Do you bet against the public? let’s talk about it

[WhoYouCantKill]

The point is identifying when the public bias moves the line very far. Pro normally compare the percentage of bet to the percentage of money — when some bets are one sided yet the bigger share of money is on the other side, is a hint at sharp action. They also watch unexpected shifts in line not having major news and watch out for over rated teams or new trends moving casual money. Fading the public operates best when you find out the line is inflated, not only because of its popularity.

[Judith87403]

There are times that your instincts just tells you to go with an option that might seem funny to others but at the end of the day you might end up winning your bet. In gambling there's nothing that's impossible, even the more outrageous option that doesn't make sense to other gamblers has a chance.of playing out. Betting against the public sometimes isn't an easy choice but the results are always worth the risk

Yep, I think I have came across such thing before where two gamblers were having misconception in a particular game, the first was saying that A will be the winner why the second was going for B and funny enough B was the one that get it correctly so this drama is very common among gamblers that is why most gamblers don't like betting with friends or in a public place just to avoid this.

But in other hand I would say that betting in public is good most times let's say if the number of gamblers is 5-10 that is agitating over a particular game, surely they will be pointing on different source which 6 or more may likely get the Best analysis.

[coin-investor]

I want to know the details on what triggers your decision before placing the bet, not just the basic “because the public is on it.”

can we share some insights here, maybe we’ll pick up new ways to spot real value plays.

The only time I will bet against the public or the favorite is when I have inside knowledge of the matches. Still, if there is none,
I prefer to side with the public, because these people are also gamblers like me, who analyze games and have experience with betting and which team to bet.
It's hard to find value on your own because the betting public is also good and may even be better than you.

[kasablings]

It's all about your faith going against the public is not a bad idea but there must be a reason and you might have seen something deeper to be convinced to go against them,cause the public might be wrong too it happens so many times when betting in matches.

[Fivestar4everMVP]

i know abou this so-called betting against the public strategy. I kinda get the idea behind it like when the majority is leaning one side, the line tends to move and value might appear on the other. But I’d like to hear how others here actually apply it in real betting situations.

What specific factors do you look at before deciding to fade the public? Is it the percentage of bets vs. money or sharp line movement, or some team hype?
I want to know the details on what triggers your decision before placing the bet, not just the basic “because the public is on it.”

can we share some insights here, maybe we’ll pick up new ways to spot real value plays.

Well, for me, when it comes to sports betting, a simply analysis should tell me where to place my bet or who to place my bet on, my analysis is what determines whether I am going with the public or going against the public, I don't have to start explaining to you what analysis means or the type of analysis I carry out?

But yeah, analysis has to do with the general team stats, comparing the two teams playing using every available stats and then averaging and knowing who is better and have a better chance of winning the match, from analysis like this, I get to know whether to go with the public, or go against the public, it's as simple as this though a good and thorough analysis isn't simple..

[m2017]

i know abou this so-called betting against the public strategy. I kinda get the idea behind it like when the majority is leaning one side, the line tends to move and value might appear on the other. But I’d like to hear how others here actually apply it in real betting situations.

I'd consider some kind of combined betting strategy more reasonable than simply betting against the public. That is, first analyzing the current situation with a related sporting event and, as a supplement, "looking" at what the "public" is betting on. In other words, considering the public's opinion not as the primary factor, but only as secondary information.

What specific factors do you look at before deciding to fade the public? Is it the percentage of bets vs. money or sharp line movement, or some team hype?
I want to know the details on what triggers your decision before placing the bet, not just the basic “because the public is on it.”

Any hype surrounding an event, team, or sports figure should be viewed with caution, as it's likely to turn out to be a "losing" event. This is precisely because "the public is watching". A platitude is in order here, because what kind of "mathematical calculations" did you expect to hear? This is gambling-betting largely based on luck (chance), and accordingly, all predictions\bets are based on rather abstract factors.

[Fivestar4everMVP]

It's all about your faith going against the public is not a bad idea but there must be a reason and you might have seen something deeper to be convinced to go against them,cause the public might be wrong too it happens so many times when betting in matches.

Yeah, public several times are wrong and It has happened to me and one of the experiences was when I lost the highest amount ever I've ever lost in betting back in 2022 world Cup, Saudi Arabia against Argentina and Saudi Arabia ended up winning, meanwhile the public was heavily betting on Argentina but those who knew something many of us didn't know simply bet on Saudi and they won..

The above was a very bitter experience and this was how I learnt never to be confident in any team to best an opponent team, it taught me to be more open minded and give both side a fair chance, this will allow me to carry out a thorough analysis on both sides before finally concluding which side to put my bet on, and even after this, I still make sure to prepare myself to simply accept loss incase the other side I bet against ended up wining.

