[POLL] How high will silver go?

[Wind_FURY]

But instead of Gold and Silver, I believe Crude Oil is starting to make another surge again because war in the Middle East might be happening again?

With Armed Forces of Yemen shutting down the Red Sea on the Axis, the oil price should now technically soar a lot higher than before ($200+). But don't underestimate the market manipulation...

Market manipulation of preventing a surge to $200 from happening?

 

Because if the Strait Of Hormuz is actually closed, and if war is actually happening, and Oil Supply is going down again, then Crude Oil should probably surging to more than the current price, no?

What happened to taking all the Enriched Uranium from Iran?

That delusional dream turned into a nightmare when 4000 pound Iranian missiles started raining on American terrorist bases across West Asia in retaliation.

Iran will probably become the next North Korea.

[pooya87]

Market manipulation of preventing a surge to $200 from happening?

Not preventing, but slowing down.
It is like what we're so familiar with in bitcoin market. It is two types the FUD and whale dumps where whales start going against the trend, place massive sell walls, dump on the market, etc. to keep the price from rising.
That's what the US regime has been doing. By controlling the media and the centralized market. Also the following chart showing US strategic oil reserves and the way it has been dumping rapidly should tell you everything since it is the literal definition of a whale mass dumping on the market:

Because if the Strait Of Hormuz is actually closed, and if war is actually happening, and Oil Supply is going down again, then Crude Oil should probably surging to more than the current price, no?

Technically the Persian Strait is not closed, neither is the Yemeni Strait. They are just now allowing the ships belonging to the enemy to cross (others travel safely). That's the result of US regime's actions and that has created a massive shortage. I think it currently is something between 1 to 2 billion barrels of oil shortage over the past ~140 days. Something that could speed up now due to restrictions in the Red Sea.

Iran will probably become the next North Korea.

And why do you think that since that statement makes no sense whatsoever...

[Taskford]

Market manipulation of preventing a surge to $200 from happening?

Not preventing, but slowing down.
It is like what we're so familiar with in bitcoin market. It is two types the FUD and whale dumps where whales start going against the trend, place massive sell walls, dump on the market, etc. to keep the price from rising.
That's what the US regime has been doing. By controlling the media and the centralized market. Also the following chart showing US strategic oil reserves and the way it has been dumping rapidly should tell you everything since it is the literal definition of a whale mass dumping on the market:

Valid point since, actually same with big players on oil and Bitcoin. Usually they really don't have power to stop the trend, but they can do something to slow it down by making pressure or anything that can disturb the market, they do it thru massive or continuous dumping or creating sell walls.

Then government also use their influence to do this by changing their policy signals and influence on media. That situation we have seen on rapid draw down of their Strategic Petroleum reserve is great example. When it happens those major players flood the supply on the market, this will provably drag down the price and prevent those possible upward trends.

That action will not control all the movements, but this will create short term impact on the market.

That's why its good for people to know how to identify this pattern and better focus on long term with this assets, so they can avoid doing bad decision and became to emotional on those short term movements.

[OgNasty]

Sort of feels to me like silver has found a new price to settle at. It sat at $20 for a long time after the surge to $50 around 2011. Now it is looking like it may sit in the 50s for a while after the surge to $120. At least that is what it looks like to me at the moment.

[STT]

I had the same take but of course we can never know for certain vs endless factors; a quick thought is the disruption to oil global supply is steering the largest nations (oil poor, importers) towards electric usage more then they would normally.
  Partly this is likely to result in further growth of solar panels which means silver usage long term in demand, it also means copper and check out that chart.   Im amazed how strong Copper has been for so long and there is alot of production growth potential unlike silver.

  If Im bold enough to look at monthly bars I count both charts as positive in resolution, harsh pullbacks and decade long dynamic or cycle is fair for commodity markets.   Hard rock mines more so, I got shares for a mine since 2010 permitted, planned & still now they haven't started correct production for legit reasons;  the largest gold and copper reserve in europe, decades are the true time scale to judge by.

[tiCeR]

Sort of feels to me like silver has found a new price to settle at. It sat at $20 for a long time after the surge to $50 around 2011. Now it is looking like it may sit in the 50s for a while after the surge to $120. At least that is what it looks like to me at the moment.

It could be the case, yes, and the factors are quite complex I think. The bullrun was strong and I had to smile when I saw that you started this thread only weeks before it literally went to the moon and peaked in the 120s for a moment. Why did it come down and why is it now sitting where it is?

Whales were mentioned here before and I believe that makes some sense as it does in almost any market. There are financial players that have their motives to do or encourage exactly what is happening right now, but this is not the only reason the silver market slowed down recently. There are several simple, pure economic reasons. Silver is still mostly mined as a by-product of mining copper, lead, and a few others. This means that supply elasticity is rather low, it doesn't respond as quickly to increased prices and that is why I think silver could have another bullrun anytime. However, this doesn't mean that the supply side does not move at all because there is an important difference at these prices compared to gold. Much of the silver that is used for industrial products is not coming back onto the market as it is not economically viable to extract it once it was used and devices are disposed. Gold has very typical life cycles and they repeat continuously because it is worth it to extract it.

