2026 Elliott Wave

[xxxx123abcxxxx]

https://ibb.co/FkXqkVwg

i dont usually tag wxyxz but this run looks suspicious until breaking that high imo

Especially inside of z looks like an abc  

Alternatively, an impulsive five wave structure could be underway perhaps...

[xxxx123abcxxxx]

[Tzupy]

Since we made a slightly higher high, your last posted count was invalidated. Any new scenarios?

[xxxx123abcxxxx]

Since we made a slightly higher high, your last posted count was invalidated. Any new scenarios?

No invalidation yet: At the moment, given the overbought momentum oscillators such as the RSI on the 4-hr timeframe, considering an Irregular B-wave for now...

[kunt3p3r]

My bullish count
https://ibb.co/S41GVmZb

Bearish count (scares me this selling pressure at the upper band of the channel)
Also I defend bullish bias until golden pocket is broken
https://ibb.co/FbXd6gKZ

This pitchfork contact and after making higher highs made me bullish day by day. I prefer count this structure as an extended flat
https://ibb.co/Fkxt5jL7

This is my macro idea, I was waiting one more low until couple weeks ago but now if correction has not over yet, structure will be broken imo
https://ibb.co/wF9n80Yb


What are your thoughts about this counts

[xxxx123abcxxxx]

My bullish count
https://ibb.co/S41GVmZb

Bearish count (scares me this selling pressure at the upper band of the channel)
Also I defend bullish bias until golden pocket is broken
https://ibb.co/FbXd6gKZ

This pitchfork contact and after making higher highs made me bullish day by day. I prefer count this structure as an extended flat
https://ibb.co/Fkxt5jL7

This is my macro idea, I was waiting one more low until couple weeks ago but now if correction has not over yet, structure will be broken imo
https://ibb.co/wF9n80Yb


What are your thoughts about this counts

In regards to your macro idea, the uptrend wave from the 21-JUN-2021 low to the 08-NOV-2021 high, may be considered as a B-wave; because...

1. the uptrend wave appears as a corrective three wave structure
2. the uptrend wave fails to surpass the prior all-time high in the ETFs such as GBTC

[xxxx123abcxxxx]

[sparkl3t]

My main bullish view

https://ibb.co/dJGNd9yF

[xxxx123abcxxxx]

[kunt3p3r]

https://ibb.co/4xD54pD

In nested 1-2, do you consider time relationships? I wouldn’t like this correction if it takes longer than the second wave of the first correction. Which the correction we are counting rn should end today imo 

[xxxx123abcxxxx]

In nested 1-2, do you consider time relationships? I wouldn’t like this correction if it takes longer than the second wave of the first correction. Which the correction we are counting rn should end today imo 

Haven't spent time on time relationships; but yes, a worthwhile study to consider.

16-MAR to 29-MAR: 309 1-hr bars
06-MAY to 19-MAY: 309 1-hr bars

[josegines]

So, we could have already seen the 2,

and then will come the famous because it's usually fast and big Third Wave  

No one would have guessed it, with the Strait of Hormuz closed and Trump threatening to annihilate Iran.

But at some point, it will have to rise if they want to launch the massive AI ICOs in the US by the end of the year and generate enough FOMO.

I suppose some of you have noticed the high correlation between BTC and the IGV software index;

they are practically identical.

[xxxx123abcxxxx]

So, we could have already seen the 2,

and then will come the famous because it's usually fast and big Third Wave  

No one would have guessed it, with the Strait of Hormuz closed and Trump threatening to annihilate Iran.

But at some point, it will have to rise if they want to launch the massive AI ICOs in the US by the end of the year and generate enough FOMO.

I suppose some of you have noticed the high correlation between BTC and the IGV software index;

they are practically identical.

Markets climb a wall of worry...

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/w/wallofworry.asp

[josegines]

So, we could have already seen the 2,

and then will come the famous because it's usually fast and big Third Wave  

No one would have guessed it, with the Strait of Hormuz closed and Trump threatening to annihilate Iran.

But at some point, it will have to rise if they want to launch the massive AI ICOs in the US by the end of the year and generate enough FOMO.

I suppose some of you have noticed the high correlation between BTC and the IGV software index;

they are practically identical.

Markets climb a wall of worry...

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/w/wallofworry.asp

Interesting, the wall of worry.

"However, a continued advance is much less certain if the wall of worry forms near a major market peak, in which case a subsequent decline is more likely."

Another way to look at it is that strong hands are accumulating now (since February), with the wall of worry, and will sell at the peak, when the wall falls and the smaller investors are encouraged to buy, like SpaceX and Anthropic.


As for Elliot, if a wave 3 comes along, it could be spectacular, right?

[kunt3p3r]

https://ibb.co/7PBr7DF

This Nested w1-w2 scenario’s time-price relationships are bothering me. So I am leaning on finish with  truncated count somehow, and start a new impulse count 

[xxxx123abcxxxx]

This Nested w1-w2 scenario’s time-price relationships are bothering me. So I am leaning on finish with  truncated count somehow, and start a new impulse count 

Price action is currently hovering at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, needs a weekly close above this level for the count to remain intact...

[xxxx123abcxxxx]

[josegines]

It's best to wait a bit and see where it stops, if it doesn't break the low of February 6th.

[xxxx123abcxxxx]

[d5000]

It looks like your February prediction was quite good (until now ).

In any case, you've never predicted a significantly lower bottom than the one we've seen a few days ago, at most in the 48-55k area. I would not be surprised if we retest this level indeed (which already was quite relevant in 2024) and then go up. If the 50k level is broken significantly, from my limited Elliott knowledge I guess your conclusion would be that the 2025 wasn't a Wave 1 but a Wave 5 already, and that at least one significant step lower could follow (perhaps in the 38-40 or in the 28-33k area). But let's hope that isn't the case

By the way, the 2022 bear seems also have been a downward movement with 5 waves (down-up-down-up-down) instead of the "classic" corrective 3 wave pattern, with the last wave being much flatter than the previous ones. Your current prediction (very close to February's) would match that too.