What is your confidence score?

[Lucius]

~snip~
So what about you, what is your real score when judging your bets? And what weakness do you notice most in your own style?
Maybe if people answer honestly, we can have a decent discussion and maybe learn something from each other.

People who have 100% confidence in their bets don't do themselves or others a favor when they talk about it publicly, but I guess that's part of the whole sports betting show. I am referring to people who gather around physical betting shops and share their opinions/advice with others, often only in an attempt to encourage themselves or impress others.

As far as I'm concerned, that time is a thing of the past, considering that most people bet online these days.

[aioc]

Maybe if people answer honestly, we can have a decent discussion and maybe learn something from each other.

Honestly, even if the stats point to who will win, I'm still not going to rate it 100%. I understand that there are circumstances where some things will not go as predicted, because there is still such a thing as upsets, so for me it's still 50/50, it's gambling, and not all that you predicted based on stats will materialize.
Lower your expectations so you will not become totally disappointed if the results do not go your way.

[aylabadia05]

So what about you, what is your real score when judging your bets? And what weakness do you notice most in your own style?

Maybe if people answer honestly, we can have a decent discussion and maybe learn something from each other.

When betting on a favorite team, doubts arise, which can influence other analysis if the favorite team loses too often or struggles to win. For example, Manchester United before Carrick's handover.

I can say that my confidence score is high, but I often fail because I choose to chase high odds by placing multiple bets.
After thorough analysis, if the score is 100%, it doesn't change even if the result ends in a loss.

[SFR10]

When you bet on sports, how do you rate your confidence really?[...] Be honest, when you say 70%, 80%, or 90% confident, does that actually match your results in the long run?

I'm usually quite confident when I know I've properly analyzed different things, but considering that even in-form players can suddenly underperform and I still need luck to be on my side, these things usually lower my confidence, so if I were to guess, I'd say around 40% on average.
^{- Concerning the latter part, yes, for the most part, it matches the results.}

[TheUltraElite]

When I place a bet, I keep 100% confidence in that.

If you dont have that, dont place the bet at all. You might be losing that bet, but your confidence should always be 100% and not anything less.

Having confidence and getting the correct outcome is a different thing. You might be confident but you might still lose. Nothing wrong in that, not every bet is predictable. However dont boast about it, keep it inside your head.

[Mr_Brilliant$]

For me, I don’t even have any fixed confidence score like that…. If I have to say something, I would just put it around 50%.

Because I’ve had crazy experiences with gambling, I’ve had times where I was very sure about a game, the game looks very very guaranteed, then later it still end up been a losing game.. so those kind of experience can really humble someone..

So now, I don’t even try to overrate any bet again.. No matter how solid it looks, I just use to treat it normally, so I’ll just leave it around that 50% level, nothing too serious..

[PhilosopherKing]

[Edit]
Having confidence and getting the correct outcome is a different thing. You might be confident but you might still lose. Nothing wrong in that, not every bet is predictable. However dont boast about it, keep it inside your head.

yes, if a person is looking for where to show their ego they should not near betting because that can fuck them up pretty fast. This things that people are saying about 100% confidence is it even a necessary? People can be having 100% confidence and if they are unlucky they can loose their money and their 100% confidence will not save them from loosing that money.

High confidence can make person to be reckless. IMO people don't need high confidence in a game like betting. Better they accept they don't know everything and go on.

[Leahized]

Honestly, I'm often unsure of my bets, so I take a long time to choose a bet. And when I finally place a bet, it's often because I'm bored checking the available bets. So, if I win, it's really just luck. Even if I'm very confident in my bet, the outcome often turns out to be the opposite, so I don't think confidence in my betting choices influences our results.

Confidence is very high in sports betting. People who bet on sports are the most experienced about it because they have enough knowledge about each team. But when the situation sometimes goes against the experience, many people may be disappointed. Moreover, the top ranking teams have a lot of confidence while playing and if you bet accordingly, the chances of losing are very low. I always bet on good teams.But slot game is completely opposite here confidence does not act.

