Time to long Bitcoin or further drop ?

[Wind_FURY]

Now is a influx of BTC from small holders on Binance has reached a 9-year low. Shrimp is a cohort that makes transactions worth less than 1 BTC. The average monthly inflow of funds from this group to Binance was 384 BTC, which was the lowest since 2017. For example, in January 2021, the inflow was 2,700 BTC.
In March 2024, the activity of retail investors was moderate: 1,250 and 900 BTC per month.
Significant spikes caused by panic were observed when BTC dropped to 60k.

Low inflows indicate a weakening of selling pressure, which is a positive signal.

This may already be obvious to you, and some of our fellow plebs, but another indicator of a weakening of sell pressure and the strengthening of price support is when a large holder sells and DIPs the price, but then the market merely absorbs it and the price returns from where it started before the large holders sell order.

It happened mere hours ago. A large holder made a market order to sell in $67,500, causing a DIP to $64,500, then the market absorbed it and the price currently returning to $67,500.

 

[summonerrk]

Now is a influx of BTC from small holders on Binance has reached a 9-year low. Shrimp is a cohort that makes transactions worth less than 1 BTC. The average monthly inflow of funds from this group to Binance was 384 BTC, which was the lowest since 2017. For example, in January 2021, the inflow was 2,700 BTC.
In March 2024, the activity of retail investors was moderate: 1,250 and 900 BTC per month.
Significant spikes caused by panic were observed when BTC dropped to 60k.

Low inflows indicate a weakening of selling pressure, which is a positive signal.

This may already be obvious to you, and some of our fellow plebs, but another indicator of a weakening of sell pressure and the strengthening of price support is when a large holder sells and DIPs the price, but then the market merely absorbs it and the price returns from where it started before the large holders sell order.

It happened mere hours ago. A large holder made a market order to sell in $67,500, causing a DIP to $64,500, then the market absorbed it and the price currently returning to $67,500.

 

Yes, a great example mate. I noticed same cases too.

Bitcoin fell by -4.5% in just 2 hours, dropping to a market capitalization of $64.2 thousand for the first time since February 5. Damn it, that was harsh.
Many long positions were eliminated, and BTC open interest dropped to $19.5 billion, less than half of the peak value of $38.3 billion recorded on January 14, 2026.
Despite the fact that this pullback occurred late on Sunday evening in the United States (usually a time of low social media activity), negative sentiment soared to a two-week high. Well, of course, because it's a panic in such a sharp fall. Well, after breaking through the $65,000 support level, retail quickly went into disinformation mode, which historically can contribute to a rapid rebound, because we know of many such cases of rapid buybacks. And then those who did not place pending orders become sad.

[Wind_FURY]

Now is a influx of BTC from small holders on Binance has reached a 9-year low. Shrimp is a cohort that makes transactions worth less than 1 BTC. The average monthly inflow of funds from this group to Binance was 384 BTC, which was the lowest since 2017. For example, in January 2021, the inflow was 2,700 BTC.
In March 2024, the activity of retail investors was moderate: 1,250 and 900 BTC per month.
Significant spikes caused by panic were observed when BTC dropped to 60k.

Low inflows indicate a weakening of selling pressure, which is a positive signal.

This may already be obvious to you, and some of our fellow plebs, but another indicator of a weakening of sell pressure and the strengthening of price support is when a large holder sells and DIPs the price, but then the market merely absorbs it and the price returns from where it started before the large holders sell order.

It happened mere hours ago. A large holder made a market order to sell in $67,500, causing a DIP to $64,500, then the market absorbed it and the price currently returning to $67,500.

 

Yes, a great example mate. I noticed same cases too.

Bitcoin fell by -4.5% in just 2 hours, dropping to a market capitalization of $64.2 thousand for the first time since February 5. Damn it, that was harsh.

Many long positions were eliminated, and BTC open interest dropped to $19.5 billion, less than half of the peak value of $38.3 billion recorded on January 14, 2026.

Despite the fact that this pullback occurred late on Sunday evening in the United States (usually a time of low social media activity), negative sentiment soared to a two-week high. Well, of course, because it's a panic in such a sharp fall. Well, after breaking through the $65,000 support level, retail quickly went into disinformation mode, which historically can contribute to a rapid rebound, because we know of many such cases of rapid buybacks. And then those who did not place pending orders become sad.

It's currently happening again. An entity sells a sizable amount of Bitcoin, the price will DIP while the market sell orders are happening, the market absorbs it, THEN when the entity stops, the price is stable. NO market panic. It's not like the Bear Cycles during 2018/2022 anymore.

