Strait of Hormuz now open?

[Cheema02]

Iran and Israel agreed to cease strikes after a US appeal, oil prices fell, and inflation fears temporarily eased. Brent is around $92, WTI is around $88. This is an important signal: the market recognizes the US-Iran military risk, but isn't pricing in a full-blown supply shock. Otherwise, Brent would be closer to $105-120. It was actually funny that Trump announced a ceasefire was imminent, and journalists counted this 37 times. In reality, the helicopter only made the conflict worse.

Oil prices are the major indicator of geopolitical risks and situations. Investors easily observes that the oil prices regularly increases because if conflicts continue for longer time then its disrupt the global oil supplies. There for traders expect tension so they make decisions according to there observations and mainly global markets reacts according to investors predictions. But if geopolitical situations solves and ceasefire can be held then its not the guarantee of long term stability of global market. Sometimes political leaders trying to just maintain the global trade market by there negotiations. So the investors wisely focused on actual development rather than fake statements. So the learning point is that market behavior always shows the geopolitical situations and if conflicts continue then market goes in loss and the prices of energy sectors continuously increased.

[Coyster]

Donald Trump has posted another war update. According to him, a deal with Iram would be signed tomorrow, after which the Strait of Hormuz would be open to everyone. Quite a lot of people cannot hodl Trump by his words anymore, since the start of the war he said so many things that were not true or turned out to be false.

That said, we'll see about this one. I have not read any response from the Iranians regarding this latest information, so fingers crossed. If it turns out to be true and the Strait is opened, that would come as a global economic relief, as energy prices would drop to pre-war levels.

[Oluwa-btc]

Donald Trump has posted another war update. According to him, a deal with Iram would be signed tomorrow, after which the Strait of Hormuz would be open to everyone. Quite a lot of people cannot hodl Trump by his words anymore, since the start of the war he said so many things that were not true or turned out to be false.

That said, we'll see about this one. I have not read any response from the Iranians regarding this latest information, so fingers crossed. If it turns out to be true and the Strait is opened, that would come as a global economic relief, as energy prices would drop to pre-war levels.

I'm always heading back to the Iranians to confirm from them all Donald Trump has said and this time yet again, it seems to be the same rise and repeated bullshit from him.
A deal will not be signed with the Epstein class as he's already said in an online interview. You can visit one of their prominent professor who's part of the negotiation team who went to negotiate with the Us negotiation teams when they met at Pakistan.

If the killing of Lebanese and Palestinians do not come to an end, then there'll be no deal between them, the same goes with the Strait of Hormuz which will be in control by the Iranians and Oman.

[eightdots]

Donald Trump has posted another war update. According to him, a deal with Iram would be signed tomorrow, after which the Strait of Hormuz would be open to everyone. Quite a lot of people cannot hodl Trump by his words anymore, since the start of the war he said so many things that were not true or turned out to be false.

That said, we'll see about this one. I have not read any response from the Iranians regarding this latest information, so fingers crossed. If it turns out to be true and the Strait is opened, that would come as a global economic relief, as energy prices would drop to pre-war levels.

I'm always heading back to the Iranians to confirm from them all Donald Trump has said and this time yet again, it seems to be the same rise and repeated bullshit from him.
A deal will not be signed with the Epstein class as he's already said in an online interview. You can visit one of their prominent professor who's part of the negotiation team who went to negotiate with the Us negotiation teams when they met at Pakistan.

If the killing of Lebanese and Palestinians do not come to an end, then there'll be no deal between them, the same goes with the Strait of Hormuz which will be in control by the Iranians and Oman.

Trump's statements have often been retracted, leading to further escalation of the conflict. People are looking for trustworthy individuals on such important issues and expect their statements to be truthful. These statements affect many people, and therefore, it's crucial that the truth is told.

Both sides have conditions for opening the strait, but the important thing is the end of the war. Statements should be made in that direction. People don't want to hear statements that change every day.

[Danica22]

Donald Trump has posted another war update. According to him, a deal with Iram would be signed tomorrow, after which the Strait of Hormuz would be open to everyone. Quite a lot of people cannot hodl Trump by his words anymore, since the start of the war he said so many things that were not true or turned out to be false.

That said, we'll see about this one. I have not read any response from the Iranians regarding this latest information, so fingers crossed. If it turns out to be true and the Strait is opened, that would come as a global economic relief, as energy prices would drop to pre-war levels.

I have read the news, but I will only believe it if it is confirmed by Iran, not by Trump.

Trump's statements have never been trustworthy. I believe his real intention is to manipulate the market for the financial benefit of his family, rather than to inform the public. So there is no reason to pay too much attention to what he says.

But anyway, I hope that is true because I do not want the war to drag on either.

[Coyster]

But anyway, I hope that is true because I do not want the war to drag on either.

