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Author Topic: Could AI Turn Crypto Price Predictions Into the Next Big Gambling Trend?  (Read 316 times)
NewCryptocasinos (OP)
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September 20, 2025, 05:30:40 AM
 #1

AI models are starting to show 55–65% accuracy on 4-hour to 1-day horizons.

In gambling terms, it’s massive. Casinos are built on much thinner edges, a roulette wheel gives the house just a 2.7% edge. If an AI can consistently tilt the odds even slightly in your favor on short-term BTC movements (“Will Bitcoin close above $60K today?”), then you’ve essentially created a new form of skill-based gambling.

Think about it:
🎯 Sports betting depends on human performance.
🎲 Slots are random with fixed odds.
💹 But short-term crypto betting? That’s a data war — AI vs. AI, traders vs. gamblers.

Would you trust the AI’s call? Or would you still follow your gut?



Sources

   
Forecasting of Bitcoin Prices Using Hashrate Features: Wavelet and Deep Stacking Approach” (2025)
Predicting next-day (i.e. short-term) BTC prices among other horizons.   Achieved around 63% accuracy for predicting next-day movements.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.13136
   
Bitcoin Price Forecasting and Trading: Data Analytics Approaches” (various studies cited therein)   Predictions of bitcoin price movements using LSTM and related models.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405918821000027

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September 20, 2025, 07:28:03 AM
 #2

Do you mean if AI can be used to make predictions in bitcoin price prediction just like in binary option? On some gambling sites, the bitcoin price prediction can be in not more than 10 seconds, while I have seen it between 5 to I think 4 hours on an exchange before. This is not about trading but about gambling, just know that AI can absolutely fail you in this.

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September 20, 2025, 07:57:46 AM
 #3

Short-term trading is essentially gambling ,its mostly luck, and no one can predict all the unexpected events. Its much better to focus on a long term perspective and follow Bitcoin through the Power Law model, which suggests it could reach 1 million USD by 2033. Thats why its wiser to concentrate on accumulating as much Bitcoin as possible rather than gambling on short term movements.

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September 20, 2025, 08:04:38 AM
 #4

Do you mean if AI can be used to make predictions in bitcoin price prediction just like in binary option? On some gambling sites, the bitcoin price prediction can be in not more than 10 seconds, while I have seen it between 5 to I think 4 hours on an exchange before. This is not about trading but about gambling, just know that AI can absolutely fail you in this.

The thing is, the OP is mixing two things here. I don't know if it's deliberate or what, but what he's saying is incorrect.

AI models are starting to show 55–65% accuracy on 4-hour to 1-day horizons.

In gambling terms, it’s massive. Casinos are built on much thinner edges, a roulette wheel gives the house just a 2.7% edge.

A roulette wheel does not need more odds because even AI cannot predict the results, so the analogy does not apply here. ç

If an AI can consistently tilt the odds even slightly in your favor on short-term BTC movements (“Will Bitcoin close above $60K today?”), then you’ve essentially created a new form of skill-based gambling.

I think you're trying to deceive people. Just as users can use AI, so can casinos, and guess who has more money to pay for better AI? By calling yourself NewCryptocasinos, I think you're giving people false hope.
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September 20, 2025, 07:22:52 PM
 #5

This is the cat chasing its own tail, even if you manage to succeed you will wish you didnt.     Computers do dominate the shortest time frames for trading but its by speed mostly, the AI so far as Ive read is not relevant.
  Big traders or companies get paid for providing volume to exchanges, they enable liquidity in the float which is useful and hence there is a bias towards such operations beating humans in the short term and being more profitable.   I cant buy and sell the same share in a second or so but these companies set up within metres of the exchange and perform at near light speed.

I dont believe AI is better then people, I think ironically its mostly about enabling people and also this kind of iterative automation similar to mentioned above in very fast time frames I agree AI might win but a good trade is often about recognizing the feel of a market on that day or week.

