Do you follow sharp money or public betting?

[Floxynice]

I have always made my own analysis by myself. I am not familiar with public betting or what the public thinks about a particular game. From the explanation in the op, I will be open to try out the public betting style just for curiosity sake. This is gambling and nothing serious, luck may shine on me in the most unexpected ways.

Most likely the tips come from telegram groups and similars, therefore there isn't any assurance such informations are reliable. The same person can create different betting groups on telegram, under different names, while predicting opposite outcomes for a same match. The ones who are on the winner's group will think the tips are sharp and hot, so they will be prone to giving money to the tipster in order to have access to further predictions.

That is when the scam takes place.

This may not be wrong, sharp money rings a bell, it might not be different from those telegram groups and sites that sell "sure odds" and lucky codes. They've simply rebranded the same thing and now call it something different

[Akbarkoe]

In sports betting, people always talk about public money and sharp money.

Public money usually comes from casual bettors who follow popular teams, hype, and headlines. Sharp money comes from so-called “smart” bettors who rely on data and analysis, and when they bet big, odds often move fast.

A lot of people try to copy sharp money or bet against the public, thinking it’s an easy edge. But does that really work, or are we just chasing another trend without fully understanding it?

Sometimes the public wins. Sometimes the sharps are wrong. So it’s not as simple as people make it sound.

Do you actually follow money movement when you bet, or do you just trust your own analysis?

Before I didn't know what public money and hotshot money were and I never saw them during my gambling, or is it possible to see the movement of money that bets? like we see long and short positions in trading.
I don't follow public money or hero money, I just follow my analysis and sometimes I follow my instincts in betting, this will not be complicated and much simpler for bettors rarely consider other people's positions.

[Dunamisx]

Public money usually comes from casual bettors who follow popular teams, hype, and headlines. Sharp money comes from so-called “smart” bettors who rely on data and analysis, and when they bet big, odds often move fast.

I usually follow the two, while in most cases, i play my bet base on sharp money as you called it, because i carried out the analysis to the bet myself, while in some other conditions, when i see that the whole idea is beyond my ability, then i try to result on getting public opinion before playing my bet, because at the end, all that a gambler targets is to make the right prediction that could make him win his bet.

[Btcdeybodi]

Do you actually follow money movement when you bet, or do you just trust your own analysis?

Hmmm, when i thought i have heard it all in gambling, sharp money or public money
Anyways from you explanation i understand what you are trying to relate but i will rather trust and depend on my analysis than chose the opinion of the public about a particular bet. Most of the time, the public wins since they follow trending events but even if you will follow public betting let it be in coincidence with your own analysis.

[Alphakilo]

In sports betting, people always talk about public money and sharp money.

Public money usually comes from casual bettors who follow popular teams, hype, and headlines. Sharp money comes from so-called “smart” bettors who rely on data and analysis, and when they bet big, odds often move fast.

A lot of people try to copy sharp money or bet against the public, thinking it’s an easy edge. But does that really work, or are we just chasing another trend without fully understanding it?

Sometimes the public wins. Sometimes the sharps are wrong. So it’s not as simple as people make it sound.

Do you actually follow money movement when you bet, or do you just trust your own analysis?

‎If we were to compare between sharp money and public betting, we would have to consider some features that stand to have significant effects on the best results and they include volume, strategy, timing, goal.
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‎For sharp money bettors, they are better known as those professional big money bettors with large incomes. These bettors are professionals who bet based on models while using a developed strategy that exploits inefficiencies in the market, and mathematical edges, with their characteristics including using high dollar amounts to bet with low number of bets, entering early bets, and using mathematical models and closing line value, with long-term ROI of about 1%-5%.
‎
‎For public betting, this is the casual betting crowd like myself, who love to manage my gambling money and only tend to bet on favorites, like overs, and handicap, with low amount of money used for betting, high number of betting tickets, often betting late mostly just right before kickoff when odds do change swiftly and of course, betting games with the big parlay jackpot probability.
‎
‎I always lean toward public betting as it stands right now, but am sure as my income increases, I might become a sharp money bettor because the chances of success are quite higher than public betting where one has to rely on personal analysis, cash outs or rewards and bonuses most times to keep on betting.
‎
‎

[bitcoindusts]

Do you actually follow money movement when you bet, or do you just trust your own analysis?

Isn't reading the flow of money one part of analysis?  It would be careless for an analyst to neglect or ignore the flow of money on the sports that he is analyzing, so I think when a bettor put an interest to analyze certain matches to bet, he won't fail to see how the bet is coming in.  So yes, if I have the source of what happening on the bet, I will follow the money movement as part of my analysis.

[Cantsay]

Do you actually follow money movement when you bet, or do you just trust your own analysis?

