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Author Topic: Testing "the luck" of AI in sports betting #4 update (February 23, 2025)  (Read 584 times)
mcdouglasx (OP)
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February 14, 2025, 11:07:32 PM
Last edit: February 23, 2025, 02:34:00 PM by mcdouglasx
 #1

Let's proceed with the #4 set of AI predictions for the LaLiga matches on February 23, 2025:

previusly:

1-Premier League matches for February 16, 2025 result: 3/6 50%

2-LaLiga matches  for February 16, 2025 result: 2/4 50%

3-LaLiga matches  for February 22, 2025 result: 3/4 75%




I asked Copilot for predictions for LaLiga matches acting as an expert. Just sharing out of curiosity to see if tomorrow will be a lucky day for the AI, and also a bit because of the topic of luck in sports betting.


And this is what it replied:

Of course! Here are the predictions with possible scores for the matches on February 23, 2025 in LaLiga:


Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC

Real Madrid CF is a perennial powerhouse in LaLiga, known for their star-studded lineup and relentless pursuit of victory. Their depth in squad and experience in high-pressure situations often give them the edge. Girona FC, while showing moments of brilliance, usually operates as underdogs against the giants of Spanish football.

🔮 Possible score: Real Madrid CF 3 - 0 Girona FC

Real Madrid is likely to dominate possession and create numerous scoring opportunities. If their key players are in form, we might see a convincing win for them. I'm thinking a 3-0 victory in favor of Real Madrid, with potential goals from their attacking trio and perhaps a set-piece header from a defender.


Getafe CF vs. Real Betis

This could be a tightly contested game. If Getafe manages to nullify Betis's creative outlets, it might end in a low-scoring draw. However, if Betis can find spaces and capitalize on them, they could edge out a win. I'll go with a 1-1 draw but wouldn't be surprised if Betis sneaks a 2-1 victory.

🔮 Possible score: Getafe CF 1 - 1 Real Betis

This matchup promises to be intriguing. Getafe CF is known for their disciplined defense and physical style of play. They often make it tough for opponents to find the net. Real Betis , on the other hand, brings creativity and flair, especially through their midfield maestros who can unlock tight defenses.


Real Sociedad vs. CD Leganés

Real Sociedad could very well control the game from the midfield, creating numerous chances. I'm predicting a 2-0 win for Real Sociedad, possibly with goals coming from quick combinations around the box or swift counter-attacks.

🔮 Possible score: Real Sociedad 2 - 0 CD Leganés

Real Sociedad has been making waves with their focus on youth development and an attractive, attacking brand of football. Their players are technically skilled and play with a lot of pace. CD Leganés might struggle against such dynamic opponents, especially if they can't maintain a solid defensive structure.


Of course, football is wonderfully unpredictable. Transfers, injuries, and managerial changes can drastically alter team dynamics over the course of a season—or two! It's fascinating to think about how emerging talents or strategic signings could shift the balance for these clubs.


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February 14, 2025, 11:12:05 PM
 #2

Okay, dude, here's a little advice: don't get too aggressive with your betting strategy. I tried the same thing last time, and I ended up failing my experiment. I realized that sports betting analysis shouldn't rely fully on AI. Good luck, but always be careful out there!

 
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February 14, 2025, 11:17:45 PM
Last edit: February 14, 2025, 11:30:46 PM by DubemIfedigbo001
 #3

I asked Copilot for predictions for tomorrow's Premier League matches acting as an expert. Just sharing out of curiosity to see if tomorrow will be a lucky day for the AI, and also a bit because of the topic of luck in sports betting.


And this is what it replied:

copilot:

Sure! Let's provide expert predictions for the matches scheduled on February 15, 2025. While I don't have access to events beyond my last update in October 2023, we can speculate based on historical performances and current trends.

Leicester City FC vs. Arsenal
Prediction: Arsenal Victory

Analysis:

Arsenal has shown remarkable evolution under their current management, focusing on young talents and dynamic attacking play. Leicester City is always a dangerous opponent, especially at home, but they might struggle to contain Arsenal's offensive prowess. We might expect a close game, perhaps a 2-1 win for Arsenal.

