sports betting, skilled base or luck base?

[Olatundespo]

Sports betting also requires luck, there are times where your skills might fail you although I'm not disputing the fact that it's a skill based game my point is that some percentage of luck is also needed. Sports betting just like everyday other sports has some ups and downs, there are times that even the best teams can flop and the underdog might have the upper hand. It doesn't matter how skilled you are, losses are always inveitable this is why you must always be cautious of your stakes, risk management is the most important thing to learn as a gambler.

I completely agree with your opinion. Experience may be especially responsible for you in winning sports betting, but ultimately luck is responsible for winning. No experienced gambler can say that he will definitely win. He say the remaining sentence every time, maybe. I respect the skill with which a gambler considers the statistics of any team and formulates a plan of action for future betting. Most of the best teams lose to teams at the bottom of the points table at various times, which is why you will hear most fans say that maybe luck was not on their side.

So if you want to be a good gambler, you should rely on luck most of the time and the betting process should be such that you can lose this bet. You should think carefully before trying to get peace of mind.

[boltz]

In 2025 for me is just pure luck. No skill will actually make me win it seems no matter how hard I try. Tried some bets in football LaLiga and Serie A and failed , then I've tried yesterday some bets in Esports Dota 2 and failed and today I've tried some bets in CS2 and it seems I'm about to fail. Why ? well , it seems that no matter what I pick , I end up losing because if I took the favorite the underdog won and vice-versa.

This being said , at least I've tried to bet after a long time break and it seems betting in 2025 is chaos , random and pure luck and I prefer to watch sports just for passion and fun instead of betting.

[crwth]

I would be here in skill-based compared to the other two. It can be based on my mood; if I don't want to think, it would be luck-based. It's going to be hard, and knowing that you could go skill or luck would be your decision, and that's how you would handle the results. You should know that you should be considering what you are taking in for yourself and make sure that you are managing your risk.

Proving yourself would just justify your gambling, but it's better that you approach gambling in a methodical way, like managing your risk.

[moneystery]

....

What do you think about this topic?

Based on your experience, is it primarily luck, or do you still believe it’s skill-based, even if you haven't proven yourself yet?

i can say that sports betting is a type of gambling that is based on skill. but that doesn't mean that there is no luck involved in this, because in some matches the big team was defeated by the underdog team-- that breaks all the analysis made by the bettors on the team. but even so, that only happens in a few matches, so most sports betting can still be said to be primarily based on skill.

[TelolettOm]

Personally, I am more into sports betting. Because this is the field that I understand the most, that I can analyze the most, and I am quite familiar with certain sports and also the clubs and players. So, even though it is not easy, this is still the most reasonable for me.

Sports betting also requires luck, there are times where your skills might fail you although I'm not disputing the fact that it's a skill based game my point is that some percentage of luck is also needed.

Honestly, this is true. Even though it is a sport betting, the luck factor is still one of the factors. Like when we decide to bet on a certain club with a certain score, and it turns out that most of the predictions are outside the guesswork and in fact we are the ones who are very appropriate, then this will further boost our spirit to make that bet. It's just that, when a match must be colored with score rules, politics, bribery and others, this will actually harm sports gamblers.

[Awaklara]

....

What do you think about this topic?

Based on your experience, is it primarily luck, or do you still believe it’s skill-based, even if you haven't proven yourself yet?

i can say that sports betting is a type of gambling that is based on skill. but that doesn't mean that there is no luck involved in this, because in some matches the big team was defeated by the underdog team-- that breaks all the analysis made by the bettors on the team. but even so, that only happens in a few matches, so most sports betting can still be said to be primarily based on skill.

we can't avoid losing in gambling. Even in sports betting that allows us to make predictions from our own analysis. the skills required by gamblers to get good betting choices, and luck is another factor that gives gamblers other situations that may be unexpected.
although there are also gamblers who make sports bets from estimates or feelings alone, but their level of luck will not be good enough. skills are still needed in sports betting.

