If you really trust your skills, the key is to bet more, not less

[Eternad]

Piece of advice, your skills shouldn't be trusted too much, even though you focus onlu on skills based games it still doesnt change the fact that there must be a little percentage of luck needed...just because you think your skills are good enough doesn't mean that you should place too many bets especially in a day, don't be in a hurry to make profit, there are times that you need to be patient and observant.

Nah, if you are playing skill based games then it’s obvious that you should rely and focus on your skills.

There’s a luck factor but that should be minimal and shouldn’t be the main driven factor for your bet to win. Playing sport betting and poker relies on your analysis skills to increase your winning percentage.

Luck is just a bonus factor.

[dunfida]

I’ve been playing around with some numbers lately. Let’s say you have a $1,000 bankroll and you’re staking $50 per game. If you can keep a 55% win rate over 100 bets, that’s already around $500 profit. But if you stretch that to 1,000 bets, still at 55%, that turns into roughly $5,000 profit .. without even increasing your bet size.

That’s why I think the real edge comes from volume. If you’re confident in your skill, the more bets you take (with proper bankroll management of course), the more your edge compounds. It’s not about hitting one big parlay, it’s about letting the math play out over time.

Most bettors stop too early or get emotional after a few losses. But if you truly trust your process and your read on the games, the numbers show that consistency and volume are what separate skilled bettors from lucky ones.

Smart betting works it’s not about chasing one miracle win but about understanding how probability plays out over time if you can keep a steady win rate even slightly above fifty percent and stay disciplined with your bankroll you’ll always come out ahead in the long run the problem is most people don’t have the patience to let that math do its job they quit too early or start doubling bets when they lose. A five percent edge might sound small but across hundreds of bets it becomes huge that’s what professional bettors understand they’re not trying to beat the casino in one night they’re trying to beat it over months and years every single wager adds up if it’s placed with logic and restraint.

Volume only works though when the risk per bet is consistent that’s why bankroll management matters if you’re staking too high every loss hurts more than it should and it breaks your rhythm but keeping it balanced like your fifty on a thousand bankroll keeps you alive long enough to let your edge shine. Emotions kill most strategies they make people forget the math and start chasing outcomes instead of trusting the process once you’ve built a system that works sticking to it becomes the hardest but most rewarding part of betting it’s not glamorous it’s just discipline repeated over and over until the numbers finally prove you right.

[ZeroVinsonN]

I’ve been playing around with some numbers lately. Let’s say you have a $1,000 bankroll and you’re staking $50 per game. If you can keep a 55% win rate over 100 bets, that’s already around $500 profit. But if you stretch that to 1,000 bets, still at 55%, that turns into roughly $5,000 profit .. without even increasing your bet size.

That’s why I think the real edge comes from volume. If you’re confident in your skill, the more bets you take (with proper bankroll management of course), the more your edge compounds. It’s not about hitting one big parlay, it’s about letting the math play out over time.

Most bettors stop too early or get emotional after a few losses. But if you truly trust your process and your read on the games, the numbers show that consistency and volume are what separate skilled bettors from lucky ones.

I'm assuming that you are talking about sports betting and not casino because if you are then you analysis id very flawed and it's weird that you can't see it yourself, most bettors stop too early because probably they had a particular losing threshold they did not want to go beyond and they've probably hit this threshold already so they stopped, it could still be because they got too emotional and just couldn't handle a few loses but how often do you see these types of people gambling? People who can't handle a few loses I mean, because I rarely see or hear of them this is because if they can't handle their losses they end up giving up on gambling very early because losing money scares them, so most bettors actually get emotional after some losses and start gambling without control without even analysing their games well which only leads to more loss for them until they've spent their bankroll.

[Ojima-ojo]

From everything you Said it clear that you may have over grown your confidence in your skills lately because from all indications you did not include loses possibilities in them, which is very important.

You may try to double you bet rang regardless of you bankroll management and still lose your money in the same proportion that your profits could have occurred.