When silver went up in price so much, this kind of changed because back then it became economically viable to put in the effort to extract it again. Copper back then rose in price, too. It was not as steep, but it had an impact on increased copper extraction and, as a result, silver was extracted, too. Same goes for lead and zinc. That is when, besides whale manipulation, the supply side was definitely impacted and for obvious reasons, it will remain like that.

Could it hit $200? I think yes, absolutely, as drops in prices immediately discourage further exploration and extraction technologies from being developed. Now of course technical progress is being made on other fronts regardless of silver, but what's important to keep in mind is that the size of the silver market is still relatively small and offers potential for a bullrun for sure, I think. Though if the price peaks again in the future, I personally would take profits for the reasons described above. The higher the price, the higher the incentive to explore primary silver sources and develop advanced extraction technologies for disposed devices. I am not very well informed about the solar panel production in China, but from what I heard it is still a growing market and the impact on the silver price was huge in the past, but because of the price shooting up like that, China is a source for downward price pressure as well because high prices made them research for possible substitutions. That is why I think this is more of a complex market overall, but I don't think silver has yet reached the price that corresponds to global demand. Although it looks a little bit like a temporary equilibrium right now.

[Wind_FURY]

Market manipulation of preventing a surge to $200 from happening?

Not preventing, but slowing down.
It is like what we're so familiar with in bitcoin market. It is two types the FUD and whale dumps where whales start going against the trend, place massive sell walls, dump on the market, etc. to keep the price from rising.
That's what the US regime has been doing. By controlling the media and the centralized market. Also the following chart showing US strategic oil reserves and the way it has been dumping rapidly should tell you everything since it is the literal definition of a whale mass dumping on the market:

The U.S. situation with Iran is currently quite "elastic" in my opinion. The probability of an actual war is going up and down like a memecoin.

     

Because if the Strait Of Hormuz is actually closed, and if war is actually happening, and Oil Supply is going down again, then Crude Oil should probably surging to more than the current price, no?

Technically the Persian Strait is not closed, neither is the Yemeni Strait. They are just now allowing the ships belonging to the enemy to cross (others travel safely). That's the result of US regime's actions and that has created a massive shortage. I think it currently is something between 1 to 2 billion barrels of oil shortage over the past ~140 days. Something that could speed up now due to restrictions in the Red Sea.

Iran will probably become the next North Korea.

And why do you think that since that statement makes no sense whatsoever...

Because if the U.S. couldn't get Iran's enriched Uranium stockpile, and if they actually develop their own nuclear weapons, then they can't be touched by the U.S., just like the North Korea.

It's a deterrent.

[Nanga Parbat]

People are Investing in metals because gold is good investment and millions of people gained money from that and they are rich people of the society. Many people want to invest in silver because it's  price was up when Donald trump started the War and after that we saw dump in the market and now silver price is at 57$ per ounce and many people who invented at low price they got good profit and that is profitable investment. My friend also Invested in that and he invested when price was at 46$ per ounce and he didn't not sell when price was over 100$ which was fooly step of that person and he sold at 80$ per ounce and again invested in that because he want to be successful in trading.

Gold is always attractive and reliable metals for the investment. But due to global crisis we have seen huge fluctuations in its prices. But it doesn't mean that it has lost its value or worth. Still comparatively with other metals it retain it's worth and value. But yes silver by the side also getting popularity day by day. Few decades ago having silver gave no profit, but now situation is not same. Investment in silver today can give higher profits in future. Now investor gave equally importance to silver with other metals. Despite jewelry people now prefer to keep it as an assets.

[Wind_FURY]

Gold, and Silver might be at the start of a new surge.

OP, you probably should edit the poll and ask again from the current context - "How high will Silver go"? Will it surge to a new All Time High? Or will it merely form a Lower High before crashing back down and start another consolidation for decades?

[pooya87]

The U.S. situation with Iran is currently quite "elastic" in my opinion. The probability of an actual war is going up and down like a memecoin.

The war is ongoing my friend. THIS is how the US regime is capable of fighting. They can't fight long battles; they neither have the numbers nor the firepower. Nor the distance allows them to, the logistics alone is a nightmare not to mention that after Iran obliterated a large number of their military bases (specifically shelters where they safely stored their aircrafts) they are now losing to the environment (sand) as well as losing to Iran.