West Ham United FC vs. Brentford
Prediction: Draw

Analysis:

Both teams have been competitive in the Premier League, with West Ham showcasing physical strength and Brentford demonstrating tactical discipline. This matchup could be very balanced, leading to a 1-1 scoreline as both teams aim to solidify their positions in the table.

Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest
Prediction: Fulham Victory

Analysis:

Playing at home, Fulham holds the advantage and typically displays attractive, offensive football. Nottingham Forest may struggle if they don't bolster their defense. A 2-0 victory for Fulham seems likely if they maintain their level of play.

Aston Villa vs. Ipswich Town
Prediction: Aston Villa Victory

Analysis:

Aston Villa, with their Premier League experience, should prevail against Ipswich Town. If Ipswich is newly promoted, they might still be adjusting to the pace of top-flight football. We could see a 3-0 win for Aston Villa.

Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC
Prediction: Manchester City Victory

Analysis:

Manchester City remains one of the strongest teams in the league, boasting a deep squad and solid playing style. Newcastle United has invested heavily in talent recently, but defeating City at the Etihad Stadium is a tall order. A 3-1 result in favor of Manchester City is plausible.

Southampton vs. AFC Bournemouth
Prediction: Draw

Final Thoughts:

Football's unpredictability is part of its charm. While these predictions are based on analysis, anything can happen on the pitch. It's the unexpected moments that make the game so captivating. We'll be eagerly watching to see how these exciting encounters unfold!

This shows how limited AI is in such things, it only has mentality for win and draw, there's should be more explicit views in it's predictions, but unfortunately it's limited to win/draws, maybe you should ask it to give you more possible predictions apart from wins and draws so you'll get more wide variety of options like speculations in goals, corners and others.

 
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February 14, 2025, 11:23:07 PM
Merited by mcdouglasx (1)
 #4

Final Thoughts:

Football's unpredictability is part of its charm. While these predictions are based on analysis, anything can happen on the pitch. It's the unexpected moments that make the game so captivating. We'll be eagerly watching to see how these exciting encounters unfold!
[/i]
Artificial intelligence can only give their predictions based on the data and statistics that they have and because football and future events do not usually obey all these rules and they usually have a high level of probability or the chance of something happening, any predictions from artificial intelligence cannot be trusted. Any new Gambler who wants to depend to use artificial intelligence will only end up wasting useful time that they can invest into making their sports prediction skill better.

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February 14, 2025, 11:23:42 PM
 #5

I don't want to discourage OP because I'm sure he is looking for a way to win in sports betting, so let's see if these picks really hit. Honestly, I find this interesting since AI has been around and is continuously developing, so why not use it if it can help us analyze games, especially when there are so many games to bet on?

But I would also listen to others who say that AI might not be able to predict outcomes effectively,  after all, sports betting is a very unpredictable type of gambling. So both sides are right, but we're basing our opinions on the results here.

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February 14, 2025, 11:29:57 PM
 #6

Final Thoughts:

Football's unpredictability is part of its charm. While these predictions are based on analysis, anything can happen on the pitch. It's the unexpected moments that make the game so captivating. We'll be eagerly watching to see how these exciting encounters unfold!
[/i]
AI can make these predictions based on the information available to it. As a machine, it could analyse games fast and give predictions. But just as your recognised sports outcomes are unpredictable favourites can lose games due to some circumstances. It's just a harmless trial anyway, but I would return to this thread after the game to see how correct or wrong Copilot is.

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February 14, 2025, 11:35:59 PM
 #7

AI can be of great advantage in other aspects, but I don’t see it highly reliable in gambling, even in making analysis in sports betting. Although you can try using it, but don’t anticipate too much. Gambling is still luck-based and sometimes skill-based. And AI cannot completely provide it for us. AI may be useful, but it will never make us profitable especially with unpredictable gambling outcomes.

