What Happens If MicroStrategy Dumps All Its Bitcoin?

[philipma1957]

What if MicroStrategy decided to sell all of its Bitcoin?

Could that be a black swan event?

The very thought is unsettling.

What if institutional investors, like retail traders in the past, are hit by BTC FUD and choose to panic-sell all their holdings?

Do you see this as a realistic possibility in the future, or am I overthinking it?

what happens if the sun gets twice as hot as it is today.


we are fucked

what happens if  micro strategy sells off all its coins

we are fucked.


those are simple questions with very simple answers.


but try answering these next questions

what are the odds the sun gets twice as hot as it is in a year?
what are the odds the sun gets twice as hot as it is in a decade?
what are the odds the sun gets twice as hot as it is in a century?
what are the odds the sun gets twice as hot as it is in a millennium?
what are the odds the sun gets twice as hot as it is in an epoch?


those are likely

1 in ten billion for a year
1 in a billion for  a decade

to eventually maybe in two or three billion years the sun turns red expands and is twice as hot as it is now.

plug in numbers for micro strategy and i would say

1 in ten thousand micro strategy sells off all its coins in the next year.

Maybe 1 in 100,000 shot.

So don’t worry it is not likely at the moment.

[Zoomic]

What if MicroStrategy decided to sell all of its Bitcoin?

Could that be a black swan event?

The very thought is unsettling.

What if institutional investors, like retail traders in the past, are hit by BTC FUD and choose to panic-sell all their holdings?

Do you see this as a realistic possibility in the future, or am I overthinking it?

The Saylor's strategy is not buying bitcoin just to profit and sell off. If you follow seminars and events hosted by strategy, you will understand what micro strategy represents. If micro strategy is buying to sell off, they will only be buying the dip but me and you know that strategy buys at everytime, especially during the bull run.

Strategy adopted bitcoin as a partner in her business, they will only sell their bitcoin off if they want to bankrupt. They are buying worn people's money and they are already in profits before buying more.

In the worse scenario, strategy sells all her bitcoin, it will lead to big price correction and other people will rebuy their bitcoin and things continue.
Remember Germany did it;
Remember Elon musk did it with Tesla!
But here is bitcoin growing stronger.

[Ziskinberg]

In the worse scenario, strategy sells all her bitcoin, it will lead to big price correction and other people will rebuy their bitcoin and things continue.
Remember Germany did it;
Remember Elon musk did it with Tesla!
But here is bitcoin growing stronger.

That’s most likely the case, but why would they dump their Bitcoin holdings? It doesn’t make sense.

If they ever decide to sell, it means they’ve found a valid reason to no longer see it as a good long-term investment, and that’s when others might follow, which could trigger a panic dump. However, history has shown that even when Bitcoin dumps, it eventually recovers. So it’s not something to panic about, it should be seen as an opportunity.

[Zoomic]

In the worse scenario, strategy sells all her bitcoin, it will lead to big price correction and other people will rebuy their bitcoin and things continue.
Remember Germany did it;
Remember Elon musk did it with Tesla!
But here is bitcoin growing stronger.

That’s most likely the case, but why would they dump their Bitcoin holdings? It doesn’t make sense.

If they ever decide to sell, it means they’ve found a valid reason to no longer see it as a good long-term investment, and that’s when others might follow, which could trigger a panic dump. However, history has shown that even when Bitcoin dumps, it eventually recovers. So it’s not something to panic about, it should be seen as an opportunity.

It's all about the mindset and their aim of embracing bitcoin. Elon musk took advantage of the 2021 bull run and made alot of money from bitcoin. His intention wasn't for the success of bitcoin. He wasn't a die hard bitcoin, rather a smart opportunist that saw bitcoin as a means to add to his stack of wealth.
That was why he first adopted bitcoin for his company and made everyone trust him, with his status as the richest man, he was able to gather enormous influence. Seeing that he was massively bullish, he triggered anxiety and cashed out. He would have honorary withdrawn from bitcoin without causing FUD. Rather he came against bitcoin with the energy consumption myth and left. With how bloody the market was then, no one thought we could everly see $100k.

So, even if strategy fails, ETF is there and even America is massively involved now.

