Risk‑off sentiment has prevailed in financial markets today.
Crypto shows resilience - ETF inflows continue, BTC has gained a foothold above 70k. The main drivers of the market, as in recent months, are geopolitics and oil - the main trigger of rising gasoline prices and logistics negates all the Fed's successes in combating inflation.
The dollar is strengthening on the geopolitical premium and expectations of a Fed pause.
Crypto Fear & Greed Index is around 30 - a zone of fear, but without capitulation. This state usually corresponds to the accumulation phase.
Bitcoin ETF: +$54 million
Maybe this month will really be green...
Yes it can.
The average cost at the accumulation addresses is $72,400.
Short-term holders (coins <155 days) own ~6 million BTC and are in the zone of unrealized losses.
Their psychology is that any upward movement immediately leads to a break-even. Long-term investors are quietly absorbing the drawdown.
Futures are trading close to the spot, without strong backwardation/contango, and open interest is stable. Neutrally, the institutions are holding their ground.
A key structural shift: crypto is returning to the status of an alternative "reserve" asset for some investors who have become disillusioned with the classic "gold + bonds" combination as an ideal hedge.
And that's cool. If only the dollar wasn't so strong right now, it's taking away liquidity from Bitcoin...