Attack on Iran - effects on markets/Bitcoin

[pawel7777]

So this morning USA attacked Iran, a move that is probably not much of a surprise to anyone, as this was brewing for quite some time now.

Some say (and I agree with that) that the timing of Saturday morning is not coincidental, and it was meant to prevent a panic in the traditional markets. Trump was quite vocal about his care for the stock prices in the past. Markets are closed on the weekend, so we'll have two days for emotions to cool off and that's extra time for accepting the new reality.

Crypto markets have no limits on trading hours and we could see the impact right away. The BTC price went down sharply by almost 5%, but bounced back since then. Probably many saw this as a good buying opportunity.

What do you expect to see happening to the stock market on Mon, and do you expect any possible long-term effects, especially if the military operation doesn't go as smooth as expected and Iran proves to be a tough challenge?

[Yamane_Keto]

Bitcoin price has decreased by 1% in the last 24 hours and less than 5% in the last week, so I don't see any impact of the war on the price of Bitcoin. Things may change as events change, but 1% is not a decrease that could be due to an event.

[pawel7777]

Bitcoin price has decreased by 1% in the last 24 hours and less than 5% in the last week, so I don't see any impact of the war on the price of Bitcoin. Things may change as events change, but 1% is not a decrease that could be due to an event.

Nah, it dropped by almost 5%. Check the daily high and the daily low. It recovered since then and now it's actually +2% in the last 24h.
I guess some might have rushed to sell as soon as the news broke out, but there wasn't much panic after all, and many saw this as a good time to buy.

We could see some more action on Mon, when stock trading is open. If there's a big panic there, Bitcoin will almost certainly get hit as well. But I think the whole expected this to happen, so it's probably largely priced in already.

Depending on how the situation will unfold, there could be some further implications, as I don't believe a major military conflict (which we used to call "war) would have no impact on the markets.

[Fiatless]

We could see some more action on Mon, when stock trading is open. If there's a big panic there, Bitcoin will almost certainly get hit as well. But I think the whole expected this to happen, so it's probably largely priced in already.

Depending on how the situation will unfold, there could be some further implications, as I don't believe a major military conflict (which we used to call "war) would have no impact on the markets.

The war is already escalating with Iran attacking nations around the Middle East.  Oil prices rose to $72 due to this conflict and there are high chances that they might rise further. My prediction is that the price of Bitcoin might decline if Iran keeps attacking US allies. Such attacks might disrupt global oil supplies which would affect the global economy. We just have to wait and see how the market will react on Monday.  Anyway, this is indeed a good time to stack Bitcoin.

[0x000369]

The war is already escalating with Iran attacking nations around the Middle East  Oil prices rose to $72 due to this conflict and there are high chances that they might rise further My prediction is that the price of Bitcoin might decline if Iran keeps attacking US allies Such attacks might disrupt global oil supplies which would affect the global economy We just have to wait and see how the market will react on Monday  Anyway this is indeed a good time to stack Bitcoin

@Fiatless yeah stacking sats now is smart but dont kid yourself this geo fud always pumps then dumps btc short term

op you think trump timed it for weekends lol classic politician move to dodge the stock crash but crypto dont sleep so we saw the dip live

expect stocks to tank monday if iran hits back hard oil spikes more btc might moon as safe haven or get rekt with everything else

been through this bs before syria iraq same story markets freak then adapt hodl through the noise

[Powerjumboo]

So this morning USA attacked Iran, a move that is probably not much of a surprise to anyone, as this was brewing for quite some time now.

Some say (and I agree with that) that the timing of Saturday morning is not coincidental, and it was meant to prevent a panic in the traditional markets. Trump was quite vocal about his care for the stock prices in the past. Markets are closed on the weekend, so we'll have two days for emotions to cool off and that's extra time for accepting the new reality.

Crypto markets have no limits on trading hours and we could see the impact right away. The BTC price went down sharply by almost 5%, but bounced back since then. Probably many saw this as a good buying opportunity.

What do you expect to see happening to the stock market on Mon, and do you expect any possible long-term effects, especially if the military operation doesn't go as smooth as expected and Iran proves to be a tough challenge?

