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Author Topic: How Are Games Fixed and Which Markets Do They Target?  (Read 397 times)
libert19
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November 20, 2025, 12:47:53 PM
 #41

...Some people say player props are the usual target since you only need one guy to underperform a bit.

Yes, players are usually the target.

Quote
If anyone has seen real examples or read legit reports, feel free to share.

Look at this spot fixing incident from cricket: https://youtu.be/Uv8DgsHd7ko

Wiki: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pakistan_cricket_spot-fixing_scandal

There are several fixing incidents in cricket, but I am not aware of others as confirmed as this, so I am just mentioning this one.

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November 20, 2025, 12:57:03 PM
 #42

Since fixing is all over the place again, I kinda have an idea already, but maybe I’m missing a few things, so I’m wondering how these things actually happen in real cases and which betting markets they usually target.

Is point spread really the easiest to mess with, or do they go for totals since even small changes can flip everything?
Some people say player props are the usual target since you only need one guy to underperform a bit.

If anyone has seen real examples or read legit reports, feel free to share.

This is a murky area, and one can only guess at the actual situation, but as I understand it, everything depends on the sport. For example, in table tennis, a stronger player can ensure almost any outcome against an underdog—a confident victory, a close one, losing certain sets, or even the entire game. In football, it's different: it's difficult (and dangerous) to get the entire team involved, so they rely on specific markets where everything depends on the individual player. For example, yellow cards in a given minute, the number of fouls, etc.

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November 20, 2025, 02:21:26 PM
 #43


This is a murky area, and one can only guess at the actual situation, but as I understand it, everything depends on the sport. For example, in table tennis, a stronger player can ensure almost any outcome against an underdog—a confident victory, a close one, losing certain sets, or even the entire game. In football, it's different: it's difficult (and dangerous) to get the entire team involved, so they rely on specific markets where everything depends on the individual player. For example, yellow cards in a given minute, the number of fouls, etc.

Harder to do in team sports, easier in individual ones like tennis like you mentioned. But even in basketball, which I usually follow, they already have player props for almost every active player. So anyone on that roster has the chance to manipulate their performance just to make a bet win, either they place it through someone, or they’re working with someone who does.

It’s really hard to trace. Most of the time we only find out a game was fixed once it hits the news. Until then, we’re just stuck with speculation based on what we see and what we read.

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November 20, 2025, 02:23:55 PM
 #44

Since fixing is all over the place again, I kinda have an idea already, but maybe I’m missing a few things, so I’m wondering how these things actually happen in real cases and which betting markets they usually target.

Is point spread really the easiest to mess with, or do they go for totals since even small changes can flip everything?
Some people say player props are the usual target since you only need one guy to underperform a bit.

If anyone has seen real examples or read legit reports, feel free to share.
Match-fixing most often targets totals and player props because small, subtle actions like slowing the pace or having one player quietly underperform can swing the bet without affecting the final score, whereas manipulating point spreads typically requires multiple people and is much harder to execute without detection. I believed this happened or offered to star player who always got a good performance.

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November 20, 2025, 07:58:40 PM
 #45

They don't actually need to target any market. I assume what they usually do is get in communication with whichever market will agree with their offer. It's not a matter of which market is mostly targeted or not; it's a case of where these big players who go around agreeing on fixing games can get their best victim. From anywhere they consider perfect, they will approach, and the more unpredictably they move, the better for them.

 
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November 20, 2025, 09:01:19 PM
 #46


I wonder how many of us have already lost money on fixed matches.

So many have lost because of probability of match fixing and how you get to know is from what players say about the game at the end of FT. Some gamblers after the game have this strong conviction that they suspect the game to be a product of match fixing and they give instances of what happened that shouldn't have led to a goal or why a goal shouldn't have been scored. So there are different stories that makes the round why a game went south based on what they feel and also what the majority feels.
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November 20, 2025, 09:11:31 PM
 #47

If a match is fixed by some real powerful entity like a wealthy and well connected team owner, you will never know.

Their goal is not necessarily to just win through bets but also to keep their favourite teams afloat. For example if a league is full of trams that are willing to take a step back and let another team win when needed, if they're guaranteed a spot in the top league it's a win win. Because the smaller team keeps earning top league cash while the top team gets to secure it's spot more easily


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November 20, 2025, 09:19:07 PM
 #48

if you want to fix a match and make money, the easiest way to do so is through player bets. you may not always know the match result or the over/under bets, as these are not always within a player's control. however, it is easy to influence, for example, the number of fouls a player will commit or whether they will receive a yellow card.

when investigating betting fraud, especially when looking into bets placed by players, these are the things that require the most attention.

 
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November 20, 2025, 10:00:16 PM
 #49


If anyone has seen real examples or read legit reports, feel free to share.
Game fixing can happen anywhere. Sometime ago, I watched a podcast where the former NBA ref, Tim Donaghy was invited to. Tim Donaghy was jailed for engaging in games fixing. He admitted to betting on games he officiated along with other offences which he was guilty of. Tim Donaghy tried to influence most of the games and gave out private information to bettors. Games fixing can take any form, no matter the form, it remains illegal.