[goldkingcoiner]

i know abou this so-called betting against the public strategy. I kinda get the idea behind it like when the majority is leaning one side, the line tends to move and value might appear on the other. But I’d like to hear how others here actually apply it in real betting situations.

What specific factors do you look at before deciding to fade the public? Is it the percentage of bets vs. money or sharp line movement, or some team hype?
I want to know the details on what triggers your decision before placing the bet, not just the basic “because the public is on it.”

can we share some insights here, maybe we’ll pick up new ways to spot real value plays.

Sometimes people like to bet on the underdog. Or they think that betting on the opposite will yield them a larger winnings, which is true but far more unlikely to happen. Some people just tend to go against the flow their entire life, thinking it will make them more distinguished.

Personally, I do not dislike individuality, but when it comes to probabilities, the crowd is usually leaning in the right direction. Although there are times when the crowd is horribly horribly wrong. See any war atrocity throughout history ever.

[Muba20]

There are some bettors who try to place bets only by judging the team's ability. They think that the team with the most prominent players will win. On the other hand, some gamblers also consider the betting odds and the winning ratio on the team. Many try to place bets by taking risks. In the case of betting, there is often a difference from what the expectations of ordinary gamblers are. Some bettors make their betting decisions by looking at the gambling odds and the amount of the bet. If the gambler is smart enough, he will keep himself in his safe zone through low returns.

[danherbias07]

When I do this, I don't really have a good reason why. I mostly do it just for fun. But there were times that I really trusted a fighter, a player, or a team with their strength, and that mostly happens during Finals, Semi-Finals, or a championship of the sport.
When a team is a heavy underdog, that means they are not the people's choice. Here in our neighborhood, when someone asks me if I want to bet against them with the heavy favorite as their team, I take it. I will just take a "plus" like a spread before we make the deal. Like +5 or more before I take the deal. If they won't accept, then I'd rather place my money on an online sports bookie, and I get better profits for an ML.

I love betting on underdogs, that's all the reason.

[gunhell16]

i know abou this so-called betting against the public strategy. I kinda get the idea behind it like when the majority is leaning one side, the line tends to move and value might appear on the other. But I’d like to hear how others here actually apply it in real betting situations.

What specific factors do you look at before deciding to fade the public? Is it the percentage of bets vs. money or sharp line movement, or some team hype?
I want to know the details on what triggers your decision before placing the bet, not just the basic “because the public is on it.”

can we share some insights here, maybe we’ll pick up new ways to spot real value plays.

I'm not sure what exactly you're trying to point out about this matter, OP, because I don't really think about those kinds of situations when I'm gambling at this crypto casino that I often play at.
I don't really take my gambling that seriously.

Because I don't expect to win here, and besides that, sometimes yes I think 'I hope I get lucky this time when playing' but it's not a big deal to me even though I often lose when I gamble,
because what's important is that I'm enjoying myself and sometimes it also helps to relieve some of my problems too.

[CryptoHeadlineNews]

i know abou this so-called betting against the public strategy. I kinda get the idea behind it like when the majority is leaning one side, the line tends to move and value might appear on the other. But I’d like to hear how others here actually apply it in real betting situations.

What specific factors do you look at before deciding to fade the public? Is it the percentage of bets vs. money or sharp line movement, or some team hype?
I want to know the details on what triggers your decision before placing the bet, not just the basic “because the public is on it.”

can we share some insights here, maybe we’ll pick up new ways to spot real value plays.

As a gambler, I'm 100% sure some of us must have seen scenario whereby a team that was said to have a 70% success rate eventually loses to a team or club that was having a 30% success rate, of which sometimes this could have been as a result of their previous performances in there last game. And in some cases, that team or club that was said to have a 70% success rate might have a game odd between 1.4 to 1.7, unlike the club that was said to have a 30% success rate might have odd between 4 to 7 odds. And by placing a bet on a team which the majority least expected to win, you are indirectly playing against the public.  And this strategy usually work sometimes.

[Solosanz]

Honestly I think it could be a good idea.

Didn't we usually hear most people lose in gambling, then why not move the opposite against the public?

But make sure the option we bet only offer two choice "this or that", not 3 or more choices, because it will make us won't able to guess correctly.

I have never bet against the public, sometime the analysis by the public is good, but sometime I disagree.

[Woodie]

What I would consider betting against the public is betting against the bookies favourite, because it's just common sense that the public will feel more confident with going with the bookies favourite to give themselves a winning chance but it's not always the favourites that get to win. So yes I do get to go against the public when my gut feeling says other team has what it takes.

