are factors that can still affect the outcome, things that unforeseen when you place your bet, a good example if injuries happened during the game surely it affects the performances of the players or the team, it's something that can change the direction of the outcome.

There's no guarantee at you can assume and hope that with luck will be at your side after placing your bet.
Moreover, there is a red card when the match is in progress, this clearly affects the team from attacking to defending.
Have you ever experienced something similar? Of course I have and often the bet ends up losing because they lack players due to red cards.

It cannot be avoided just like that, you can analyze which players will get injured or get a red card then this is a factor outside of analysis, you can say the luck factor again is decisive.

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