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February 14, 2025, 11:39:36 PM
Last edit: February 14, 2025, 11:57:47 PM by Sandra_hakeem
 #8

Those games already looks predictable. Moreso, all it takes is some scraped data from several sites and the work is done. Keep in mind that tables turn 70% of the times and, especially on multiples like this, a win isn't assured.

Let's come back to reality... I wouldn't predict those games that way -- a handicap or a combo play is more feasible.
But I would also listen to others who say that AI might not be able to predict outcomes effectively,  after all, sports betting is a very unpredictable type of gambling. So both sides are right
There's the one thing AI would never beat/replace -- Human perceptual intelligence. AI is developing everyday to become a flawless tool, but what is 'perfection" without flaws/mistakes?
A scientist once said that if a human brain was to be simulated, it'd be as big as a power station and would need powers from a nuclear weapon to keep them running, and a river to cool it down.

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February 14, 2025, 11:42:21 PM
 #9



Final Thoughts:

Football's unpredictability is part of its charm. While these predictions are based on analysis, anything can happen on the pitch. It's the unexpected moments that make the game so captivating. We'll be eagerly watching to see how these exciting encounters unfold!
[/i]

It goes with all the other sports; AI and humans can give a good analysis of the game and how it goes, but beyond that, there are factors that humans and AI can overlook or small details that go beyond our attention, so treat AI predictions as part of human-like prediction; it offers insight but is not guaranteed to bring you 100% results; its better to use AI as part of your analysis to consider beside yours.



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February 14, 2025, 11:51:51 PM
 #10

This is risky like what AI said it has October 2023 update and don't have access to latest events. Meaning it can only analyze past performance, which is risky because today is 2025 and the data it has is older than 2023, so the results of the analysis may be negative.

It might be better if you could do it manually, checking each team's current standings and watching their previous fights to gain a better understanding.
There are lots of things that we shouldn't rely on bots or AI unless if you are willing to risk and you can afford to lose.
For me, this won't increase the probability to choose a winning bet. What I see this is 50/50 result or based on luck if you use AI for analysis.

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February 14, 2025, 11:57:11 PM
 #11

~
Man they're all just glorified text search engines. While yes, it's useful in some aspects, it's not going to be useful with analysis of events and stuff imo since it'd probably just grab a whole bunch of opinions and summarize them for you. Or even mistake a "expert" opinion of someone in Reddit and take that. Idk if copilot has it but chat gpt recently had an update where it broke down its thought process/analysis, we might get a better view how AI does its "expert" thingy with that.

Artificial intelligence can only give their predictions based on the data and statistics that they have and because football and future events do not usually obey all these rules and they usually have a high level of probability or the chance of something happening, any predictions from artificial intelligence cannot be trusted. Any new Gambler who wants to depend to use artificial intelligence will only end up wasting useful time that they can invest into making their sports prediction skill better.
Afaik they already have the capability to search the web? Might be limited to paid models though.
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February 14, 2025, 11:58:36 PM
 #12

Okay, dude, here's a little advice: don't get too aggressive with your betting strategy. I tried the same thing last time, and I ended up failing my experiment. I realized that sports betting analysis shouldn't rely fully on AI. Good luck, but always be careful out there!
AI tools used for predicting what a match outcome would be are using the same analyses that those free predictions sites are using. There is nothing new about it. The outcome can not be accurate at all and it would be in a way that people will lose their money after betting for a long period of time. In trading and gambling, AI are useless for profit making.

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February 14, 2025, 11:59:37 PM
 #13

These predictions are a cumulative data of what people are saying online, and likewise a brief summary made out of their previous performance. Hence, these predictions has a 50/50 percent chance of success, because when it comes to gambling, there is never any word such as sure prediction. Because a club you thought might perform better today, might end up messing you up big time. Hence, I think you should always stake what you can always afford to lose, because these predictions might either play or not play as predicted.

 
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February 15, 2025, 12:01:54 AM
 #14

Asked the AI about sports betting only being given 1X2 betting options? What about other betting options? Because we know sports betting can choose bets according to our wishes, right?