[Su-asa]

There are some bettors who try to place bets only by judging the team's ability. They think that the team with the most prominent players will win. On the other hand, some gamblers also consider the betting odds and the winning ratio on the team. Many try to place bets by taking risks. In the case of betting, there is often a difference from what the expectations of ordinary gamblers are. Some bettors make their betting decisions by looking at the gambling odds and the amount of the bet. If the gambler is smart enough, he will keep himself in his safe zone through low returns.

The fact that it's a little bit hard to check who's players is strong and healthy to play a game makes a lot of gamblers not to consider checking a team prominent players. I'm not actually saying gamblers dint check it anymore, am just saying that just few gamblers does so. While the rest of the gamblers consider the odds bet8 they make their decisions. However, as a gambler checking the risks in gamble should be your main priority before you stake so that you don't lose and regret later.

[Padi24]

For me I don't know if I'm betting against public or not because i can't stay in my comfort zone and also taking record of what is happening out there, so the answer is maybe" I'm betting against the public unknowingly since I bet from home i don't bet offline.

 but does it really matter whether betting against the public or not? For me I don't usually think about this while gambling because everyone is betting according to what they see from their research and it is almost impossible for everyone to make the same bet.

[Dickiy]

Most people will naturally favor the team that's statistically favored, but one thing we must remember is that this isn't a guarantee of victory. This means betting based on hype, according to the public's bets, can be wrong. The reason is that I often see favored teams lose to weaker teams, even when they're playing at home.
The ball is round, and anything can happen on the field, and it doesn't always depend on statistics. Sometimes small mistakes on the field can have major consequences, such as defeat. Therefore, when I bet, I don't let the public's decisions influence me.

[₿itcoin]

What specific factors do you look at before deciding to fade the public? Is it the percentage of bets vs. money or sharp line movement, or some team hype?
I want to know the details on what triggers your decision before placing the bet, not just the basic “because the public is on it.”

can we share some insights here, maybe we’ll pick up new ways to spot real value plays.

It is not just about betting against the crowd.  I look at two main things, reverse line movement, which indicates that sharp money is likely to be coming in when the line moves against the public &  betting splits, which show what percentage of tickets &  money are on each side.   I also keep an eye on the hype, if a well known team is gaining a lot of support from the public merely due to their name or media attention, that is cause for concern.   However, the truth is that it is not infallible, you need to exercise judgement &   not every public fade is a good strategy.

[Localhostspeed]

i know abou this so-called betting against the public strategy. I kinda get the idea behind it like when the majority is leaning one side, the line tends to move and value might appear on the other. But I’d like to hear how others here actually apply it in real betting situations.

What specific factors do you look at before deciding to fade the public? Is it the percentage of bets vs. money or sharp line movement, or some team hype?
I want to know the details on what triggers your decision before placing the bet, not just the basic “because the public is on it.”

can we share some insights here, maybe we’ll pick up new ways to spot real value plays.

I do bet against the public and that must be on my opinions and believe that such game is going to be worth it. If the public are assure of a game and I don't believe on their ideas, the best thing to do is to avoid the game, don't bet on it. It's not written anywhere that because everyone thinks that Arsenal is going to win their match against Tottenham and I don't think so and I also don't have any confidence that Tottenham are going to win the game, the best thing I will do is I'm going to walk away.

Haven't you see teams that everyone thinks that one particular team is going to win and then come the day of the match both teams draw, it happens every single time just like the way same Arsenal were able to draw with Sunderland last week. Sometimes, not getting yourself involved in all this gang betting is the best thing you can do for yourself. I do see some people go as far as betting on right score, I do think that only wizards can know how match are going to end.

[|MINER|]

Most people will naturally favor the team that's statistically favored, but one thing we must remember is that this isn't a guarantee of victory. This means betting based on hype, according to the public's bets, can be wrong. The reason is that I often see favored teams lose to weaker teams, even when they're playing at home.
The ball is round, and anything can happen on the field, and it doesn't always depend on statistics. Sometimes small mistakes on the field can have major consequences, such as defeat. Therefore, when I bet, I don't let the public's decisions influence me.

Actually I want to agree with you and at the same time I want to say that the majority public bets on the side of the team that they think is stronger in terms of strength and that is why the opposing team basically gets high odds. And in most cases it is seen that in such games the stronger team wins and the majority public wins the bet.
However, there are some exceptional matches where the underdog team wins, in which case it can be seen that maturity can also be achieved by betting against the people, but this is very relative, so I would say that I always consider it better to bet based on my own analysis.