Could High Payouts Be Hurting Your Sports Betting Strategy? Here’s My Opinion!

[BitMaxz]

It seems most of us here consider low odds as high probability. This is not always going to work; sometimes some low odds are traps. That's why you need to check every team first, watch their game, and do a deep analysis before you are going to bet to make sure you are betting on high probability.

Sports should not be difficult to analyze; each game should have some highlight videos available on YouTube to help you decide which one will give you a possitive outcome.

[sheenshane]

At some point as we gamble, we got tempted by the high payment and that is why many would prefer to increase on their games and the odds available to boost up the payout rate, but forgetting that it's very risk to do, gambling is not done like that, we need to know what we must do to be able to achieve on this and then also play safe, because lots of games has been ruined as a result of high payouts because the gamblers are also seeking for a winning opportunity.

That's due to a lack of emotional control, which is very common in gambling.
The result can be chasing losses and also pursuing money through gambling, which is a worse idea that you should avoid.

Did you know that it’s easy to get caught up in chasing big wins?
Without a solid strategy and discipline, this can quickly lead to losses.
IMO, playing it safe doesn’t mean avoiding opportunities, it means recognizing which bets truly offer an edge and sticking to them patiently to build long-term success.

[Peanutswar]

I do always consider the odds and the matches because there are some matches which is already have winner decided which like a matches of underdogs so possibly the odds might quite low but the win percentage has a higher chance so if you make a small bet right here for sure you will say its not kinda worth it because only small gains but you will get assured to get win. Or you are willing to risk with the close match with a 50 percent chance of winnings but the odds are great or too close. IMHO I do prefer with the sure win games because I'm counting the profit bet and also there's a lot of matches in sports and esports so you will not get left nothing to bet.

[Floxynice]

Sports betting can be tricky for a bettor who is only interested in the profits to be earned instead of analyzing the match properly to determine if the chances of winning are high or not. Odds aren’t just placed there for nothing. To a betting company, odds are used to trick greedy bettors into making wrong choices, while a smart bettor is supposed to use them as the basis of their analysis.

I may not be a regular bettor or gambler, but the few times I do bet, I take the odds into consideration before risking my money.

[DaNNy001]

Why do most people neglect the mental factor and focus only on finding the best sports betting strategies? Actually, it doesn't matter if you've got skills, if your mental game is not solid... Let me explain why.
Your mental state has to be 1000% mature. You have to understand you’re going to lose, today, tomorrow, or the day after tomorrow. It’s going to happen and you have to accept that.
Sports betting is not about consecutive winnings. It's about the probability of winning more than you lose. It's about having fun, feeling a rush of adrenaline during the game you are watching.
Now, let me share with you my simple tip on how I play: Let’s say Real Madrid plays a weaker team and the odds for them to win are 1.50. That means a $100 bet returns $150, or a net of $50 profit. Most bettors say, “That’s not worth it”. But if Real Madrid wins 80% of the time, the true bet probability is 80%, and not only 66.7%.
Now compare it to a tight match like Real Madrid against Barcelona, both at 1.90 odds. A $100 bet wins $90. Sounds better, right? Sorry to disappoint you, but your bet is more risky than usual since both teams are strong and we can’t really speculate the winner, it's a 50/50 chance.
My idea is to not only look at the payout but at the true probability behind a game. When the actual chance of winning is higher than the odds, know that you’ve found your perfect opportunity.
What about you? How do you make sure the bets you choose have the best probability? Do you rely more on instinct or stats?[/size][/center]

As a bettor your wins depends on how well you analyze your bets, just like the comparisons you made on those teams that's the same way bettors should work on analysing their picks...your mental maturity is very important, a lot of gamblers neglect the importance of a strong psychology...when you are able to control your emotions and how you react to losses you have just eliminated step one of your problems

[bhadz]

What about you? How do you make sure the bets you choose have the best probability? Do you rely more on instinct or stats?

Both. I may not be good at most of the bets that I am doing but I am making sure that I am getting the best probable bet that will get me a win. It's unsure that I'll win despite with all of the factors that I have considered looking at. So, basing in stats and instincts, whichever we're comfortable using to make ourselves satisfied with each bet that we place should be done. And if one of them works, the search is over and all you have to do is to do it repetitively until it no longer works. As for the odds that I watch out, if they're quite low, I no longer bother to bet for them even if they're likely to win.

