Will 2026 be green?

[Kaliandra]

However, we may not be able to see Bitcoin below $70k as most investors are anticipating for a bear market in 2026, and their getting ready to accumulate more. Most of us might just going to hold our bags, thus, causing Bitcoin's value not going to plunge deeper, like more than 50% from the ATH.

It's too early to say for sure that bitcoin won't fall below $70k if a bear market arrives. The market includes not only retail investors like us, but also whales, institutions, and market makers. They are the ones who drive market trends and volatility, not us. Therefore, even if we decide not to sell and buy more, but if they decide to sell massively to create panic in the market and buy back at a better price. In that case, a sharp drop in Bitcoin similar to previous cycles would be inevitable.

Not to mention, the market is heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors. And if the economy falls into recession, they may be forced to sell even more to keep the company afloat, and the situation will only get worse.


In my opinion, the view that Bitcoin will not fall below $70k is quite subjective.

We don't know what will happen in 2026 because, in my opinion, the price of BTC is currently very difficult to predict. Sometimes it drops significantly, causing many people to panic, but after a sharp decline, it eventually rises again and is very difficult to fall again. So, in essence, I think there are currently many people holding BTC, and many are accumulating BTC for the long term. Some time ago, I thought that if BTC fell below $100k, it would be easy for it to drop significantly, but currently, the price of BTC is around $92k, which is certainly a good thing. So, the point is that it may be difficult for BTC to fall below $70k in 2026.

However, if I were to predict, 2026 has the potential to see a drop below $70k because even though we continue to buy and hold the BTC we have, if people around the world panic and sell, then it is true, as you said, that BTC will fall below $70k. But I hope BTC doesn't fall below $70k because I also have BTC, even if it's only a little. However, in my opinion, BTC has the potential to fall below $40k but won't drop to the prices seen during the last bear market.

[Leahized]

The Bitcoin market has been in a downward spiral since November, and the market is not showing any good signs at the moment. The Bitcoin market did not reach a high in December and is still in a downward spiral. However, we can expect that the Bitcoin market will enter a good position in 2026. If the market position holds a green light at the beginning of the year, then we can expect the Bitcoin price to go up again. However, according to what we can see in the cycle, the market is more likely to enter a downward spiral, if the Bitcoin price does not increase at the beginning of the year, it may move towards a decline.

The entire comment here is probabilistic, so it is never possible to predict bitcoins accurately. However, in some cases, Bitcoin can be bullish. As we have been seeing for a month Bitcoin is down and there have been many declines. So it can be said that Bitcoin will move to a better position in 2026. This month, Bitcoin seems to be moving in a better position than before, and at times moving towards the downside. This makes me think it is very normal and volatility is an effect. Since the price of Bitcoin is already starting to increase, it can be said that Bitcoin will increase in price much more than it is currently. Since Bitcoin has repeated itself in the same cycle over and over again.

[Republikcoin.com]

Your prediction is very interesting. I think so too. Donald Trump is a key player here, with his controversial administration policies. The market will recover. I think it's appropriate to include Donald Trump as a factor in theoretical analysis. I sincerely hope Donald Trump continues to drive Bitcoin market growth with his policies. In the future, after he's gone, people will remember him, and Bitcoin will remain and be an asset that will support a country's economy. I remain optimistic that next year, in 2026, the market will be positive, and Bitcoin's price will reach above $140,000, with all the possibilities.

Speaking of possibilities, it's certainly possible that Bitcoin could reach the price you mentioned, but given the volatile nature of Bitcoin's price within the market, it seems like it will be a long time before the price recovers to that level from its current level. As for Donald Trump, he is only a president who may still have an influence on global market conditions including the crypto market, but his policies cannot always have a more significant influence on the Bitcoin market because Bitcoin still needs more encouragement from all new buyers in order to make a fairly strong price increase in the coming year.