[GxSTxV]

My personal take on this one is that sports betting is that it’s skill-based...

I think if I just work on my skills, I can turn a profit eventually, yep, "eventually" is the trick word here. But after more than five years of sports betting, I'm still not making money. Now I'm wondering: is sports betting really about skill, or is it just luck? If it's about skill, maybe I just haven't got what it takes, and I'm just riding on luck.

What do you think about this topic?

Based on your experience, is it primarily luck, or do you still believe it’s skill-based, even if you haven't proven yourself yet?

Frankly, from my own experience in sports betting, it is true that skill helps but luck plays a bigger role in this activity. You can analyze stats, trends, and odds, but unpredictable factors like injuries, bad referee calls, or off days all these can ruin even the best bets. Simply, if betting was purely skill based, then professionals would win consistently, but in reality they even face losing streaks. Unlike poker or chess, where skill dominates as more important, in sports betting depends on factors beyond your control. Your five year experience proves that while skill improves your chances, luck is the main factor that decides your income. If skill alone guaranteed success, you woudl already be profitable.

[Z_MBFM]

My personal take on this one is that sports betting is that it’s skill-based...

I think if I just work on my skills, I can turn a profit eventually, yep, "eventually" is the trick word here. But after more than five years of sports betting, I'm still not making money. Now I'm wondering: is sports betting really about skill, or is it just luck? If it's about skill, maybe I just haven't got what it takes, and I'm just riding on luck.

What do you think about this topic?

Based on your experience, is it primarily luck, or do you still believe it’s skill-based, even if you haven't proven yourself yet?

sportsbet is not dependent on luck. It depends on skill.  Because sports matches can be analyzed and the performance of players can be analyzed to understand which team is more likely to win, so considering these can be called sports bet skill based gambling.  But when you bet somewhere where the total outcome will come from a machine like slots games, dice etc then it will be totally dependent on your luck although some tricks can be used to increase the amount but not possible prediction like sports bet.

[Wiwo]

What do you think about this topic?

Gambling generally is all about luck, but there are some gambling games that need some level of skill and knowledge to enhance the gambler's winning. In sports betting, bettors need a fair knowledge about that particular sport. Knowledge about that sport history and players would be very helpful in making betting decisions. So, if anyone will argue that skill is what is required, they should not ignore the luck factor in gambling.

Another thing to consider in sports betting is the bettor's state of mind and level of confidence while placing bets. A confused bettor might make the wrong choice even when he has lots of information before him to make the right decision.  A biased person might choose to bet in favour of his favourite team just because of the love he has for the team, even when he knows that the other team stands a better chance.

Well, deciding on the right thing to do without any form of emotional attachment is skill on its own that every sport bettor should possess.

We can't truly take away luck from gambling no matter the level of our expertise, this is very important to take note of and sports betting has a lot of determinant factors that make up for the final results and even external and internal factors aside from the bettors own analysis and state of things, most of the sports bettors and speculators failed to acknowledge the luck factors fact that by going too much away from depending on luck and rather on their predictions which in most cases don't end well for them at most time, so for sure to maintain a sanity of mind we need to build a knowledge-based betting approach and relying on luck.

[len01]

Gambling = always close to luck. It's just that each game has a different percentage of luck. Sports betting relies more on skill than luck. While casino games rely more on luck.

For sports betting for me, 90% skill 10% luck. Why?

Because when we analyze data before betting, that's our skill to get results that bring us closer to victory.

When we bet with deeper analysis and have gotten the right results but it turns out that the surprise comes the underdog team beats the favorite team, that's about luck.

[Nheer]

My personal take on this one is that sports betting is that it’s skill-based...

I think if I just work on my skills, I can turn a profit eventually, yep, "eventually" is the trick word here. But after more than five years of sports betting, I'm still not making money. Now I'm wondering: is sports betting really about skill, or is it just luck? If it's about skill, maybe I just haven't got what it takes, and I'm just riding on luck.

