⚽ CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores 2026 - Discussion Thread

[Finebone]

The best way to win in gambling is by not taking high risks through making so much accumulated bets or playing options that has a very high odd. I don't know how much you staked the bet but let's assume you used $10 it means that with 1.67 total odd you will make a gain of $6.7 which is not bad at all because you will have a staking power to continue with other bets you have in mind.

I am not a fan of playing accumulated bet because if any of the selected games fails, you will automatically lose your bet, that is why I would rather stake on a single game with an odd as high as 1.60 than accumulating a bet that is more than three games, even though the total odds is not up to 1.50 odds.

But when selecting a single team to win, you have to use a reasonable amount to bet, so that your winnings will be worth it, because it would make no sense if you are using $5 to stake on a single bet that has 1.20 odds, that would not give you anything reasonable, so using from $15-30 will be fair, and I bet that you will have a better chance of winning than when you take an accumulated bet that a single game can spoil everything in seconds.

[Yablee0]

The best way to win in gambling is by not taking high risks through making so much accumulated bets or playing options that has a very high odd.

I doubt if there is an easy way to success as long as gamble is concerned. But although, multiple selections stand more on a higher chance of losing than a single game. However, even though we can't be assured of everything in gamble, but few selections  with a fat or tangible staking power is more expected to bring out a more positive results than lining a series of games that might probably get ruined by one or two in it.  

One thing I've understood about this game called gamble is that it can be very tricky Sometimes, no matter how hard you try to have your way, the house hedge is always two or more steps ahead of you.

[rdluffy]

Well, yesterday I was following the LDU and Mirassol game and they tied again, I really didn't expect it. LDU ended up winning in the penalty shootout, but at least I managed to salvage something from that bet since I had LDU winning in regulation time. Anyway, I didn't see this match coming down to penalties.

I made a bet on Mirassol classification, but failed 
I really believed that Mirassol could qualify even though they were playing away
It was tough, but LDU ended up pulling it off


At least I made a good bet on Corinthians 
I decided to believe in my team, and we got a good result against Rosario Central (Di Maria's team)
So I ended this round with at least that one winning bet

[famososMuertos]

Given the results, only one match remains on Tuesday to determine the eight qualified teams. And considering how things are going, it will be very difficult for a Brazilian team not to reach the final.

Estudiantes vs. Corinthians
Flamengo vs. (Independiente del Valle or Deportes Tolima)
Palmeiras vs. LDU Quito
Fluminense vs. Platense

[rdluffy]

Given the results, only one match remains on Tuesday to determine the eight qualified teams. And considering how things are going, it will be very difficult for a Brazilian team not to reach the final.

Estudiantes vs. Corinthians
Flamengo vs. (Independiente del Valle or Deportes Tolima)
Palmeiras vs. LDU Quito
Fluminense vs. Platense

I think Flamengo and Palmeiras are the strongest ones again
Even in the Brazilian league, both teams are in the lead

We’ll have to wait and see who Flamengo will face, but it seems to me that both teams will qualify for the semifinals

Fluminense and Corinthians have good chances, but I see my Corinthians as the team that will face the most challenges and have the hardest time advancing to the next round
At least we have Memphis 

[famososMuertos]

:://::

I think Flamengo and Palmeiras are the strongest ones again
Even in the Brazilian league, both teams are in the lead
::///:

We now have the 8 finalist teams, and the last team to qualify is Independiente del Valle, who beat Tolima: 3-1. Anyway, with all due respect to the Ecuadorian team, it's a formality, since Flamengo is a better team. Incidentally, as mentioned in the quote, they should be one of the four finalists. That said, these should be the 4 (3+*1*) semifinalists:


Estudiantes vs. Corinthians
Flamengo vs. Independiente del Valle
*Palmeiras vs. LDU Quito*
Fluminense vs. Platense

[criptoevangelista]

:://::

I think Flamengo and Palmeiras are the strongest ones again
Even in the Brazilian league, both teams are in the lead
::///:

We now have the 8 finalist teams, and the last team to qualify is Independiente del Valle, who beat Tolima: 3-1. Anyway, with all due respect to the Ecuadorian team, it's a formality, since Flamengo is a better team. Incidentally, as mentioned in the quote, they should be one of the four finalists. That said, these should be the 4 (3+*1*) semifinalists:


Estudiantes vs. Corinthians
Flamengo vs. Independiente del Valle
*Palmeiras vs. LDU Quito*
Fluminense vs. Platense

I've been following Flamengo since the 90s, and as much as the team is superior, I've seen some real absurdity in matches like this. Like the elimination against América from Mexico, with Cabañas scoring a hat-trick right inside the Maracanã. And also that historic loss to a mediocre Santo André in the 2004 Copa do Brasil. It's tough being a Flamengo fan and keeping the faith at all times.

