How's the weather? Sunny with a chance of $?

[stompix]

If I get no takers after this, I give up!  

People hated :
- the idea of betting on war (not my topic)
- betting on the return of Christ because of morality
- taking a bet on the 2028 election cause it's too early

Then, how about the weather?
Does anyone have a problem with betting on the weather?  

And yeah ladies and gentlemen, the volume the continous betting on NYC temperature has a volume of $45 million, 38 for Chicago, and 20 mills for Denver, at which point I am willing to bet with any non-American that 9 out 10 will need 5 tries to point it on amap with a radious of 100 miles!

So, to put things into perspective, Americans are betting on the daily weather in 3 cities, the daily GDP of Salvador!

Any takers?

[Oshosondy]

I am not from the United States, so that will not make me go for a bet like this. You mean to be betting on New York weather, I can not do it. If it is about betting on my town's weather, I can bet on it because I can still try to predict what will happen in my environment about weather.

So, to put things into perspective, Americans are betting on the daily weather in 3 cities, the daily GDP of Salvador!

I noticed you like comparing something like to to a country. Why do you like to ridicule a country, like El Salvador on this thread?

[stompix]

I noticed you like comparing something like to to a country. Why do you like to ridicule a country, like El Salvador on this thread?

What is the ridicule? It's a fact!
Also, Americans bet more on sports $148 Billion a year, that's the GDP of Slovakia, the whole gambling industry is at 240 billion and I'm not going to name the country in that range because people seem to be easily triggered!

I simply chose Salvador because that's one country that pops up every time on this forum, so my guess was that everyone was familiar with it!
Ah, also, people bet on the weather in NYC more than my city's monthly budget, do you think I am ashamed of it or something?

It's an example, you know, like "banana for scale"  

[YOSHIE]

Then, how about the weather?
Does anyone have a problem with betting on the weather?  

Not too bad betting to predict the weather, it looks like we will be beaten every time they bet with those graduated from the Faculty of Meteorology, We are truly tested in the world of gambling, no sense for those who do not take a nap and night to gamble.

What if other betting ideas.
For example:
How many missiles today are released by Iran to Israel and Israeli missiles to Iran, how to suit.

So, to put things into perspective, Americans are betting on the daily weather in 3 cities, the daily GDP of Salvador!

What nonsense is the idea of ​​US people.

[Davidvictorson]

Then, how about the weather?
Does anyone have a problem with betting on the weather?  

Betting on the weather is lovely and I kind of wonder if people stick to the weather channel or some weather apps before they make their bets or they just make their bets off of what they think the weather would look like. This is like a cultural betting based on countries. In my country, we don't pay so much attention on the weather so much as to consider putting our money on it. I will look that these predicition websites with relations to my country and what what other cultural or country related betting that it done.

[rachael9385]

This is more reasonable out of all the options provided on the poly market but considering the fact that I'm not in NYC I can't place a bet on it. It's okay to bet on this even though you don't live in that particular region, after all it's a bet. Personally, I would only bet on the whether In my own country, this doesn't mean I have a guarantee of getting it right but I would have high chances of making the right predictions

[AprilioMP]

If you're a true gambler, you can bet on anything. This is the first time I know that in America you can bet on the level of heat.
The world is indeed in a hot spell. It's also hot where I am, but not 71°.

I'm curious about this bet because it's a unique bet. Certainly those who don't live there won't have much idea what the weather prediction is for betting.

[r_victory]

I have seen a lot of criticism of this type of bet, and it really is a bet without any sense or purpose, but that is what the betting market makes possible, we can bet on practically anything. At least this is not a bet that violates anyone's ethics, morals, or beliefs. If it were about the weather in Brazil, I would even risk a guess. 

For example, statistics could be studied by analyzing the weather history in the same period as the bet, resources to make decisions are available to everyone.

[giammangiato]

Crazy! This is really cool, the idea is brilliant, fun and above all original.
Betting on war is a pain just to talk about, betting on the coming of Christ well it is bordering on madness, but betting on the weather with the help of meteorology and the various tools to calculate the climate, could be a winning idea!
It never ceases to amaze me.

[bias]

If you're a true gambler, you can bet on anything. This is the first time I know that in America you can bet on the level of heat.
The world is indeed in a hot spell. It's also hot where I am, but not 71°.

I'm curious about this bet because it's a unique bet. Certainly those who don't live there won't have much idea what the weather prediction is for betting.

Polymarket is the only known betting platform that specializes in such "unfamiliar" bets, and you don't need to be an American to bet there on the weather or any other "crazy" thing. You can even create your own bet on almost everything. I'm not a fan regarding weather bets, weather has become very unpredictable for all.

[d5000]

Interesting. While climate is unpredictable, you can consult a lot of statistics to make an informed decision so I think it's not a bad idea in general. It's not much different than sports betting.