What do you think about this topic?

Based on your experience, is it primarily luck, or do you still believe it’s skill-based, even if you haven't proven yourself yet?

There is no doubt you can increase your skills in sports betting but that doesn’t still guarantee anything at all, you will still need luck to be successful in it. You can’t talk about gambling and not involve luck in it, you just can’t do without luck when gambling and no matter how good you are in analyzing sport games you still need luck to be in your favor.

Sports games are played by others and the conditions of certain players and the mentality of the team changes with time so it’s difficult to predict how well they will play and what mentality they will have in the game so your knowledge and skills can only increase your chances of winning but doesn’t guarantee your success that’s why luck is very important in this.

[aoluain]

It's a combination of luck and analysis. Not skill. Analysis ain't a skill in my opinion because anyone can do it.

Now, we are not making 100 percent accurate predictions when we do that. The chances of losing are still high even though we are betting for the heavy favorite. We are doing the analysis to increase our chance of winning. Using records, history, winning rate, players, coaches, and more.
Let's take one for example in the NBA. If you will bet for the Cavaliers all the way with 39 wins and 9 losses you might still be in profit even though they will just give 1.40x - 1.50x odds. Now, the spreads are where it gets tricky because greed will come out and we want a higher profit. I think that is where it goes all wrong and that's why we lose most of our bets.

Its definitely a mixture of Analysis/skill and luck. Anyone can do their analysis and
anyone can back a favourite at 1.03, it doesnt take analysis or skill for that.

Its only skillful if someone can pick the underdog and win at least 51% of them
better if its like 75% though.

But we are betting on the skill of sports players, they are human, can fall to any
number of failings, mental stress, indecision and injury, if its a team sport those
failings can be compensated if its a solo sport its a lot more serious, so luck
plays a big part too.

[mak013]

My personal take on this one is that sports betting is that it’s skill-based...

I think if I just work on my skills, I can turn a profit eventually, yep, "eventually" is the trick word here. But after more than five years of sports betting, I'm still not making money. Now I'm wondering: is sports betting really about skill, or is it just luck? If it's about skill, maybe I just haven't got what it takes, and I'm just riding on luck.

What do you think about this topic?

Based on your experience, is it primarily luck, or do you still believe it’s skill-based, even if you haven't proven yourself yet?

For me it mostly skills. But the same time you must have strategy, money and risk management and keep calm. It also a serious research before betting. If the odds are ok - you bet. Only standard bet without emotions.
If you do all these things you can get profit. I can suppose that you have at least one problem in your strategy but you have to find it yourself.

[Vladv26]

It's a combination of both skill and luck. You can improve your chances of winning/making a profit through skills and experience but at the end of the day you still need some luck to win certain bets. I've had lots of instances where I only needed 1 goal/corner/yellow card to win my bet with just a couple minutes of the game remaining. Sometimes it hits,other times it loses, but I personally consider it luck since it's not in my control anymore and anything can happen.

[bitzizzix]

In my opinion, knowledge and skills are very important in sports betting, although luck also plays a role because all gambling still relies on luck, but skills can help you to make choices after you analyze both teams, previous matches, team statistics and players who will play, injured players and also current performance, and other relevant factors that are very important. And although sometimes not entirely true, at least all of that can help me to make choices rather than just relying on hunches without doing anything and risking more losses than those who have no impression in betting. Because in my opinion sports betting is a bet that must be made by intelligent people who use their minds like working before betting to determine the best choice in order to have a greater chance of winning and if it fails it is already part of the bet, because there will be no consistent victory in gambling but skills and knowledge can help to determine choices and in the long run unknowingly more wins than losses if done seriously, carefully and disciplined. And this is in my opinion, different from what other people think because there will be many differences such as how accurate it is to find the best information, maintain emotions and also financial management, if there is doubt it is better not to bet because confidence in choosing will be determined after doing what I mentioned above.