This is the Grand American Military Strategy (LOL):
1) Economic terrorism (sanctions, blockade, terrorist attacks against merchant ships at sea like pirates)
2) Assassinations
3) Terrorist attacks carried out by US regime's proxies (mainly members of Takfiri groups such as al-Qaeda, ISIS, Komoleh, Jeysh al-Zulm, MEK, etc.) who try to infiltrate from both east and western borders into Iran to carry out their terrorist attacks that include suicide bombings against border petrol stations, civilian infrastructure, etc.
4) Airstrikes from afar using air-launched missiles or from Navy deep from Indian ocean

Roughly a month ago the US regime tried to resume step 4 but they met decisive and extremely deadly Iranian retaliatory strikes and after NATO sustained heavy casualties like the 76 American terrorists who were brought to justice in one day in Jordan (included multiple generals) they were crippled again so they fled and resumed step 3+1. Just the other day another US terrorist proxy carried out a terrorist attack in south east of Iran.

Because if the U.S. couldn't get Iran's enriched Uranium stockpile, and if they actually develop their own nuclear weapons, then they can't be touched by the U.S., just like the North Korea.

It's a deterrent.

Oh. I misinterpreted your post then. I thought you were talking about the isolation, since that's what NK is known for the most. And the reason I said it makes no sense is because unlike North Korea (120,000 km²) wedged between China and South Korea, Iran is 1 million and 800,000 km² with 15 neighbors and a global popularity that is growing every day since Iran and its allies are the only ones actually fighting the Epstein Class.

In any case... Even though I am a big supporter of Iran building its nuclear arsenal (وَأَعِدُّوا لَهُمْ مَا اسْتَطَعْتُمْ مِنْ قُوَّةٍ and all that) but let me disagree here. Nukes don't bring deterrence the way most people think. Russia is the best example here since they have the largest nuclear arsenal in the world and yet they have been under constant bombardment by NATO. All these missiles and drones that have been hitting the Russian energy infrastructure are all launched by the US and are guided by the US through their satellites and hit targets designated by the US.

The reason why Nork Korea is not attacked is because they've got nothing that the colonizers want. I mean what resources do they have? Coal and Iron? The colonizers don't need them...
NK is just a tool in my opinion. Used by different sides, China, Russia and US use them as the battle ground for their proxy war (like Ukraine). I dare say that if some day the Word War 5 gets to the point where nukes are going to be used, the first ones may launch from North Korea at the Western Axis not directly from China or Russia.

BTW nothing has changed in the global economy and energy sector. Nor is the Strait of Hormuz open. However, the mainstream media in the US has been going crazy with fake news talking about negotiations with Iran (Iranians have not talked to the US regime ever since February, the MoU was Iran dictating the terms of the victor to the losing side) and dumping oil on the markets to crash the price creating an illusion of economic ease and lower inflations.

The shortage is still the biggest crisis the world faces and that is not going away any time soon. Therefore some of the recoveries we are going to see in different markets could be dead cat bounces. So be careful... make your profit but don't commit hard.

[Wind_FURY]

The U.S. situation with Iran is currently quite "elastic" in my opinion. The probability of an actual war is going up and down like a memecoin.

The war is ongoing my friend. THIS is how the US regime is capable of fighting. They can't fight long battles; they neither have the numbers nor the firepower. Nor the distance allows them to, the logistics alone is a nightmare not to mention that after Iran obliterated a large number of their military bases (specifically shelters where they safely stored their aircrafts) they are now losing to the environment (sand) as well as losing to Iran.

This is the Grand American Military Strategy (LOL):
1) Economic terrorism (sanctions, blockade, terrorist attacks against merchant ships at sea like pirates)
2) Assassinations
3) Terrorist attacks carried out by US regime's proxies (mainly members of Takfiri groups such as al-Qaeda, ISIS, Komoleh, Jeysh al-Zulm, MEK, etc.) who try to infiltrate from both east and western borders into Iran to carry out their terrorist attacks that include suicide bombings against border petrol stations, civilian infrastructure, etc.
4) Airstrikes from afar using air-launched missiles or from Navy deep from Indian ocean

Roughly a month ago the US regime tried to resume step 4 but they met decisive and extremely deadly Iranian retaliatory strikes and after NATO sustained heavy casualties like the 76 American terrorists who were brought to justice in one day in Jordan (included multiple generals) they were crippled again so they fled and resumed step 3+1. Just the other day another US terrorist proxy carried out a terrorist attack in south east of Iran.

Because if the U.S. couldn't get Iran's enriched Uranium stockpile, and if they actually develop their own nuclear weapons, then they can't be touched by the U.S., just like the North Korea.

It's a deterrent.

Oh. I misinterpreted your post then. I thought you were talking about the isolation, since that's what NK is known for the most. And the reason I said it makes no sense is because unlike North Korea (120,000 km²) wedged between China and South Korea, Iran is 1 million and 800,000 km² with 15 neighbors and a global popularity that is growing every day since Iran and its allies are the only ones actually fighting the Epstein Class.

