Strait of Hormuz now open?

[logfiles]

I got an interesting piece from x.com that I thought I would share here because it's sort of hilarious and also speaks my mind regarding the useless war and strait of Hormuz situation. Anyone surely backing the US aggression on other countries clearly has a chunk of their brain cells missing. The Nuclear weapons part got me almost spilling my coffee due to laughter  

The Iranian navy, which has been destroyed eight times, has apparently closed the Strait of Hormuz again, because the United States, for the seventh time, won the war that wasn’t a war, so now the United States has to open the Strait of Hormuz that was already open before the not-war began.

The not-war began because Iran had uranium that was totally, completely, beautifully obliterated, so they can’t build the nuclear bomb they weren’t building, which is why the United States had to start the not-war it definitely didn’t start.

Now the United States, which has nuclear weapons, is threatening to use nuclear weapons to stop Iran from getting nuclear weapons, because nuclear weapons are far too dangerous for countries with nuclear weapons to allow other countries to have.

If the United States saw the United States doing what the United States does in other countries, the United States would invade the United States to liberate the United States from the tyranny of the United States.

[summonerrk]

Iran and Israel agreed to cease strikes after a US appeal, oil prices fell, and inflation fears temporarily eased. Brent is around $92, WTI is around $88. This is an important signal: the market recognizes the US-Iran military risk, but isn't pricing in a full-blown supply shock. Otherwise, Brent would be closer to $105-120. It was actually funny that Trump announced a ceasefire was imminent, and journalists counted this 37 times. In reality, the helicopter only made the conflict worse.

[Coyster]

In reality, the helicopter only made the conflict worse.

I don't think we are close to seeing an end to hostilities between Iran and the U.S., so whoever had hoped that energy prices were coming down soon had better accept it'd be this way for a while. The U.S. have responded to Iran downing their chopper near the Strait of Hormuz, hitting targets in Iran. The Iranians have also responded by targeting U.S. proxies in the middle East.

It is all very tense and we are very far from seeing normal traffic resume in the Strait. Trump also said a couple of hours ago that Iran had taken too long to make a deal and now they would have to pay the price. I don't know if that is a signal that the ceasefire is over and major hostilities would resume, we'd have to wait and see.

[Franctoshi]

Iran and Israel agreed to cease strikes after a US appeal, oil prices fell, and inflation fears temporarily eased. Brent is around $92, WTI is around $88. This is an important signal: the market recognizes the US-Iran military risk, but isn't pricing in a full-blown supply shock. Otherwise, Brent would be closer to $105-120. It was actually funny that Trump announced a ceasefire was imminent, and journalists counted this 37 times. In reality, the helicopter only made the conflict worse.

Currently there is no resolution on both sides, though the cease-fire offered some relief in the market for the meantime, But since the Strait of Hormuz is still closed by the dual US-Iran blockades. And as we know, this strait controls 20% of the global oil supply; the problem won't automatically stop. I think maybe the whole thing is staged.
However, if the market believed full-blown war, we would have seen a $126 crude oil price as of April. On the other hand, if the market believed peace, then the price would have dropped to around $80 or less. So many investors are still uncertain about the whole situation.

[bubilas]

Iran and Israel agreed to cease strikes after a US appeal, oil prices fell, and inflation fears temporarily eased. Brent is around $92, WTI is around $88. This is an important signal: the market recognizes the US-Iran military risk, but isn't pricing in a full-blown supply shock. Otherwise, Brent would be closer to $105-120. It was actually funny that Trump announced a ceasefire was imminent, and journalists counted this 37 times. In reality, the helicopter only made the conflict worse.

What influenced price dynamics, specifically oil prices? It was, of course, the helicopter-downing incident and the US response. Trump, on the one hand, made threats, on the other, there were statements like this: over 100 million barrels of oil are passing through the strait, but that's hard to believe, as analysts' charts suggest otherwise. On the other hand, Iran says the US will soon smell two hundred dollars a barrel. Bombings continue, and both sides are angering each other. And it's not like they'll sign a peace treaty in three hours. LOL. It's more likely that things will settle down a bit and calm down.

[imthegreat]

Iran and Israel agreed to cease strikes after a US appeal, oil prices fell, and inflation fears temporarily eased. Brent is around $92, WTI is around $88. This is an important signal: the market recognizes the US-Iran military risk, but isn't pricing in a full-blown supply shock. Otherwise, Brent would be closer to $105-120. It was actually funny that Trump announced a ceasefire was imminent, and journalists counted this 37 times. In reality, the helicopter only made the conflict worse.