[Jaycoinz]

It's true that in this parlay the total odds aren't that great, @1.67 considering it's two games and a risk that's not really worth it, but even so I bet and put in a small amount. My intention is that if I win this bet, the money will be used to bet on another parlay involving two Portuguese teams, one Italian and one French team. I'm talking about sporting, Porto, Inter and PSG, which would give me odds of @2.55, and if I lost it wouldn't harm me at all because I would be betting with the profit from the Libertadores games parlay. It would be a good move.

The best way to win in gambling is by not taking high risks through making so much accumulated bets or playing options that has a very high odd. I don't know how much you staked the bet but let's assume you used $10 it means that with 1.67 total odd you will make a gain of $6.7 which is not bad at all because you will have a staking power to continue with other bets you have in mind. Considering that the first game between Independiente Rivadavia - Fluminense has ended in a 1:1 draw, it is very likely that you will win the bet because Palmeiras cannot accept a defeat from Cerro Porteño, the reason why they didn't win in the first leg was obviously as a result of the red card but this second leg won't be the same because if Palmeiras don't win, they can get a draw and since you played a double chance of away win or draw even makes it very possible.

I saw this is parlay and now I realized that he did win, you are right about playing or staking games in bit, it's better than those huge parlays, that's where alot of people get it wrong, they just to make bag fast going for 10x to there bets and that's the risky part. Palmeiras as been trying this period and we will get to see what they will do at the play offs, I don't know much about this Cero Porteno but it seems like they would be advancing together.

[famososMuertos]

The dates and matchups would be as follows:

Teams	Tie	First Leg (Date)	Second Leg (Date)
Fluminense vs. Platense	Q1	Tue Sep 8 (Rio de Janeiro)	Tue Sep 15 (Vicente López)
Palmeiras vs. LDU Quito	Q2	Wed Sep 9 (São Paulo)	Wed Sep 16 (Quito)
Estudiantes vs. Corinthians	Q3	Wed Sep 9 (La Plata)	Wed Sep 16 (São Paulo)
Independiente del Valle vs. Flamengo	Q4	Thu Sep 10 (Quito)	Thu Sep 17 (Rio de Janeiro)

South American football is complicated, although, except for Argentina, Brazil, Colombia and perhaps Chile, the teams are essentially the same, almost always; I'm not saying there isn't rotation, but mainly Brazil dominates South American club football, and this year it seems that will be the case again.

[rdluffy]

...
South American football is complicated, although, except for Argentina, Brazil, Colombia and perhaps Chile, the teams are essentially the same, almost always; I'm not saying there isn't rotation, but mainly Brazil dominates South American club football, and this year it seems that will be the case again.

Brazil’s dominance is overwhelming

Of the last 10 titles, 8 went to Brazil, 1 to Argentina, and 1 to Colombia
And since 2019, Brazil has been winning the titles
I’ll go even further: 5 of those finals featured two Brazilian teams

The safest bets are definitely Flamengo and Palmeiras, unfortunately


Are you guys ready for another round with lots of ties and few goals? 

[Slow death]

Are you guys ready for another round with lots of ties and few goals? 

The next round will have 4 games, funny that it will be 4 Brazilian teams playing against foreign teams. But if we ask the following question: "What countries are these foreign teams from?" then this person doesn't follow American football very closely, they will search on Google and find the following result:

1 - LDU Quito: is a team from Ecuador

2 - Platense: is a team from Argentina

3 - Estudiantes: is a team from Argentina

4 - Independiente del Valle: is a team from Ecuador

It's a phase dominated by Brazil, Argentina and Ecuador. So at least we can be 100% sure that Brazil, Argentina or Ecuador, one of them will have their team as champion. The remaining countries seem to have teams whose football level isn't very good. Now, speaking about whether we'll see many draws or not, I think it's possible we'll see many draws. For example, in the Platense vs. Fluminense game, I see a higher probability of a draw. The Palmeiras vs. LDU Quito game is another one I see as a draw, because Palmeiras will have many games before the LDU Quito match, and this could cause a lot of fatigue among the Palmeiras players.