[libert19]

...
What about you? How do you make sure the bets you choose have the best probability? Do you rely more on instinct or stats?

I can't recognize instincts, but I don't go with stats either, it's more like I can gauge which team is better based on knowledge. I tell you that this doesn't guarantee 100% success rate, but I rarely regrets my picks either.

[Dr.Bitcoin_Strange]

If you are betting or selecting the games to bet on, do not only concentrate on the profit and the odd of the game, if you mostly focus on just odds and profit, you could be blinded from not looking at the statistics to know what is the possibility of that game, the chance you stand to win or lose, but if you careful make your analysis before picking the game, you can select high value games and even if the odds is 2.0, you can be more confident on the outcome despite that luck is still required but if things fall in good place, you will win the bet.

I somuch accept your view this, i come to the conclusion that you truly understand this game, peope just center there mind on what you mentioned which is there potential returns and the odd alone but failing to recognize the actually thing to do to be able to get a likely possible good outcome of their bet even though am among those that believe in luck paving way for gamblers to win no matter what, i still believe that a gambler is suppose to make some analysis like head to head of the teams involve, there current form, both teams teams results when they met at each other's home, then when a gambler have gathered all this informations, he or she may arrived at a possible outcome of the match, so you're very much on point in this.

I have had the experience, so I know how it can be. There were those early days when I would just pick the games because the odds were small and i thought that small odds means that there's a high chance of winning, I will also pick big odds because I want my rewards to be high but experience have taught me that it doesn't work like that. I have placed a bet on a parlay before, it was 5 games with each game not above 1.3 odds, but guess what, one game caused me to lose the bet. Which means that, we should not only look at odds when making prediction, other important factors must be considered.

[Promocodeudo]

Sports betting can be tricky for a bettor who is only interested in the profits to be earned instead of analyzing the match properly to determine if the chances of winning are high or not. Odds aren’t just placed there for nothing. To a betting company, odds are used to trick greedy bettors into making wrong choices, while a smart bettor is supposed to use them as the basis of their analysis.

I may not be a regular bettor or gambler, but the few times I do bet, I take the odds into consideration before risking my money.

@floxynice you talk like someone who got some kind of experience in this, that's nice I love that, yea your explanation of what odds stands for got my attention, bet firm compute those odds for a purpose and that purpose may likely be for those reasons you stated so far, personally I don't fall for odds because I already understand what they do, I can never forget a team betted on in slovenia a long time ago, there name is Domzale, I betted on them 2days before the match, there odd to win there opponent was 10odd but as time goes by it keeps decreasing, it dropped to 4.80 finally, the defeated their opponents in that match as at that time some bettors had in mind that Domzale opponent will defeat them even after going through their head to head to know the likely expected outcome of the match, many of them lost because of how confusing the odd was to them, although I didn't bet the match with big amount which has been my rules to gamble with what I can easily let go no matter how sure I am on my bet selections,

To me, odd doesn't matter always, what a bettor should be concerned about, is the present form of the teams he or she selected and the outcome of there previous meetings with all this mentioned you can even decide to bet on goals if you finally find out that they score more goals when ever they meet each other.

[$weetne$$]

I rely on statistics in my bets and this is a common thing for most bettors but sometimes it doesn't always work because there are other factors that cannot be predicted when the game is in progress and regarding instinct, this is also very much needed in betting usually when the odds are 50/50 or for example the Real Madrid vs Barcelona match I will rely on instinct in my bets.

For your example, I do not think we should rely on instincts in this situation because this season, Barcelona has always defeated Real Madrid when they meet. With such statistics, you can have a better results when you follow what the statistics is saying instead of following your mind or instinct. Most gamblers are looking for high payouts when betting because they have lost so much money already from their previous failed bet. This is why they keep searching for high payout but that is not a good strategy to follow. People that always look for high payout are gamblers that have not let go of their past losses and this will keep disturbing them until the finally accept that the money they lost is gone and can not be recovered.

[Patikno]

What about you? How do you make sure the bets you choose have the best probability? Do you rely more on instinct or stats?

