Betting on favorites using point spread, is it actually profitable long term?

[mirakal]

Can't said, profits but mostly still ended with lost.

These bets is not the first time, I think a lots people using the system. If these system work, we already seeing so much thread, forum, video discussion how good these system was. IMO, the best way is always knowing at least the team you're behind, match, league and other.

Rather than using a point spread.

You’ll still need to use point spreads if you actually want to bet on teams properly. Betting on outright win is boring, especially when you’re backing a heavy favorite, you end up with odds like 1.20 or 1.30 and that’s just not worth it for me. I’d rather spend time analyzing games and aim for at least 1.90 odds whenever I place a bet.

I’m not always on heavy favorites either, sometimes I take underdogs too. But most of the time, when the spread is high and I see value, I’ll automatically lean toward the favorite and trust the line.

[joeperry]

You’ll still need to use point spreads if you actually want to bet on teams properly. Betting on outright win is boring, especially when you’re backing a heavy favorite, you end up with odds like 1.20 or 1.30 and that’s just not worth it for me. I’d rather spend time analyzing games and aim for at least 1.90 odds whenever I place a bet.

I’m not always on heavy favorites either, sometimes I take underdogs too. But most of the time, when the spread is high and I see value, I’ll automatically lean toward the favorite and trust the line.

Same thing, though I have another ways to get a higher odds though it's not always available. I do a in game live odds bet, there are times that the all time favorite team losses on the 1st-2nd quarter but after halftime they will make a come back, just like what Lakers did to the Nuggets. If I can remember, in halftime the odds were like x3 and they ended up winning. However if this is not available and the favorite team leads on the first half, I do what they OP do, game winner + spread and usually it's around 1.50-1.70 odds which is not bad for me.

[Beparanf]

You’ll still need to use point spreads if you actually want to bet on teams properly. Betting on outright win is boring, especially when you’re backing a heavy favorite, you end up with odds like 1.20 or 1.30 and that’s just not worth it for me. I’d rather spend time analyzing games and aim for at least 1.90 odds whenever I place a bet.

I’m not always on heavy favorites either, sometimes I take underdogs too. But most of the time, when the spread is high and I see value, I’ll automatically lean toward the favorite and trust the line.

Same thing, though I have another ways to get a higher odds though it's not always available. I do a in game live odds bet, there are times that the all time favorite team losses on the 1st-2nd quarter but after halftime they will make a come back, just like what Lakers did to the Nuggets. If I can remember, in halftime the odds were like x3 and they ended up winning. However if this is not available and the favorite team leads on the first half, I do what they OP do, game winner + spread and usually it's around 1.50-1.70 odds which is not bad for me.

I like timing my bet on live odds when the favorite team is down to increase the odds. But for me I preferred the safer way which is betting on +points handicap to favorite when they are down rather than taking the -points spread.

-point spread is not my preferred since it will need a lot of effort just to cover the spread while a simple playing normally just to barely beat the opponent will still result to lose.

Either ML or x point spread on live for me.

[Maslate]

I like timing my bet on live odds when the favorite team is down to increase the odds.

I felt the same way too when I was still new to sports betting. At first it was exciting, watching games live and placing bets along the way, but eventually I got bored and realized I was putting in too much effort for something that wasn’t even profitable. So I simplified things. I switched to just betting pregame odds, mostly ATS, and honestly life got easier. My win rate didn’t really change much, but at least the stress was gone, and for me that already made a big difference.

[hyudien]

For those who do the same thing as me, betting on favorites with the spread, how has it worked out for you so far?
Do you think it’s sustainable, or does it just feel good until variance catches up?

It is not guaranteed to win continuously, there are other things that can affect the result and make the favorite team unable to complete or cover the point spread you bet, but if in 10 attempts 7/6 of them are successful, your days of betting can be maintained for a long time. Basically all strategies or types of betting options are good and have a chance of success, it's just a matter of our analytical skills and leaving the success to luck.

[danherbias07]

There's a very rare chance that I will pick the Moneyline only, especially if it's a heavy favorite. x1.20 - x1.50 is not sufficient for me. I always want to be near the double when I pick, and that is why I always end up choosing a team with the spreads.
It's a fact that the NBA games and results are unpredictable. There are days when a bad team will suddenly play well, especially if they have stars who are injured, and the bench will be given a chance to play. This is where we should be careful when picking a spread. A 1-point different could make you lose, or it could help you win. There are times instincts will also help, especially if you follow the game and know about every team and how they play if they are up against the heavy favorites.

