Bitcoin speculation thread for January 2026

[As-Soon-As]

Although it will good to DCA this year and prepare for 2027.

The beginning of January 2026 is very good for Bitcoin because the price of Bitcoin has touched $92K, and this year and next 2027 are not only for this period, if you have to do the DCA method, then it is best to follow the DCA method for a few years. Because it is natural that the price of Bitcoin will increase gradually, so according to any market situation, it is a very good idea to buy Bitcoin following the DCA method at the present time.

[bbc.reporter]

The Donald's attack on Venezuela and the extraction of Maduro was very good because he has done this on Saturday hehehhe. This implies there will be less dumps and panic on the market.

If the Donald has done this similar to what he has done on Iran, we might witness a big dump on the stock market and this will also cause a big dump on bitcoin.

As far as I recall, in the past, even when news related to the trade war was released over the weekend, Bitcoin experienced significant volatility. But surprisingly, hours have passed since news broke about the US invasion of Venezuela, yet the entire market seem largely unconcerned. However, it is still too early to conclude that the market will not be affected because today is not only the weekend but the New Year holiday period has not yet fully ended. At the very least, we need to wait until the beginning of the week when global stock market reopen.

Political and economic instability has never been good for bitcoin and speculative asset. Indeed, it is truly concerning for what is about to unfold.

I had expected Bitcoin to recover to $100k this month, but perhaps I need to reconsider.

It appears that after 2 days on the attack on Venezuela and the extraction of Maduro, the market were very much unconcerned hehehe. Does this imply that future attacks from America will also be not concerning to the market anymore?

In any case, according to some articles, it was the Delta Force that extracted Maduro with the help of the CIA who were there in Venezuela gathering intelligence since August 2025. This very much makes me want to watch the movie Sicario again hehehehehehe.

[Raytheon]

It appears that after 2 days on the attack on Venezuela and the extraction of Maduro, the market were very much unconcerned hehehe. Does this imply that future attacks from America will also be not concerning to the market anymore?

Yes, I think market won't care anymore. The US will only choose some small and sure-to-win target like Cuba. Trump is smart enough to avoid a long lasting battle with a powerful or complicated target like Ukraine. If have to, he will likely take part in like a third party, in the role of a supportive country. Meanwhile, he has a lot to do with the US economy (inflation, tariffs...).
Bitcoin has gone through a lot of more serious FUDs and wars, too. So if it's not WW3, then I believe crypto market won't likely be much impacted by some flash or small attacks.

[reagansimms]

It appears that after 2 days on the attack on Venezuela and the extraction of Maduro, the market were very much unconcerned hehehe. Does this imply that future attacks from America will also be not concerning to the market anymore?

The market value was not much affected after the US attack on Venezuela, even at the time of writing this post, Bitcoin current value is soaring above $93k. In my opinion, after the attack, the Bitcoin market started to mature and was not as sensitive to geopolitics as before. However, I dare not say that future US attacks will not impact Bitcoin because each attack can be different, can get a different response and can affect the Bitcoin market in different ways, especially since the Bitcoin market is known to be very volatile. So, it is crucial for investors to constantly monitor the situation and adjust their investment strategies to manage risk if the market direction suddenly changes.

[Dave1]

It appears that after 2 days on the attack on Venezuela and the extraction of Maduro, the market were very much unconcerned hehehe. Does this imply that future attacks from America will also be not concerning to the market anymore?

The market value was not much affected after the US attack on Venezuela, even at the time of writing this post, Bitcoin current value is soaring above $93k. In my opinion, after the attack, the Bitcoin market started to mature and was not as sensitive to geopolitics as before. However, I dare not say that future US attacks will not impact Bitcoin because each attack can be different, can get a different response and can affect the Bitcoin market in different ways, especially since the Bitcoin market is known to be very volatile. So, it is crucial for investors to constantly monitor the situation and adjust their investment strategies to manage risk if the market direction suddenly changes.

They say that Trump did find a way to pump Bitcoin market with his recent military attack on Venezuela as we have seen that it pump back to $93k. The question is if this pump sustainable or not? Maybe it was just a fake breakout because of this news because once everything has settled down, we might go back to ~90k again and then the bearish season starts to show it's sign.

Unless Trump invades another country like he mentioned in Cuba and Colombia. But still though this kind of military action is not sustainable as it's going to be 50/50. Some might be happy what Trump is doing, but there could be others on the side of opposing this kind of intervention on a sovereign nation.