[Cryptoprincess101]

Going by historical data of the price of bitcoin after a bullish year, the price of bitcoin will be bearish in 2026 but that doesn't mean that some part of 2026 won't be bullish but just that the major part will be bearish. That notwithstanding, the bears may not stay so long as it did in the past bear seasons, we might still see a bullish trend that will just last within a short interval of time, but the 3/4 of 2026 will probably be bearish and there after the price will start an uptrend again.

Historically, yes, since every after huge year for Bitcoin, a bearish trend will follow the next year, and the market usually remains bearish for most of the year.
However, we may not be able to see Bitcoin below $70k as most investors are anticipating for a bear market in 2026, and their getting ready to accumulate more. Most of us might just going to hold our bags, thus, causing Bitcoin's value not going to plunge deeper, like more than 50% from the ATH.

If a bear season happens, we don't know what level the price will reach to create an end point but saying that the price may not be able to reach $70k is what we cannot be able to figure out but don't you think that since the price of bitcoin could go below $85k in the last DIP, if a bear market begins it might go below $70k before it begins a retracement. You can't even say that most of us will hodl when the price begins to plummet because it's not everyone that are hodlers, some persons are traders such that when they see any sudden fall they will start to sell out of panic thereby causing the price to even go down more.

[Vaculin]

Just be very careful and not follow only what you see people saying, we are not sure if next year will be good for bitcoin or not, bit I know that if there is a bad time, it is an opportunity for people to buy bitcoin at low prices, the price will increase again. Nobody know yet if next year will be good or not.

Yes, no one can assure what will be year 2026 will be offering to bitcoin, but rest assured, whatever the market condition will be, whether bitcoin will stay bearish or bullish, people will always find good opportunity to enter the market and make good accumulation, because when bitcoin portfolio is already high, then there's no need to worry anymore if you sell a portion even if the price is currently low, you will not feel the loss that much. But I'm still hopeful that the market will turn green by 2026.

[ancafe]

There is a belief that this decline of the market points to a good market movement in the next year. I am quite conflicted now because mentally I was preparing for the four year cycle, bear run part of all of this and now there might be a possibility wherein bitcoin may recover. I am quite set with my plan but I also want to be flexible enough in case something unusual happen.

Don't just listen to other people's opinions; we must also understand Bitcoin's trajectory so that in conditions like this we don't panic unduly. Bitcoin's trajectory is indeed difficult to predict, but we can look at it based on past observations. If you're unsure about the current situation, learn to understand that Bitcoin always experiences a four-year period where the price can recover before experiencing a significant increase.

Even if Bitcoin moves lower next year than its current price, that should be the best opportunity to accumulate larger purchases, because at the right time, Bitcoin will certainly recover, as it did in previous cycles, leading to significant increases. Sometimes we have to be patient and wait because panic does not provide benefits in carrying out investments.

[SOKO-DEKE]

There is a belief that this decline of the market points to a good market movement in the next year. I am quite conflicted now because mentally I was preparing for the four year cycle, bear run part of all of this and now there might be a possibility wherein bitcoin may recover. I am quite set with my plan but I also want to be flexible enough in case something unusual happen.

What I will just say is that don’t follow people personal decisions and go ahead to make wrong decisions. Making wrong investment decisions will surely make you regret it later. So my advice to you is to do your own research and invest based on your own research, with an amount you know you can afford to lose.

The reason why I am saying this is that Bitcoin is unpredictable. Every direction Bitcoin’s price takes, people always predict it, and at the end of the day, they always get it wrong. It is only a few people that get it right and that happens once in a while. For example, if they predict Bitcoin’s price ten times, it is not possible for them to be right every time; they may only get one prediction right.As far as nobody is in control of Bitcoin, that means nobody can predict it accurately. So I advise you to take your eyes off people predictions.

[Republikcoin.com]

Nobody can really predict 2026, but accumulation over time has proven to work for a lot of people. If someone has a solid BTC stack already, selling small portions during dips doesn’t hurt as much, like you said. Imo the key is having a plan and not just reacting to the thread hype. DYOR and stick to it.