Although, those Panic DIPs would be good for those who have placed their bids very low.

 

[summonerrk]

Volatility has peaked since 2022.
A huge $75k call-wall with a volume of $530 million has been standing unchanged for 10 days.
This is the main goal and at the same time the main barrier.
The inflection point is somewhere at: $70,500.
This is the "red line". As soon as BTC gains a foothold above $70,500, the market will move into a positive range. Market makers will have to buy bitcoin as the price rises. This will trigger a Short Squeeze, which could raise BTC to the 73K-75K range...
The risk of a Gamma squeeze is down:
 If the $60,000 level is breached, the next major stop is at $56K and then $50K. The market is currently under maximum stress. The gap between the price and the institutional option positioning of $75k is almost 20%. Usually, such gaps are closed either by a sharp increase or a complete trend reversal in March.

[dunfida]

To be honest , I longed from 65k . But I now start to have another fear of a slow drop from the current price . I will appreciate some technical analysis or opinions.

Why you were not sure about your decision, then you did you decide to enter the market? Before you enter a trade, you are suppose to be so sure about your analysis, and if you are a newbie trader, why do you decide to go into future trading, you know it’s so risky to trade futures, and any wrong decision which you make, you going to be liquidated, that’s why future trading isn’t for everyone, and since you are not sure about the direction which the market will take, you should have just stayed away from the market for some time.

On the moment that you do dive in into this market then you should be doing it on making up with your own analysis whether you should be going some buy or selling or would be waiting. It would be just that too impossible  that you wont be able to notice it out at the time that you would be able to experience on how this market behaves. Always put up into our minds that this market is really  that unpredictable and there's no way that we can be able to tell on where it would be heading or going but on the moment that you will be able to have that experience then you would be having that idea at least on what you should gonna do. For now the price is tanking above 60k+ but once we would be able to break that support then we will might be able to see 50k price soon or ever lower. Actually no one really knows on whats ahead if we do speak about price movements.

This is why its important that you should be always having that reserved stable coins on which you can make out some buybacks at the time that the market will be giving out some discount prices. If it keeps going down then hold your emotion and dont become impulsive at this time.

[hostm]

I'm long Bitcoin. I bought at 66,119, with a stop-loss at 65,800. Other information is on my image.



Stop losst at break even after the first two takes - at 66200

This is an intraday scalping strategy, and the margins are very high, as you can see. But this strategy is profitable.

The trade was closed with a small profit, the first two targets were reached and a stop loss was set at breakeven. I'm looking for a new entry point.

My goal is to achieve a win rate of 80% profitable and 20% losing trades. Therefore, I should close four out of five trades in profit. If this works for at least two months, it will mean my strategy is successful.

[0xredhot]

I'm long Bitcoin. I bought at 66,119, with a stop-loss at 65,800. Other information is on my image.

https://i.postimg.cc/85zQfHV6/btc-long-02-25.jpg

Stop losst at break even after the first two takes - at 66200

This is an intraday scalping strategy, and the margins are very high, as you can see. But this strategy is profitable.

The trade was closed with a small profit, the first two targets were reached and a stop loss was set at breakeven. I'm looking for a new entry point.

My goal is to achieve a win rate of 80% profitable and 20% losing trades. Therefore, I should close four out of five trades in profit. If this works for at least two months, it will mean my strategy is successful.

Nice catch, I think you got it, I did set up TP little earlier for BTC around 67k, but Hype did the thing for me.

https://cdn.fileshare.ing/production/uingqmv9ly.png

[Wind_FURY]

Volatility has peaked since 2022.
A huge $75k call-wall with a volume of $530 million has been standing unchanged for 10 days.
This is the main goal and at the same time the main barrier.
The inflection point is somewhere at: $70,500.
This is the "red line". As soon as BTC gains a foothold above $70,500, the market will move into a positive range. Market makers will have to buy bitcoin as the price rises. This will trigger a Short Squeeze, which could raise BTC to the 73K-75K range...

 👍

It happened AGAIN like we hypothesized yesterday. Someone sold a large amount of Bitcoin, it caused a DIP, and the market absorbed it. Currently, everyone started to notice, and they're probably front-running each other right now, causing the mini-surge.

The risk of a Gamma squeeze is down:
 If the $60,000 level is breached, the next major stop is at $56K and then $50K. The market is currently under maximum stress. The gap between the price and the institutional option positioning of $75k is almost 20%. Usually, such gaps are closed either by a sharp increase or a complete trend reversal in March.

Teach a pleb like me. What's a "Gamma Squeeze"? Does that mean a large DIP?