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November 20, 2025, 10:05:31 PM
 #50


If anyone has seen real examples or read legit reports, feel free to share.
Game fixing can happen anywhere. Sometime ago, I watched a podcast where the former NBA ref, Tim Donaghy was invited to. Tim Donaghy was jailed for engaging in games fixing. He admitted to betting on games he officiated along with other offences which he was guilty of. Tim Donaghy tried to influence most of the games and gave out private information to bettors. Games fixing can take any form, no matter the form, it remains illegal.

I’m not aware on this story but this open up to me on being doubtful to some referee officiating the game that do a bad call on some crucial game.

Their calls can affect the result of the game when done on the last minute when the score game is just a 1 possession ball.

This issue happened during 2007 based on my research. I wonder if the same manner of officiating NBA is the same now that challenge was already introduced.


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November 20, 2025, 10:21:30 PM
 #51

Since fixing is all over the place again, I kinda have an idea already, but maybe I’m missing a few things, so I’m wondering how these things actually happen in real cases and which betting markets they usually target.

Is point spread really the easiest to mess with, or do they go for totals since even small changes can flip everything?
Some people say player props are the usual target since you only need one guy to underperform a bit.

If anyone has seen real examples or read legit reports, feel free to share.

I haven't seen one but my experience and what I have read makes me believe that there are fix matches. It happened in big leagues, I have seen a player suspended in Seria A because he was involved in betting which is not allowed under the rule of Fifa, as a player you are not suppose to be gambling especially if the game involves you, some players do it hiddenly under the anonym of another players so they don't get notice but majorly it's easy to rig games in small league.

If you want to see how easy it's to manipulate games, go for leagues that are not given attention but recognized by casino, such leagues are easy to manipulate. I know some leagues are not been serous but there is nothing anyone will tell me that a league with two serious team will have 5 goals under 20 minutes, such games are not supposed to be in casino unless maybe casino list them to their own benefits, things like insider gambling where people are been tell how matches will end but tweak so that the mass will lose money to the casino.

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November 20, 2025, 10:21:57 PM
 #52

As far as I know match fixing usually target small sport leagues in developing countries, in which there is little or no law enforcement dedicated to punish crime syndicates which make their money by engaging in this illegal activities. It is less likely to see match fixing going on in major leagues which are played in countries where law enforcement take those criminal syndicates very seriously and where players caught in match fixing are banned from playing professionally and possibly thrown in prison.

Also, fixing does not necessarily need to involve sports, there have been some accusations going on in the world of beauty contests...

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November 20, 2025, 10:27:23 PM
 #53


If anyone has seen real examples or read legit reports, feel free to share.
Game fixing can happen anywhere. Sometime ago, I watched a podcast where the former NBA ref, Tim Donaghy was invited to. Tim Donaghy was jailed for engaging in games fixing. He admitted to betting on games he officiated along with other offences which he was guilty of. Tim Donaghy tried to influence most of the games and gave out private information to bettors. Games fixing can take any form, no matter the form, it remains illegal.

I’m not aware on this story but this open up to me on being doubtful to some referee officiating the game that do a bad call on some crucial game.

Their calls can affect the result of the game when done on the last minute when the score game is just a 1 possession ball.

This issue happened during 2007 based on my research. I wonder if the same manner of officiating NBA is the same now that challenge was already introduced.
You can search for Tim Donaghy on Facebook, that was where I watched him and got to know about him for the first time. Alot has been going on with the NBA, even recently. It is sad how some bad actors keep trying to ruin the reputation of good games like this and their platforms. The good thing is that the ones caught always get to be punished.

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November 20, 2025, 10:45:41 PM
 #54

Since fixing is all over the place again, I kinda have an idea already,
Fixing of games is not what’s always common, if it’s done then it’s always done hidden, because there is punishment for people that are caught, I don’t know why it’s common in your side. I don’t really know, but I haven’t heard about fixing of games before, maybe that’s rampant in your country, but in my country you will hardly hear that, or maybe the information doesn’t just get to me. Game fixing is what you will hardly hear about, because if you are caught involving yourself in things like that, you going to be punished, so I don’t really know how match fixing really looks like.

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November 20, 2025, 10:53:18 PM
 #55

Since fixing is all over the place again, I kinda have an idea already,
Fixing of games is not what’s always common, if it’s done then it’s always done hidden, because there is punishment for people that are caught, I don’t know why it’s common in your side. I don’t really know, but I haven’t heard about fixing of games before, maybe that’s rampant in your country, but in my country you will hardly hear that, or maybe the information doesn’t just get to me. Game fixing is what you will hardly hear about, because if you are caught involving yourself in things like that, you going to be punished, so I don’t really know how match fixing really looks like.
These are due to the fact that match-fixing is the activity where the risks are so high and therefore, they are likely to go undetected. Should these occurrences be more prevalent in a given area, it will imply that the extent of oversight is different across different countries. Most competitions in which federations engage practise these closely and thus, the perpetrators cannot easily conduct their activities openly. Consequently, the news of such unlawful activities is hardly exposed to the general community. It is possible that such issues sound strange or even unheard of when people are residing in a country with a strong system.

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