The two warring countries are indeed close to a Memorandum of Understanding, but Iran is trying to rope Lebanon into that agreement; and since Israel struck Beirut today, i do not know if that would be a roadblock to the MOU. Trump still believes everything is on track despite the strikes, which he has condemned.

We'd see what happens. Representatives from Pakistan and Qatar have been very instrumental in mediating this deal and if it indeed gets over the line, then they deserve an awful lot of praise for their efforts. One last thing, a MOU does not end the war, but it sets it on track and gives the warring countries time to work towards longer peace agreements.

[imthegreat]

After two months of difficult negotiations, the US and Iran finally agreed to cease hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Yesterday evening, on Trump's eightieth birthday, they announced this. The key word here is "preliminary agreement." It will be officially signed on the nineteenth. That's Friday for us.
But if it suddenly falls through, the markets won't work. It will be a holiday in America, so there won't be any strikes. Once this agreement is signed, the parties will have 60 days to reach agreement on the most difficult topic—the Iranian program. So, this agreement is a framework and, I would say, fragile.

[summonerrk]

After two months of difficult negotiations, the US and Iran finally agreed to cease hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Yesterday evening, on Trump's eightieth birthday, they announced this. The key word here is "preliminary agreement." It will be officially signed on the nineteenth. That's Friday for us.
But if it suddenly falls through, the markets won't work. It will be a holiday in America, so there won't be any strikes. Once this agreement is signed, the parties will have 60 days to reach agreement on the most difficult topic—the Iranian program. So, this agreement is a framework and, I would say, fragile.

The positives are clear. But we must recognize the pitfalls.
There's still no trust between the US and Iran. The Americans suspect Iran wants to secretly resume its nuclear program. Both sides are now giving different accounts of what exactly they agreed on. There's a risk, and I think no one will argue, that the deal will even fall apart before it's signed. And it's unclear what kind of deal will be signed on the nineteenth: just about the Strait, or will it include some money for Iran, which the American public will surely dislike. Well, we'll see. Israel is very much against this deal, and it could even fall apart. Trump is already unhappy with Israel's actions in Lebanon, which he has expressed many times. There were even rumors of some foul language there...

[bubilas]

After two months of difficult negotiations, the US and Iran finally agreed to cease hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Yesterday evening, on Trump's eightieth birthday, they announced this. The key word here is "preliminary agreement." It will be officially signed on the nineteenth. That's Friday for us.
But if it suddenly falls through, the markets won't work. It will be a holiday in America, so there won't be any strikes. Once this agreement is signed, the parties will have 60 days to reach agreement on the most difficult topic—the Iranian program. So, this agreement is a framework and, I would say, fragile.

The deal offers a brief respite and an opportunity to resume tanker traffic through the Strait. But very difficult negotiations lie ahead, with enormous mistrust and too many players. Consider Israel, the US Congress, and hardline politicians in both countries who could ruin everything.
For now, this is a fragile, unstable truce, not a real peace. Of course, we'd like to see fewer wars on Earth, but Iran's nuclear program hasn't moved forward, and Trump can turn a blind eye to many things, but not this. This information... while it's very positive at the moment, it's still a step forward, but given the fragility of the situation, volatility is guaranteed.

[free-bit.co.in]

After two months of difficult negotiations, the US and Iran finally agreed to cease hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Yesterday evening, on Trump's eightieth birthday, they announced this. The key word here is "preliminary agreement." It will be officially signed on the nineteenth. That's Friday for us.
But if it suddenly falls through, the markets won't work. It will be a holiday in America, so there won't be any strikes. Once this agreement is signed, the parties will have 60 days to reach agreement on the most difficult topic—the Iranian program. So, this agreement is a framework and, I would say, fragile.

Even if they sign an agreement to end the war and commit to maintaining lasting peace. War could break out at any time if conflicts of interest continue to occur. Nothing is guaranteed or absolute. Therefore, there is no need to place too much hope in the peace agreement signed on June 19th, but neither should we be overly pessimistic about everything.

The fact that both sides want to reach an agreement shows they do not want to escalate the situation further. That is a very positive sign, and we should look at the positive side.

[Oluwa-btc]

Even if they sign an agreement to end the war and commit to maintaining lasting peace. War could break out at any time if conflicts of interest continue to occur. Nothing is guaranteed or absolute. Therefore, there is no need to place too much hope in the peace agreement signed on June 19th, but neither should we be overly pessimistic about everything.

The fact that both sides want to reach an agreement shows they do not want to escalate the situation further. That is a very positive sign, and we should look at the positive side.

Long lasting peace can only be achieved if the isreali regime in the middle east is restrained completely. We all know Iran will and has never attacked anyone unprovoked, but isreali regime has over and over. They're the only ones making all the agreements looking stupid. They have decided they'll constantly attack Lebanon and if Lebanon remains under the attack of the zionist, Iran will shoot missiles in defence and also close the strait of Hormuz.
We will see how many weeks this last, if it does good bit if otherwise, Iranians are ready to wage war. They have the upper hand.