In any case... Even though I am a big supporter of Iran building its nuclear arsenal (وَأَعِدُّوا لَهُمْ مَا اسْتَطَعْتُمْ مِنْ قُوَّةٍ and all that) but let me disagree here. Nukes don't bring deterrence the way most people think. Russia is the best example here since they have the largest nuclear arsenal in the world and yet they have been under constant bombardment by NATO. All these missiles and drones that have been hitting the Russian energy infrastructure are all launched by the US and are guided by the US through their satellites and hit targets designated by the US.

The reason why Nork Korea is not attacked is because they've got nothing that the colonizers want. I mean what resources do they have? Coal and Iron? The colonizers don't need them...
NK is just a tool in my opinion. Used by different sides, China, Russia and US use them as the battle ground for their proxy war (like Ukraine). I dare say that if some day the Word War 5 gets to the point where nukes are going to be used, the first ones may launch from North Korea at the Western Axis not directly from China or Russia.

THEN WHY is the United States attacking Iran? What do they want from this country? That's definitely WHY the United States will stop attacking it if they have Nuclear Weapons. The United States will definitely NOT dare start World War III with Nuclear Fall Out possibilities.

BTW nothing has changed in the global economy and energy sector. Nor is the Strait of Hormuz open. However, the mainstream media in the US has been going crazy with fake news talking about negotiations with Iran (Iranians have not talked to the US regime ever since February, the MoU was Iran dictating the terms of the victor to the losing side) and dumping oil on the markets to crash the price creating an illusion of economic ease and lower inflations.

The shortage is still the biggest crisis the world faces and that is not going away any time soon. Therefore some of the recoveries we are going to see in different markets could be dead cat bounces. So be careful... make your profit but don't commit hard.

OK. Do you believe that Crude Oil will surge to $150 soon?

[pooya87]

THEN WHY is the United States attacking Iran? What do they want from this country? That's definitely WHY the United States will stop attacking it if they have Nuclear Weapons.

The colonizers refer to our region "center of the center of the world", that's why they use the false term "Middle East" for West Asia. It's a region filled with vast amounts of various natural resources and it is the connection between 3 continents. For thousands of years, various entities have attacked Iran and have tried to conquer it. Mongols, Arabs, Turks, Russians, Western Colonizers, etc. you name it they've attacked Persia at some point in time.

Deterrence is a very complex matter, it is not as simple as "if you have nukes they won't attack you". I already mentioned Russia as an example. Another one is USA! They also own one of the largest supply of weapons of mass murder and yet it did not prevent Iran from retaliating hard and wiping out many of their bases. The US regime has officially threatened to nuke Iran at least 3 times and that did not change anything because nukes are not magical weapons that can change the outcome of a conflict.

So why are they attacking Iran? It's an act of desperation. The Epstein Empire has been getting weaker and weaker every day that passes and they cannot prevent that. The US doctrine of being ahead has always been to "destroy others" so that they remain ahead without having to do anything else. That's pretty much what happened during WW2 and formed that doctrine.
With emergence of other powers (what some call "global south", a term I don't like) the Empire got weaker. One of the biggest ones is China. And in order for the US regime to be able to keep its evil grip on the world, they needed to stop Chinese growth (as well as others'). They failed to do it through other means (eg. the tariff wars) so they decided that if they manage to control the source of a lot of the world's natural resources (stuff China needs to produce stuff) they can not only stop the Chinese growth, they could even reverse it and destroy China that way.
- This is why they invaded Venezuela and took over one of the largest oil supplies in the world (BTW have you noticed nobody is talking about Rodriguez "regime" and worry about dictatorship anymore? Only Maduro's was a "regime" that they worried about but the sockpuppet whose actions massively increased Venezuelan inflation is not... but I digress LOL).
- This is why they have installed brutal dictatorships over vast amounts of other resources (eg. the Saudi dictators/usurpers of Arabia) to act as sockpuppets obeying the US regime's orders.
- This is why they are destabilizing other regions that have vast amounts of resources (takfiri terrorists in Nigeria, proxy wars in Sudan, Zionist puppets in Morocco, etc.) or are located on important trade routes (eg. Kazakhstan, Myanmar, etc.).

If they had succeeded in destroying Iran like they did Iraq, Syria, Afghanistan, ...
- They would have gained control of Iran's vast amount of resources.
- They would have gained control of Iranian territorial waters and chokepoints (ie. Persian Gulf and Strait of Hormuz).
- They would have completely choked both Russian and Chinese land-based trade routes and brought them to their knees.
- They would have destroyed European and Asian economies and would have forced them to grovel to Washington for little crumbs...
- And most important of all they would have dictated the energy prices, charged HUGE tolls (at least 20% which the Pedophile POTUS even leaked in one of his tweet rants) on ships and destroyed the global economy while establishing the Reign of Dollar Terror for at least a century.

This is why they have been risking a lot and wasting trillions of their taxpayers money. To keep their Evil Epstein Empire afloat...

The United States will definitely NOT dare start World War III with Nuclear Fall Out possibilities.

