🏈🐶 Nutildah's NFL Upset of the Week Competition 🏈🐶

[nutildah]

Man, another loss by just 1 point. Was looking great for the Rams for most of the game.

Falcons (-5.5) vs. Panthers (+5.5)

Turns out this was the pick to make as the Panthers crushed the Falcons 30-0. I don't think anyone saw that coming.

Packers (-7.5) vs. Browns (+7.5)

Another upset as Browns with 13-10. We still have this to look forward to:

Giants > Chiefs

For this to happen, Giants O-line is gonna have to hold long enough to let Russel Wilson get set to throw to Malik Nabors, something they haven't been great at so far. On the Chiefs side, Rice is suspended and Worthy has a questionable shoulder injury, so they'll be more reliant on Hollywood Brown. I dunno. Upset could be incoming.

[nutildah]

Okay, this week I'm going to totally redeem myself with this sleeper pick: Jaguars (+3.5) to beat the 49es (-3.5) at home.

49ers get Purdy back and have home field advantage, but they are missing star receivers and their tight end. With not many pass options, Purdy will rely more on McCaffrey, who is going up against one of the best run defenses in the league. 49ers have more injuries on both sides of the ball. They are also missing Nick Bosa and part of their offensive line. It will be a low scoring game overall but I think the Jags can walk away with the W in this one.

If I was to pick a second game it would be it would be Kansas City to upset Baltimore.

What game do you guys think is likely to be an upset for Week 4? We need your picks to tally to the scoreboard. Who cares if we never get one right, just do it.

[Hueristic]

TB > Philly

[nutildah]

Okay, this week I'm going to totally redeem myself with this sleeper pick: Jaguars (+3.5) to beat the 49es (-3.5) at home.

Hey, I finally got one right. Jaguars beat the 49ers, 26-21. If one was looking at the surface of the game without going into much depth, it would be easy to pick the 49ers - playoff participants in 3 out of the last 5 years - who were playing at home. But looking at the individual components of the game, it was clear the the Jaguars had the edge in terms of playing against an injury-weakened 49ers defense and offense.

Heuristic was not so lucky as the Eagles bested the Buccaneers, 31-25.

@ChiBitCTy would like to hear from you about next week's games as you are the only participant with a perfect record thus far (1-0).

[bbc.reporter]

I have an underdog for this week! This is the San Francisco 49ers! I am very much aware that George Kittle, Brock Purdy, Brandon Aiyuk are injured and some of their defensive players also cannot play, however, this is a divisional game. The underdogs might fight like demons similar to the desert warriors in Dune hehehehheh.

Also, the opponent is only the Ram! This certainly can be a disappointment for the Los Angeles fans. This is also a short week for these teams and there is a higher possibility of unpredictability.

[nutildah]

I have an underdog for this week! This is the San Francisco 49ers! I am very much aware that George Kittle, Brock Purdy, Brandon Aiyuk are injured and some of their defensive players also cannot play, however, this is a divisional game. The underdogs might fight like demons similar to the desert warriors in Dune hehehehheh.

Alright, so it was written, your pick is now immortally locked in the timestamps of Bitcointalk.

Objectively speaking (I have to say that as a Rams fan), I think the Niners are too crippled to stop the Rams on offense. My prediction is we will see quick Rams scores followed by slow grind on the ground from the Niners, and the Rams will win by 7+. We'll see though, of course anything could happen.

(Wow, line has moved to Rams -8.5 from -1.5)

This is also a short week for these teams and there is a higher possibility of unpredictability.

Sure, this makes sense. Could contribute to what is already likely to be a low-scoring game.

I don't have a pick yet but I like the Giants against the Saints -- that is only a 1.5 point game though.

Tampa Bay to beat Seattle? Maybe, thats a 3.5 point game.

Those are the only 2 underdogs I like this week.