After the Israeli attack on Iran, we saw that not only the Bitcoin market, but the entire cryptocurrency market collapsed. Many predicted that the market could dump more in this war situation, but we are seeing the opposite there. We can see that the Bitcoin market is pumping right now. We can see that the Bitcoin market dropped from $65,500 to $63,000, and from there, Bitcoin reached above $67,000 again. However, looking at the market situation, I think the Bitcoin market will go up.

However, it is not possible to accurately predict what will happen in the stock market on Monday at this time.

[jossiel]

What do you expect to see happening to the stock market on Mon, and do you expect any possible long-term effects, especially if the military operation doesn't go as smooth as expected and Iran proves to be a tough challenge?

I'm expecting the same thing when Russia attacked Ukraine.

The markets have plunged as soon as the markets went back from the weekend rest. But, it didn't took long then.

Recovery is going to come eventually as expected. The long term effect? we don't know, maybe not for crypto but for the oil prices.

[Onyeeze]

Bitcoin price has decreased by 1% in the last 24 hours and less than 5% in the last week, so I don't see any impact of the war on the price of Bitcoin. Things may change as events change, but 1% is not a decrease that could be due to an event.

in a subsequent time the price of Bitcoin will decrease more because when there is a war or crisis between two countries it will always affect the price of Bitcoin so what is happening now we make bitcoin to decrease more and it will be an opportunity for people to invest in Bitcoin, and secondly those people that have thousands of Bitcoin in their portfolio I think it is the best time for them to use and buy a usdt because of how the price of Bitcoin may decrease within this kind of Iran Israel and U.S crisis

[Orpichukwu]

The war is already escalating with Iran attacking nations around the Middle East.  Oil prices rose to $72 due to this conflict and there are high chances that they might rise further. My prediction is that the price of Bitcoin might decline if Iran keeps attacking US allies. Such attacks might disrupt global oil supplies which would affect the global economy. We just have to wait and see how the market will react on Monday.  Anyway, this is indeed a good time to stack Bitcoin.

It's just a day and a few hours left for Monday, when the stock market will open, and then we will not only have to predict but also see live what the war effect looks like on the market. If war pressure continues to increase, then certainly Bitcoin dumping more than what was recently seen is inevitable; wars have always brought about some chaos in the market.

[Swordsoffreedom]

Bitcoin price has decreased by 1% in the last 24 hours and less than 5% in the last week, so I don't see any impact of the war on the price of Bitcoin. Things may change as events change, but 1% is not a decrease that could be due to an event.

in a subsequent time the price of Bitcoin will decrease more because when there is a war or crisis between two countries it will always affect the price of Bitcoin so what is happening now we make bitcoin to decrease more and it will be an opportunity for people to invest in Bitcoin, and secondly those people that have thousands of Bitcoin in their portfolio I think it is the best time for them to use and buy a usdt because of how the price of Bitcoin may decrease within this kind of Iran Israel and U.S crisis

It is almost certain that Bitcoin will continue to fall when the stock market opens tomorrow. This is a fairly normal reaction because, as we all know, bitcoin is a risky asset and it always reacts negatively to global instability. However, even if this war lasts longer, I think its consequences and impact will not be as severe as the war between Russia and Ukraine. Therefore, the market is likely to adapt and recover quickly rather than continue to decline sharply and severely, as many people fear

Bitcoin has fallen significantly from its peak, so anyone intending to accumulate should start now instead of thinking it will fall further because of the war

[Free Market Capitalist]

in a subsequent time the price of Bitcoin will decrease more because...

It is almost certain that Bitcoin will continue to fall when the stock market opens tomorrow...

Those are great shitposts. You couldn't bother to look at the price before writing? I guess you are used to getting paid for writing garbage so it doesn't matter to you.

When the bombings began, the price fell by 4%, but when it became known that Ayatollah Ali Khamenei had been killed, the price recovered and has remained flat compared to before the bombings.

You should be ashamed of writing like that.

[Bitcoin_people]

So this morning USA attacked Iran, a move that is probably not much of a surprise to anyone, as this was brewing for quite some time now.

Some say (and I agree with that) that the timing of Saturday morning is not coincidental, and it was meant to prevent a panic in the traditional markets. Trump was quite vocal about his care for the stock prices in the past. Markets are closed on the weekend, so we'll have two days for emotions to cool off and that's extra time for accepting the new reality.