[BABY SHOES]

They say that Trump did find a way to pump Bitcoin market with his recent military attack on Venezuela as we have seen that it pump back to $93k. The question is if this pump sustainable or not? Maybe it was just a fake breakout because of this news because once everything has settled down, we might go back to ~90k again and then the bearish season starts to show it's sign.

Look at the price now bitcoin is dropping again... I'm not sure about Trump's attack on Venezuela as a way to pump up bitcoin in his own way, is it possible that others always associate this with Trump because of his past political statements?

Unless Trump invades another country like he mentioned in Cuba and Colombia. But still though this kind of military action is not sustainable as it's going to be 50/50. Some might be happy what Trump is doing, but there could be others on the side of opposing this kind of intervention on a sovereign nation.

Other countries will oppose the aggressive behavior of the US military who invaded too much, this will be a world condemnation. And I'm not sure that action can affect the price of bitcoin because of Trump's behavior.

[coolcoinz]

^
Condemnation? That's funny.
Like the world condemned Israel? They even put the president on a wanted list and nobody cares, he still flies around the world and nobody dares to arrest him.

The world also condemned Russian attack on Ukraine and what? It's still ongoing 3 years later.

Superpowers are able to do whatever they please and they are learning that the only thing that can stop them is another superpower. That's why Russia is now openly talking about capturing presidents of other countries like Germany. China is again claiming that Taiwan belongs to them and so on...
If it continues, eventually all smaller countries will become vassals to a few larger ones, unless they can group up and develop weapons together like the EU. Countries too small and too poor to do research and increase their own military power, for instance through nuclear weapons, will eventually be conquered.

As for bitcoin, I feel like the attack had nothing to do with it. The bears failed to break the support and take bitcoin below 85k so the only way left was up. Bitcoin can't and won't stay at the same price for linger than a few months.

[Churchillvv]

The slight upward movement that bitcoin has made in my opinion is a tricky move that can put one in a destabilizing state if they attempt to see it as bullish move, become its shows that it’s so temporary that no one knows when it’s going to make a retracement but I believe that it’s just another opportunity to take profit if you had not done that before when it was above 90k do you can do that and get ready to stack up again till next year when holding the main stash.

[bbc.reporter]

It appears that after 2 days on the attack on Venezuela and the extraction of Maduro, the market were very much unconcerned hehehe. Does this imply that future attacks from America will also be not concerning to the market anymore?

Yes, I think market won't care anymore. The US will only choose some small and sure-to-win target like Cuba. Trump is smart enough to avoid a long lasting battle with a powerful or complicated target like Ukraine. If have to, he will likely take part in like a third party, in the role of a supportive country. Meanwhile, he has a lot to do with the US economy (inflation, tariffs...).
Bitcoin has gone through a lot of more serious FUDs and wars, too. So if it's not WW3, then I believe crypto market won't likely be much impacted by some flash or small attacks.

I reckon if it was America that attacked Ukraine, we would have witnessed Zelenskyy extracted from his house and living in an American prison already hehehehehh.

On the market, it appears that this might become complicated if the American government will not follow the Donald's command on creating a strategic reserve for bitcoin. Their department of justice has dumped the bitcoin that they have received from the Samourai wallet developers.



The US isn’t doing enough to stack its sats.

That’s according to one of Washington’s most pro-Bitcoin senators, Cynthia Lummis, who said Tuesday that she was “deeply concerned” about the government reportedly liquidating seized coins.

Following a report by Bitcoin Magazine that the Department of Justice had gotten rid of the Bitcoin seized in a criminal case, Senator Lummis said on X that the feds should be doing more to build up their crypto reserves.

“Why is the US gov still liquidating Bitcoin when @POTUS explicitly directed [that] these assets be preserved for our Strategic Bitcoin Reserve?” Senator Lummis wrote, referring to the Samourai Wallet case.

Read in full https://www.dlnews.com/articles/regulation/cynthia-lummis-worried-over-btc-sales-from-samorai-wallet/

[Roseline492]

They say that Trump did find a way to pump Bitcoin market with his recent military attack on Venezuela as we have seen that it pump back to $93k. The question is if this pump sustainable or not? Maybe it was just a fake breakout because of this news because once everything has settled down, we might go back to ~90k again and then the bearish season starts to show it's sign.

Unless Trump invades another country like he mentioned in Cuba and Colombia. But still though this kind of military action is not sustainable as it's going to be 50/50. Some might be happy what Trump is doing, but there could be others on the side of opposing this kind of intervention on a sovereign nation.