[bbc.reporter]

@nutildah. I am quite certain that it was not -1.5 for the Rams or +1.5 for the 49ers when I saw the odds for the game yesterday because I would very much never consider +1.5 real underdogs. Also, I saw this yesterday which was a day before the game, this would have certainly moved the odds already near where it was on the beginning of the game. Yesterday it might be +6.5 for San Francisco. I will take screenshot next time hehehehe.

[nutildah]

In any case, it was a huge upset and I'm pretty sure it won't be topped this week. 6.5 is fair enough to go by. The Rams could have tied it, unless their kicker missed the FG. But I guess why settle for a tie was the thinking. I'm not quite sure I get that decision as a tie is better than a loss.

I looked into it and the Tampa Bay / Seattle game is out -- Seattle will win & most likely cover -3.5.

And yeah at +2 its not much of an "upset" either but its the only other game I like, so I'm going with the Giants to beat the Saints... Not the hardest upset to visualize.

I'm gonna go ahead and name bbc.reporter as the Winner of Week 5, good job, here's 10 merits.

[bbc.reporter]

@nutildah. There is a prize for sharing a good underdog? Hehehehe thank you! I was only speculating on the 49ers' victory because this is a divisional game and they might fight like demons because they do not have Purdy, Kittle and Aiyuk. However, they have who should have been pick no.1 in the fantasy draft, Christian McCaffrey hehe and it appears that the other players they had were enough for that night.

In any case, George Kittle will return on week 6.

[yahoo62278]

In any case, it was a huge upset and I'm pretty sure it won't be topped this week. 6.5 is fair enough to go by. The Rams could have tied it, unless their kicker missed the FG. But I guess why settle for a tie was the thinking. I'm not quite sure I get that decision as a tie is better than a loss.

I looked into it and the Tampa Bay / Seattle game is out -- Seattle will win & most likely cover -3.5.

And yeah at +2 its not much of an "upset" either but its the only other game I like, so I'm going with the Giants to beat the Saints... Not the hardest upset to visualize.

I'm gonna go ahead and name bbc.reporter as the Winner of Week 5, good job, here's 10 merits.

I feel like this might be the Saints best chance to pull of a win with Nabers gone.

Kinda feeling the Broncos to upset the Eagles this sunday. Broncos D is strong and they will pressure Hurts. If Saquan can't get a run game going, Eagles will be in big trouble.

[nutildah]

Kinda feeling the Broncos to upset the Eagles this sunday. Broncos D is strong and they will pressure Hurts. If Saquan can't get a run game going, Eagles will be in big trouble.

Not bad. That's a fairly spicy take... Eagles undefeated, at home, 3 and 4 against the spread. Broncos did whip on the Bengals last week. Its gonna largely be about if the Broncos D can stop Barkley. It could be closer than the 4.5 point spread. Eagles secondary has a lot of injuries and if Nix can get some time in the pocket he'll be able to hook up with Courtland Sutton. It should be another low scoring game overall.

[nutildah]

Congrats @yahoo62278 you get a point added to the big board as the Broncos upset the Eagles at home 21-17. I on the other hand was not so fortunate as the Giants folded to the Saints -- a team which seems to have rekindled its dying spark, putting everything it had together to avoid the dreaded 0-5. Now every team in the league has won at least once, with the lone exception of the Jets, who are now definitively the league's worst team. A shame because they showed some promise against Tampa Bay (a decent team by any metric) a couple of weeks back.

Anyway, I move to 1-3. Oh well. Time to pull myself up by my boostraps, etc., to come up with a plan for Week 6.

[bbc.reporter]

My underdog for week 6 will be the San Francisco 49ers again hehehe. They are playing against the Buccaneers which is not a very good team. This is also not a divisional game where the players of the weaker team will fight like demons. The 49ers is certainly the more better team for this week compared to the Buccaneers and the odds is for them increasing from +1.5 to +3 according to covers.com hehehe.

This might not be a very big underdog, however, this is headshaking that they made the 49ers the underdog after watching Christian McCafferey against the Rams.