[Reatim]

That’s why I think the real edge comes from volume. If you’re confident in your skill, the more bets you take (with proper bankroll management of course), the more your edge compounds. It’s not about hitting one big parlay, it’s about letting the math play out over time.

just bet based on your bankroll don’t force yourself to bet a lot if you can’t afford to do it and besides this kind of logic has been thought of by many people before but honestly at the end the house still wins no matter how much you bet because there are still times where you will lose no matter how confident you are

[stadus]

I think I’m fine with starting at $1,000 and staking $50 per bet. It’s a bit high since that’s 5% of the bankroll, but I’m willing to take that risk if I can keep a 55% win rate. It looks easy on paper, but in reality, that number’s tough to reach even 50% can be hard sometimes.

That’s why it takes serious discipline to survive long-term. Losing streaks are inevitable and we shouldn’t collapse when they happen, just stay focused on the goal. For 1,000 bets, I think that’s possible in the NBA season.

Yes, right now as the NBA starts maybe the OP or someone from here can start this or test if this is viable or not. But for sure we all know that even in sports betting, there is an element of luck involved.

And then the mentality too to stay focus. Because it's going to be very hard if we let's say experience a long losing streak. Our discipline might broke down and collapse and so instead of winning and following our plan we might lose that bankroll very quick.

I believe in luck, but I also believe skills can be developed. I won’t close my mind to that idea, even though there’s a big chance I’ll lose anyway.
I’m just happy to test myself and see if I really have the skills while following strict bankroll management.

Some people might not afford to start with $1,000 as a bankroll, and that’s fine...  you can start with $100 instead.
The main goal is to hit the right winning percentage, once you prove it to yourself then you’ll have the confidence to raise your bankroll higher.

[nullama]

I’ve been playing around with some numbers lately. Let’s say you have a $1,000 bankroll and you’re staking $50 per game. If you can keep a 55% win rate over 100 bets, that’s already around $500 profit. But if you stretch that to 1,000 bets, still at 55%, that turns into roughly $5,000 profit .. without even increasing your bet size.

That’s why I think the real edge comes from volume. If you’re confident in your skill, the more bets you take (with proper bankroll management of course), the more your edge compounds. It’s not about hitting one big parlay, it’s about letting the math play out over time.

Most bettors stop too early or get emotional after a few losses. But if you truly trust your process and your read on the games, the numbers show that consistency and volume are what separate skilled bettors from lucky ones.

Yeah, but the things is that what you said is a big if...

55% chance of winning is clearly a good advantage. Most casino games will put the gambler at lower than 50% chance of winning (for example at a coin toss style game).

So, sure, if you are slightly ahead in the odds, you will win over time, but that's not really what's going on in reality.

[suzanne5223]

I believe you have already said it all. Trusting one skills in gambling doesnt make a gambler to bet more because everything depnd on the gambler's mindset on taking the risk of playing more games.
Some gamblers like to like to take lower and get satisfied with the few bucks they are going to win rather than taking high risk to win high rewards despite knowing they have the skill and what it takes to win the game.
Having said that, we always talk about going for what we can only afford to lose, but the fact is that gamblers who can not take a high risk won't win something huge through gambling.

[Questat]

Increasing your bet volume means you are taking a lot of house edge. On your computation you didn’t factor in the house edge of each bet you are taking. You use a 2.0 odds and 55% winning percentage as outcome which is an impressive result assuming you can achieve it in reality.

The problem on volume bet is you can have a lot of analysis error to encountered since you are taking higher risk than 50% just to have an outcome like that.

But technically, your assumption is right if we will view it on paper betting that everything will be accurate without error.

You’re right, that part wasn’t really considered since I only did a simple calculation. What I wanted to highlight is that the volume of bets can actually make you more profitable if you’re already a profitable gambler. About the error, yeah that’s true, but that’s also how you measure skill, if you can stay consistent and still make profit in the long run.