Actually the US regime's nuclear doctrine would surprise you.
Their official doctrine is that in case US is partially destroyed or weakened or something, they must do everything to still keep it the dominant hegemony and in order to do that, they have plans to nuke everyone. That's right, everyone.
For example one of their scenarios is this: if they got into a war with someone and 70% of US was destroyed. They would then nuke the entire world so that after the rest of the world was also destroyed, the remaining 30% of US remains the superior power.

OK. Do you believe that Crude Oil will surge to $150 soon?

That's the million dollar question.
By all evidence, oil price should already be above $200. It is not just the blockades, it is the ever increasing shortage of oil. I said before it is already over 2 billion barrels short. And lets just say that even if everything went back to normal right now, it would still take a couple of years for that shortage to go back to normal.

But for the time being the market manipulation, media censorship and rapid dumping of US strategic oil reserves on the market is suppressing the price.

There is another important factor here as well which prevents it from rising too high. It may be surprising but from my understanding, Iran does not want to destroy the global economy unlike what the US regime intends to do. I'll give you two solid evidence:
1) The Strait of Hormuz is not actually closed. It is only restricted. Being closed means sinking ships in the shallow strait where salvaging them would take at least 6 months and during that time nothing would be able to pass. So far some ships that register with the Persian Gulf Strait Authority (https://www.pgsa.ir/) and do not belong to the enemy have been able to pass safely.
2) Another thing is that what Iran destroyed in retaliation. Many did belong to "Big Oil" but were generally "reversible" damage. For example Iran retaliated by destroying US regime's fuel storages in Saudi usurped Arabia and Oman. Some damage to refineries in retaliation and stuff like that. Never any major strikes on oil/gas fields, the wells, the rigs, etc.

So will oil price surge? I say look at what will happen in the future. The situation can change rapidly. Next time the US regime retries its luck, Iran may not be so kind to not retaliate by destroying everything I said above and completely shut down the seas and I'm not just talking about the Strait of Hormuz.
You see, before US terrorist attacks on 28 February, Iran had promised that the retaliation would be a "regional war" and it was exactly that. As we know now, the Ramadan War took place in the entire West Asia.
Next promise Iran has already given is that next time the war will expand even more and Axis assets would be destroyed in other parts of the world... That could include shutting down the Suez Canal (sinking ships in the canal) as well as shutting down the Strait of Gibraltar.
By the way did you notice how US assets were hit and destroyed in Mediterranean sea just last week? 2 massive Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) Floating Storage facilities in fact. And the Egyptians hit it with drones by the way, something that scared the shit out of the US regime and was a signal of how things are expanding the more the regime tries its luck, and most importantly showed them how the entire world hates them.

The sum of all these opposing factors are determining the price. Therefore each time one negative factor gets stronger, it pulls the price up a little. When a positive factor gets stronger (US regime accepting defeat and pulling back so Iran loosening the Strait) the price comes down a little.
I speculate the overall aggression will be low until autumn. By then the US regime will try to escalate more and Iran will climb the escalation ladder in a way that would cripple the regime for good. By then the chances of a massive surge is so much higher.

[Wind_FURY]

THEN WHY is the United States attacking Iran? What do they want from this country? That's definitely WHY the United States will stop attacking it if they have Nuclear Weapons.

--SNIP--

Deterrence is a very complex matter, it is not as simple as "if you have nukes they won't attack you". I already mentioned Russia as an example. Another one is USA! They also own one of the largest supply of weapons of mass murder and yet it did not prevent Iran from retaliating hard and wiping out many of their bases. The US regime has officially threatened to nuke Iran at least 3 times and that did not change anything because nukes are not magical weapons that can change the outcome of a conflict.

--SNIP--

If Iran has Nuclear Weapons, do you actually believe the U.S. will indiscriminately attack that country without caution? It would be stupid to assume that the U.S. would risk a war that would cause massive damage for everyone.

It's definitely a deterrent. Saying that it's not is stupid.

  ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

The United States will definitely NOT dare start World War III with Nuclear Fall Out possibilities.

Actually the US regime's nuclear doctrine would surprise you.
Their official doctrine is that in case US is partially destroyed or weakened or something, they must do everything to still keep it the dominant hegemony and in order to do that, they have plans to nuke everyone. That's right, everyone.

 

Radicalized Propaganda.

OK. Do you believe that Crude Oil will surge to $150 soon?

That's the million dollar question.
By all evidence, oil price should already be above $200. It is not just the blockades, it is the ever increasing shortage of oil. I said before it is already over 2 billion barrels short. And lets just say that even if everything went back to normal right now, it would still take a couple of years for that shortage to go back to normal.

But for the time being the market manipulation, media censorship and rapid dumping of US strategic oil reserves on the market is suppressing the price.

If there's a "massive shortage" of Crude Oil, then definitely there's not amount of manipulation that could keep the price down, no?