The most common way I use is to use the statistics of a football club, so if their performance is good lately then I will trust the club to bet on their victory, and I rarely pay attention to the odds. The method I use may be too simple, but it is effective enough for me not to gamble too much, because usually I gamble just to enjoy the course of the game on the club I bet on. Regarding feeling, I think I rarely use it, but occasionally if there is a football match that I don't really understand, and usually comes from a league that is not so well-known, so I usually use feeling in the bet, maybe this method is not good to follow, but we need to know that I use feeling only when I want to watch football in my spare time, while the famous match is not running at that time.

[Floxynice]

Sports betting can be tricky for a bettor who is only interested in the profits to be earned instead of analyzing the match properly to determine if the chances of winning are high or not. Odds aren’t just placed there for nothing. To a betting company, odds are used to trick greedy bettors into making wrong choices, while a smart bettor is supposed to use them as the basis of their analysis.

I may not be a regular bettor or gambler, but the few times I do bet, I take the odds into consideration before risking my money.

@floxynice you talk like someone who got some kind of experience in this, that's nice I love that, yea your explanation of what odds stands for got my attention, bet firm compute those odds for a purpose and that purpose may likely be for those reasons you stated so far, personally I don't fall for odds because I already understand what they do, I can never forget a team betted on in slovenia a long time ago, there name is Domzale, I betted on them 2days before the match, there odd to win there opponent was 10odd but as time goes by it keeps decreasing, it dropped to 4.80 finally, the defeated their opponents in that match as at that time some bettors had in mind that Domzale opponent will defeat them even after going through their head to head to know the likely expected outcome of the match, many of them lost because of how confusing the odd was to them, although I didn't bet the match with big amount which has been my rules to gamble with what I can easily let go no matter how sure I am on my bet selections,

To me, odd doesn't matter always, what a bettor should be concerned about, is the present form of the teams he or she selected and the outcome of there previous meetings with all this mentioned you can even decide to bet on goals if you finally find out that they score more goals when ever they meet each other.

The part of your post I bolded carries the weight of everything. Merely looking at the odds may not do the magic; rather, knowledge and skill may give one a higher advantage, irrespective of what the odds say. It's just that some sports bettors lack confidence, once they see the odds, they ignore what they know and make the odds the deciding factor. It's not that using the odds as a guide is wrong, but when you have the right knowledge, it boosts your confidence.

[peter0425]

What about you? How do you make sure the bets you choose have the best probability? Do you rely more on instinct or stats?

The most common way I use is to use the statistics of a football club, so if their performance is good lately then I will trust the club to bet on their victory, and I rarely pay attention to the odds.

The odds will reflect the past performances so if you want to base your bet on the past performances of a team, you can easily see that in the odds as well. Odds are not biased towards its favorite team. It is created based on previous results of the teams and whether people think they have the greater chance of winning.

[AmoreJaz]

What about you? How do you make sure the bets you choose have the best probability? Do you rely more on instinct or stats?

The most common way I use is to use the statistics of a football club, so if their performance is good lately then I will trust the club to bet on their victory, and I rarely pay attention to the odds.

The odds will reflect the past performances so if you want to base your bet on the past performances of a team, you can easily see that in the odds as well. Odds are not biased towards its favorite team. It is created based on previous results of the teams and whether people think they have the greater chance of winning.

With the knowledge of their history as well as their current performance will give you an idea what will be their upcoming performance inside the field. Also, you need to know what's going on with the lineup of athletes, the coach among other things. If you will look at it, it is not only the history nor the current info but also other variables that may affect the team performance such as weather/humidity, change of venue, and others.

[batang_bitcoin]

Gone is the era of YOLO betting in sports. If you are that rich then you can do whatever you can with your money and just casually bet on unusual games that you have no idea of. But none of us these days are doing that anymore especially if the money that you're using to bet for is from hard earned, you will do necessary things to make sure that you've got the best probability of winning that bet. And that's why I am just using the common knowledge of what people has shared it and I think each bettor rely on the statistics that they see each game that they're interested to go on.

[Outhue]

What about you? How do you make sure the bets you choose have the best probability? Do you rely more on instinct or stats?

The most common way I use is to use the statistics of a football club, so if their performance is good lately then I will trust the club to bet on their victory, and I rarely pay attention to the odds.