[POPOLUV]

The best way to win in gambling is by not taking high risks through making so much accumulated bets or playing options that has a very high odd. I don't know how much you staked the bet but let's assume you used $10 it means that with 1.67 total odd you will make a gain of $6.7 which is not bad at all because you will have a staking power to continue with other bets you have in mind.

I am not a fan of playing accumulated bet because if any of the selected games fails, you will automatically lose your bet, that is why I would rather stake on a single game with an odd as high as 1.60 than accumulating a bet that is more than three games, even though the total odds is not up to 1.50 odds.

But when selecting a single team to win, you have to use a reasonable amount to bet, so that your winnings will be worth it, because it would make no sense if you are using $5 to stake on a single bet that has 1.20 odds, that would not give you anything reasonable, so using from $15-30 will be fair, and I bet that you will have a better chance of winning than when you take an accumulated bet that a single game can spoil everything in seconds.

Single betting is the only way forward if you definitely what to see or experience winning than losing in your betting history but the unsatisfaction that is always inside of us as a human, always push us to be accumulating more a single betting, when we know too well that once you develop the habit of just focus single or two games, you possiblity of winning is high and lesser riks too but once the mindset of that unsatisfaction want of winning millions is been activated, you will see that such a gambler will neglect the strategy of winning small small with single betting and  he will start accumulating so many games that will be full of risks. I will definitely encourage any gambler to try the strategy of single betting and see what you betting history will be from not henceforth.

[Italian Panic]

Hi men, the first post is updated:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5576542.msg66478577#msg66478577

I see Flamengo as the favourites, given that they are also the reigning Copa Libertadores champions following that incredible season under Felipe Luis in which they practically won everything.
I’m not so sure that Corinthians will have it all their own way against Estudiantes because, from what I’ve seen, they’re a very tight knit side, but I do recognise the dominance of the Brazilian teams in this tournament. Meanwhile, it should be an easy ride for Palmeiras against Quito, and I don’t foresee any major problems for Fluminense either.

[Barikui1]

Single betting is the only way forward if you definitely what to see or experience winning than losing in your betting history but the unsatisfaction that is always inside of us as a human, always push us to be accumulating more a single betting, when we know too well that once you develop the habit of just focus single or two games, you possiblity of winning is high and lesser riks too but once the mindset of that unsatisfaction want of winning millions is been activated, you will see that such a gambler will neglect the strategy of winning small small with single betting and  he will start accumulating so many games that will be full of risks. I will definitely encourage any gambler to try the strategy of single betting and see what you betting history will be from not henceforth.

The problem most of we that gambles have is greed, because on most occasions we will be convinced that a single bet on a particular game or two will give us the winning we desire, but because of greed, we will accumulate more games which put the entire betting slip at risk.

Most of us fail to understand this simple mechanism, that if we select and accumulate 10 games, we need to have 10/10 for we to win, while the casino is praying for a single game inside of those games to fail, so these are the obvious reasons losing is a lot greater than winning in sport betting, but if we can develop the harbit of betting on a single game or two, we are definitely going to experience more winning than losing going forward

[famososMuertos]

:://:: That said, these should be the 4 (3+*1*) semifinalists:


Estudiantes vs. Corinthians
Flamengo vs. Independiente del Valle
*Palmeiras vs. LDU Quito*
Fluminense vs. Platense 2-0

​Today the first leg was played, and my surprise pick didn't happen. Fluminense secured the win with a clear 2-goal advantage. Scoring 3 goals won't be easy, but playing at home in Conmebol carries a lot of weight, especially in Argentina.

[Barikui1]

​Today the first leg was played, and my surprise pick didn't happen. Fluminense secured the win with a clear 2-goal advantage. Scoring 3 goals won't be easy, but playing at home in Conmebol carries a lot of weight, especially in Argentina.

I have come to understand that in this Copa Libertadores almost all the teams in this competition tries as much as possible to win at home, because winning away from home is very difficult, even though it's not important. Why am saying this is because if you look at the Palmeiras vs LDU Quito game and their head to head record in their last five meetings, the home team always win, no matter the form of the away team, so it's because of that I think that Palmeiras will come out victorious in this game against LDU Quito.

