Do you fully rely on stats before placing a bet?

[Stepstowealth]

What do you think, do you trust the numbers 100%, mix them with instinct, or go with your own read?

Numbers should only be a reference, not be the entirty what you depend on to make your decisions when placing a bet, I feel there should be a mix of instinct in decision making.

For me, stats matter, but I still trust my gut more. Maybe around 40% stats and 60% gut feel. That’s how I usually evaluate the lines.

This is better and increases your chances of winning than trusting stats more than instincts as some gamblers make the mistake. That is why sometimes you hear some last gamblers say the final outcome of a game that they did not play was something they thought about playing.

[nelson4lov]

I don't rely 100% on stats because stats would always fail too. For instance, there was a stat before Tottenham vs Arsenal game today that Kolo Muani haven't scored in the EPL since joining Tottenham and people might have used that stat to bet against him not scoring and today, he did score and was even unlucky that his second goal didn't count. That's how stats can fail.

These days, what I usually do is to check what line-up a team puts out and sometimes, I go on to check possible substitutions.  If the line up is strong, and the stats say the same, it reinforces my bias. I looked at the Barcelona lineup today with Lewandowski, Yamal and Raphina in the starting lineup ajd knew that Hansi flick meant business.

[FirmWars]

Statistics, mixed with my instincts and public choice is where I rely on, the casino have their odd based on stats too and if they give low odds to some game, you know that it means they assume the team will lose the bet which made them give a low odd, I will decide if I just want to bet following the odd as a factor of consideration only or my instincts can influence my decision at that time. If I want to bet sometimes too, it is strictly on what I found on the statics reading.

[passwordnow]

What do you think, do you trust the numbers 100%, mix them with instinct, or go with your own read?

I do trust the numbers because they speak of performance and how good a team is. But, I'm also mixing that up with some instincts. I watch games personally and that's why it helps me what to pick. But of course, there are bad days that even you combine all of those factors, you'll never know that those numbers might not be all of it and you'll still get those losses and even get into losing streak. Or it could be that I am just a terrible bettor and that's probably why but I am sure that each of us has got to share something like those experiences.

[Coyster]

It is not bad to fully rely on stats, i mean, what is really there to rely on? You already know nothing guarantees you winning, so it is not a bad idea to study form, head to head, last 10 games, injuries, team morale, etc and then wager based on your results. It is either you lose or you win, same outcome if you didn't put that strategy to use, so not a bad thing to do at all.

[PX-Z]

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What do you think, do you trust the numbers 100%, mix them with instinct, or go with your own read?

I only start betting after watching the first quarter looking what team and players have score percentage accuracy (basketball), the turn overs and steals, etc. on 2nd quarter. I got more winning rate of doing this since I started betting like this than betting before the matches begun. Stats are to be considered too after what i have mentioned.

[Odogwu-Blockchain]

These days, we have tons of websites showing every possible stat. Head-to-head, form, injuries, advanced numbers, everything is easy to access. In theory, we already have all the info we need. So why do most gamblers still lose?

This got me to question the football match with Tottenham and Arsenal today, where stats had shown that Tottenham is having a new Coach starting his work today, stats shows that newly elected Coach won't want to get a failed results but would definitely score a 3 points today or rather draw, as playing from home will give them advantage a little bit.

But the result came out different, a quite different result, Arsenal slashed Tottenham with heavy goal and put this new Coach to shame.

Nothing will really change even though the best stats are presented, gambling will still remain gambling. It's nothing logical but pure luck.

[Makus]

Relying on stats is good but you must understand that there are some certain things that can change the prediction of match. Bettors make use of these informations gotten from stats to place their bets but relying fully on it can be very dangerous because there are things that can change the out that can happen before or during a game, this can change the outcome of what the game is supposed to be, these factors are weather, change in players and a whole lot of things they must always be considered

[Felicity_Tide]

These days, we have tons of websites showing every possible stat. Head-to-head, form, injuries, advanced numbers, everything is easy to access. In theory, we already have all the info we need. So why do most gamblers still lose?