What influenced price dynamics, specifically oil prices? It was, of course, the helicopter-downing incident and the US response. Trump, on the one hand, made threats, on the other, there were statements like this: over 100 million barrels of oil are passing through the strait, but that's hard to believe, as analysts' charts suggest otherwise. On the other hand, Iran says the US will soon smell two hundred dollars a barrel. Bombings continue, and both sides are angering each other. And it's not like they'll sign a peace treaty in three hours. LOL. It's more likely that things will settle down a bit and calm down.

In any case, given the current situation, it must be said that oil, which yesterday jumped 2-3% on the day and rose, generally, 3%, was, well, more calm than the markets. And in specific figures, WTI futures for next month's delivery held above $90. The price of Brent crude rose very slightly yesterday. The conflict isn't over, as the guys rightly point out above. A lot of talk is going on, but in reality, the opposite is happening. I'll go to the polymarket to see what they're betting on the conflict ending... Although who can know for sure?

[sunsilk]

And Iran has closed the Strait of Hormuz again after the US attacks. Any ship which they'll see will be attacked by them and I think they'll actually do that in response to what's done to them.

Iran says 18 targets hit across US bases, Strait of Hormuz closed

I guess we expect another price increase by the next week for oil products.

[free-bit.co.in]

And Iran has closed the Strait of Hormuz again after the US attacks. Any ship which they'll see will be attacked by them and I think they'll actually do that in response to what's done to them.

Iran says 18 targets hit across US bases, Strait of Hormuz closed

I guess we expect another price increase by the next week for oil products.

Tensions in the Middle East have escalated again as both sides continue to attack each other. However, as far as I remember, the Strait of Hormuz has been closed since the conflict began and has not been reopened even during periods when a ceasefire was in place. Therefore, Iran's statement is simply reaffirming what they have already been doing.

Oil prices will certainly rise, but not as sharply as before because I think the economy and markets are gradually adapting to the war.

[logfiles]

And Iran has closed the Strait of Hormuz again after the US attacks. Any ship which they'll see will be attacked by them and I think they'll actually do that in response to what's done to them.

Iran says 18 targets hit across US bases, Strait of Hormuz closed

I guess we expect another price increase by the next week for oil products.

The oil prices are most like going to rise again if not yet already. The Iranian folks are also saying they could block more chock points if this escalation continues. All I see is a war that is going to continue for more months or years until the US knows where their boundaries are.
They also have to just suck it up, accept that it was an unnecessary escalation and leave. There is no way Iran is going to give up on their nuclear program after they got attacked in that manner.

[sunsilk]

Tensions in the Middle East have escalated again as both sides continue to attack each other. However, as far as I remember, the Strait of Hormuz has been closed since the conflict began and has not been reopened even during periods when a ceasefire was in place. Therefore, Iran's statement is simply reaffirming what they have already been doing.

Oil prices will certainly rise, but not as sharply as before because I think the economy and markets are gradually adapting to the war.

Was it closed actually? I thought that they have reopened it and allowed vessels to pass. Either way, it has come to closure and more stricter this time because if a ship passes, Iran will attack them.

We'll see how the markets will react with this announcement.

The oil prices are most like going to rise again if not yet already. The Iranian folks are also saying they could block more chock points if this escalation continues. All I see is a war that is going to continue for more months or years until the US knows where their boundaries are.
They also have to just suck it up, accept that it was an unnecessary escalation and leave. There is no way Iran is going to give up on their nuclear program after they got attacked in that manner.

Yeah, this is likely to continue for more months. When we thought that the war is about to end due to negotiations but it didn't come close.

Both parties won't give each others what they're asking so this is expected to go longer and won't be ending soon.

[Coyster]

There is no way Iran is going to give up on their nuclear program after they got attacked in that manner.

This new round of attacks from the U.S. is in response to Iran downing a U.S. chopper near the Strait. They consider that to be unacceptable and a violation of the ceasefire, hence their reponse. Trump has also said they would hit Iran very hard tonight; so we do not need to be told that hostilities have fully resumed.

It is very difficult to predict how this conflict would end, diplomacy has failed to be effective and the bombings is not what anybody wants. The U.S. have gone very deep in this operation and going back without really achieving anything of note would not be an option for them.