[Charles-Tim]

For those who do the same thing as me, betting on favorites with the spread, how has it worked out for you so far?
Do you think it’s sustainable, or does it just feel good until variance catches up?

It is not guaranteed to win continuously, there are other things that can affect the result and make the favorite team unable to complete or cover the point spread you bet, but if in 10 attempts 7/6 of them are successful, your days of betting can be maintained for a long time. Basically all strategies or types of betting options are good and have a chance of success, it's just a matter of our analytical skills and leaving the success to luck.

People should not even bet because of making money. This should first come to their mind. They should bet for making small amount of money so that if they do not win, they will only lose small amount of money which they will be able to afford to lose without affecting them physically, emotional and financially. This is very important for gamblers and bettors to know. Gamblers and bettors can go for whatever they like while betting, it is not necessarily about point spread.

[imamusma]

For those who do the same thing as me, betting on favorites with the spread, how has it worked out for you so far?
Do you think it’s sustainable, or does it just feel good until variance catches up?

It is not guaranteed to win continuously, there are other things that can affect the result and make the favorite team unable to complete or cover the point spread you bet, but if in 10 attempts 7/6 of them are successful, your days of betting can be maintained for a long time. Basically all strategies or types of betting options are good and have a chance of success, it's just a matter of our analytical skills and leaving the success to luck.

In gambling, when the win and loss percentages are balanced, you're considered a winner, and the strategy is worth sticking with in the long run. We know that luck ultimately plays a role, regardless of how well we analyze the odds. However, we should not focus too much on our favorite team, so that we get trapped in our own strategy.

[KTChampions]

I mostly bet on NBA games and sometimes other basketball leagues, and I’ve tried different strategies before, totals, underdogs, even some parlays, but honestly the easiest and most enjoyable one for me is betting on teams I actually like and watch.

The problem is, straight moneyline on favorites usually gives terrible odds, so to at least get a decent return, I end up taking the point spread instead. not aiming for 100% ROI or anything crazy, just something reasonable while still enjoying the games. (1.80 to 1.90 odds).

For those who do the same thing as me, betting on favorites with the spread, how has it worked out for you so far?
Do you think it’s sustainable, or does it just feel good until variance catches up?

I often bet on favorites with a negative handicap to make the odds attractive, it makes sense. My idea is that if the favorite performs as expected, the spread will be covered, if not, even a simple bet on a win (with tiny odds) could lose. It's better to take additional risk to increase potential profit. As for profitability, it's hard to say, to gain an edge over bookmakers, many other factors must come into play. By the way, if you plan to place a live bet, be aware that the live odds will be worse than right before the game.

[suzanne5223]

The sports betting strategy of going for favorites is a good concept because you're going for the game you totally understand and are also aware of the team's present condition. So, it is easy to win because you're fully aware of the most important aspect of the team, but the level Roi involve shouldnt be an issue since you're not losing money, and if you want to win more, you can increase the amount you want to risk on the game.
This is what I personally always do.

[Alphakilo]

The sports betting strategy of going for favorites is a good concept because you're going for the game you totally understand and are also aware of the team's present condition. So, it is easy to win because you're fully aware of the most important aspect of the team, but the level Roi involve shouldnt be an issue since you're not losing money, and if you want to win more, you can increase the amount you want to risk on the game.
This is what I personally always do.

On the contrary, I do think it might not be somehow healthy to bet on your favorite team just because you believe they are much better and have a better chance of winning. For short term, it might be beneficial, but for long term sticking to this strategy, it might prove detrimental to your finances and winning potential.

[cryptoaddictchie]

For those who do the same thing as me, betting on favorites with the spread, how has it worked out for you so far?
Do you think it’s sustainable, or does it just feel good until variance catches up?

Betting favorites with the spread can feel comfortable because you know the teams well, but that comfort is already priced into the line, so the edge is usually thin. It can work in the short run, especially if you’re selective and avoid inflated lines, but over time variance and bookmaker margins tend to grind it down. It’s sustainable for entertainment, not really as a reliable way to beat the market long term. But theres some factor sometimes which we bettor and should consider like game conditions and other things.

[EluguHcman]

For those who do the same thing as me, betting on favorites with the spread, how has it worked out for you so far?
Do you think it’s sustainable, or does it just feel good until variance catches up?

I am sure we all know that betting on favourite teams profer players the best gambling experience that could actually position players winning in the long term but not a reliable point to hold on to.
Betting on unfamiliar games is ideally a blind betting. You may only have knowledge of how the games are played but can not figure their stats of past performances except you will lookout to the bookie stats to do your analysis.