[GigaBit]

Do you see this as a realistic possibility in the future, or am I overthinking it?

It seems completely foolish for an individual or institution to take such a decision when it comes to holding such a big dream. The possibility of this happening in reality is very low. I think that unless he or his company falls into some major disaster, there is no chance of such a situation. However, as an investor, we must be prepared for anything. When it comes to investing, we do not rely on anyone but rather invest in our own strength, which will create confidence.

If an institution or individual tries to sell a large part of Bitcoin, that is their own business. However, no one ever invests in Bitcoin with the intention of intentionally losing money. If MicroStrategy had such an objective, they would have had the opportunity to implement that objective long ago. But they did not do that, rather they are trying to accumulate more Bitcoin under their control so that they can own more wealth in the long run.

[bhadz]

I stop thinking about these things, I have no control over this matter and that's why if it happens, then we'll see the actuality of how it will go. Michael Saylor even talked about Bitcoin reaching $13M in the next decade and more or I think it is 2043-2045 that he said that it can reach that price. So, if it's all talk, he should start dumping anytime soon as they're in profit already and wouldn't look at the long term.

[suzanne5223]

Do you see this as a realistic possibility in the future, or am I overthinking it?

It seems completely foolish for an individual or institution to take such a decision when it comes to holding such a big dream. The possibility of this happening in reality is very low. I think that unless he or his company falls into some major disaster, there is no chance of such a situation. However, as an investor, we must be prepared for anything. When it comes to investing, we do not rely on anyone but rather invest in our own strength, which will create confidence.

The chance of this happening in real life is low, but you said it yourself that "as an investor, we must be prepared for anything", and we're in a market that's unpredictable at some point.
For the record, most of the BTC holding of MicroStrategy is not owned by Saylor and Phong Le. So, there's a chance that the company could dump their bag if the investors requested it as an opportunity to take profit to avoid a situation like the Wall Street crash, which was triggered by the global depression, and a lot of people rushing to sell their shares
We can see MicroStrategy doing the same sell off before the market bloodbath just to accumulate the dip later.

[mirakal]

This is most likely not the behavior of smart institutional investors. Before they will invest on a certain asset, they will study it thoroughly and made sure that they understand all its possible pros and cons. So I don’t think they will easily fall on BTC FUDs and panic sell their coins. They know the investment well so they will never resort on such decisions that will only put their investment on a high risk.

[Ndabagi01]

Microstrategy might be amongst the top investors in bitcoin and hold some large amount of it in their portfolio, but I don’t think them selling off will have a significant lasting effect to the whole market. The percentage they hold is still nothing compared to the overall percentage of bitcoin mined so far and in circulation. It is not about them selling off that will affect the market a little bit but it’s about those that easily panic out of fear of what they might have foreseen to take such actions. Microstrategy are investors in bitcoin like any other company that has invested in it, if they wish to opt out they can but as a smart investor that they are, I don’t think they will do such a thing.

[AbuBhakar]

What if MicroStrategy decided to sell all of its Bitcoin?

Could that be a black swan event?

Cryptocurrency market would definitely dump if it happens. And I think yes, it could indicate a black swan event. But the bigger question is, what would be the reason for that to happen?

What if institutional investors, like retail traders in the past, are hit by BTC FUD and choose to panic-sell all their holdings?

Bitcoin will dump but it will eventually recover. There are many retailers wanting to buy again at a lower price. There are some wanting to have a whole piece of bitcoin and if many institutional investors dump their holdings and its price droo below to $50k then their goal of 1 bitcoin could become achievable.

Do you see this as a realistic possibility in the future, or am I overthinking it?

With bitcoin's scarce supply, many people and other institutions that don't have or enough amount of it will just grab the opportunity and just waiting for big companies to dump their bitcoin. I don't think these big companies would want to buyback at a higher price so I think it's impossible to happen.

[kryptqnick]

If MicroStrategy decides to sell all of its Bitcoins, it will likely impact on the market. The company holds over 500,000 BTC, which is a huge amount of liquidity. A swift sell-off could cause short-term instability, but the bigger problem would be if institutional investors follow suit.
That being said, I think it is more likely that if MicroStrategy decides to sell BTC, they will choose a more gradual approach, selling a relatively small amount.