Selling when the price drops will clearly be detrimental, even if it's only a portion of the amount you've already held. Because if you want to sell, everyone would naturally prefer to sell when the price is rising, rather than when it's falling, even though that seems perfectly acceptable to those willing to do so. However, when it comes to effectiveness, selling when the price is rising is clearly slightly better than selling when it's falling. I also can't make a more precise Bitcoin price prediction for now, let alone for next year, when the conditions are still unknown.

[armanda90]

Don't just listen to other people's opinions; we must also understand Bitcoin's trajectory so that in conditions like this we don't panic unduly. Bitcoin's trajectory is indeed difficult to predict, but we can look at it based on past observations. If you're unsure about the current situation, learn to understand that Bitcoin always experiences a four-year period where the price can recover before experiencing a significant increase.

Even if Bitcoin moves lower next year than its current price, that should be the best opportunity to accumulate larger purchases, because at the right time, Bitcoin will certainly recover, as it did in previous cycles, leading to significant increases. Sometimes we have to be patient and wait because panic does not provide benefits in carrying out investments.

I can't acceptable why many people easily listening to the other opinion about bitcoin price exactly any bad news and possibility make bitcoin get more lower price later, I think its wrong opinion indeed bitcoin has downtrend moment but can't make bitcoin has significant dumping for next year. Something miss by many people during bitcoin get decrease to lower price why not take decision to accumulate and invest as many possibility depend on financial condition than panic moment by listening bad opinion about bitcoin.

I started investing in bitcoin during many people get panic moment exactly when bitcoin decreasing around $80k, there are not any reason yet why not investing and keep accumulate in bitcoin because many people panic to sell at lower price become great opportunity for us to buy back many bitcoin as possibility.

[Powerjumboo]

Just be very careful and not follow only what you see people saying, we are not sure if next year will be good for bitcoin or not, bit I know that if there is a bad time, it is an opportunity for people to buy bitcoin at low prices, the price will increase again. Nobody know yet if next year will be good or not.

The predictions we make here are just guesses. We make predictions with guesses where sometimes we can reach close or even more, but anyway if bad times come then it is definitely the right time for us to invest because the price of Bitcoin we saw an all-time high of $126,000 at one time, from there if Bitcoin comes down to a very low price then people will no longer be afraid of Bitcoin and will be able to invest without fear, especially if Bitcoin comes down to a very low price then I will definitely take advantage of that opportunity. I will not expect a low price just to invest, of course I hope next year 2026 will be a very good year for Bitcoin.

[Jostern]

November 2025 is on its way to be the worst November of bitcoin since 2018 according to crypto educator Sumit Kapoor. We investors have been used to the four year cycle where the year end part looks green, green, green but now we are taken by surprise because November has been bad. Lots of people are believing that this is an early sign of bear cycle. The next year might be the time where bitcoin starts declining before rising again in a few years. Surprisingly, this is not the case for some.

“While November will be printing in the red for crypto, the capitulation signals an opportunity for smart investors to start buying back in,” LVRG research director Nick Ruck told Cointelegraph.

https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-likely-on-track-worst-november-in-7-years-analysts

There is a belief that this decline of the market points to a good market movement in the next year. I am quite conflicted now because mentally I was preparing for the four year cycle, bear run part of all of this and now there might be a possibility wherein bitcoin may recover. I am quite set with my plan but I also want to be flexible enough in case something unusual happen.

First off who cares about 2026.

You should lock this and do a new thread

 "will 2025 end up over 107k"

Then do open this thread back up in 2026.

I totally agree with what you are saying, well for now I absolutely don’t give a fuck about 2026 and whatever that year has to bring, but just like we have to understand we wouldn’t really understand whatever he seems to be talking about for creating this thread, most especially for now that bitcoin is fluctuating.

We all know that bitcoin price can be very unpredictable so next year we would not really know what is actually happening with bitcoin for now, we just have to hope that bitcoin should end above the 100k level, nobody will know about this but that is what we should be talking about.