¯\_(ツ)_/¯

[pooya87]

➤ The precious metals prices have been bullish ever since 2022 (gold was $1800-ish) and will remain bullish until the end of World War 5. Because every country with a government that has a half a brain has been accumulating them to alleviate the consequences of global economic crisis caused by the global conflict.

➤ Then there is also de-dollarization that acts as another incentive for countries and their central banks to accumulate precious metals specifically gold replacing the fiat (which would also affect silver price apart from the fact that some do accumulate silver as well).

I have repeated these points many times but it is good to back them up with hard data as well. Here is the most recent stuff we have after official Chinese announcements about their gold reserves and all that. As we can see they have been on a buying spree and they are not alone. Many countries are purchasing gold and filling their vaults specially ever since price correction took place.

If Iran has Nuclear Weapons, do you actually believe the U.S. will indiscriminately attack that country without caution? It would be stupid to assume that the U.S. would risk a war that would cause massive damage for everyone.

It's definitely a deterrent. Saying that it's not is stupid.

You're right it IS stupid to say nukes don't help building up the deterrence, but it is just as stupid to say that just having nukes gives you deterrence. That's what I'm trying to explain, otherwise I already said that Iran must build nukes and start pointing is ICMBs as US mainland...

Radicalized Propaganda.

Well the source of such information are former US regime members, military personnel and former spies and war criminals. One name that comes to mind is Scott Ritter for example...

If there's a "massive shortage" of Crude Oil, then definitely there's not amount of manipulation that could keep the price down, no?

There is a massive shortage of roughly 2.5 billion barrels. You are forgetting that for the past 162 days the amount of oil coming out of the most oil-rich region of the world ie. West Asia has significantly decreased and it is decreasing more every day (Yemen is tightening its blockade on Saudi regime now).

The market manipulation is suppressing the rise, but it cannot prevent it which is clear from the recent rises and their failure to push it down to $40 and lower.
But also that's not the only reason for a slower rise. The other reason is recession. Remember during COVID19 where oil price became negative? (they were paying you to buy their oil LOL). That was because of the recession. It's the same today as well. The worse recession becomes, the less the demand will be for oil. Less demand will match the decreased supply and prevent the price from shooting up fast.

P.S. Let me add some stuff about oil market:
- Saudi oil export to US dropped down to zero recently
- Some sources claim US regime will run out of reserves to dump on the market in about 40 days
- If the situation continues this way without any major meaningful change, oil market could be different in 40 days from now.

[Wind_FURY]

➤ The precious metals prices have been bullish ever since 2022 (gold was $1800-ish) and will remain bullish until the end of World War 5. Because every country with a government that has a half a brain has been accumulating them to alleviate the consequences of global economic crisis caused by the global conflict.

➤ Then there is also de-dollarization that acts as another incentive for countries and their central banks to accumulate precious metals specifically gold replacing the fiat (which would also affect silver price apart from the fact that some do accumulate silver as well).

I have repeated these points many times but it is good to back them up with hard data as well. Here is the most recent stuff we have after official Chinese announcements about their gold reserves and all that. As we can see they have been on a buying spree and they are not alone. Many countries are purchasing gold and filling their vaults specially ever since price correction took place.

If Iran has Nuclear Weapons, do you actually believe the U.S. will indiscriminately attack that country without caution? It would be stupid to assume that the U.S. would risk a war that would cause massive damage for everyone.

It's definitely a deterrent. Saying that it's not is stupid.

You're right it IS stupid to say nukes don't help building up the deterrence, but it is just as stupid to say that just having nukes gives you deterrence. That's what I'm trying to explain, otherwise I already said that Iran must build nukes and start pointing is ICMBs as US mainland...

But it actually is. So you actually believe the U.S. will directly bomb Iran if Iran had Nuclear Weapons? They definitely WOULD NOT.

Plus why do you believe Iran will never give their enriched Uranium stockpile?

Radicalized Propaganda.

Well the source of such information are former US regime members, military personnel and former spies and war criminals. One name that comes to mind is Scott Ritter for example...

Show everyone the sources of the information and let's everyone them. There are people who have subjective opinions, conspiracy theories, and mere Anti-U.S. propaganda.

If there's a "massive shortage" of Crude Oil, then definitely there's not amount of manipulation that could keep the price down, no?

There is a massive shortage of roughly 2.5 billion barrels. You are forgetting that for the past 162 days the amount of oil coming out of the most oil-rich region of the world ie. West Asia has significantly decreased and it is decreasing more every day (Yemen is tightening its blockade on Saudi regime now).

The market manipulation is suppressing the rise, but it cannot prevent it which is clear from the recent rises and their failure to push it down to $40 and lower.

But also that's not the only reason for a slower rise. The other reason is recession. Remember during COVID19 where oil price became negative? (they were paying you to buy their oil LOL). That was because of the recession. It's the same today as well. The worse recession becomes, the less the demand will be for oil. Less demand will match the decreased supply and prevent the price from shooting up fast.