I trust my analysis more, I don’t really know how to follow movement and keep a watch to know if there an alignment with sharp movements or not (it’s already sounding like a lot of work for me).

I know of public money but I am just learning of sharp money (which I’m guessing is different from movements) from your post, so I don’t really think I’ll be able to decide if I’ve followed it not knowing what it was before or not, but I do know that my analysis have worked for me in the past and will continue to work for me.

[|MINER|]

In sports betting, people always talk about public money and sharp money.
Public money usually comes from casual bettors who follow popular teams, hype, and headlines. Sharp money comes from so-called “smart” bettors who rely on data and analysis, and when they bet big, odds often move fast.
A lot of people try to copy sharp money or bet against the public, thinking it’s an easy edge. But does that really work, or are we just chasing another trend without fully understanding it?
Sometimes the public wins. Sometimes the sharps are wrong. So it’s not as simple as people make it sound.
Do you actually follow money movement when you bet, or do you just trust your own analysis?

Actually, I mean here, I mean public money, you have explained that casual gamblers who bet on sports without analysis are unacceptable to me because I think most gamblers at least do some analysis before betting.
And according to your description, if I were to speak for myself, I would have to say that I am a sharp money follower, but I don't consider myself a sharp money follower here because I don't always trust my data and analysis 100% because we all know that gambling always depends on our luck.

[Don Saga]

From my last experiences, every public game i saw online from a sports pundits or from a friend has not always worked out for me, especially the case of games that are publicly given to thousands of people.  Because the possibilities of a positive outcome is quite slim with multiple entries of the same games, so I try to make a little changes in the game in my own opinion and expect whatever result comes through.

[silpersurfer]

Neither. I’m not really into the public movements, or the favorites. Nor do I get too deep into advanced statistical analysis. Usually it's only when my team is playing that I wager. There’s an emotional bond to cheering for a team who we’ve been following for ages. We had a game plan, we know the players, we know their style of play, and we were just more excited to go out and play the game. Betting on lines in this instance tends to feel like an afterthought to make watching the game that much more enjoyable, rather than a financial calculation to be analyzed in a sterile environment of odds and numbers.
That said, I also realize this is no free ride. Because of the emotional involvement, we may become less objective, and rightly so. We overestimate the strengths of our own team, and underestimate the weaknesses. In many instances, loyalty can cloud our judgment. That’s why it’s important to draw the line and not get carried away, with a win or a loss!

[Josefjix]

Sometimes the public wins. Sometimes the sharps are wrong. So it’s not as simple as people make it sound.

Do you actually follow money movement when you bet, or do you just trust your own analysis?

I trust my analysis to the full, I believe in myself and trust my own wisdom. I've grown to the point what I thought out of the abundance from the heart, I believe in the inner voice of my own spirit and so it's awful to ask someone else about the spiritual life of another gambler. It's something else.

[Rgram]

I trust my analysis to the full, I believe in myself and trust my own wisdom. I've grown to the point what I thought out of the abundance from the heart, I believe in the inner voice of my own spirit and so it's awful to ask someone else about the spiritual life of another gambler. It's something else.

When you don’t make gambling all about making money or trying to profit from the enterprise, of course you’ve got to go by your predictions and insightful analysis on certain prospects of a game. People that go about subscribing for prediction channels, looking out for match fixing syndicates and all are actually doing it wrong for real. I find little reasoning as to why these individuals should gamble because, a loss always becomes so hard to take after putting out all those resource to guarantee some certainty.

[Questat]

When you don’t make gambling all about making money or trying to profit from the enterprise, of course you’ve got to go by your predictions and insightful analysis on certain prospects of a game. People that go about subscribing for prediction channels, looking out for match fixing syndicates and all are actually doing it wrong for real. I find little reasoning as to why these individuals should gamble because, a loss always becomes so hard to take after putting out all those resource to guarantee some certainty.

Subscribing to tipster channels is usually a recipe for disaster. Most of the time, it’s just an automatic scam. Of course we all want to win, that’s normal, but we also have to understand that we can’t rely on other people for that.

In the end, it should be us who develop our own skills and use them as our weapon to become profitable. Depending on someone else’s “premium tips” won’t really make you profitable anyway. Honestly, it’s just a waste of time and money.

[SFR10]

Do you actually follow money movement when you bet, or do you just trust your own analysis?

Considering that nobody can predict the outcomes of upcoming events/games with a 100% accuracy, there's no point in following such things ^{[those who do, they're eliminating the fun part (e.g., analyzing stuff and seeing if you managed to predict it correctly)]}.

[freedomgo]

Do you actually follow money movement when you bet, or do you just trust your own analysis?

Considering that nobody can predict the outcomes of upcoming events/games with a 100% accuracy, there's no point in following such things ^{[those who do, they're eliminating the fun part (e.g., analyzing stuff and seeing if you managed to predict it correctly)]}.

