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Author Topic: Short term memory in Bitcoin is a problem.  (Read 417 times)
MusaPk
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January 17, 2026, 07:21:14 PM
 #41

no one has short term memory in bitcoin, one thing a lot of people do is that they make their decisions based on their personal analysis and not based on history. People don't exactly forget how the market was in previous times, as a matter of fact you cannot always expect history to repeat itself. Last yesr October was supposed to be a bullrun season but surprisingly an unexpected dip came in, you can see keeping track of history made it detrimental for a lot of people because they were overly confident of bitcoin increasing for the rest of the month

Bitcoin was at it's ATH in first week of Oct 2025 but then on Oct 10, 2025 we saw biggest liquidation in history of Bitcoin due to one statement of President Trump. It's not the first time we have seen this, Bitcoin in the past has shown such behaviour. But the key thing we have to understand is that Bitcoin has the tendency to recover from huge downfalls and all we need is strong nerves to bear this situation. Bitcoin price won't go anywhere but we can lose our money, if we sell our coins in loss at current value.     

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January 17, 2026, 09:28:40 PM
 #42

Another explanation to a somewhat similar behavior is that they're just trying to influence the market. Many who are hyping the market during the bullish times are only trying to make it even more bullish, to extend the bull run as much as possible. But let's be careful about these personalities. They sometimes say one thing, do another. They're also exhorting everybody to buy the dip, buy the dip, buy the dip. But they're dumping and taking profit. They want people to be rush and emotional, but they're taking carefully measured steps themselves.
It's mainly the whales that do this. I can see a lot of them doing this already for this year. They talk about how 2026 is going to be a good year for bitcoin, some talk about how bitcoin is going to get a new ATH while others even talk about the price hitting 200,000 dollars. While this may be just their speculation, I think it can also be a way to make people buy bitcoin so the price can go up as high as possible then they will take profit before it crashes again.
Well, like you said, we have to be careful.
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January 17, 2026, 09:38:56 PM
 #43

People are not having short term memory posts on bitcoin on this forum, people only post what they think bitcoin price could be. You can also be posting yours if you wish you want to speculate on the price of bitcoin.

They are known as speculations or predictions because we all know that anyone can be right or wrong.

That’s why it is called speculation and yeah, people can speculate even without proper analysis but, by mere looking at the chart and coming up with expectations based on the direction of the trends, time of the year and what news might be out there.
Despite all these triers to speculate what we hope to see in the market, we most at times get it wrong but, it doesn’t stop us from trying and it doesn’t mean, we must recall all that we had speculated on from a long time.

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January 18, 2026, 11:49:01 PM
 #44

Reading through some topics and replies in the speculation board today makes me realize that people have a short-term memory on Bitcoin. They quickly forget about what happened in the past. Even though they know what happened, they don't factor it into their thinking.
For example, if the Bitcoin price is pumping, people act as if it will keep pumping forever, like there will be no more dip. They talk about how it is impossible for Bitcoin to dip to this price and that price.
Fact is that if bitcoin price goes up, the most rationale way to think is that it will continue going up and up and up... It's more like a wish that overids ones ability to think more logically knowing fully well that both times of bull and bear are all completely temporary.

No investor has short term memory regarding bitcoin price, expectation is what makes it look like an investor is kind of one sided and looking more into the possibility of bitcoin hitting new all time high rather than hitting multiple lows. Most people that are too quick to give speculation are individuals give Thier speculation based on their emotions.


It is not a problem, it is just the way some investors sees and understand it, bitcoin price has dropped before and experience long dip this is not the first time it has been happening, any investor that have a short-term memory before now will understand it better and change his perspective from short term to long term because that is how it works, and bitcoin investor is meant for a long term and not a short-term because the price ups and downs which will be correcting itself along the line.

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January 19, 2026, 04:28:06 AM
 #45

no one has short term memory in bitcoin, one thing a lot of people do is that they make their decisions based on their personal analysis and not based on history. People don't exactly forget how the market was in previous times, as a matter of fact you cannot always expect history to repeat itself. Last yesr October was supposed to be a bullrun season but surprisingly an unexpected dip came in, you can see keeping track of history made it detrimental for a lot of people because they were overly confident of bitcoin increasing for the rest of the month
People in fact has short term memory when trading bitcoin. One reason is because they keep trading on lower timeframe so they can't afford to have market correction even though in every rally, market correction will always occur.
There are traders who cry about bitcoin dumping from 120k to 90k as if they don't remember that not too long ago bitcoin was priced at 60k. Thats what I call short term memory. Everybody expect market to never have correction and go up forever.

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January 19, 2026, 05:07:22 AM
 #46

I joined this forum back in 2016 but started with bitcoin around 2015 and at that time bitcoin price was around 700$/BTC. Due to which even seeing a price of 1k usd was a moon. We never expected a price of 100k and even when 20k was touched for the first time we were all jumping around.

