I would agree with you if we were already in a bear market, but I don't think that's the situation right now. Because I believe the market remains the same, the overall market structure hasn't changed much, and when a bear market arrives, it will be as harsh as ever. I don't believe in theories like "this time will be different" just because organizations or companies are involved.
However, I think we haven't entered a bear market yet, and the market's upward momentum hasn't completely disappeared. Therefore, it's too early to say that Bitcoin will never surpass $120k until the next halving.
I understand your sentiment here bro, and your point is quite valid, we are not going to conclude yet because Bitcoin is expected to test the $78k support on the monthly timeframe, so if it can break and close below it, then it will be obvious that the bear market is in full swing, but if it reversed from there after finish testing that point, then let's be assured that it may reverse and get up to that $120k mark or even more than that figure the op think it's impossible, but I wouldn't be that bothered about this because the goal is to hold for years, not by looking too deep into what the value of Bitcoin is doing now.