But it’s not easy, it takes a lot of time to analyze and understand your own betting habits. If you’re not profitable, maybe step back and reflect on what you’ve been doing wrong, then try doing the opposite and see if the outcome still turns out the same.

[Rockstarguy]

That’s why I think the real edge comes from volume. If you’re confident in your skill, the more bets you take (with proper bankroll management of course), the more your edge compounds. It’s not about hitting one big parlay, it’s about letting the math play out over time.

I'm gambling you don't need to be too confident with your skill because skill doesn't make gambling predictable. Gambling is a game full of luck; though having good skill is important because it plays a good role in getting closer to luck, just having skill is not enough to have high expectations from gambling.

Winning is not determined by the skill you have, but by luck. I don't believe in too much confidence in gambling because it normally misleads gamblers to stake too much money or even to play too often. The only reason for increasing the gambling limit should be due to an increase in income, and every game played should be based on what you can afford to lose. Confidence should not be the reason for playing many games in gambling.

[Fiatless]

I agree with your points. I do not also trust my skills. Infact I do not think that I can skillful enough when it comes to gambling especially in this time when AI is being integrated into games by the online casinos. We can't beat them. We can only play responsibly and go home. However, if my gambling game is against another human being where the online casinos doesn't have any influence aside providing their platforms and bringing us together, then in this case, my skill is what will determine my win or loss.

With my experience in gambling, I can conclude that I have built my skills over time. Yet, I don't have full confidence that my skills will always bring the expected results. There are times my skills failed me, so. I have learned to do my best and leave the rest to luck. Having so much confidence in your skill can lead to gambling with an amount you cannot afford to lose.

[Hypnosis00]

If only gambling is as easy as that, I bet a lot would turn into millionaires seeing there are a lot of potentially skilled gamblers that continually increase their growth and experience through constant exposure in the market. However, the gambling market does not only focus on skills but luck as well. So I have this belief that if you have excellent skills, yet luck is not on your side, still the house edge will remain unbeatable.

Being skillful in gambling is certainly an edge, and you can always maximize that through consistent betting, but nevertheless, that also increase the chances of losing as to gamble is to lose, that’s why gambling with caution is always a must at all times, no matter how skillful or experienced you are.

[TelolettOm]

Luckily, I don't trust my own betting skills and abilities. So, there's no need to bet more. Haha.

Yes, I think even if I trusted my skills, I wouldn't bet more, unless my betting amount at that time was truly "enough and hit the limit."

Why?
Because I have to control myself. Overconfidence in our skills can be a trap, leading to addiction and an uncontrolled desire to bet more and more, then lose more.

So, be careful in evaluating your hands and it's better to be under control and well-managed in your betting.

[hyudien]

Since your target is to maintain a 55% win rate from 100 bets, the calculation is that you should bet on an average of 2.00 odds. For me personally finding the same odds like that is too difficult and also quite high risk of losing, even when you bet on odds below 1.50, this also does not guarantee a win because in fact the chances of both teams winning will remain the same, namely 50/50 when competing even against the favorite team.

[rachael9385]

I’ve been playing around with some numbers lately. Let’s say you have a $1,000 bankroll and you’re staking $50 per game. If you can keep a 55% win rate over 100 bets, that’s already around $500 profit. But if you stretch that to 1,000 bets, still at 55%, that turns into roughly $5,000 profit .. without even increasing your bet size.

That’s why I think the real edge comes from volume. If you’re confident in your skill, the more bets you take (with proper bankroll management of course), the more your edge compounds. It’s not about hitting one big parlay, it’s about letting the math play out over time.

Most bettors stop too early or get emotional after a few losses. But if you truly trust your process and your read on the games, the numbers show that consistency and volume are what separate skilled bettors from lucky ones.