Short term memory is there mostly for the day tradiing aspect of bitcoin. There are people who are making are losing money from day trading. For them every short term gain or loss needs to be traded on.

 
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January 19, 2026, 04:02:19 PM
 #47

When the price of Bitcoin increases a little, many people assume that it may be a long-term price increase, but when the price decreases, they think that it is all over. However, market fluctuations are a natural feature of Bitcoin. It is not reasonable to say that its trend is definitely negative based on temporary market fluctuations. The price of Bitcoin will sometimes increase and sometimes decrease, this is normal and this is how Bitcoin moves forward. However, if someone has a long-term investment plan in Bitcoin, then there is no need to worry about market fluctuations every day.

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January 19, 2026, 10:54:07 PM
 #48

Bitcoin was at it's ATH in first week of Oct 2025 but then on Oct 10, 2025 we saw biggest liquidation in history of Bitcoin due to one statement of President Trump. It's not the first time we have seen this, Bitcoin in the past has shown such behaviour. But the key thing we have to understand is that Bitcoin has the tendency to recover from huge downfalls and all we need is strong nerves to bear this situation. Bitcoin price won't go anywhere but we can lose our money, if we sell our coins in loss at current value.     
The statement he made then could be the tariff increase on China. If I remember correctly which many woke up to see Bitcoin swinging in an unexpected direction and still move back up. Many would not be able to survive it since they opened a long position on it...

No matter how the price reacts, as long as the holder did not just buy or did not plan for a short time, there is always an advantage in front to when they will be able to recover. Only those who panic sell below the price they bought will have to regret their actions.

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January 20, 2026, 12:25:36 AM
 #49

Reading through some topics and replies in the speculation board today makes me realize that people have a short-term memory on Bitcoin. They quickly forget about what happened in the past. Even though they know what happened, they don't factor it into their thinking.
For example, if the Bitcoin price is pumping, people act as if it will keep pumping forever, like there will be no more dip. They talk about how it is impossible for Bitcoin to dip to this price and that price.
Then, if the price is dipping, people talk and act like it's going to be a dip forever or at least act like it's something new. Like it's not normal with Bitcoin.

Currently, some people are already complaining or talking about how Bitcoin has been moving sideways for a long time. Was it not just this month Bitcoin broke through the 90,000 dollar mark and has already gotten a monthly all-time high of about 97,000 dollars, and now it's currently around 95,000 dollars? So, how fast do people expect Bitcoin to move? Is this not the normal pace of Bitcoin? Or is there something I'm missing? It was mostly moving around 80,000 dollars last month, and this month it's going at 90,000, is that not growth? I think it is.

It pretty much depends whom you talk with about Bitcoin, my friend. There are long term investors who do not complain at all with the behavior of the price because they are in for a long ride, probably those people you are talking about were traders who opened positions at 97k$ and now (since the price has decreased) they are starting to feel panic over their positions and the fact they could be losing money.

However, I must say I agree with you when you point out how some people inded seem to have a very short memory nowadays, but that does not have anything to do with Bitcoin. It has much to do with fast dopamine and people getting addicted to Instagram and TikTok.

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January 21, 2026, 07:20:12 AM
 #50

Reading through some topics and replies in the speculation board today makes me realize that people have a short-term memory on Bitcoin. They quickly forget about what happened in the past. Even though they know what happened, they don't factor it into their thinking.
For example, if the Bitcoin price is pumping, people act as if it will keep pumping forever, like there will be no more dip. They talk about how it is impossible for Bitcoin to dip to this price and that price.
Then, if the price is dipping, people talk and act like it's going to be a dip forever or at least act like it's something new. Like it's not normal with Bitcoin.

Currently, some people are already complaining or talking about how Bitcoin has been moving sideways for a long time. Was it not just this month Bitcoin broke through the 90,000 dollar mark and has already gotten a monthly all-time high of about 97,000 dollars, and now it's currently around 95,000 dollars? So, how fast do people expect Bitcoin to move? Is this not the normal pace of Bitcoin? Or is there something I'm missing? It was mostly moving around 80,000 dollars last month, and this month it's going at 90,000, is that not growth? I think it is.

The forum is full of newbies and newcomers, who aren't as experienced as the OG Bitcoin supporters. Most newbies act surprised and start panicking after a price dump happens. When the price does up, there's overall optimism and good mood, when the price start dropping, the levels of FUD are raising and most people start feeling a bit desperate and angry. Humans are emotional creatures, the financial markets also react emotionally to sudden price drops. You have to add human greed into the equation. The fact that the price is still below 100K is a signal that we won't be witnessing another 125K USD ATH soon. Maybe that's why most traders aren't impressed with the recent price recovery.