Because game of sports, especially football in particular, sometimes doesn't respect stats and records.
You just see teams pulling surprises when least expected. While other times, some gamblers do bet with emotions. Despite knowing too well that one team stands a better chance of winning than the other team, they_{(the gambler)} prefer to risk for a higher odds but with less chances.

If everyone is looking at the same data, are we really gaining an edge, or just following the crowd?

What do you think, do you trust the numbers 100%, mix them with instinct, or go with your own read?

It gives an edge to some extent, but it really depends on what you think about those data, or how you interpret them. Though, it does not guarantee you a flawless victory for life, because odds and history can change in a split of seconds. I trust those data to some extent, but I sometimes goes with my instinct or try to match them both.

[Cantsay]

I'm not sure if it is a big mistake, as I was using it when betting. But of course, I use my instinct as well.

I believe data is very important for determining which team to peak with. But as usual, it was never meant to be the game's decision maker. Just like how we use odds as our basis, it can never be a tool for winning.

In a game of luck, no tools can ensure winning. Despite seeing positive feedback, that still won't change the outcome of the game. In fact, these creators don't buy and rely on it. They make their own.

Using stats definitely won’t give you that guarantee win but still, I think it’s far better than just logging into your gambling account and selecting based on your instincts, you’ll lose more than someone that makes guided bets based on stats and instincts too.

There are some teams that repeat win, so knowing their past performance and also how their opponents performed against them would help you decide if there’s a possibility of them winning or losing against their opponents, we have used stats and seen where they were helpful and also when they didn’t give us any good results.

[Oasisman]

What do you think, do you trust the numbers 100%, mix them with instinct, or go with your own read?

Realistically speaking, following the numbers will give you more chances of winning, but the win is not guaranteed, that's always gonna be the case. Mix them with instinct, does the same, because you will still end up going for the numbers. However, relying heavily on your instincts, going against the numbers will probably going to give you more chances to lose, because it's not everyday we're seeing an upset.
Imo, there's no way we just ignore the stats, it's always going to be a part of betting analysis.

[Byebyebtc]

There is nothing that leads to consistent wins in gambling, are you forgetting that gambling is a game of luck?
Even the bast gambling analyst in the world can not be consistent in winning except he has the ability to bribe and rig the game,
If not gambling is still based on luck no matter what statistics or analysis say.

This reminds me of Arsenal match against Wolves,
Wolves a club that is religation threatened, at the bottom of the table, and arsenal at the too of the table, I guess you can clearly see what statistics will say concerning that match, and not just statistics the potential results was totally clear, but still yet the match ended as a draw, this is to remind you that you are playing a game of luck, and if you win regardless of your statistics or what so ever you are still "just lucky" .

[junder]

I rarely do sports betting, but I think that relying on stats might help but it still won't guarantee you a win. Even if I do sports betting I do it on my favorite team but do not rely on statistics or others even though the opposing team is said to be stronger but I do not cancel it, I still bet on my favorite team just to add to the excitement and tension of the game.

[Agbe]

Stats is meant to feed the bettor with information that give us an egdge over the sport bookie's, but the reality have proven that, despite the available statistics and data for bettor to work with, we are still losing because of the involvement of human emotions and control, so gamblers keep losing not because they don't have the stats to work with, but because of the over involvement of human emotions and feelings, line being over confident in our analysis that we get in that line, this always results into loses.

Asides from human emotions and lack of control other things can also affect the application of stats in betting and these things are inevitable. After placing a bet that you are sure of you might end up losing because a lot of things can go wrong, sometimes key players can be changed, they can get injured, the weather is also another factor to consider. These things are the unseen events that can take place.