[Fadhil Pahlawadi]

The predictions we make here are just guesses. We make predictions with guesses where sometimes we can reach close or even more, but anyway if bad times come then it is definitely the right time for us to invest because the price of Bitcoin we saw an all-time high of $126,000 at one time, from there if Bitcoin comes down to a very low price then people will no longer be afraid of Bitcoin and will be able to invest without fear, especially if Bitcoin comes down to a very low price then I will definitely take advantage of that opportunity. I will not expect a low price just to invest, of course I hope next year 2026 will be a very good year for Bitcoin.

Take advantage of low prices, or even if you have some funds saved, it's better to buy more Bitcoin when the price is below what we usually buy. Those of us who have been involved in this investment forum for a long time will no longer feel afraid, as we understand that the Bitcoin we bought and invested in will one day rise again in the future. Therefore, we need to be brave when the market price drops to very low levels.

And I've seen the price at the beginning of October, which was very significant. If we had invested in Bitcoin at that time, we would have made significant profits. So, now that the price is at a low point, it's better to continue buying, as the situation will change after the Christmas celebrations at the end of this year.

[dunfida]

The predictions we make here are just guesses. We make predictions with guesses where sometimes we can reach close or even more, but anyway if bad times come then it is definitely the right time for us to invest because the price of Bitcoin we saw an all-time high of $126,000 at one time, from there if Bitcoin comes down to a very low price then people will no longer be afraid of Bitcoin and will be able to invest without fear, especially if Bitcoin comes down to a very low price then I will definitely take advantage of that opportunity. I will not expect a low price just to invest, of course I hope next year 2026 will be a very good year for Bitcoin.

Take advantage of low prices, or even if you have some funds saved, it's better to buy more Bitcoin when the price is below what we usually buy. Those of us who have been involved in this investment forum for a long time will no longer feel afraid, as we understand that the Bitcoin we bought and invested in will one day rise again in the future. Therefore, we need to be brave when the market price drops to very low levels.

And I've seen the price at the beginning of October, which was very significant. If we had invested in Bitcoin at that time, we would have made significant profits. So, now that the price is at a low point, it's better to continue buying, as the situation will change after the Christmas celebrations at the end of this year.

The way you framed it is exactly how long-term thinkers survive this market. Every prediction here is ultimately just a guess no matter how confident we sound. The only things we can rely on are the patterns we’ve seen over time and our own ability to stay calm when the market moves against us.

When Bitcoin reaches levels like $126000 then falls sharply people panic because they entered late or they never mentally prepared for volatility. But when the price comes down far enough the fear fades for those who understand the asset. Cheap prices become an opportunity not a threat. The lower it goes the more confident experienced holders feel because they know Bitcoin has recovered from every collapse in its history and gone on to make new highs. Taking advantage of low prices is the mindset that actually works over multiple cycles. If you have funds saved you buy gradually at lower levels. You don’t wait for the perfect bottom because nobody ever sees it in real time. And like you mentioned those of us who have been here long enough don’t panic when price dips deeply because we know that patience always pays better than reacting emotionally.

[ancafe]

I can't acceptable why many people easily listening to the other opinion about bitcoin price exactly any bad news and possibility make bitcoin get more lower price later, I think its wrong opinion indeed bitcoin has downtrend moment but can't make bitcoin has significant dumping for next year. Something miss by many people during bitcoin get decrease to lower price why not take decision to accumulate and invest as many possibility depend on financial condition than panic moment by listening bad opinion about bitcoin.  

This is a difficult issue to address because sometimes people are misled by misinformation about Bitcoin's trajectory, and ultimately, negative news leads novice investors to take actions that can result in losses. Both downward and upward trends are common in the market, so experienced investors may not be as affected and instead take advantage of potential declines to make purchases as an investment strategy.

This also demonstrates the importance of knowledge before engaging in investment, as sometimes decisions based on poor judgment can lead to ineffective actions. This is especially true regarding negative news circulating on the internet, which if not properly verified, can cause problems for the investment journey.