Anyway, don't rely on AI for any bets because it's not recommended, OK now you might be testing how accurate AI is in this soccer prediction?

I will never rely on any AI including that in the analysis that AI presents, still in our own analysis we have to look for it sometimes in football the latest news always comes out at any time.

R


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February 15, 2025, 12:13:38 AM
 #15

Okay, dude, here's a little advice: don't get too aggressive with your betting strategy. I tried the same thing last time, and I ended up failing my experiment. I realized that sports betting analysis shouldn't rely fully on AI. Good luck, but always be careful out there!
AI tools used for predicting what a match outcome would be are using the same analyses that those free predictions sites are using. There is nothing new about it. The outcome can not be accurate at all and it would be in a way that people will lose their money after betting for a long period of time. In trading and gambling, AI are useless for profit making.

AI based its predictions based on available data online. So they are actually limited as they will only conclude to what is being feed on them. Factors such as actual weather/humidity during the event, unknown injuries, new strategies among others won't be known by AI. Hence, it has still blind spot so to speak.

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February 15, 2025, 12:34:50 AM
 #16

As long as gambling is concerned no too ways about it, is just a game of luck. nobody is perfect when it comes to gambling, we only do the predictions and live the rest for luck, because no matter how you do what would happen would still going to happen. So relying on AI prediction might not likely be the best because gambling is not something AI can predict the final outcome, although is whatt trying, since you have already made up your mind.

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February 15, 2025, 12:56:42 AM
 #17

I think the AI ​​prediction for each upcoming match is not very accurate, and I think the AI ​​does not have specific data about the latest data that has occurred, such as players who have just been injured, the latest data from each player, and others that are so specific. I only see a general explanation of the AI ​​analysis. Therefore, I think it is better to have a personal analysis than to use AI to predict in a match. Even if it is just to try, it is better to be careful and not to involve such a large amount in betting.

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February 15, 2025, 01:08:57 AM
 #18

I’m not a football expert so I can’t give a comment on the quality of his analysis but I’m impressed already that an AI can choose a pick based on his own analysis on the game which means the choice is based on a logic.

You can consider it as tipster prediction too. I’m curios what will be the result but again I’m already impressed that an AI can give a thorough analysis on each match. Its more impressive if that AI can predict point spread and total score bet based on past record of team.

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February 15, 2025, 02:20:26 AM
 #19

Final Thoughts:

Football's unpredictability is part of its charm. While these predictions are based on analysis, anything can happen on the pitch. It's the unexpected moments that make the game so captivating. We'll be eagerly watching to see how these exciting encounters unfold!
[/i]
AI can make these predictions based on the information available to it. As a machine, it could analyse games fast and give predictions. But just as your recognised sports outcomes are unpredictable favourites can lose games due to some circumstances. It's just a harmless trial anyway, but I would return to this thread after the game to see how correct or wrong Copilot is.
True but actually AI only analyzes based on information and not with field facts because AI analyzes and predicts quickly by seeing what is likely to happen, we can be much better at analyzing if we study especially when seeing the match has started for the first few minutes but not all gamblers can understand that.
Several times seeing people using AI but the results are also the same there are win but there are still many lost, sports matches can never be predicted accurately even with the help of various artificial intelligence, the surprises that occur will make the results always not in accordance with predicts.
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February 15, 2025, 02:44:57 AM
 #20

I asked Copilot for predictions for tomorrow's Premier League matches acting as an expert. Just sharing out of curiosity to see if tomorrow will be a lucky day for the AI, and also a bit because of the topic of luck in sports betting.

May I ask if you put a bet though? Because that will be the true test of AI in sports betting. Although it has been done before if my memory serves me right that someone here in community ask for a prediction and then bet on it in UFC.

So again, for me, maybe it will be good if you test it yourself and see how it goes. Of course, everything is base on luck even in sports betting, but who knows, maybe you can hit some with AI tips but for sure it will be controversial.


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