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September 20, 2025, 11:06:21 PM
 #6

Sorry, but I believe that information is quite biased in favor of what Articial intelligence is capable of on betting markets... So far artificial intelligences rely on information which is publicly available and anyone with enough time and computing algorithms can get a good idea of the most likely outcome for an event like prices of cryptocurrency assets.
AIs cannot predict the futurea and they are not magic, nor capable of miracles, that is where most people get it all wrong and decide to blindly trust their money to what a machine hahs to say.
As long as one does not have privileged information, one does not actually have any edge against other gamblers/bettors using AI.

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September 20, 2025, 11:17:58 PM
 #7

Too much expectation from an AI, it's not a fortune teller to begin with. It can provide you hints and technical analysis and so many things to compare, but it can't tell the exact what will happen in the future or even just few days. While technology improves, more people don't use their common sense, really.

 
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September 21, 2025, 09:08:16 AM
 #8

Only time will determine if crypto price prediction is going to be the next betting trend or not but to put hope on AI prediction as being able to make the trend is something I won't bet on because even while using AI for your predictions, the chance of winning the bets is still 50/50 and knowing how well these bookies also wants to be in much profits than gamblers, there's going to be more losses than wins, it won't be very different from the other forms gambling.

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September 21, 2025, 12:37:30 PM
 #9

Would you trust the AI’s call? Or would you still follow your gut?

Well, many times AI prediction will be the same or similar to our own prediction/feeling... in that case, why not give it a try? After all, most of us like to have support for our thoughts, even if it comes from AI.

AI models are starting to show 55–65% accuracy on 4-hour to 1-day horizons.

This is actually a pretty good accuracy rate...probably better than many gamblers. But does that mean we should fully rely on AI? I don't think it's a wise move, but I also think it's fine to use it... it processes info quite well and saves us time. So AI is probably an excellent consultant, but the final decision should always be ours.

 
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September 21, 2025, 12:45:08 PM
Last edit: September 24, 2025, 06:55:14 PM by Haunebu
 #10

It's definitely possible. There are plenty of reliable value betting and surebet softwares out there these days that aid us with sports betting which is why we cannot rule out reliable AI tech in the future that can aid us with crypto price predictions as well.

However, such tools will probably not be released publicly in order to avoid killing the short term or long term edge gained through them. Interesting topic op!

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September 21, 2025, 01:49:28 PM
 #11

What is the basis of the 55%–65% prediction accuracy when using AI to forecast the price of Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies? Isn’t it just a program that’s embedded into the AI,
which then gives predictions to people who want to use this method?

Meaning, the program inside the AI was still created by a human being. In short, the prediction still ultimately comes from people — the only difference is that it was turned into a program
within the AI. This is just my opinion and idea.
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September 21, 2025, 04:38:36 PM
 #12

AI can be helpful in predicting trend especially repetitive ones which may be the reason many traders are resorting to AI for assistance in their trading. But just like everything else, it will have its flaws which need to be weighed with the advantages to be able to make the best decision. Whatever be the case, it's always good to also add human wisdom in such decision making especially in sports betting which human input can help a lot.

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September 21, 2025, 05:25:15 PM
 #13

I won't say that AI will become the next trend in gambling although I am sure that some people will surely use it for predicting something like bitcoin price and other things since AI can gather many information much faster than a human can do but it's only the same as human since a person can set a program to do it for the person who is using the program. Although the accuracy may change but it's still depends on the person who is using it. In short, it is helpful and it could also be a trend if it becomes one.

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Dicbac
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September 21, 2025, 05:58:14 PM
 #14

Do you mean if AI can be used to make predictions in bitcoin price prediction just like in binary option? On some gambling sites, the bitcoin price prediction can be in not more than 10 seconds, while I have seen it between 5 to I think 4 hours on an exchange before. This is not about trading but about gambling, just know that AI can absolutely fail you in this.

It absolutely can fail you in this. With a 99.99% success rate, it still can absolutely fail you in this. What is your point?

