What kinds of bets you can find on Polymarket! It turns out you could even bet on how many tweets Elon Musk would post in a week. It's hard for me to imagine that anyone would actually place a bet on something like that. After all, the outcome depends entirely on the decision of a single person, and there is no element of randomness involved. Nevertheless,
someone managed to win $83,700 (after betting $339), which means there were people - not insiders - who put up that amount of money.
Well, at least it wasn't millions!
Honestly, that is why those markets are so attractive for people to bet in, because there is no actual random number generator choosing the destiny of our money.
So people could even go to the extent of analizing Elon Musk, his behavior, how busy he is likely to be in during the next week. Whether there will be more political happening next week for him to tweet about, among other factors which can be tracked if one has the willpower and also time to do it.
If there is no randomness, then it is matter of time and observation to make money.