P.S. Let me add some stuff about oil market:
- Saudi oil export to US dropped down to zero recently
- Some sources claim US regime will run out of reserves to dump on the market in about 40 days
- If the situation continues this way without any major meaningful change, oil market could be different in 40 days from now.

But currently we have inflation, no recession, and an "Oil Shortage", then manipulation to keep the price down below $100.00? How is that possible? How can there be more supply than demand?

   ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

[pooya87]

Plus why do you believe Iran will never give their enriched Uranium stockpile?

Why don't you give me your bitcoin stash even if I came to your home with a baseball bat threatening to break your kneecaps if you didn't?

Iran's nuclear technology is used in a vast number of industries from simple things like power generation to high tech stuff like the medical sector like the radiopharmaceuticals that have already helped cure many illnesses at dirt cheap prices compared to the handful of Western alternatives that aren't even as effective as domestically produced ones in Iran.
Iran will pretty soon would need higher enrichment as well since they too are needed for a lot of sectors. For example 2 that come to my mind is propulsion, that's the engines used by ships at sea or for deep space exploration and Iran's space program is growing rapidly.

Why should Iran throw away its vast technological achievements?

P.S. Also lets not forget that the terrorist attacks U.S. regime carried out against Iranians had nothing to do with Iran's civilian nuclear technology. It was all about Iran's vast natural resources including oil and gas as well as its strategic geographical location.
Same exact 2 reasons why the barbaric colonizers (the "Allies" that were just as bad as Nazi Axis if not worse) invaded Iran during WW2 and killed half of Iran's population.

Show everyone the sources of the information and let's everyone them. There are people who have subjective opinions, conspiracy theories, and mere Anti-U.S. propaganda.

Sorry that would take me hours to go through my watched videos history to find out which ones said it in what interviews and this is not an important matter for me to prove. Take my statement above regarding the US regime's nuclear doctrine with a grain of salt if you like. It really doesn't change anything about the rogue nature of the US regime.
Besides, I've already given you a source name above. If you really care, you can spend a little bit of time and find that war criminal's contact info and ask him yourself.

But currently we have inflation, no recession, and an "Oil Shortage", then manipulation to keep the price down below $100.00? How is that possible? How can there be more supply than demand?

There isn't more supply than demand. The supply has significantly decreased and meanwhile the demand has only slightly come down due to the ongoing recession that is not yet as worse as COVID days (so it's a small demand drop).
The regime is trying to cover part of that shortage by mass dumping its strategic oil reserves on the markets which is why it is now reaching historically low levels. That dump obviously covers part of that supply shortage on the markets.

Then there is the manipulation in the media which the regime fully controls (with global influence) where each time oil price starts surging they start lying about negotiations with Iran that does not exist and the opening of the Iranian Strait of Hormuz that has not changed at all. This tactic creates a lot of mass panic sells on the market crashing the price down.

[Conqueror777]

With silver experiencing a bull run, how high do you think it will get?

When do you see the price hitting this point and when it corrects, how low do you think it will eventually settle?

I think we could get as high as $80, but will probably stop around $65. I do believe silver hits $200 before 2040.

Around 70-85 ish range seems right for me.

[Kryptowerk]

With silver experiencing a bull run, how high do you think it will get?

When do you see the price hitting this point and when it corrects, how low do you think it will eventually settle?

I think we could get as high as $80, but will probably stop around $65. I do believe silver hits $200 before 2040.

$200 before 2040 actually seems quite conservative to me. I wonder what's your estimate for the next ATH? - That would be a more interesting guess.
I would be surprised if it doesn't happen in or before 2030. The current pullback was to be expected, but the general fundamentals are still the same - silver at anything below $100 USD is still a really good deal imho.

[Wind_FURY]

Plus why do you believe Iran will never give their enriched Uranium stockpile?

Why don't you give me your bitcoin stash even if I came to your home with a baseball bat threatening to break your kneecaps if you didn't?

Iran's nuclear technology is used in a vast number of industries from simple things like power generation to high tech stuff like the medical sector like the radiopharmaceuticals that have already helped cure many illnesses at dirt cheap prices compared to the handful of Western alternatives that aren't even as effective as domestically produced ones in Iran.
Iran will pretty soon would need higher enrichment as well since they too are needed for a lot of sectors. For example 2 that come to my mind is propulsion, that's the engines used by ships at sea or for deep space exploration and Iran's space program is growing rapidly.

Why should Iran throw away its vast technological achievements?

P.S. Also lets not forget that the terrorist attacks U.S. regime carried out against Iranians had nothing to do with Iran's civilian nuclear technology. It was all about Iran's vast natural resources including oil and gas as well as its strategic geographical location.
Same exact 2 reasons why the barbaric colonizers (the "Allies" that were just as bad as Nazi Axis if not worse) invaded Iran during WW2 and killed half of Iran's population.

