Champions League 25/26 Knockout Stage Discussion

[NotATether]

Disclaimer - signature spam is not allowed here. You must have something meaningful to say, and if you're just posting garbage to fill your quota, your post will be deleted.

This thread is dedicated to serious discussions around betting, odds analysis, predictions, and news around the UEFA Champions League 2025/26 knockout stages. The other thread is just too long and unwieldy to have any sort of proper discussion without an army of users burying your post in pages of nonsense replies, so I've created this one. It will be locked following the conclusion of the final.


Group Stage Results:

Position	Team Name	Matches Played	Wins	Draws	Losses	Goals For (GF)	Goals Against (GA)	Goal Difference (GD)	Points
1	Arsenal	8	8	0	0	23	4	19	24
2	Bayern München	8	7	0	1	22	8	14	21
3	Liverpool	8	6	0	2	20	8	12	18
4	Tottenham	8	5	2	1	17	7	10	17
5	Barcelona	8	5	1	2	22	14	8	16
6	Chelsea	8	5	1	2	17	10	7	16
7	Sporting CP	8	5	1	2	17	11	6	16
8	Manchester City	8	5	1	2	15	9	6	16
--------------   (Playoffs / Seeded)
9	Real Madrid	8	5	0	3	21	12	9	15
10	Inter	8	5	0	3	15	7	8	15
11	Paris Saint-Germain	8	4	2	2	21	11	10	14
12	Newcastle	8	4	2	2	17	7	10	14
13	Juventus	8	3	4	1	14	10	4	13
14	Atlético de Madrid	8	4	1	3	17	15	2	13
15	Atalanta	8	4	1	3	10	10	0	13
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	3	3	2	13	14	-1	12
--------------   (Playoffs / Unseeded)
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	3	2	3	19	17	2	11
18	Olympiacos	8	3	2	3	10	14	-4	11
19	Club Brugge	8	3	1	4	15	17	-2	10
20	Galatasaray	8	3	1	4	9	11	-2	10
21	Monaco	8	2	4	2	8	14	-6	10
22	Qarabağ	8	3	1	4	13	21	-8	10
23	Bodø/Glimt	8	2	3	3	14	15	-1	9
24	Benfica	8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9
--------------   (Eliminated)
25	Marseille	8	3	0	5	11	14	-3	9
26	Pafos	8	2	3	3	8	11	-3	9
27	Union SG	8	3	0	5	8	17	-9	9
28	PSV	8	2	2	4	16	16	0	8
29	Athletic Club	8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8
30	Napoli	8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8
31	Copenhagen	8	2	2	4	12	21	-9	8
32	Ajax	8	2	0	6	8	21	-13	6
33	Frankfurt	8	1	1	6	10	21	-11	4
34	Slavia Praha	8	0	3	5	5	19	-14	3
35	Villarreal	8	0	1	7	5	18	-13	1
36	Kairat Almaty	8	0	1	7	7	22	-15	1

Playoff Matches and Dates:

Date	Time (CET)	Matchup (First Leg)
Feb 17	18:45	Galatasaray vs Juventus
Feb 17	21:00	Monaco vs Paris Saint-Germain
Feb 17	21:00	Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta
Feb 17	21:00	Benfica vs Real Madrid
Feb 18	18:45	Qarabağ vs Newcastle
Feb 18	21:00	Club Brugge vs Atlético de Madrid
Feb 18	21:00	Bodø/Glimt vs Inter
Feb 18	21:00	Olympiacos vs Bayer Leverkusen

Date	Time (CET)	Matchup (Second Leg)
Feb 24	18:45	Atlético de Madrid vs Club Brugge
Feb 24	21:00	Bayer Leverkusen vs Olympiacos
Feb 24	21:00	Inter vs Bodø/Glimt
Feb 24	21:00	Newcastle vs Qarabağ
Feb 25	18:45	Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund
Feb 25	21:00	Juventus vs Galatasaray
Feb 25	21:00	Paris Saint-Germain vs Monaco
Feb 25	21:00	Real Madrid vs Benfica

Full Knockout Bracket:


From UEFA.com

Team Betting Odds:

Team	League Phase Pos	Polymarket Probability (%)	Implied American Odds
Arsenal	1	20	+400
Bayern München	2	18	+456
Liverpool	3	9	+1011
Tottenham	4	2	+4900
Barcelona	5	12	+733
Chelsea	6	5	+1900
Sporting CP	7	1	+9900
Manchester City	8	10	+900
Real Madrid	9	7	+1329
Inter	10	3	+3233
Paris Saint-Germain	11	10	+900
Newcastle	12	2	+4900
Juventus	13	1	+9900
Atlético de Madrid	14	2	+4900
Atalanta	15	1	+9900
Bayer Leverkusen	16	<1	>+9900
Borussia Dortmund	17	1	+9900
Olympiacos	18	<1	>+9900
Club Brugge	19	<1	>+9900
Galatasaray	20	1	+9900
Monaco	21	<1	>+9900
Qarabağ	22	<1	>+9900
Bodø/Glimt	23	1	+9900
Benfica	24	1	+9900

Note: Probabilities and implied odds from Polymarket as of February 08, 2026; probabilities do not sum to 100% due to market fees and liquidity. Implied odds are approximate.

[NotATether]

Do any of you guys know how I can stop the table columns from shrinking?

[POPOLUV]

Looking at the way the Knockout stage of the champions League table is being arrange, i know that all the clubs that has made to the stage has all in takes to qualify for the next round yet is only two clubs that will come with the best result that will be able to play the final of 2025/2026 champions League, i believe that Liverpool vs Tottenham are  going to meet in the champions League and it is very possible of Liverpool winning Tottenham from 2:1 or more than that depending on how Liverpool players is ready to score more goals that very day the match is scheduled.

Arsenal vs Bayern München is going to be so interesting match to watch because the both teams are super good as of the champions League and and several local League is concerned and from my point of view Arsenal vs Bayern München is the most difficult match to be predicted because i don't know the teams to dominate in the match and to win too but what i know is that one of the will go home with the result.

[salad daging]

Honestly, we are not used to the American format odds because we are used to using the European format for the odds.

Arsenal remains the favorite to win the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League as the team is yet to lose in the group stage.

Allow me a little bit show odds who will be the champion CL season this season, and these odds are from bookie gambling casino.

Do any of you guys know how I can stop the table columns from shrinking?

Maybe you can use this table generator to get the column involved. [TOOL] [Site and Add-On] Table Generator - Custom Styled Tables for Bitcointalk!

[blomen]

speaking of my own team, galatasaray, from turkey, i'm happy that we're not a team given less than a 1% chance of winning the champions league. in reality, the probability is even lower than 1%, but it's nice that it shows we have higher expectations than some other teams.

by the way, since there are users from all over the world on this forum, i'm curious: are there any juventus fans among us? as a galatasaray fan, i'm curious to know how you see us matching up. when the rankings are finalized, you'll either be matched with us or club brugge. do you consider yourselves lucky or unlucky?