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Author Topic: Why you shouldn’t rely too much on AI in betting  (Read 637 times)
EluguHcman
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February 19, 2026, 03:50:06 PM
 #61

The AI actually gave you the right prediction as much as even experienced gamblers could justify a prediction match between when an obviously underdog and a giant favourite are to meet.
You don't have to say AI does not watch the matches else you should wonder where they generates the stats just to justify it own prediction.

Stats are very important datas to use in analysing games but that does not mean it is a reliable prediction strategy just like you almost got misled with the AI using it to make the decision between the both teams.
Sometimes the AI is right and sometimes it is wrong just as we human also get it wrong at times too.

Therefore, you were just lucky on your take OP because at most, the favourites have advantages over the underdogs while the improvement of teams makes the games centered to be unpredictable.











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February 19, 2026, 03:56:36 PM
 #62

Last night, I bet on the match between Alexandra Eala and Sorana Cîrstea. Cîrstea was the favorite, Eala was the underdog. I asked AI for a prediction and, as expected, it picked Cîrstea because of ranking and experience.

But I didn’t agree.

I watched Eala’s previous game where she beat a Top 10 player, and she looked confident. So I trusted my own analysis and bet on Eala with high odds (around 5). No screenshot, but the bet won.

This made me realize something.

AI usually thinks like the public. It follows stats, rankings, and odds. Same logic as most casual bettors. It doesn’t really watch games, it doesn’t see momentum or confidence.

Anyone else experienced this?

I don't use AI and I don't use other people's tips because I realized very early on that most people don't usually watch the games; they only look at statistics and news about the teams and place bets based on that, but this can lead them to make mistakes. Just look at yesterday's Premier League game where Arsenal played against Wolves; I believe that if anyone had used AI, they would have been led to bet on Arsenal to win with odds of @1.30.

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February 19, 2026, 03:57:20 PM
 #63


AI usually thinks like the public. It follows stats, rankings, and odds. Same logic as most casual bettors. It doesn’t really watch games, it doesn’t see momentum or confidence.

Anyone else experienced this?

Nah, I don’t really need to experience that. AI, as expected, will always base its picks on numbers, but that doesn’t make it unreliable. Numbers are still the primary foundation for determining which player or team has the edge. That’s exactly what oddsmakers do too, they create lines around data, probabilities, trends, and historical performance.

Upsets happen all the time, and the odds usually reflect that possibility. If there’s real upset potential, you’ll often see it in how the lines are set or how they move. I agree that not everything shows up cleanly in the stats. When you’re closely watching every match, you can sometimes spot momentum shifts, confidence levels, or situational angles that numbers haven’t fully captured yet, and that’s where personal judgment comes in (just like your case).

Congrats on your win btw!

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February 19, 2026, 04:02:07 PM
 #64

AI usually thinks like the public. It follows stats, rankings, and odds. Same logic as most casual bettors. It doesn’t really watch games, it doesn’t see momentum or confidence.

Anyone else experienced this?
AI obviously acted like human bettors. However, it's being limited to the how big scale of data supplied, and used to train it. It's basically predicting based on the past data, but unable to predict the future accurately caused by it doesn't have human intuition, which is matter a lot in betting.

That's why the better to used it as a tool. It can be very useful for data analytic and very informative.  However, it's horrible to predict future outcome caused by human's performance is truly unpredictable. It's the reason don't follow AI blindly.


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February 19, 2026, 04:07:44 PM
 #65


That's why the better to used it as a tool. It can be very useful for data analytic and very informative.  However, it's horrible to predict future outcome caused by human's performance is truly unpredictable. It's the reason don't follow AI blindly.
I mostly use AI for business strategy, and honestly it gives a lot of useful info and details. Same with gambling, it can also provide helpful data and stats. But as bettors, even if we’re all looking at the same numbers, our decisions will still be different. We each have our own way of analyzing things. That’s where experience and judgment matter.

AI’s role is limited to giving information, not predicting who will win. If it could really do that, many of us would already be rich by now.  Smiley

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February 19, 2026, 04:25:39 PM
 #66

I have once asked Al for predictions, but that was on football matches. All the results Al gave me that day played the opposite. and what pained me the more was that, my own predictions played exactly the way I predicted them. So I lost funds that day, because I followed Al predictions. Imo you can ask Al for assistance, but don't take Al results to heart. Because Al can be wrong sometimes.

I have said this before, that Al can never be good as humans. Human are special and unique creatures. generally humans are intelligent with common sense. Al may be fast in doing research and providing results as soon as possible. But the fact still remains that, Al was created by humans  who are intelligent with common sense. That is to say human common sense, was what brought Al into existence. So don't underestimate human intelligent, or compare human intelligence that is natural with that one of Al, that is artificial.