Note that betting on favorite teams or leagues does not give you a winning express. it only gives you an edge when doing your analysis.

[justinlamode]

The problem is, straight moneyline on favorites usually gives terrible odds, so to at least get a decent return, I end up taking the point spread instead. not aiming for 100% ROI or anything crazy, just something reasonable while still enjoying the games. (1.80 to 1.90 odds).

For those who do the same thing as me, betting on favorites with the spread, how has it worked out for you so far?
Do you think it’s sustainable, or does it just feel good until variance catches up?

I have seen few successful bettors in soccer and NBA, and they do not go with moneyline but use point spread which is where the money is, although the risk is a little higher. With proper analysis, one can still select few games on point spread and win consistently. This is easier and better than make a parlay of so many games based on moneyline. Going with the underdogs, which usually have bigger odds, does not solve the problem because the probability of success in that is greatly reduced.

[sunsilk]

I mostly bet on NBA games and sometimes other basketball leagues, and I’ve tried different strategies before, totals, underdogs, even some parlays, but honestly the easiest and most enjoyable one for me is betting on teams I actually like and watch.

The problem is, straight moneyline on favorites usually gives terrible odds, so to at least get a decent return, I end up taking the point spread instead. not aiming for 100% ROI or anything crazy, just something reasonable while still enjoying the games. (1.80 to 1.90 odds).

For those who do the same thing as me, betting on favorites with the spread, how has it worked out for you so far?
Do you think it’s sustainable, or does it just feel good until variance catches up?

That is sustainable IMHO. You don't take it for the ROI, right? so you choose the games you're like 99% of chance to win that game.

For as long as you're going to have that additional, maybe just increase your odds for as long as it's 1.50 then that's already enough.

But if that's a big thing for you and you're not taking the moneyline anymore. Choose the prop bets that you're about to enjoy and not scared of losing.

[Obim34]

The sports betting strategy of going for favorites is a good concept because you're going for the game you totally understand and are also aware of the team's present condition. So, it is easy to win because you're fully aware of the most important aspect of the team, but the level Roi involve shouldnt be an issue since you're not losing money, and if you want to win more, you can increase the amount you want to risk on the game.
This is what I personally always do.

I bet on important games, and if the important one is that of my favorite club, I won't be sentimental on my prediction, it has to be based on the way my team has been outstanding, if we've been on a rough run, I know how to make my predictions in order to be on a safe side of getting returns.

I agree that the OP has a great sense of gambling, I portion myself to smaller odds, this strategy allows me win more consecutively than someone who prefers long parlay betting on high odds.

[Mindyspace]

I also much prefer betting on teams I actually follow; it's much more fun. I agree that straight odds on favorites are usually not worth it, so the spread ends up being a good option to balance risk and return.

In my case, sometimes it works well and gives a reasonable return, but other times the variance really shows up and some games end up being frustrating. I think it's sustainable if you maintain discipline and don't try to seek absurd profits, but there are always ups and downs, right?

[Moreno233]

This have been proven to be profitable on the long run. The only challenge is that the odd is usually very discouraging and makes people want to combine too many games to be able to win something significant. The result of this is losing money that should have been won. Despite that, I still consider this option good and profitable if done wisely and without greed.

[Oasisman]

For those who do the same thing as me, betting on favorites with the spread, how has it worked out for you so far?
Do you think it’s sustainable, or does it just feel good until variance catches up?

Straight money line is most of the time, boring. Well, if you're looking to secure a win, no matter how small it is, when being done consistently, you'll see results. However, one upset could erase your 10-20 games winning streak profit, and yeah that is so terrible.

Odds like points spread, over and under, individual performances, race to 10, and any other odds available could definitely give you a reasonable winning amount. Plus, it'll give you a lot more excitement while watching the game. Though honestly, it is a 50/50 winning percentage, It can be sustainable at times when your prediction and analysis is being mixed with luck. You win some and you lose some, depends on how you pick the spread.

[SamReomo]

For those who do the same thing as me, betting on favorites with the spread, how has it worked out for you so far?
Do you think it’s sustainable, or does it just feel good until variance catches up?

I've won multiple consistent wins by betting on my favorites in Cricket but all those wins turned into a big loss when the favorite lost against a much weaker team. Sometimes, it's good to bet in favor or your favorite but all times it doesn't work, however, betting for good team and with a proper strategy during betting allow us to have more wins than going for favorite.