The odds will reflect the past performances so if you want to base your bet on the past performances of a team, you can easily see that in the odds as well. Odds are not biased towards its favorite team. It is created based on previous results of the teams and whether people think they have the greater chance of winning.

With the knowledge of their history as well as their current performance will give you an idea what will be their upcoming performance inside the field. Also, you need to know what's going on with the lineup of athletes, the coach among other things. If you will look at it, it is not only the history nor the current info but also other variables that may affect the team performance such as weather/humidity, change of venue, and others.

A true gambler prepares for loss no matter what, but many gambler don't believe in this, they will say you are only inviting a bad luck for yourself when gambling is already full of bad luck normally.

Gamblers also don't feel satisfied when the odds are too small, they always want something better, the last person I want to feel sorry for is gambler, they don't need the sorry, whatever decision a gambler made is what they get.

A winning team that's been topping the chart for the past weeks can still lose the game unexpectedly to team that are not performing in their past games, history bites hard some times.

Whatever might happen it shouldn't matter if you are on a safer side by risking only what you can afford to lose, past history won't always safe you from losses.

[Promocodeudo]

I rely on statistics in my bets and this is a common thing for most bettors but sometimes it doesn't always work because there are other factors that cannot be predicted when the game is in progress and regarding instinct, this is also very much needed in betting usually when the odds are 50/50 or for example the Real Madrid vs Barcelona match I will rely on instinct in my bets.

Personally I don't normally bet games when they are live or in progress all the time because your selection may fail you almost immediately, as for instinct Which is what's in your mind or what your mind tells you about somye that has not happened or is about to happen and how to follow it, I think this doesn't really come to play in football prediction this may likely happens in other gambling activity but I don't think is applicable in soccer bets, as a bettor it is advisable to get your facts although it is not a must or certain that your prediction must come as you analyse it with the previous encounter between the teams you selected to be on your bet slip, team form and performance fluntuates and it can make us not to arrives at the right prediction also match uncertainties occurs too but atleast with all this done, we can arrive at a close outcome of our prediction, as I said earlier, I don't really get involved in live matches, I will also have to add that if instinct works in that aspect I wouldn't know but my stance on this is very clear.

[hedgeh0g]

This is very important to understand, because the success of our bets depends on this, how much we will be selective, how qualitatively we will analyze the upcoming game. In general, I try to make bets only on those games in which I am completely sure and which will be excellent ODDS in my opinion. If I am just Odds, but I will not be sure that Anderdog will be able to play perfectly, then I will just miss this bet, because tomorrow there will be new options from which you can choose more better. I do not want to rush and make a bet to just get emotions, I act in leisurely and deliberately, I hope that I will continue to do so.

[Dr.Bitcoin_Strange]

Gone is the era of YOLO betting in sports. If you are that rich then you can do whatever you can with your money and just casually bet on unusual games that you have no idea of. But none of us these days are doing that anymore especially if the money that you're using to bet for is from hard earned, you will do necessary things to make sure that you've got the best probability of winning that bet. And that's why I am just using the common knowledge of what people has shared it and I think each bettor rely on the statistics that they see each game that they're interested to go on.

You are right, this is too much risk, any bettor that is taking such risk, I guess they already have a better financial stand and they probably are not much bothered if they lose or not because they staked with small amount that can be lost without chocking them.  I can only make predictions that I know have a higher possibility of becoming realistic and not some game that I know too well that it's so much of a risk to place the bet on such game.

[Zackz5000]

It seems most of us here consider low odds as high probability. This is not always going to work; sometimes some low odds are traps. That's why you need to check every team first, watch their game, and do a deep analysis before you are going to bet to make sure you are betting on high probability.

Sports should not be difficult to analyze; each game should have some highlight videos available on YouTube to help you decide which one will give you a possitive outcome.

I always tell gamblers that odd is just a number weather high odd or low, most of these low odd is just a trap just as you said and it feels bad when you loss in gambling and it happened to low odd.

Going through football analysis and team H2H also watching some football highlights is good because it will make you know teams that are in good form or not but this also don't guarantee you of winning just that you will be in a high chance of winning then not cheeking all this before gambling.