[bbc.reporter]

What if MicroStrategy decided to sell all of its Bitcoin?

Could that be a black swan event?

The very thought is unsettling.

What if institutional investors, like retail traders in the past, are hit by BTC FUD and choose to panic-sell all their holdings?

Do you see this as a realistic possibility in the future, or am I overthinking it?

what happens if the sun gets twice as hot as it is today.


we are fucked

what happens if  micro strategy sells off all its coins

we are fucked.


those are simple questions with very simple answers.


but try answering these next questions

what are the odds the sun gets twice as hot as it is in a year?
what are the odds the sun gets twice as hot as it is in a decade?
what are the odds the sun gets twice as hot as it is in a century?
what are the odds the sun gets twice as hot as it is in a millennium?
what are the odds the sun gets twice as hot as it is in an epoch?


those are likely

1 in ten billion for a year
1 in a billion for  a decade

to eventually maybe in two or three billion years the sun turns red expands and is twice as hot as it is now.

plug in numbers for micro strategy and i would say

1 in ten thousand micro strategy sells off all its coins in the next year.

Maybe 1 in 100,000 shot.

So don’t worry it is not likely at the moment.

However, if we consider how bitcoin has become very much valuable as a speculative investment, if Michael the Saylor man will decide to dump Microstrategy's bitcoins, there would certainly be many buyers for this and the chance of this to be dumped on the market will be very low. This will be sold over the counter heheheh.

We can be quite certain that Coinbase will be one of the buyers. The bald man Brian missed his opportunity, I reckon he will not allow himself to miss another. There also be other CEOs similar to him.



Coinbase CEO spills on why the exchange didn’t bet the farm on Bitcoin

Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong revealed during a recent video talk on X that the exchange once considered adopting a Michael Saylor-style Bitcoin accumulation strategy — the kind that transformed Strategy into the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin today.

But Armstrong said the company ultimately backed away, fearing the move could have wiped out its cash reserves and potentially “killed” the firm in its early years, according to Bloomberg.

Read in full https://www.dlnews.com/articles/markets/coinbase-ceo-on-why-the-exchange-didnt-bet-farm-on-bitcoin/

[obryzum]

What if MicroStrategy decided to sell all of its Bitcoin?

Could that be a black swan event?

The very thought is unsettling.

What if institutional investors, like retail traders in the past, are hit by BTC FUD and choose to panic-sell all their holdings?

Do you see this as a realistic possibility in the future, or am I overthinking it?

Nobody is talking about a likely (if not the most likely) long term outcome: Eminent domain. Suppose the Lummis bill passes and the US decides to purchase ~1 million Bitcoin. How is it going to do that? On Coinbase? Hahahaha. That would run the price. What are the alternatives? Hint: Think like a government bureaucrat. You exercise the right of eminent domain and seize all of Microstrategy's Bitcoin. The government can do this as long as the seizure is for a public purpose and the government pays fair market value. The public purpose element is easy to meet: If Congress says it is in the public interest to purchase 1 million Bitcoin, then it is in the public purpose. Period. End of story. It does not matter that they could get the Bitcoin elsewhere. They can seize it as long as pay fair market value. That is fair market value as of the date of the seizure. This means the government can grab the Bitcoin without running the price. The company and its investors may cry foul, but this is how eminent domain has always worked.     

[john_egbert]

This is most likely not the behavior of smart institutional investors. Before they will invest on a certain asset, they will study it thoroughly and made sure that they understand all its possible pros and cons. So I don’t think they will easily fall on BTC FUDs and panic sell their coins. They know the investment well so they will never resort on such decisions that will only put their investment on a high risk.

If they are in the game, they are very unlikely to pull out of it like that, I agree on that.

Because pros outweigh the cons, at least as for now.

[tottong]

This is most likely not the behavior of smart institutional investors. Before they will invest on a certain asset, they will study it thoroughly and made sure that they understand all its possible pros and cons. So I don’t think they will easily fall on BTC FUDs and panic sell their coins. They know the investment well so they will never resort on such decisions that will only put their investment on a high risk.