 
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January 21, 2026, 12:31:26 PM
 #51

At a time last year, Bitcoin did got to $120k and so that has kept the mind of expectations of many on that point.  This is one reason why it may not really seemed like some big deal for some seeing Bitcoin at $95 or $97k , for them it has slowed down amd should quickly retrace back to its former ATH. But then I do say if you understand the dynamics of Bitcoin, you cannot see it to be considered as weak or slow growing it has its own growing pace and except for some special occasions, it doesn’t just rapidly go exponential. But in your invest in Bitcoin with the right knowledge, it is just a matter of time and you will be glad you did.

 
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January 21, 2026, 04:34:42 PM
 #52

When the Bitcoin market is in a situation where many people only talk about that situation, their discussion about the past and the future is not heard. The most important thing to pay attention to is to analyze what the price of Bitcoin was in the past and how the market is holding the cycles. Moreover, it is necessary to know well what the position of Bitcoin will be in the future and what stage it will enter.
All these things need to be well known and their relationship needs to be well analyzed. However, we can definitely say that the way it is determining its course in the current situation is certainly natural. We all know that the market will fall, we can understand this by looking at the past cycles, so there is no need to be so excited about the market. It is better to make long-term plans instead of short-term plans, short-term plans will not be of any use to us, but long-term plans will be beneficial.

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January 21, 2026, 04:35:56 PM
 #53

At a time last year, Bitcoin did got to $120k and so that has kept the mind of expectations of many on that point.  This is one reason why it may not really seemed like some big deal for some seeing Bitcoin at $95 or $97k , for them it has slowed down amd should quickly retrace back to its former ATH. But then I do say if you understand the dynamics of Bitcoin, you cannot see it to be considered as weak or slow growing it has its own growing pace and except for some special occasions, it doesn’t just rapidly go exponential. But in your invest in Bitcoin with the right knowledge, it is just a matter of time and you will be glad you did.

The main thing is it exponentially grows either way, no matter what.

That's what should bother a true hodler Cool
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January 21, 2026, 05:44:42 PM
 #54

It is normal for us to have people talk about bitcoin at its given prices, high or low in the speculation board. That doesn't mean anything, or making them have a short term memory on the Bitcoin prices that it can pump today, the next day it decreases badly, like it never had a pump price. You never expect people to see all that, and never to talk about such a happening, even though they know that's how Bitcoin behaves many times

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January 21, 2026, 08:10:43 PM
 #55

People don't have short memories about the price and events that happen with Bitcoin. I think you might have just given too much thought to what people speculate about the price; they are all voicing out what they expect from the market. That does not mean they are not aware of how the price moves; some do predictions based on historical data, while there are those who just predict based on where they want to see the market. What matters to me is that we are all aware the market is volatile and should expect whatever the market gives us.

We can't predict the market we are just predicting with our on expectations but the real things is that bitcoin is volatile and the market can change anytime so is better we should just focus on our target and wait or the profit to comes. Bitcoin investment is also a good investment and if you understand how he moves you won't be worried about the volatile. Anyone can just predict that bitcoin price will raise or decrease he didn't show of that but he just think about it and predict so to make things easy for you and stop stressing your self from other people opinions, is better you should invest what you can afford to lose and invest for the long term, and surly you will be profitable if you invest for long term and you're patient in it.

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January 21, 2026, 09:11:10 PM
 #56

Reading through some topics and replies in the speculation board today makes me realize that people have a short-term memory on Bitcoin. They quickly forget about what happened in the past. Even though they know what happened, they don't factor it into their thinking.
For example, if the Bitcoin price is pumping, people act as if it will keep pumping forever, like there will be no more dip. They talk about how it is impossible for Bitcoin to dip to this price and that price.
Then, if the price is dipping, people talk and act like it's going to be a dip forever or at least act like it's something new. Like it's not normal with Bitcoin.

Currently, some people are already complaining or talking about how Bitcoin has been moving sideways for a long time. Was it not just this month Bitcoin broke through the 90,000 dollar mark and has already gotten a monthly all-time high of about 97,000 dollars, and now it's currently around 95,000 dollars? So, how fast do people expect Bitcoin to move? Is this not the normal pace of Bitcoin? Or is there something I'm missing? It was mostly moving around 80,000 dollars last month, and this month it's going at 90,000, is that not growth? I think it is.

If it is a short-term memory most persons will not have being investing in bitcoin today, they will rather feel that it will still not be profitable and it will not be spreading around the world the way it is today, the serious investors of bitcoin don't boarder themselves about what is happening in the market instead the focus on what they are to achieve and not disturbed by distraction of the price or market ups and downs because they know where bitcoin is heading to.
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