There are actually some options for London too. But I see much lower volumes for the current weather bets ... in the thousands of USD, not millions?

However, it may be difficult to really "get going" that temperature betting habit. You need to create a bet for every single day. Perhaps something like the weekly or monthly highest temperature would be better to gather more volume.

[crwth]

Wow, I didn't expect something like this because you could really get the temperature with the weather app or something. People are really so creative with what they can bet on, and I didn't expect this to be weather.

I'm pretty concerned with this knowing that simple things like this turn into gambling. It's just concerning

[Aanuoluwatofunmi]

I may not be interested in some of the previous threads regarding their topics and line of discussion, but this i must confess is so interesting to me and I can bet on it, whether has to do with predictions on it self, because the forecast may go well or not, depending on the risk and conditions surrounding it, to bet on a weather could be more interesting and we can even get some hint from the forecast, though not all are being accurate as expected.

[Cryptoprincess101]

Does anyone have a problem with betting on the weather?  

I don't have a problem with those betting on the weather, after all it's all prediction despite that it is backed by meteorology but i wonder why anyone who is not a Meteorologist will bet on the weather because it will just be like a blind bet since they don't have the Meteorological knowledge to make exact or close prediction of the weather. I can't bet on what i do not understand on my own conviction. Seems everything is becoming a bet now and i wouldn't be surprised to see bets like when the first rain will fall in my country, hahaha.

[Fiatless]

Any takers?

Yeah, you have one taker right here. I am very comfortable with this bet because it is not connected to religion, disaster, or violence. Predicting the weather might seem easy since you can easily derive weather forecast information from different sources. But the weather is highly unpredictable since it could change within a few seconds.

This is more reasonable out of all the options provided on the poly market but considering the fact that I'm not in NYC I can't place a bet on it. It's okay to bet on this even though you don't live in that particular region, after all it's a bet. Personally, I would only bet on the whether In my own country, this doesn't mean I have a guarantee of getting it right but I would have high chances of making the right predictions

I would prefer to bet on the weather of states in the US because fairly accurate data might be available. I am not sure my country's meteorological agency might not be effective since they lack modern technology and manpower. 

[Slow death]

It's unbelievable that people are spending money to bet on the weather. Maybe they are people with great knowledge about the weather. I don't know if there is any website that shows information about whether there are people who are getting it right and making a lot of money with these weather bets.

If we had this data, we could see how many people are actually getting it right and how much money they are making. Because the only explanation I can find for people betting on the weather could be that they have great meteorological skills and are getting the predictions right. In any case, I wouldn't bet on it.

[Rruchi man]

Then, how about the weather?
Does anyone have a problem with betting on the weather?  

I think if people are bored betting on sports and the other options that they can bet on, then betting on the weather may not be a bad choice entirely because it is well within moral standards to me. My annoyance with trying to bet on some other events, especially those that have people being hurt, is that it's a bit insensitive considering that there are people hurting and then there are other people like us trying to bet on it, but for things like the weather, there is nobody getting hurt on the other side, and it is just an innovative, casual way to keep things interesting for people who like to bet. I stay in a region that is characterized by regular rainfall, and if there's an option for me to usually bet on the weather around me, I will not mind that.

[Ojima-ojo]

I am not from the United States, so that will not make me go for a bet like this. You mean to be betting on New York weather, I can not do it. If it is about betting on my town's weather, I can bet on it because I can still try to predict what will happen in my environment about weather.

So, to put things into perspective, Americans are betting on the daily weather in 3 cities, the daily GDP of Salvador!

I noticed you like comparing something like to to a country. Why do you like to ridicule a country, like El Salvador on this thread?

People have the right to think sarcastically and you shouldn't be surprised to hear others expression of their thoughts on others countries.


On betting on weather I think we have to be clearly in the known to be able to predict what the weather will be in the next day, so being in that location is very important, and for that we shouldn't be betting on United States whereas we are in India or Israel, so let say if we need to bet of the weather it should be that of our own location.

[Cointxz]

If you're a true gambler, you can bet on anything. This is the first time I know that in America you can bet on the level of heat.
The world is indeed in a hot spell. It's also hot where I am, but not 71°.

I'm curious about this bet because it's a unique bet. Certainly those who don't live there won't have much idea what the weather prediction is for betting.

This is not only in America but literally everywhere or any event in the world since anyone can place a betting option on anything that can be open for prediction based on possible outcome.

This is the effect of Polymarket trend globally. The first time I saw unique betting option is on Futuur but Polymarket makes it popular due to the decentralized feature it offers to player.

[Agbamoni]

I can bet on the weather you know! Very possible If I am residing over there, and to be honest I will surely win in many bet, since I dont see it as big deal.

If you understand data and trends very well, betting on the weather of any country wont be a serious problem, as long as you fit make close predictions anyone can win. Also, as long as it has nothing to do with betting on spiritual things too.