[L E G E N D A R Y]

Relying on stats is good but you must understand that there are some certain things that can change the prediction of match. Bettors make use of these informations gotten from stats to place their bets but relying fully on it can be very dangerous because there are things that can change the out that can happen before or during a game, this can change the outcome of what the game is supposed to be, these factors are weather, change in players and a whole lot of things they must always be considered

That's right, but its good to also remember that gambling is a game based on luck and chance, which is one can't easy predict, that is why people are ought to gamble responsibly and gamble with the amount they can easily afford to lose which they won't be affected by it, because they earlier they realise that they can be rich through gambling, they better for them, as it will save them from having or going through mental stress.

[Dr.Bitcoin_Strange]

Relying on stats is good but you must understand that there are some certain things that can change the prediction of match. Bettors make use of these informations gotten from stats to place their bets but relying fully on it can be very dangerous because there are things that can change the out that can happen before or during a game, this can change the outcome of what the game is supposed to be, these factors are weather, change in players and a whole lot of things they must always be considered

Using stats is very helpful bro, but these same stats is what most gamblers use in making analysis and after filtering and analysing the market to come up with some certain predictions, you must also apply your common sense to do slight adjustment which you assume is likely to happen and that kind of approach is what makes some few gamblers to be lucky even while many players have lost the game.

[TedMosby]

Luck is still the most important factor in gambling. Looking at stats is just an extra step to help reduce the risk of losing. At least you won’t bet randomly, like putting a huge bet on Burnley to win the EPL or betting on an injured player to score when he’s not even playing. Checking the stats helps you avoid emotional or feeling-based bets.

[dunfida]

These days, we have tons of websites showing every possible stat. Head-to-head, form, injuries, advanced numbers, everything is easy to access. In theory, we already have all the info we need. So why do most gamblers still lose?

If everyone is looking at the same data, are we really gaining an edge, or just following the crowd? I don’t have exact numbers, but it feels like relying purely on stats doesn’t lead to consistent wins. If it did, more bettors would be profitable long term.

Maybe full reliance on stats is just a smart-looking mistake.

What do you think, do you trust the numbers 100%, mix them with instinct, or go with your own read?

Thats the main purpose on why you would be checking out for stats on which you can make out some comparison on whose the better team/player on which you would be basing your bets into but of course you shouldnt be only sticking into the stats alone but rather check out also into their recent fights, checking out some potential injury after that or any training updates in regarding about possible issues on which you do need up to check because it might that look simple but this could also give out some impact into their gameplay/fight. Although just like we do all know that no matter how good your analysis would be but still there's no assurance about 100% sure win but its much better to have these kind of checks and analysis rather than on making some bets on blind way and this is something that you do need up to consider.

Stats checking should be that in default and the rest is that up to you on how you would be adding up and for you to be able to check whether you would go for that team or you would go for the opposite side.

[SFR10]

These days, we have tons of websites showing every possible stat. Head-to-head, form, injuries, advanced numbers, everything is easy to access. In theory, we already have all the info we need. So why do most gamblers still lose?

Two main things normally lead us to lose most of our bets... The first one is an incorrect interpretation of those stats due to bias ^{[it's a lot of stuff, so there's always room for some error]} and the second one is that we still need luck to be on our side ^{[e.g., when players unexpectedly underperform, you know it's not your day]}.

[Accardo]

I rarely do sports betting, but I think that relying on stats might help but it still won't guarantee you a win. Even if I do sports betting I do it on my favorite team but do not rely on statistics or others even though the opposing team is said to be stronger but I do not cancel it, I still bet on my favorite team just to add to the excitement and tension of the game.

Stats doesn't add up so much, it only builds experience about the sport and little on gambling results. When working with stats it gets me confused to even predict on a losing team to lose again on the forthcoming match, stats can't take away the critical thinking needed in predicting games. With such a confusion on ground, gamblers would probably lose to the uncertainty of sport outcomes despite a solid background on the statistics of the game including injuries and previous challenge the underdog could have encountered in their last few games.