But you don’t really need to win every bet you make just to be profitable. The main reason why we follow line movement, assuming it’s being moved by sharps, is because they win most of the time, and that’s what we’re trying to copy or learn from.

[alegotardo]

The public and also professionals can be wrong, then I prefer to do my own analysis without being influenced by either of them.

I do not know, but I think the public is the worst... because they always go for your favorites, the team that having the best season or the one that seems "stronger" than your opponent only because it has more talented players. But peoples forget to see a technical details... they usually miss something important but imperceptible, like a change in the lineup, the field positioning or even an injury player who is far from being an idol, but who is an important person for the team and whose absence will make a big difference. That is why I do not like to go with the public.

Regarding professional bettors... I think they use much money to manipulate the market sometimes. Even if they might be more accurate in their predictions, if something unpredictable happens they lose a lot of money and take many people who bet with them down with them.

So, I prefer to make my own analysis and bets.

[sompitonov]

When you don’t make gambling all about making money or trying to profit from the enterprise, of course you’ve got to go by your predictions and insightful analysis on certain prospects of a game. People that go about subscribing for prediction channels, looking out for match fixing syndicates and all are actually doing it wrong for real. I find little reasoning as to why these individuals should gamble because, a loss always becomes so hard to take after putting out all those resource to guarantee some certainty.

Subscribing to tipster channels is usually a recipe for disaster. Most of the time, it’s just an automatic scam. Of course we all want to win, that’s normal, but we also have to understand that we can’t rely on other people for that.

In the end, it should be us who develop our own skills and use them as our weapon to become profitable. Depending on someone else’s “premium tips” won’t really make you profitable anyway. Honestly, it’s just a waste of time and money.

This is certainly true, although many players still don't want to acknowledge it, believing that some gurus know better than anyone what will happen in a given match. These shorlatans create multiple channels and only show good results, quickly forgetting the bad ones or offering easily found excuses, such as a player simply resurfacing an old injury, or unpredictable rain, or a strong wind. They'll readily tell such stories when necessary to better present themselves to a potential audience.

[Rockstarguy]

Sometimes the public wins. Sometimes the sharps are wrong. So it’s not as simple as people make it sound.

Do you actually follow money movement when you bet, or do you just trust your own analysis?

Any of them anyone decides to go for should understand they are not certain and anything can still happen. Gambling is very much unpredicted.  If you are depending on anyone on how to go about gambling,  you should also know gambling is not reliable and never too put hopes.  Always have it in mind to gamble with the amount that you can afford to lose and not expect much in gambling.  It always hurt when you gamble so much with huge amount and be expecting so much from gambling.

[hedgeh0g]

Sometimes the public wins. Sometimes the sharps are wrong. So it’s not as simple as people make it sound.

Do you actually follow money movement when you bet, or do you just trust your own analysis?

Any of them anyone decides to go for should understand they are not certain and anything can still happen. Gambling is very much unpredicted.  If you are depending on anyone on how to go about gambling,  you should also know gambling is not reliable and never too put hopes.  Always have it in mind to gamble with the amount that you can afford to lose and not expect much in gambling.  It always hurt when you gamble so much with huge amount and be expecting so much from gambling.

But players often simply want to believe in the best, in a fairy tale that will happen to them, that they'll win a lot of money and be happier than before, solve all their problems, live a beautiful life by the sea, and do nothing else. Many players want to believe this, but it also blinds them, and they're ready to trust those who pose as experts; it simply increases their credulity. These pseudo-experts understand all this, so they try to make money by showing off their positive odds and how well they understand. I've seen this for many years now and realized that absolutely anyone can do this, especially with fancy copy. Many of us just need to be more careful and rely on ourselves. I will never subscribe to any experts, but only place bets independently.

[justdimin]

Subscribing to tipster channels is usually a recipe for disaster. Most of the time, it’s just an automatic scam. Of course we all want to win, that’s normal, but we also have to understand that we can’t rely on other people for that.

In the end, it should be us who develop our own skills and use them as our weapon to become profitable. Depending on someone else’s “premium tips” won’t really make you profitable anyway. Honestly, it’s just a waste of time and money.

That is what I almost found the funniest, because not even the players who are playing in the game knows what's going to happen and some person on the internet tells me that if I pay him, then he will get me a good bet? .

I mean even the player doesn't know, what makes no sense is that this person thinks that he will know the results of many games and allow me to bet thanks to him and make money when the people who are actually in the game doesn't even know what's going to happen and they are very serious about it and shocked when you laugh at their face . Obviously they are all liars, they are making assumptions and guesses and predictions just like any other gambler in the world, and you have 5100 right to laugh at their face about it.