Crypto markets have no limits on trading hours and we could see the impact right away. The BTC price went down sharply by almost 5%, but bounced back since then. Probably many saw this as a good buying opportunity.

What do you expect to see happening to the stock market on Mon, and do you expect any possible long-term effects, especially if the military operation doesn't go as smooth as expected and Iran proves to be a tough challenge?

After the Israeli attack on Iran, we saw that not only the Bitcoin market, but the entire cryptocurrency market collapsed. Many predicted that the market could dump more in this war situation, but we are seeing the opposite there. We can see that the Bitcoin market is pumping right now. We can see that the Bitcoin market dropped from $65,500 to $63,000, and from there, Bitcoin reached above $67,000 again. However, looking at the market situation, I think the Bitcoin market will go up.

However, it is not possible to accurately predict what will happen in the stock market on Monday at this time.

Yes, after the Israeli attack on Iran, the market went down a lot, but later when the United States and Israel started attacking Iran, the market did not fall that much. The Bitcoin market did not go down much during this war, but it went up. I can see that the Bitcoin market has touched $68k today. Even in such a dull situation of the war, the price of Bitcoin is currently increasing by about 5%, although the market was supposed to be down at the moment, but it is running in a green candle. The situation of the Bitcoin market is good at the moment, especially now that many people are probably doing a lot of transactions through Bitcoin during this war, which has resulted in the market increasing. However, it is very difficult to say where the market will go in the future, since we have already seen that the Supreme Leader of Iran has been killed, which is a very sad event. If Iran launches a stronger attack to avenge their Supreme Leader, we really do not understand where the market will go.

[LogitechMouse]

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What do you expect to see happening to the stock market on Mon, and do you expect any possible long-term effects, especially if the military operation doesn't go as smooth as expected and Iran proves to be a tough challenge?

Well, the effect of this attack will still affect the global markets anyway despite of the attack happening on weekends where the traditional market is closed.

TBH, it's not surprising as well that the US will be attacking Iran because like what you said, there has been many rumors circulating about it already. As for it's impact, we've seen it on crypto market immediately and we will be seeing it on other markets as well a few hours as soon as the session opens. The good thing though is that the crypto market is up again after the news that the Supreme Leader of Iran got killed because of the "joint operation" by both US and Israel.

As for it's effects on the global market, we might see a small decline, but that's it. The market will recover anyways so... yeah. I don't expect any long-term effects on this one... or there will be because Iran will try and retaliate on their enemy countries so this might have a negative in the long run IF this war will take a long time. 

[free-bit.co.in]

Yes, after the Israeli attack on Iran, the market went down a lot, but later when the United States and Israel started attacking Iran, the market did not fall that much. The Bitcoin market did not go down much during this war, but it went up. I can see that the Bitcoin market has touched $68k today. Even in such a dull situation of the war, the price of Bitcoin is currently increasing by about 5%, although the market was supposed to be down at the moment, but it is running in a green candle. The situation of the Bitcoin market is good at the moment, especially now that many people are probably doing a lot of transactions through Bitcoin during this war, which has resulted in the market increasing. However, it is very difficult to say where the market will go in the future, since we have already seen that the Supreme Leader of Iran has been killed, which is a very sad event. If Iran launches a stronger attack to avenge their Supreme Leader, we really do not understand where the market will go.

I was also quite surprised to see Bitcoin rise instead of fall when the war broke out. However, in my opinion, it is too early to say that Bitcoin is unaffected and will not decline again.  
We all know that the majority of market capital flows are dominated by institutions, ETFs. Therefore, we should wait until global financial markets reopen at the beginning of the week to see the real reaction of capital flows and investor sentiment.

I am closely monitoring the developments of the war and based on my observations, I am not very optimistic about the upcoming market as Iran is determined to avenge its leader. The war is likely to drag on and the situation will only get worse.

[Lucius]

~snip~
Some say (and I agree with that) that the timing of Saturday morning is not coincidental, and it was meant to prevent a panic in the traditional markets. Trump was quite vocal about his care for the stock prices in the past. Markets are closed on the weekend, so we'll have two days for emotions to cool off and that's extra time for accepting the new reality.