Then as for the game between Fluminense vs Platense, the game is still very on because Platense has what it takes to defeat this Fluminense team at home, especially in this tournament where playing at home is very defining.

[Cossyblack]

I am not a fan of playing accumulated bet because if any of the selected games fails, you will automatically lose your bet, that is why I would rather stake on a single game with an odd as high as 1.60 than accumulating a bet that is more than three games, even though the total odds is not up to 1.50 odds.

But when selecting a single team to win, you have to use a reasonable amount to bet, so that your winnings will be worth it, because it would make no sense if you are using $5 to stake on a single bet that has 1.20 odds, that would not give you anything reasonable, so using from $15-30 will be fair, and I bet that you will have a better chance of winning than when you take an accumulated bet that a single game can spoil everything in seconds.

Probably why most gamblers still play accumulator bet is because if they stake a small amounts of money,the potential winning amount is big,if you play 20 games on a single slip, though your chances of losing is higher but if you are damm lucky, you will make a lot of money., that's the advantage of playing accumulator bets,you can win a huge amount of money if luck is on your side,this kind of bets is suitable for gamblers who don't have staking power.. so if a gambler don't have staking power then there's no point playing single bet because you can't make any huge money from it.

[Finebone]

Probably why most gamblers still play accumulator bet is because if they stake a small amounts of money,the potential winning amount is big,if you play 20 games on a single slip, though your chances of losing is higher but if you are damm lucky, you will make a lot of money., that's the advantage of playing accumulator bets,you can win a huge amount of money if luck is on your side,this kind of bets is suitable for gamblers who don't have staking power.. so if a gambler don't have staking power then there's no point playing single bet because you can't make any huge money from it.

It's true that if you are dam lucky, you may win a lot of money, but with such a gambling strategy, I can bet you that even though you bet up to fifty different betting slip, you may lose them all, because the casino owners are just hoping that one of your bet in that accumulated bet fails, while you on the other hand is hoping to win 20/20, how possible that you may even win if you try a hundred times?

Some gamblers here may still argue with me on this, but that wouldn't change the fact that it's not an easy way to win in gambling, that's why I believe that the best way to win consistently is by selecting a few, like the maximum of three games, then bet with a reasonable amount.

[rdluffy]

​Today the first leg was played, and my surprise pick didn't happen. Fluminense secured the win with a clear 2-goal advantage. Scoring 3 goals won't be easy, but playing at home in Conmebol carries a lot of weight, especially in Argentina.

Here in Brazil (at least among my friends, hehe), we say that in the Libertadores or even the Sulamericana, where playing at home is extremely important and playing away is really tough, the home team needs to win by 2 goals to have the peace of mind to play away

With a 2-goal lead, they can:

--> Draw and advance
--> Lose by 1 goal, which is quite normal
--> Obviously, win the match

The general mindset is to win at home and secure a draw away, playing defensively and trying to make a goal on counterattacks

Today, my Corinthians team will play away, if they manage a draw, I'll consider it a good result 

[Pumared]

​Today the first leg was played, and my surprise pick didn't happen. Fluminense secured the win with a clear 2-goal advantage. Scoring 3 goals won't be easy, but playing at home in Conmebol carries a lot of weight, especially in Argentina.

Here in Brazil (at least among my friends, hehe), we say that in the Libertadores or even the Sulamericana, where playing at home is extremely important and playing away is really tough, the home team needs to win by 2 goals to have the peace of mind to play away

With a 2-goal lead, they can:

--> Draw and advance
--> Lose by 1 goal, which is quite normal
--> Obviously, win the match

The general mindset is to win at home and secure a draw away, playing defensively and trying to make a goal on counterattacks

Today, my Corinthians team will play away, if they manage a draw, I'll consider it a good result 

I ended up commenting on the Brasileirão thread about Corinthians' game and their upcoming matches against tough opponents because I wasn't aware of this thread. Corinthians ended up drawing, which for me is very good, because now they'll be playing with everything at home.

For Flamengo's game today against Independiente del Valle, I believe there's a good chance of a draw. Independiente has won 10 of their last 12 games, lost only 1, and drawn the other. Flamengo has won 8, drawn 3, and lost 1. I believe playing away could reduce Flamengo's advantage, and the opponent is very good. In the end, a draw is good for both teams at this moment. What are your bets?