[Ryu_Ar1]

Based on your experience, is it primarily luck, or do you still believe it’s skill-based, even if you haven't proven yourself yet?

Skill and luck take their respective roles in this case because after all, betting for gambling cannot only rely on skill alone or luck alone because after all, if in the end both are not owned in a bet, the results obtained in the end will not be optimal.

It should be realized that betting sometimes has differences with other gambling cases such as playing slots or doing it in conventional gambling such as dice or roulette so that in the end in a bet sometimes skill, experience and how we read an mpmenyum match can be a condition that can sometimes be the main focus and luck usually takes the final role to occur because luck sometimes cannot be forced but it is possible that it can still be expected when the results we do in optimizing luck are really done then luck can come.

[Olatundespo]

It's a combination of both skill and luck. You can improve your chances of winning/making a profit through skills and experience but at the end of the day you still need some luck to win certain bets. I've had lots of instances where I only needed 1 goal/corner/yellow card to win my bet with just a couple minutes of the game remaining. Sometimes it hits,other times it loses, but I personally consider it luck since it's not in my control anymore and anything can happen.

Luck with experience for winning or losing it may be a combination of both for some time / most of the time I am a combination. At the end of the day luck has to be given more priority. Betting games sometimes the best team loses it affects your win or loss with the luck of that team. I want to believe that someone from behind can push to ensure the defeat of the best team by showing bad play or after being aware of the secret strategy of that team it affects the ordinary gamblers to lose at the gambling board. Most skill or most luck is debated by many and I do not want to compare my gambling experience with this process because I know that gambling is psychological and losing is normal and the chances of winning are very low so the main thing is to manage the bets considering having fun. To keep the chances of winning high, spread your bets on different boards and at least one can be guaranteed to win and you can also profit.

[mammusu]

It's a combination of both skill and luck. You can improve your chances of winning/making a profit through skills and experience but at the end of the day you still need some luck to win certain bets. I've had lots of instances where I only needed 1 goal/corner/yellow card to win my bet with just a couple minutes of the game remaining. Sometimes it hits,other times it loses, but I personally consider it luck since it's not in my control anymore and anything can happen.

If we talk about lotteries and slots, of course luck is the main factor, as well as games like poker and blackjack then skill is one of the factors for us to win, but if we talk about sports betting, I think our skills and expertise in analyzing the game are actually one of the factors for us to be able to make more accurate bets with an 80% guarantee of winning, And that's where the luck factor of 20% also plays an important role in every bet we make, so I think sports betting does involve a combination of skill and also luck, skill can help us to increase the chances of winning, as well as luck which is an important factor in every bet we make.

[Inwestour]

My personal take on this one is that sports betting is that it’s skill-based...

I think if I just work on my skills, I can turn a profit eventually, yep, "eventually" is the trick word here. But after more than five years of sports betting, I'm still not making money. Now I'm wondering: is sports betting really about skill, or is it just luck? If it's about skill, maybe I just haven't got what it takes, and I'm just riding on luck.

What do you think about this topic?

Based on your experience, is it primarily luck, or do you still believe it’s skill-based, even if you haven't proven yourself yet?

Gambling has never been an easy activity, and before I started playing I saw a lot of opinions from different players that here you will lose more than you win, almost always. Therefore, I never tried to play for big money, this helped me to avoid big losses. It seems to me that in order to improve your gambling skills you need to devote much more time to this than most players do, who make several bets a week to watch several matches.

[Finestream]

This is based on my experience. It could be more about analysis than luck. But yes, it doesn't mean our chances of winning are high. We can be confident of this because players can sometimes flop and lose. That is why no matter how long we spend analyzing the data and team performance, winning remains uncertain, especially if both teams are performing well.

I believe that sports betting is better than slots and card games, which are purely luck-based games. But yes, we can never find any assurance in gambling, even spending years doing this.