According to the information that appeared today, the date for the attack was the information that the supreme leader and the highest officials would be at the exact location, and the goal was to eliminate them. If that meeting was supposed to take place on Monday, I think there would be no hesitation in taking place then - the stake was much higher than a possible panic on the markets.

What do you expect to see happening to the stock market on Mon, and do you expect any possible long-term effects, especially if the military operation doesn't go as smooth as expected and Iran proves to be a tough challenge?

The operation is going according to plan and there is only one possible outcome, which probably means that the stock markets will not react badly when they open. The main leader is dead, most of the strategic targets have already been destroyed, and if Iran continues to provoke with the occasional launch of rockets and drones at neighboring countries, this will mean even greater destruction of their country.

This so-called war is not even close to what has been happening in Ukraine for 4 years - it is a real war in every sense.

[Witch hunting]

The operation is going according to plan and there is only one possible outcome, which probably means that the stock markets will not react badly when they open. The main leader is dead, most of the strategic targets have already been destroyed, and if Iran continues to provoke with the occasional launch of rockets and drones at neighboring countries, this will mean even greater destruction of their country.

This so-called war is not even close to what has been happening in Ukraine for 4 years - it is a real war in every sense.

Yes, I've been following developments, but this seems highly coordinated, from Maduro's arrest to the elimination of the Mexican cartel boss, to three major actions, including the current situation in Iran, within about two months. The debt impact seems enormous, and the direction these three major events are likely to take is highly predictable.

[7juju]

What do you expect to see happening to the stock market on Mon, and do you expect any possible long-term effects, especially if the military operation doesn't go as smooth as expected and Iran proves to be a tough challenge?

If things remain the way it is right now, bitcoin price won't be that badly affected. With Iran Supreme leader killed on the first day of the attack, the war won't last as many were expecting it to last. Many people are already believe that the war is already over, even though Iran military are threatening of further attacks. Although there are lots of uncertainty at the moment, so when the market open on Monday investors will be skeptical about going all in. There is still tension in the air, and it will take few more days or weeks for for everything to get back to normal.

[Just Say]

Bitcoin price has decreased by 1% in the last 24 hours and less than 5% in the last week, so I don't see any impact of the war on the price of Bitcoin. Things may change as events change, but 1% is not a decrease that could be due to an event.

in a subsequent time the price of Bitcoin will decrease more because when there is a war or crisis between two countries it will always affect the price of Bitcoin so what is happening now we make bitcoin to decrease more and it will be an opportunity for people to invest in Bitcoin, and secondly those people that have thousands of Bitcoin in their portfolio I think it is the best time for them to use and buy a usdt because of how the price of Bitcoin may decrease within this kind of Iran Israel and U.S crisis

How can you say that the price of Bitcoin will decrease in the subsequent time because right now, even though there is a lot of warlike activity taking place in Iran but we can see that Bitcoin is still steadfast in increasing its price. You notice that the price of Bitcoin has increased by 1.43 percent in the last 24 hours. But one thing can be said for sure at this moment, if the war between Iran and Israel deepens, it will definitely affect the stock market and will affect the Bitcoin market because Israel has already struck Iran's highest honoree. Since these two countries are still under the so-called war so we should take this opportunity to stake more Bitcoin.

[ScamViruS]

Yes, I've been following developments, but this seems highly coordinated, from Maduro's arrest to the elimination of the Mexican cartel boss, to three major actions, including the current situation in Iran, within about two months. The debt impact seems enormous, and the direction these three major events are likely to take is highly predictable.

These operations are connected and very meticulously planned. America and Israel have planned to attack Iran for a long time and are now executing it. Any war does not start in a day, there are many plans and roadmaps behind it for a long time, which escalate into the final war. We are now in a world where the geopolitical situation is very complex, powerful countries are doing whatever they want for their own interests.

[STT]

Any greater uncertainty is not usually bullish, it aids a Dollar recovery and impedes alternative investments generally.   However if dollar were to stay weak or get weaker then its different.

You can take it very simply and with certainty, oil will cost more because supply in this area drops dramatically.   Iran is key to safe transport, oil tankers cannot dodge anything so less supply vs even normal demand will lead to higher costs.
  Higher cost of oil effects alot of things in various sectors, I would say its not usually bullish as energy costs rise.