The fact is that not everyone has good knowledge in studying the Bitcoin trip itself because there are still many people out there who suffered losses when investing.
There is something wrong in understanding to enter the market so that when FUD affects a person's psychology will make them make the wrong decision..
Intelligent investors understand their pattern and they do not determine the direction of investment based on FUD, although sometimes they take advantage of the FUD conditions in making purchases because panic can be an advantage if it is able to be utilized and to be more certain to do a study before accumulating.

Usually it is investor behavior that does not have good experience or knowledge so that in certain conditions they are wrong in making decisions and in the end they suffer losses because they are unable to make previous analysis correctly.

[nemesis_incarnate]

The fact is that not everyone has good knowledge in studying the Bitcoin trip itself because there are still many people out there who suffered losses when investing.
There is something wrong in understanding to enter the market so that when FUD affects a person's psychology will make them make the wrong decision..
Intelligent investors understand their pattern and they do not determine the direction of investment based on FUD, although sometimes they take advantage of the FUD conditions in making purchases because panic can be an advantage if it is able to be utilized and to be more certain to do a study before accumulating.

Usually it is investor behavior that does not have good experience or knowledge so that in certain conditions they are wrong in making decisions and in the end they suffer losses because they are unable to make previous analysis correctly.

When the person learns much about BTC, there is no FUD toward it or the market, - only actions toward a steady accumulation and proper reaching of the targets set.

[Orpichukwu]

This is most likely not the behavior of smart institutional investors. Before they will invest on a certain asset, they will study it thoroughly and made sure that they understand all its possible pros and cons. So I don’t think they will easily fall on BTC FUDs and panic sell their coins. They know the investment well so they will never resort on such decisions that will only put their investment on a high risk.

This is correct. Before Saylor brought the idea of Bitcoin accumulation to the company, he himself was a holder who had studied the market and understood how it works. After taking him how many years of being a Bitcoin fan to get involved in it, now fully means they have studied everything and are prepared for the worst possible market condition. FUDs can't scare such institutional investment; instead, such companies can be the ones to trigger FUDs if they want to.

[LDL]

What if MicroStrategy decided to sell all of its Bitcoin?

Could that be a black swan event?

The very thought is unsettling.

What if institutional investors, like retail traders in the past, are hit by BTC FUD and choose to panic-sell all their holdings?

Do you see this as a realistic possibility in the future, or am I overthinking it?

MSTR will definitely sell Bitcoin someday, which is why MSTR is constantly holding Bitcoin. However, Michael Sayler is not an ordinary holder and everyone is aware of his Bitcoin holdings. When Michael Saylor sells Bitcoin, he will make an announcement in advance and the market will be alerted accordingly. However, if he suddenly wants to sell all Bitcoins, then of course there will be a temporary impact on the market.

[tottong]

When the person learns much about BTC, there is no FUD toward it or the market, - only actions toward a steady accumulation and proper reaching of the targets set.

Never forget one thing and why some people can achieve maximum profits in the same market conditions, it is none other than they are able to see opportunities in the conditions of market chaos caused by the FUD we are talking about.
FUD does not always end negatively for people who are able to forgive the conditions because if this happens, usually bitcoin experiences a sharp decline and some people take advantage of these conditions to make large accumulations.

Investment is only about opportunities, besides the target of achieving the expected maximum profit, sometimes someone must have the skills to take advantage of existing conditions and more importantly avoid excessive panic

[Smack That Ace]

MSTR will definitely sell Bitcoin someday, which is why MSTR is constantly holding Bitcoin. However, Michael Sayler is not an ordinary holder and everyone is aware of his Bitcoin holdings. When Michael Saylor sells Bitcoin, he will make an announcement in advance and the market will be alerted accordingly. However, if he suddenly wants to sell all Bitcoins, then of course there will be a temporary impact on the market.

Large organizations like MicroStrategy or Tesla are public companies and listed on Nasdaq, they will be under close supervision and comply with SEC regulations. According to SEC regulations, whenever they want to sell their assets, they need to make a public announcement, so there is no need to worry that they will quietly or suddenly sell bitcoins to the market without warning.
Also, as some have pointed out, they won't sell them directly on exchanges as that would have a negative impact on the market. Instead they will sell bitcoins through OTC so this will impact the market but it won't be too serious.