[AmaGold70]

The best thing to do now is to be ready at all times for any surprises from Bitcoin, next might or might not be nice for Bitcoin but whatever happens shouldn't stop you from believing in Bitcoin and accumulating more if you can. The year is almost over and yet there's no sign of positivity in the market and there are lots of speculation already but don't be misled by any negative information you see anywhere just focus on your goals and don't stop what you have started already and personally I have choose to be positive that next year is going to be green but at the same time I'm ready for any surprises.

[fuguebtc]

The best thing to do now is to be ready at all times for any surprises from Bitcoin, next might or might not be nice for Bitcoin but whatever happens shouldn't stop you from believing in Bitcoin and accumulating more if you can. The year is almost over and yet there's no sign of positivity in the market and there are lots of speculation already but don't be misled by any negative information you see anywhere just focus on your goals and don't stop what you have started already and personally I have choose to be positive that next year is going to be green but at the same time I'm ready for any surprises.

Similarly, I will maintain an optimistic attitude because Bitcoin often delivers surprises, and a pessimistic attitude would not be beneficial to my investment. But yes, anything can happen. So as real investors, we shouldn't be pessimistic, but we should also avoid blind and excessive optimism. We should always prepare for the worst-case scenario, instead of just betting on what we want to believe.

The market is unpredictable, so as investors, what we should do is prepare instead of trying to predict and blindly trust.

[Oluwa-btc]

My advice for you OP is to focus on building your portfolio in bitcoin. There is no-one that can speculate the price of bitcoin  correctly . The fact that there was a dip in this month of November didn't really change or mean that next will be bear season throughout. Most of this people you mentioned, there speculation is based on past history or past performance of bitcoin. Sometimes there may be a change that these people may not be expecting. The most important thing is to make such that you are growing your bitcoin investment

No matter what has happened to Bitcoin's price over the years or the previous years,it still doesn't end it.Perhaps no forecast is certain,many analysts still expect Bitcoin could be green potentially and significantly in 2026 especially if positive results persists.No one knows how all these will play out, that's why predictions vary widely.

[DaNNy001]

The best thing to do now is to be ready at all times for any surprises from Bitcoin, next might or might not be nice for Bitcoin but whatever happens shouldn't stop you from believing in Bitcoin and accumulating more if you can. The year is almost over and yet there's no sign of positivity in the market and there are lots of speculation already but don't be misled by any negative information you see anywhere just focus on your goals and don't stop what you have started already and personally I have choose to be positive that next year is going to be green but at the same time I'm ready for any surprises.

Next year is a puzzling year for Bitcoin because almost everyone is not entirely sure of what might become of the price whether it's gonna pump or dump but regardless just as you sighted whatever the outcome it still gonna be down to the time frame because if the price dips, investors with long term plan will be very happy to buy and keep holding so that the next circle again their profit would have been crazily high but not same goes for the short term investors as the price dip will do more harm for them.

[Orpichukwu]

Nobody can really predict 2026, but accumulation over time has proven to work for a lot of people. If someone has a solid BTC stack already, selling small portions during dips doesn’t hurt as much, like you said. Imo the key is having a plan and not just reacting to the thread hype. DYOR and stick to it.

Selling a little won't hurt if you hold a lot of bitcoin, but I don't ever consider selling below the purchase price as something wise to do unless the person is left with only that option to solve a pressing need; if not, it's rather okay to endure the pain and wait for a bounce back than to sell and wait for the right time to rebuy.

[serjent05]

There is a belief that this decline of the market points to a good market movement in the next year. I am quite conflicted now because mentally I was preparing for the four year cycle, bear run part of all of this and now there might be a possibility wherein bitcoin may recover. I am quite set with my plan but I also want to be flexible enough in case something unusual happen.

Remember, this is just a belief, and nothing is set in stone yet.  This speculation of green 2026 might be red instead.  I will always expect the previous pattern and will just act accordingly.  It is better to expect the worst than to be caught unprepared while expecting the next year to be green.

And you are right to be flexible in this kind of highly volatile market where the next trend is still unknown.