But we have not getting any pump yet, was is it not supposed to be immediately after the attack because is been days now the attack took place and there is no pump in Bitcoin price, do you believe he has actually find how to use it to rise Bitcoin?, although we didn't see the price before the attack again till now because it actually increase but not considered as pump, if it was a pump by now it wouldn't have been anywhere close to $92k, except he is still planning to do it. However all this country you mentioned dose he also have plans in attacking them?.

[Bitcoin_people]

Looking at the Bitcoin market candles, it seems that we are going to touch $100k very soon as the market has entered a lot of upside. The Bitcoin market is increasing again just as it fell this month, and it seems that the market is starting to rise higher for a few days. However, if we analyze the Bitcoin market according to the chart, it can be seen that it will definitely enter a recession, but if Bitcoin can be purchased in the DCA method for 2027, it will definitely be profitable. I believe that a good time will await those who will buy in the DCA method. It would be good to invest for the long term from the current time of the Bitcoin market.

[cxtreenal]

It appears that after 2 days on the attack on Venezuela and the extraction of Maduro, the market were very much unconcerned hehehe. Does this imply that future attacks from America will also be not concerning to the market anymore?

The market value was not much affected after the US attack on Venezuela, even at the time of writing this post, Bitcoin current value is soaring above $93k. In my opinion, after the attack, the Bitcoin market started to mature and was not as sensitive to geopolitics as before. However, I dare not say that future US attacks will not impact Bitcoin because each attack can be different, can get a different response and can affect the Bitcoin market in different ways, especially since the Bitcoin market is known to be very volatile. So, it is crucial for investors to constantly monitor the situation and adjust their investment strategies to manage risk if the market direction suddenly changes.

They say that Trump did find a way to pump Bitcoin market with his recent military attack on Venezuela as we have seen that it pump back to $93k. The question is if this pump sustainable or not? Maybe it was just a fake breakout because of this news because once everything has settled down, we might go back to ~90k again and then the bearish season starts to show it's sign.

Unless Trump invades another country like he mentioned in Cuba and Colombia. But still though this kind of military action is not sustainable as it's going to be 50/50. Some might be happy what Trump is doing, but there could be others on the side of opposing this kind of intervention on a sovereign nation.

It probably worked. America will benefit from Trump having the power to decide on Venezuela 300 billion-plus barrels of oil reserves. It's not like America will take it for free, they will set the price and increase the Federal Reserve. By controlling the oil market, America wants to become a stronger financial power. They already influence the price of every commodity on the world market. Another powerful hedge to increase their power is added to their economy. Bitcoin pumping is intensifying and will cross $100k at any moment.

Trump has imposed control over Venezuela oil to further strengthen his country's financial security and will in the future seize Greenland and establish sole control over the mineral resources there. Trump's strategy for his country's financial security is, according to some analysts, an attack on sovereignty and he is using his own country's laws to justify it.

[Lucky_V]

It appears that after 2 days on the attack on Venezuela and the extraction of Maduro, the market were very much unconcerned hehehe. Does this imply that future attacks from America will also be not concerning to the market anymore?

The market value was not much affected after the US attack on Venezuela, even at the time of writing this post, Bitcoin current value is soaring above $93k. In my opinion, after the attack, the Bitcoin market started to mature and was not as sensitive to geopolitics as before. However, I dare not say that future US attacks will not impact Bitcoin because each attack can be different, can get a different response and can affect the Bitcoin market in different ways, especially since the Bitcoin market is known to be very volatile. So, it is crucial for investors to constantly monitor the situation and adjust their investment strategies to manage risk if the market direction suddenly changes.

They say that Trump did find a way to pump Bitcoin market with his recent military attack on Venezuela as we have seen that it pump back to $93k. The question is if this pump sustainable or not? Maybe it was just a fake breakout because of this news because once everything has settled down, we might go back to ~90k again and then the bearish season starts to show it's sign.

Unless Trump invades another country like he mentioned in Cuba and Colombia. But still though this kind of military action is not sustainable as it's going to be 50/50. Some might be happy what Trump is doing, but there could be others on the side of opposing this kind of intervention on a sovereign nation.

It probably worked. America will benefit from Trump having the power to decide on Venezuela 300 billion-plus barrels of oil reserves. It's not like America will take it for free, they will set the price and increase the Federal Reserve. By controlling the oil market, America wants to become a stronger financial power. They already influence the price of every commodity on the world market. Another powerful hedge to increase their power is added to their economy. Bitcoin pumping is intensifying and will cross $100k at any moment.