[DrBeer]

If I remember correctly, DrBeer is from Ukraine, a country currently embroiled in another war. He spends most of his time propagating the idea that Russia is a terrorist state, and automatically assumes that any country friendly to Russia is terrorist and evil. Conversely, he would call those who support the EU and the US the righteous cause.

Therefore, it is not surprising that he attempts to deny and ignore data and evidence unfavorable to the US. Those who dragged Ukraine into an endless war and exploited them as pawns on a political chessboard.

The US helped plant a puppet government and then wage war against Russia since they couldn't do so directly. I don't know why they hate Russia so much for thriving. Why though?!
Now, lets turn it around, the Ukrainian government are they any better?! We also saw them funding terrorism in the Sahel regions of Africa are they not terrorist for pulling that up? As African, we know Russians have their own personal interests, but we all know who help and support us against our colonial rulers suppressing us in all ramifications. The west lost themselves a long time, we know what they're bunch of barbarians likewise children rapers and eaters.

 

I haven't laughed this hard in ages... at such a dumb joke I love subtle, high-quality humor. But sometimes I just want to listen to you guys and have a good laugh

Can I ask you one question, just to help you out! Yes, yes, I want to help you so people don’t think you’re mentally challenged
Did you really joke about the US installing a “puppet government” in Ukraine that then “started a war against Russia”? Don’t be shy about telling the truth—it’s natural and doesn’t hurt!
If you just need to create the appearance of a mental disorder, and you’re using this resource as a way to “document” that "fact"-blink twice

Oh! Wait! Maybe I’m wrong? Go ahead, don’t be shy-let’s discuss the FACTS... Or are you not interested?

[Cookdata]

And Iran has closed the Strait of Hormuz again after the US attacks. Any ship which they'll see will be attacked by them and I think they'll actually do that in response to what's done to them.

Iran says 18 targets hit across US bases, Strait of Hormuz closed

I guess we expect another price increase by the next week for oil products.

The oil prices are most like going to rise again if not yet already. The Iranian folks are also saying they could block more chock points if this escalation continues. All I see is a war that is going to continue for more months or years until the US knows where their boundaries are.
They also have to just suck it up, accept that it was an unnecessary escalation and leave. There is no way Iran is going to give up on their nuclear program after they got attacked in that manner.

The greatest thing that happened to Iran is understanding that their actions with the US makes the world suffer with this fuel thing, in fact I'm not sure the United state projected this war to be this far beyond these hello missile and good morning retaliation, this price is going to stay and it's hurting people including me, don't drive out without a purpose anymore . The businesses has not been easy here, I know family friend that buy petrol 24/7 to power their business to due poor energy and they can't just increase the price of their service beyond what people can afford to pay, sadly this is not ending soon.

You know what's uncertain about this Iran and this strait of Hormuz, if they come to agreement, no nuclear weapons and peace at the end, if in the next 10 years another US regime try to start another gimmick of war with Iran, there first response will be the Strait of Hormuz, it's now a weak point the world would have to deal with in the next few years until there is another alternative to make shipments of oil without depending on that route.

[STT]

As it stands the situation long term for transport in this area is so damaged and prone to delay they are going to have to build pipelines for alternate export routes.   Either that or Iran genuinely alters its stance, as the deepest trench to sail this area is within those territorial waters I cant see them ever walking back this possessive belief they can stop any boat.
  It is modern piracy or robber baron operations but after the damage they have received from this war I don't think they'll undoing this war like method to seize or destroy shipping.

[Iranus]

I haven't laughed this hard in ages... at such a dumb joke I love subtle, high-quality humor. But sometimes I just want to listen to you guys and have a good laugh

Can I ask you one question, just to help you out! Yes, yes, I want to help you so people don’t think you’re mentally challenged
Did you really joke about the US installing a “puppet government” in Ukraine that then “started a war against Russia”? Don’t be shy about telling the truth—it’s natural and doesn’t hurt!
If you just need to create the appearance of a mental disorder, and you’re using this resource as a way to “document” that "fact"-blink twice

Oh! Wait! Maybe I’m wrong? Go ahead, don’t be shy-let’s discuss the FACTS... Or are you not interested?

I do not know whether the current government of Ukraine is a puppet government set up by the US. However, one interesting fact is that before entering politic and becoming president, Zelensky was a comedian. Prior to this, he had little to no political experience.

I do not understand why the people of Ukraine chose someone with no previous political experience to lead the country.