[nutildah]

I didn't have a lot of time to dwell on it this week but I'm gonna go with the Carolina Panthers to upset the Dallas Cowboys. As of now the line is +3 Panthers. I don't really have much of a rationale other than that the Panthers shut out the Falcons in Week 3 and put up 27 points to beat the Dolphins by 3 in Week 5... These are both shitty teams but the Cowgirls aren't really that much better. Also the Panthers are playing at home. So, lets go Panthers!

My underdog for week 6 will be the San Francisco 49ers again hehehe. They are playing against the Buccaneers which is not a very good team.

Yeah, not a bad pick. Good luck!


edit: ohh I just noticed that I like Jacksonville at home as well over Seattle. But that line is only 1.5 so its not as manly of a pick. Sticking with Panthers.

[nutildah]

I didn't have a lot of time to dwell on it this week but I'm gonna go with the Carolina Panthers to upset the Dallas Cowboys. As of now the line is +3 Panthers.

Got another one. Hell yeah.

@bbc.reporter not quite, unfortunately the niners are still looking a bit mediocre.

For this week, against my personal favoritisms, I'm gonna pick the Jaguars to beat the Rams. Spread is currently -3 Rams, who are without Puka Nacua. Its a London game and Bill Burr on his podcast said something the other day that made sense: the international games favor the lesser of the two teams. They don't always win but the travel aspect kinda neutralizes the difference between the teams a little bit. Or something.

So anyway, Jaguars to win in London.

[bbc.reporter]

@nutildah. Heheheh yes, I cannot believe that the Buccaneers would be the team to this, however.

In any case, what is everyone's prediction on the Jaguars vs. the Ram. Can the Jaguars be this week's underdog of the week? This is only +3, however, the Jaguars are 3-1 in their home stadium. They are also 3-1 against the spread. This +3 might not be needed to win the bet heheheh.

[yahoo62278]

I like Washington to beat Dallas. Cowboys are only a 1.5 point favorite and likely because they're at home but with Jayden Daniels back for Washington I think Dallas has their hands full.

Don't really see much else in the upset realm as a lot of the games are lopsided this week.

[nutildah]

Well, my prediction was totally destroyed by a Rams thrashing. I did not see that coming, and I'm now forced to come to grips with the possibility that I don't know anything about football. OK so I am updating the Grand Table in the first post to add -1 to my record, and:

I like Washington to beat Dallas. Cowboys are only a 1.5 point favorite and likely because they're at home but with Jayden Daniels back for Washington I think Dallas has their hands full.

I also thought Washington stood a good chance here but alas Dallas really ran away with it. No thanks to their defense. 66 total points scored. Well anyway I thank you for your participation and we will keep trying!

Can't believe Buccaneers are currently at +6.5 against the Lions this afternoon.. I think it should be closer to +2, and they opened at +3.5. Then the other game is Texans +3 against the Seahawks if anyone wants to take it... I wouldn't.

[nutildah]

OK I have one for Week 8: Bears (+2.5) to beat the Ravens. I couldn't actually believe the Ravens are favorites, even if they're playing at home and 2 of their star wide receivers are healthy. The line opened at Ravens -7 and has since moved down to -2.5. Lamar Jackson is still out, and several other key starters on both offense and defense are injured for the Ravens.. They are 1 and 5. I just don't see them winning this one.

What underdog do you like for Week 8?

[Hueristic]

OK I have one for Week 8: Bears (+2.5) to beat the Ravens. I couldn't actually believe the Ravens are favorites, even if they're playing at home and 2 of their star wide receivers are healthy. The line opened at Ravens -7 and has since moved down to -2.5. Lamar Jackson is still out, and several other key starters on both offense and defense are injured for the Ravens.. They are 1 and 5. I just don't see them winning this one.

What underdog do you like for Week 8?

The news Lamar is not going to play is probably lagging.