Even though i have a strategy that I use constantly I'm not going to trust it totally, overconfidence actually kills when it comes to gambling. After a few losses there are things that should be assessed before you think of gambling again, and one of them is your bankroll. If you don't have enough money you can’t be consistent and a lot of times those that have enough staking power are capable of making profit

[Antotena]

That’s why I think the real edge comes from volume. If you’re confident in your skill, the more bets you take (with proper bankroll management of course), the more your edge compounds. It’s not about hitting one big parlay, it’s about letting the math play out over time.

Size doesn't matter if you got the skills, if you set up two accounts for 2 gamblers and fund the accounts with same amount of money and you give them a month to make 300% of the bankroll, you are going to have a discrepancy in the amount each gambler will bring in at the end of the month, it's possible for the two players to lose all the money and it's possible for one to succeed while the second lose and it's possible for the two to succeed, it's skill issues.

Most bettors stop too early or get emotional after a few losses. But if you truly trust your process and your read on the games, the numbers show that consistency and volume are what separate skilled bettors from lucky ones.

Sometimes you don't fault the players, they don't have much to lose. I feel it's better for a gambler to lose and walk away than for him to lose and go around to sort for money to gamble again. Sometimes walking away doesn't mean you have give up, a break gives you some energy to prepare and get back again, maybe the player has exhausted the money they have on them and have to wait until they have another money they want to use for bankroll.

[YOSHIE]

: If you really trust your skills, the key is to bet more, not less

Yes, that's good advice, have you ever heard of a tiger handler being torn to death by his pet tiger?
Well, that's the world of gambling, no matter how great our abilities are in carrying out gambling activities, we really can't beat the bookie, in gambling I think it doesn't work with the abilities we have, gambling really requires luck.

There is little evidence that yesterday's match between Madrid vs Barcelona, ​​many football experts, did the scores and predicted that Barcelona would win with a score of 2-1, but what happened was that Madrid managed to beat Barcelona with a score of 2-1, Madrid won absolutely, so confidence and predictive ability or belief in Barcelona collapsed. What's more, users played slots, dice, Roulette and so on.

[coin-investor]

I’ve been playing around with some numbers lately. Let’s say you have a $1,000 bankroll and you’re staking $50 per game. If you can keep a 55% win rate over 100 bets, that’s already around $500 profit. But if you stretch that to 1,000 bets, still at 55%, that turns into roughly $5,000 profit .. without even increasing your bet size.

That is, if that is the case for every betting session, every time you come to bet in casinos, the computation is good, but the scenario is speculative. When betting, you have to be flexible. What you offer is just one strategy, but when that scenario doesn't happen, you have to be flexible.

Most bettors stop too early or get emotional after a few losses. But if you truly trust your process and your read on the games, the numbers show that consistency and volume are what separate skilled bettors from lucky ones.

In a game of uncertainty, flexibility in how you bet and when you continue will save you. If you think it's the right time to stop, you're free to do so; if you feel you are doing it right, continue. 
The most important thing is that there is no regret about the outcome, whether you continue or quit.

[Orpichukwu]

I don't trust my skills when it comes to gambling because I believe there is no real skill involved in winning the sport betting, we can stretch the number of bets and also we can do the match but one loss can eat away the progress of 10 previous wins and if this keeps repeating then you are not going anywhere other than starting over and over.

One loss can indeed eat up the whole process, but that does not still mean there is no real prediction skill in sports betting; it just means winning can't always be guaranteed. The skill just tries to help you increase your chance of winning, which most of the time you do more than you lose, while there are also times when you will end up losing even more. Luck plays its own role, but that of skill is higher.

[348Judah]

Don't trust on your skills in gambling, because there are no perfect strategies to use in playing, despite all these years of experience, the time spent and the money used for this same purpose, we are bound to lose the more than to win, while a newbie may decided to join and play to win for the first time.

Strong advise, don't bet the more because you trusted on your skills in gambling, you may not want to get along with how it will ended for you when you play a bet you can't afford to lose, we take risk in gambling, playing bet could come as a win or lose game.