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Author Topic: Short term memory in Bitcoin is a problem.  (Read 319 times)
MusaPk
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January 17, 2026, 07:21:14 PM
 #41

no one has short term memory in bitcoin, one thing a lot of people do is that they make their decisions based on their personal analysis and not based on history. People don't exactly forget how the market was in previous times, as a matter of fact you cannot always expect history to repeat itself. Last yesr October was supposed to be a bullrun season but surprisingly an unexpected dip came in, you can see keeping track of history made it detrimental for a lot of people because they were overly confident of bitcoin increasing for the rest of the month

Bitcoin was at it's ATH in first week of Oct 2025 but then on Oct 10, 2025 we saw biggest liquidation in history of Bitcoin due to one statement of President Trump. It's not the first time we have seen this, Bitcoin in the past has shown such behaviour. But the key thing we have to understand is that Bitcoin has the tendency to recover from huge downfalls and all we need is strong nerves to bear this situation. Bitcoin price won't go anywhere but we can lose our money, if we sell our coins in loss at current value.     

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January 17, 2026, 09:28:40 PM
 #42

Another explanation to a somewhat similar behavior is that they're just trying to influence the market. Many who are hyping the market during the bullish times are only trying to make it even more bullish, to extend the bull run as much as possible. But let's be careful about these personalities. They sometimes say one thing, do another. They're also exhorting everybody to buy the dip, buy the dip, buy the dip. But they're dumping and taking profit. They want people to be rush and emotional, but they're taking carefully measured steps themselves.
It's mainly the whales that do this. I can see a lot of them doing this already for this year. They talk about how 2026 is going to be a good year for bitcoin, some talk about how bitcoin is going to get a new ATH while others even talk about the price hitting 200,000 dollars. While this may be just their speculation, I think it can also be a way to make people buy bitcoin so the price can go up as high as possible then they will take profit before it crashes again.
Well, like you said, we have to be careful.
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January 17, 2026, 09:38:56 PM
 #43

People are not having short term memory posts on bitcoin on this forum, people only post what they think bitcoin price could be. You can also be posting yours if you wish you want to speculate on the price of bitcoin.

They are known as speculations or predictions because we all know that anyone can be right or wrong.

That’s why it is called speculation and yeah, people can speculate even without proper analysis but, by mere looking at the chart and coming up with expectations based on the direction of the trends, time of the year and what news might be out there.
Despite all these triers to speculate what we hope to see in the market, we most at times get it wrong but, it doesn’t stop us from trying and it doesn’t mean, we must recall all that we had speculated on from a long time.

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January 18, 2026, 11:49:01 PM
 #44

Reading through some topics and replies in the speculation board today makes me realize that people have a short-term memory on Bitcoin. They quickly forget about what happened in the past. Even though they know what happened, they don't factor it into their thinking.
For example, if the Bitcoin price is pumping, people act as if it will keep pumping forever, like there will be no more dip. They talk about how it is impossible for Bitcoin to dip to this price and that price.
Fact is that if bitcoin price goes up, the most rationale way to think is that it will continue going up and up and up... It's more like a wish that overids ones ability to think more logically knowing fully well that both times of bull and bear are all completely temporary.

No investor has short term memory regarding bitcoin price, expectation is what makes it look like an investor is kind of one sided and looking more into the possibility of bitcoin hitting new all time high rather than hitting multiple lows. Most people that are too quick to give speculation are individuals give Thier speculation based on their emotions.


It is not a problem, it is just the way some investors sees and understand it, bitcoin price has dropped before and experience long dip this is not the first time it has been happening, any investor that have a short-term memory before now will understand it better and change his perspective from short term to long term because that is how it works, and bitcoin investor is meant for a long term and not a short-term because the price ups and downs which will be correcting itself along the line.