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February 19, 2026, 04:33:30 PM
 #67

AI like GPT doesn't have conscious, so it can't just predict as you did. What it can do is analyse all the possible stats and pull the data from betting analysis sites and what majority of the people is thinking and if you want to make it more specific then give a promt like I want to take the risky bets and go against the odds then you will see the AI will be giving you the least favorite, or you can write a promt only analyse the last 5 games results then the results might differ so it all boils down what promt that you are giving it.

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February 19, 2026, 04:42:09 PM
 #68

Just like you rightly said, AI follows the opinion of the general public. It uses the records of previous data and what the media is saying about the event, it does not integrate human intuition which is why AI should be used only as an addition to what you already have idea of. If you rely on AI to completely make all the gambling decision, you might run into problems.

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February 19, 2026, 04:48:02 PM
 #69

AI is trained based on data it gathers from the internet and other sources, so thinking it can provide such good predictions on bets is tantamount to hoping for something incredibly difficult. AI is merely a machine that can predict based on the data it gathers. It can't make predictions like humans, who possess intuition and deeper analysis of a single bet. Therefore, AI should only be used as a tool to strengthen analysis, not as a definitive decision-maker.

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February 19, 2026, 04:51:52 PM
 #70

I have once asked Al for predictions, but that was on football matches. All the results Al gave me that day played the opposite. and what pained me the more was that, my own predictions played exactly the way I predicted them.
Or.  Maybe Artificial Intelligence is actually better than all of us and knows who the most skilled actually are.

Or.  Maybe we should stop using 'Artificial Intelligence' to think for us because it does not have an actual brain.  It looks really stupid seeing all these people believe in some technology more than they believe in them selves.  Some people indirectly believe Artificial Intelligence is some sort of Deity.  I have seen it all.  People asking it for legal advice.  People asking it for complicated recipes.

Hell.  Some body probably asked it how to build a house from scratch too.  It only takes this much stupidity to find your self in a position where you die because Artificial Intelligence told you it is safe to put a dried out spray can in the microwave to fix it.

Am I the only one who finds it really dumb that we got to a point where we let a piece of code we do not even understand think for us?  It sucks at every thing.  The entire Internet is nowadays FILLED with dead articles written by imaginary people.  And to understand how accurate Artificial Intelligence actually is, if you open 10 of these articles you will find very different answers inside of them.  If Artificial Intelligence 'thinks', then it is really really dumb.

 
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February 19, 2026, 04:55:11 PM
 #71

Last night, I bet on the match between Alexandra Eala and Sorana Cîrstea. Cîrstea was the favorite, Eala was the underdog. I asked AI for a prediction and, as expected, it picked Cîrstea because of ranking and experience.

But I didn’t agree.

I watched Eala’s previous game where she beat a Top 10 player, and she looked confident. So I trusted my own analysis and bet on Eala with high odds (around 5). No screenshot, but the bet won.

This made me realize something.

AI usually thinks like the public. It follows stats, rankings, and odds. Same logic as most casual bettors. It doesn’t really watch games, it doesn’t see momentum or confidence.

Anyone else experienced this?
I think that when you've asked the AI, it only based on the odds that are in display. That's why it has suggested that you should bet for the favorite instead of the underdog. This is a common thing in AI and asking such decisive bets won't really be helpful if you do that. I'm glad that you're able to win that bet because you'll never know that an underdog will beat the favorite and you'll have the better odd. It's okay to ask some things with AI but, you don't get assurance with what it will answer especially if you're asking which one to bet for. It's still best to do our own analysis before betting.

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February 19, 2026, 04:55:39 PM
 #72

I watched Eala’s previous game where she beat a Top 10 player, and she looked confident. So I trusted my own analysis and bet on Eala with high odds (around 5). No screenshot, but the bet won.

There are unexpected things that cannot be predicted by AI. We have seen how a team or player who is not favored can defeat the stronger opponent. AI will definitely provide predictions based on statistics or the best odds according to data. We can use that as a basis for making predictions. But other factors sometimes make us have to bet against the public. Sometimes this works, but sometimes it doesn't. It all depends not only on luck but also on how accurately we gather information.

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February 19, 2026, 04:58:18 PM
 #73

I don't need to go through the same experience to understand what you're saying. Yes AI gives results based on data it gathers from the internet, so this is the natural outcome. AI can't think outside the box nor can it make unconventional decisions like you did, and this is one of the fundamental differences between it and humans.

Even when I ask AI to predict the price of Bitcoin, it gives me the same result that most human analysts predict based on the data they have. AI does this, it's a machine that gathers information and analyzes it and presents its findings in an intelligent way.


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February 19, 2026, 05:01:00 PM
 #74

AI usually thinks like the public. It follows stats, rankings, and odds. Same logic as most casual bettors. It doesn’t really watch games, it doesn’t see momentum or confidence.