Plus if Iran actually had Nuclear Weapons, then the U.S. can't EVER attack Iran directly again. It would be an opportunity lost. That's absolutely why this "war" will never stop until the U.S. gets what they want.

Show everyone the sources of the information and let's everyone them. There are people who have subjective opinions, conspiracy theories, and mere Anti-U.S. propaganda.

Sorry that would take me hours to go through my watched videos history to find out which ones said it in what interviews and this is not an important matter for me to prove. Take my statement above regarding the US regime's nuclear doctrine with a grain of salt if you like. It really doesn't change anything about the rogue nature of the US regime.

Besides, I've already given you a source name above. If you really care, you can spend a little bit of time and find that war criminal's contact info and ask him yourself.

If you can't post the links to the source, then don't post anything that you make look as "facts" at all.

But currently we have inflation, no recession, and an "Oil Shortage", then manipulation to keep the price down below $100.00? How is that possible? How can there be more supply than demand?

There isn't more supply than demand. The supply has significantly decreased and meanwhile the demand has only slightly come down due to the ongoing recession that is not yet as worse as COVID days (so it's a small demand drop).
The regime is trying to cover part of that shortage by mass dumping its strategic oil reserves on the markets which is why it is now reaching historically low levels. That dump obviously covers part of that supply shortage on the markets.

Then there is the manipulation in the media which the regime fully controls (with global influence) where each time oil price starts surging they start lying about negotiations with Iran that does not exist and the opening of the Iranian Strait of Hormuz that has not changed at all. This tactic creates a lot of mass panic sells on the market crashing the price down.

OK, then how long until they can't manipulate the market anymore? Probably three months? Years? It would he laughable if it's years because that would mean the situation is actually stable enough.

   

[pooya87]

OK, then how long until they can't manipulate the market anymore? Probably three months? Years? It would he laughable if it's years because that would mean the situation is actually stable enough.

If you are asking me to predict the future, I seem to have misplaced my magic ball to look into it. But last I looked into it I saw it showing 6 months (298 million barrels left, dumping between 4-10 million barrels per week, slowing down the lower the total gets and not willing to go lower than certain levels that some say is 250 million some say 100 million-ish)

You have to remember that oil market is a very complex global market with many factors to consider and we are not just talking about simple market manipulation, we are talking about a war.
But at the end of the day it's all about supply and demand.
Supply

• I've already covered the blockade of Hormuz and Bab al-Mandab straits. Since last time for reasons I explained here the Armed Forces of Yemen moved to destroying Saudi infrastructure that included oil storage facilities, tankers, pipelines, refineries, etc. That's a significant drop in total.
  
• US regime is dumping its strategic reserves rapidly. That is a bump in supply.
• Russia has significantly increased its exports.
• The stolen Venezuelan oil was added to the global supply chain (it is not a significant rise but it is something)

Let me take a sidetrack a little here since the Russian case is very interesting considering how Trump regime helped Russian economy significantly in 2026. Before the US regime's aggression against Iran, the Persian Gulf was open and oil flew freely. During this time, Russia was barely selling 2-3 million bpd and price was already low and on top of that Russians had to offer some discount, sometimes selling as low as $40 a barrel. Some sources were saying Russia was finally on the verge of a financial crisis, although I take that with a grain of salt but there some evidence of liquidity problems.
But after the Persian Gulf oil flow dropped to a trickle, the price went up and Russians started exporting more crude oil. Going up to 4-5 million bpd and selling it at up to $150-$200 a barrel.
Then the US attacks on Russian refineries increased Russian crude exports significantly all the way to 7+ bpd. That was because the oil they were refining, could not go to refineries that were damaged and since they needed to import products like petrol (gas) they needed the extra money so they started exporting the crude oil that was supposed to go to refineries.
This is also part of the US regime's market manipulation. Now you have a better understanding on why the US military was selecting each target to destroy inside Russian soil.

Demand

• Generally speaking the world has been facing economic hardship and high inflation. That slows down the economic growth and started heading toward recession. All things that got worse with higher prices of everything (oil, gas, sulfur, nitrides, fertilizers, food, ...). That decreases the demand for oil.
• Oil went up => petroium products went up as well => prices of everything else that relied on them (eg. air-travel) went up => demand for those services/products dumped hard due to inflation => demand for oil dropped. For example surveys in US said about 40-50% of Americans said they'll skip summer holiday. Some airlines even filed for bankruptcy.
• China significantly decreased its imports. This is part of that indirect manipulation by the US regime. You see, China sees the higher price on one hand, and on the other hand sees the regime is saying daily that US has capitulated and Iran will soon open the Strait of Hormuz and stuff like that. So the decision in China so far has been to slow down imports (significantly) and wait until prices come down. That is a considerable decrease in demand. But that can't last forever, China needs to start increasing its purchase soon.

Do you see the complexity? There is a lot more that I can't recall right now and a lot more that I don't know.