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January 19, 2026, 04:28:06 AM
 #45

no one has short term memory in bitcoin, one thing a lot of people do is that they make their decisions based on their personal analysis and not based on history. People don't exactly forget how the market was in previous times, as a matter of fact you cannot always expect history to repeat itself. Last yesr October was supposed to be a bullrun season but surprisingly an unexpected dip came in, you can see keeping track of history made it detrimental for a lot of people because they were overly confident of bitcoin increasing for the rest of the month
People in fact has short term memory when trading bitcoin. One reason is because they keep trading on lower timeframe so they can't afford to have market correction even though in every rally, market correction will always occur.
There are traders who cry about bitcoin dumping from 120k to 90k as if they don't remember that not too long ago bitcoin was priced at 60k. Thats what I call short term memory. Everybody expect market to never have correction and go up forever.

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January 19, 2026, 05:07:22 AM
 #46

I joined this forum back in 2016 but started with bitcoin around 2015 and at that time bitcoin price was around 700$/BTC. Due to which even seeing a price of 1k usd was a moon. We never expected a price of 100k and even when 20k was touched for the first time we were all jumping around.

Short term memory is there mostly for the day tradiing aspect of bitcoin. There are people who are making are losing money from day trading. For them every short term gain or loss needs to be traded on.

 
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January 19, 2026, 04:02:19 PM
 #47

When the price of Bitcoin increases a little, many people assume that it may be a long-term price increase, but when the price decreases, they think that it is all over. However, market fluctuations are a natural feature of Bitcoin. It is not reasonable to say that its trend is definitely negative based on temporary market fluctuations. The price of Bitcoin will sometimes increase and sometimes decrease, this is normal and this is how Bitcoin moves forward. However, if someone has a long-term investment plan in Bitcoin, then there is no need to worry about market fluctuations every day.

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January 19, 2026, 10:54:07 PM
 #48

Bitcoin was at it's ATH in first week of Oct 2025 but then on Oct 10, 2025 we saw biggest liquidation in history of Bitcoin due to one statement of President Trump. It's not the first time we have seen this, Bitcoin in the past has shown such behaviour. But the key thing we have to understand is that Bitcoin has the tendency to recover from huge downfalls and all we need is strong nerves to bear this situation. Bitcoin price won't go anywhere but we can lose our money, if we sell our coins in loss at current value.     
The statement he made then could be the tariff increase on China. If I remember correctly which many woke up to see Bitcoin swinging in an unexpected direction and still move back up. Many would not be able to survive it since they opened a long position on it...

No matter how the price reacts, as long as the holder did not just buy or did not plan for a short time, there is always an advantage in front to when they will be able to recover. Only those who panic sell below the price they bought will have to regret their actions.

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Today at 12:25:36 AM
 #49

Reading through some topics and replies in the speculation board today makes me realize that people have a short-term memory on Bitcoin. They quickly forget about what happened in the past. Even though they know what happened, they don't factor it into their thinking.
For example, if the Bitcoin price is pumping, people act as if it will keep pumping forever, like there will be no more dip. They talk about how it is impossible for Bitcoin to dip to this price and that price.
Then, if the price is dipping, people talk and act like it's going to be a dip forever or at least act like it's something new. Like it's not normal with Bitcoin.

Currently, some people are already complaining or talking about how Bitcoin has been moving sideways for a long time. Was it not just this month Bitcoin broke through the 90,000 dollar mark and has already gotten a monthly all-time high of about 97,000 dollars, and now it's currently around 95,000 dollars? So, how fast do people expect Bitcoin to move? Is this not the normal pace of Bitcoin? Or is there something I'm missing? It was mostly moving around 80,000 dollars last month, and this month it's going at 90,000, is that not growth? I think it is.

It pretty much depends whom you talk with about Bitcoin, my friend. There are long term investors who do not complain at all with the behavior of the price because they are in for a long ride, probably those people you are talking about were traders who opened positions at 97k$ and now (since the price has decreased) they are starting to feel panic over their positions and the fact they could be losing money.

However, I must say I agree with you when you point out how some people inded seem to have a very short memory nowadays, but that does not have anything to do with Bitcoin. It has much to do with fast dopamine and people getting addicted to Instagram and TikTok.

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