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Author Topic: The gold thread  (Read 1367 times)
d5000
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January 30, 2026, 04:12:57 PM
 #141

Yes, but it was a crash that affected all markets.
But gold fell more than most other markets (including Bitcoin). The reason is of course that the gold market overheated much more than other markets, except silver and platinum which overheated even more (and crashed 10-15% today, it seems). And that's my main point here: Gold/metals FOMO and panic obeys the same rules than Bitcoin FOMO. It's simple mass psychology.

I'd say that much depends if gold can hold the $5000 level. It briefly dipped below today but that doesn't matter, but if it dips below $4900 or so for several days, then the rally might be over for now, or at least suffer a setback like some months ago when it stalled around $4000 and needed help from Trump to see new ATHs.

Silver is dipping below 100$ right now again. And I think the metal markets could be influencing each other.

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January 30, 2026, 06:06:54 PM
 #142

Gold and silver are taking quite a beating at the moment. Silver is down 25% (trading at 85 usd) and gold is down 8.6% (trading at 4900 usd) today. It is quite shocking to see this much volatility on those commodities. It feels like early crypto days and you know what? I liked it a lot. If this keeps happening more often, I am quite afraid we might lose crypto degenerate gamblers to commodities... Binance already has gold/silver trading on their platform If I am not mistaken anyway.


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January 30, 2026, 10:10:02 PM
 #143

crazy silver 120 to 72 to 85 in around 24 hours time.

some true nut jobs playing with silver.

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January 30, 2026, 11:42:38 PM
 #144

DXY is up a bit but not enough to justify the sell.  Whats strange to me is that there is a carrier group approaching Iran and some possibility for turbulence at best yet gold sells.
   The main clue that gives me is that this is a paper dynamics, the price was overblown and packed with speculators who want to cash out and buy a Ferrari or whatever rich people do.  They can always buy it next week next month and probably will at some point pick this trade back up, within 2026 I think.

Silver might take a bit longer depending on how its industrial supply and demand goes but gold is a bit more virtual and security based not company order book as much.

 
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January 31, 2026, 09:34:02 AM
 #145

And that's my main point here: Gold/metals FOMO and panic obeys the same rules than Bitcoin FOMO. It's simple mass psychology.

We agree on that, the volatility of Bitcoin seems that has shifted to precious metals, and if they have risen significantly, it is normal that they are now experiencing major corrections. The case of silver has been scandalous, but the greater the rise, the greater the fall. For me, the main question is whether we are experiencing the beginning of a change in trend or whether this is just a temporary phenomenon, something that none of us can be sure about, we can only observe what is happening. 

Gold and silver are taking quite a beating at the moment. Silver is down 25% (trading at 85 usd) and gold is down 8.6% (trading at 4900 usd) today. It is quite shocking to see this much volatility on those commodities. It feels like early crypto days and you know what? I liked it a lot. If this keeps happening more often, I am quite afraid we might lose crypto degenerate gamblers to commodities... Binance already has gold/silver trading on their platform If I am not mistaken anyway.

crazy silver 120 to 72 to 85 in around 24 hours time.

some true nut jobs playing with silver.

As we just mentioned, several of us agree on this point. It seems that pure speculation has shifted to precious metals, and this is most noticeable in silver, which, having a lower price and market cap than gold, is more susceptible to these ups and downs.

Let's not forget an important issue that I don't see mentioned much, which is Tether buying gold as if it were a central bank, and its tokenized gold product, Tether Gold.

This is direct competition for Bitcoin. I'm not saying it's the end of the world or that it's much better than Bitcoin, because I don't actually have or plan to buy that token, but in these times of FOMO for precious metals and rather boring Bitcoin prices, we must bear in mind that the returns in the early years of Bitcoin came when gold prices were boring, and when digital natives didn't have a crypto product exposed to gold as they do now.

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January 31, 2026, 12:45:25 PM
 #146

crazy silver 120 to 72 to 85 in around 24 hours time.

some true nut jobs playing with silver.
A sharp dump it is, which for me was expected, although wasn't certain as when, because the price of silver was actually on at overbought range making price correction inevitable at any time.

A pity for those who have recent out of FOMO bought just around the ATH. I read somewhere that some investors were targeting around $200 per ounce. I anticipating a bitcoin pump hence.

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January 31, 2026, 07:51:40 PM
 #147

I think Silver over the long term can still exceed 100 for future sales but what will happen in a healthy way is distribution of that gained value.  It cant be all just in one commodity but also some will go towards the energy expended to mine such a resource, the development and research done in products using such silver.  That much would be a positive overall in an economy.

Same thing applies to Bitcoin when its gaining in 10k chunks and people feel its positive but rapid price changes are volatility and certain businesses will suffer from a vastly altered price, it creates resistance and cost in their business.  Whenever BTC starts going sideways I always say its something of a positive for many who must make plans around a price.

   Dollar made some gains and some say well its from a FED chair in prospect who is more sensible then some feared, this is speculation but we can be sure of further declines every year to common FIAT currency and a need to find value elsewhere.

 
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