That's why the bookies wins more than bettors do, because they would access the public's sentiments before they give put the game odds and when they see how the sentiment is changing, they will also adjust the odds so that the outcome will favour them. If someone doesn't do their own professional research, they can lose the bet, using AI can also result to lose because it does its prediction by already made article or views from other players.
Yes, that's right. AI predictions and bookmakers' predictions are generally almost identical in favoring a team. This is because AI predictions are based on the history of the two teams' meetings and only based on the standings. However, if you analyze it yourself you'll see the current condition of the team including player injuries and the formation used by the coach.

I once made a prediction using AI when United was going through a difficult time. When playing against a small team, both the AI ​​and the bookmakers always favored Manchester United but the result was always the smaller team winning. This was because United was in poor form even with internal problems and the motivation to win wasn't derived from AI it could only be obtained through independent analysis. The same thing happened when Manchester City experienced a slump as it did last season. So it's indeed better to bet using independent analysis than using AI.

 
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February 19, 2026, 05:28:58 PM
 #75

This isn't surprising.Many people already overly idealize AI and deny that it can make mistakes or be inaccurate. It's important to understand: it doesn't make predictions it only works on information obtained before an event it can't see into the future. There's no need to build castles in the air and think this is a gold mine, and this story is a clear example of that, and I'm glad this is being discussed publicly.

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February 19, 2026, 05:51:45 PM
 #76

Al doesn't think like the public because it has no brain rather, AI uses the information programmed in the data base. AI cannot predict the future just like human cannot. Gambling is not the way we think it is because we feel we can easily make good predictions to favor our bet but it turns out the opposite.

Anything human cannot do, AI cannot do it too especially, when it comes to activities that involves human reasoning. This is where God is supreme than human.

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February 19, 2026, 06:22:27 PM
 #77

AI usually thinks like the public. It follows stats, rankings, and odds. Same logic as most casual bettors. It doesn’t really watch games, it doesn’t see momentum or confidence.

Anyone else experienced this?
This isn't really surprising or something new. AI uses stats available online and bases its prediction there, this is why you shouldn't just blindly trust AI or even an odds provider, because they base their odds and prediction on the stats that are available. This is also why, individual analysis from sport bettors can be more accurate AI or odds provider.

By the way, Eala was amazing.

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February 19, 2026, 06:24:08 PM
 #78

Last night, I bet on the match between Alexandra Eala and Sorana Cîrstea. Cîrstea was the favorite, Eala was the underdog. I asked AI for a prediction and, as expected, it picked Cîrstea because of ranking and experience.

But I didn’t agree.

I watched Eala’s previous game where she beat a Top 10 player, and she looked confident. So I trusted my own analysis and bet on Eala with high odds (around 5). No screenshot, but the bet won.

This made me realize something.

AI usually thinks like the public. It follows stats, rankings, and odds. Same logic as most casual bettors. It doesn’t really watch games, it doesn’t see momentum or confidence.

Anyone else experienced this?
A.I was meant to be a tool to help you in carrying out effective analysis,  and not rather a tool you rely on 100% to do everything for you, because A.I can only analyze and gives you feedback of that analysis based on the outcome of previous performance and current data found on the Internet. Of which as a gambler, you were meant to do checks and balances, so as to know which game to finally place a bet on. Because it is still possible you could have used the A.I's prediction and still won, just the same way you followed your instincts and won.. So in a nutshell,  let's always try to use A.I as a tool for assistance, and not just rely on it for bet prediction or totally discard it simply because you used it first and you didn't won. Because gambling is not a get rich quick scheme, and as such, you just have to be willing to trade with caution.


 
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February 19, 2026, 07:18:44 PM
 #79

The same predictions you get when you use Ai for predictions will be what the book markers and other sports analyst will predict if you are following them before the games, the difference between human predictions and that of AI is the analysis you will get faster using AI which humans may take a little more time before giving you the best options.
Hmm... I am thinking how this ideal is enough to trust or use the AI for gambling predictions if it means that getting analytical results faster is the case why people uses the AI, then those using it in that fact don't know the risks accompanied to it because
AI prediction can appear professional and convince able to be true but yet can not be guaranteed just like when human prediction.


If you are a regular fan of a particular sports and you watch a particular team you should know what to predict when they have a match with an opponent though changes happens due to some unforseen circumstances and some unfortunate things in the game but you have high chances of winning when you bet on a particular team you know or an athlete you are always watching.
That is just it. To enjoy gambling you have to run your analysis by yourself and so you can also take every accolades and blames yourself without relying on other sources.











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February 19, 2026, 07:24:06 PM
 #80

I have never believed on AI or laying more emphasis on what AI could give me as a result to what I asked in regarding football. Even though who using trading for whatever they are doing I have never engaged myself to such activities as I believe that AI can never give you what you wanted, as a matter of fact; AI is being deployed by ordinary people just like you and I who gathered information from different source in encodes with the AI. Now if you have wrong information about a team or a football clubs same information you gave us what the AI could be disseminating.

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