I'm unsure of what this thread is even about. AI price predictions have been a thing for like half a decade now, but they've been widely accessible for at least 1-3 years. Many forms of trading is gambling. The ex-best trader in the world says so so that settles that.
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September 21, 2025, 05:59:19 PM
 #15

Do you mean if AI can be used to make predictions in bitcoin price prediction just like in binary option? On some gambling sites, the bitcoin price prediction can be in not more than 10 seconds, while I have seen it between 5 to I think 4 hours on an exchange before. This is not about trading but about gambling, just know that AI can absolutely fail you in this.
Exactly when it comes to volatile assets like bitcoin price, we must have to put in the efforts where the mouth is and also acknowledging the fact that price is unpredictable and at that we need to give it up for the possibility of AI being able to make right predictions which means that their can faill woefully also.

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September 21, 2025, 06:24:44 PM
 #16

Could AI Turn Crypto Price Predictions Into the Next Big Gambling Trend?
Although all we know Al can predict everything, be it Bitcoin predictions, gambling trends or often used in predicting betting, especially sports betting, But Al only tells you what has happened, Al really can't make you rich either in gambling or in trading in the crypto market.

You can see clearly, how many people near you gambling or trading by utilizing Navy technology but whether they are successful and rich, I do not personally not see that, precisely those who use Al to gamble or trade are those who often lose.

AL is actually for the system, but we use it wrong, Al is actually used to predict money, obviously it is not the first place created by Al.

Remember the main function of Al
Quote
Artificial intelligence (AI) refers to the simulation of human intelligence in the machine, allows them to perform tasks that usually require human cognitive functions, such as understanding language, recognizing patterns, and making decisions.

Obviously not to predict gambling or trade.

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September 21, 2025, 06:32:45 PM
 #17

For a tool thaz have up to 60%-70% accuracy, there is need to acknowledge the high tendency of achieving success if such input is included with the other factors like using AI bitcoin price analysing tool with human own contributions.

This is the only way and the fastest means to get the accurate reault needed, AI alone wont be able to achieve that level of success.

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September 21, 2025, 06:41:30 PM
Last edit: September 21, 2025, 10:14:21 PM by Alphakilo
 #18

Do you mean if AI can be used to make predictions in bitcoin price prediction just like in binary option? On some gambling sites, the bitcoin price prediction can be in not more than 10 seconds, while I have seen it between 5 to I think 4 hours on an exchange before. This is not about trading but about gambling, just know that AI can absolutely fail you in this.
Exactly when it comes to volatile assets like bitcoin price, we must have to put in the efforts where the mouth is and also acknowledging the fact that price is unpredictable and at that we need to give it up for the possibility of AI being able to make right predictions which means that their can faill woefully also.
The possibly next big thing which is crypto price prediction is expected to drive massive traffic to new sites, exchanges, and some analysis tools, but one thing remains that the act of accurate prediction even by A.I, is and will remain a mystery still unresolved.

Regulatory issues make the prediction markets unprepared for price forecasts and analysis and even though it will remain a constant and growing segment of the crypto world, it is a result that is expected to be driven by speculation and the hope of high returns.

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September 21, 2025, 07:24:43 PM
 #19

I always say that Ai does not understand any kind of emotion, it always makes direct decisions. Information can be extracted very easily with Ai, but it cannot make an accurate prediction. Ai will only analyze the past history and calculate the average and make a prediction which will not always be accurate. The market conditions that were there in the past and the pattern that the market was running in this season did not follow that pattern. So how can Ai make a true prediction by analyzing the past history. Ai helps us in many cases, but it cannot give us a 100% solution in all cases. Ai can never do the work of a human completely. And in the world of gambling, AI can never specifically help you win.
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September 21, 2025, 08:25:40 PM
 #20

Too much expectation from an AI, it's not a fortune teller to begin with. It can provide you hints and technical analysis and so many things to compare, but it can't tell the exact what will happen in the future or even just few days. While technology improves, more people don't use their common sense, really.
They put their common sense aside and prefer AI because it is practical to use... according to them, it may be reliable, but for me it is only a tool and is not guaranteed to be accurate in any bet.

AI is only a tool... the rest is up to us to decide on the bet.

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