Trump has imposed control over Venezuela oil to further strengthen his country's financial security and will in the future seize Greenland and establish sole control over the mineral resources there. Trump's strategy for his country's financial security is, according to some analysts, an attack on sovereignty and he is using his own country's laws to justify it.

judging with the bitcoin market right now there is a bearish market but I strongly believe bitcoin will be over $126k by the end of the year ,I don't see it happening so quick but I strongly believe bitcoin will bounce back before the ending of the .
At some point bitcoin was $30k and crashed back to $16k before rising back so this is not the first time we're experiencing this bearish market but as it always ends bitcoin will bounce back and hit new ATH

[Osiokwudiri]

If Bitcoin remains below $100k, accumulation makes sense. The green market and $90k breakout are positives, but I'm unsure about this year's trajectory. When's the best buy-in price before a potential dip?

2026's start seems like a prime buying opportunity – missing it could be a mistake with Bitcoin still under $100k. I expect a bounce-back and $100k breakthrough this quarter, with the price stabilizing unlike recent quick corrections.

[Kelward]

What I think is that bitcoin price might later fall this month from what I saw on monthly candles. What do you people think? I might be wrong.

Although it will good to DCA this year and prepare for 2027.

On new year day you speculated that Bitcoin price will fall in this month and here we are on the last day of January, your prediction wasn't disappointing, what I think about it's price doesn't matter now because reality speaks for itself. If you're not planning to take profit then it's a good time to focus on buying the dip, I may sound pessimistic but I don't see Bitcoin performing magic by reaching ATH anytime soon. This is just speculations, we are all free to express our predictions, it means that we don't control the market and the events that manipulates price are only for the shortest time. Let us watch and see what February, brings.

[Nwada001]

If Bitcoin remains below $100k, accumulation makes sense. The green market and $90k breakout are positives, but I'm unsure about this year's trajectory. When's the best buy-in price before a potential dip?

2026's start seems like a prime buying opportunity – missing it could be a mistake with Bitcoin still under $100k. I expect a bounce-back and $100k breakthrough this quarter, with the price stabilizing unlike recent quick corrections.

With the level at which the market has just dumped to today, it’s really a buy-in time, but we can’t tell to what length it can get down to since it has gone below $80k. I just can’t predict. We are directly now into the bear market, and it came very fast just before the end of the first month of 2026. Anyone who has plans to buy can at least start accumulating, but bear in mind that it could still go below what we are already seeing this night.

[AakZaki]

I think doing DCA right now is too early, although maybe in the short term there will be a mild bounce. because Bitcoin is currently in a bearish trend, if referring to the previous cycle this bearish trend could have happened in a long time it could be a year.

That's why I haven't bought Bitcoin since the beginning of October last year, although the decline continues. since then I am still waiting for the Price to be completely confirmed to be Bullish. But what is happening now seems to be getting worse. When I look at its worst potential indicator, if this bearish continues its final goal 44K$ is the last one. but hopefully never to that price again.

[barbara44]

Obviously it was lower and we all knew it, no idea why people assumed any different because it can't be any different, it has to be the same thing and can't be higher. People somehow had hopes but the reality is that we are in the bear year and every single 4 years we have the same cycle and for some reason people still doubt it.

We knew it would go down, and it did and now we have to realize that it will keep going down even further. Just reaching 80k levels is not enough, it is going to go down, all the way down to like 50k and even lower, so it is not going to be easy at all. We have to learn that we are going to make some losses during this time but we can also do DCA and collect more bitcoin and get ready for the next bull run.

[Ndabagi01]

You were right, the month of January was a month that really had many of us shocking even though most of us didn’t have hope that Bitcoin may cross above $100K and the bear market was already imminent. We have seen how the market has transgressed from the first week of January to the last week, it clearly shows that Bitcoin is losing its might and will continue to fall further if we’re not careful. The bears happen to have more power in the market than the bulls, so definitely the market is going to remain sideways and favour the bears much more than the bulls.

[m2017]

You were right, the month of January was a month that really had many of us shocking even though most of us didn’t have hope that Bitcoin may cross above $100K and the bear market was already imminent.

No! I was hoping to see the $100k number. I expected it to be unlikely, but I still kept hoping for a miracle. Even though I sensed the bears approaching.

We have seen how the market has transgressed from the first week of January to the last week, it clearly shows that Bitcoin is losing its might and will continue to fall further if we’re not careful. The bears happen to have more power in the market than the bulls, so definitely the market is going to remain sideways and favour the bears much more than the bulls.

I didn't understand a word of your gibberish, as it sounds like astrologers saying that Mars is in Taurus, which inevitably means the day will be cloudy and rainy, meaning you won't have any luck that day because you forgot your umbrella.

It's time to open a separate thread about speculation about bitcoin for February 2026. Do you think we'll see bitcoin priced at $60k+ by the end of the month?