[Slow death]

In my case, when I place sports bets, I tend not to be very confident; in fact, I don't even get emotional about it. For example, I think of the amount I put on game X as money lost, so even if I lose the bet, it won't negatively affect me. I put in small amounts, something I would use in the real world to buy a hamburger, go to the movies, or go to the beach and drink coconut water. I don't put in money that I would need to pay for serious things in the real world.

At most, I put in $10 as a bankroll for a week and $40 as a bankroll for 30 days, which corresponds to 4 weeks. Each week when I put in $10, if I lose, I wait until the following week to put in another $10, and if I win the following week, I don't put in anything. I think that way I manage my bankroll well. I always believe that we shouldn't change the fact that gambling is a form of entertainment, not something to make money. It is possible for a person to win money, but the main objective of the game is to have fun.

[Wakate]

There is nothing like confident score because whether you are confident or not, that will not make you to be profitable from that betting.
I see being confident about a bet to be a kind of exaggerated believe that don't always have a positive outcome for gamblers.
All you have to do is to gamble and hope for the best to happen to you so that you can be profitable from your bets.
If you have been gambling for long, you will understand how gambling works and how their is no guarantee for anyone.

[348Judah]

Sincerely when we are being asked of the confidence score for our own self, my name will not be able to say the truth because they wouldn't want to score themselves lower to what they will always wanted to have even do it is not the actual rate or value give me eventually get after attempting to gamble, because many will know the real fact but still yet put in more confidence to have something better which is far away from the reality.

[danherbias07]

I have not made a bet where I am 100 percent sure that I will always win. I am always at 60-70 percent only because there's always the chance that the other team or player will play a good game, and it can happen at any time.

My weakness is becoming a fan of a team or a player. Whenever that happens, I somehow place my bet by heart and not by mind. Well, that means I still love the sport, and whenever I see players who are soaring and making a name for themself, it's making me support them even if it's just through bets.
I do believe there's no perfect gambler when it comes to sports. Somehow, the gambler will become a fan, and that's when mistakes happen when we become biased with our decisions.

[alegotardo]

So what about you, what is your real score when judging your bets? And what weakness do you notice most in your own style?

No bet is guaranteed, even in football that is a very dynamic sport where  sometimesthings can be decided only in the last minutes of the game.
I think its easy to find bets where you can say the probability of a result is greater than 80%, BUT the problem is that types of bets pay very little.

So, I prefer to diversify and look for value bets... I know, they are becoming increasingly difficult to find, but its still possible to find goods value in things that nobody is predicting and then I place my bets with more certainty... like about 70%.

[leea-1334]

I think 'confidence' is different once the game is live,,, I have watched some football and even some other sports now where they add AI like Copilot (from Microsoft) and the confidence prediction keeps changing.

I use simple gut feeling,,, but I guess this is why I keep losing money on teams I am confident about  

Most of us might go with gut feeling as the only way to bet, that is if we exhausted all means but then we still undecided.

So for sports betting 50/50 as it's very hard to see what will be the result of the game. Maybe we are confident in the beginning, but when we saw how the games is unfolding, we might change our perception that we could be losing.

Maybe confidence is important, but it's not the only measuring stick in winning.

Confidence is mostly evident when making the picks of games before staking any amount and at that am sure at times I don't rate myself up to 100 or even up to 70% in many of the cases, because the games picked could depend on how many they are, the leagues I am making my bet from and the odds selection.

There's also the house edge which helps to reduce ones confidence ones the games are locked in and in play.
So, no matter how sure I am, I always work with a contingency plan or strategy to better my chances of either winning one from all the games I booked or even a few or even a cashout option is just as great.

Some sports 50/50 but not all. Basketball for me and most team sports that have high scoring games are very 50/50.

But football is low scoring, sometimes no scores, that is quite evident to see sometimes in which team will win 80% of the time or 50% of the time,,, this is what I feel is the confidence

House edge in sports is kinda 'negligible' for me especially if I have more than one sportsbook,,, choose the ones with highest edge or most advantage. I like the '2-0' up and early win option I see on a lot of places now. This is perfect for high confidence many goals, low confidence end result  

[Rashlyowl]

So what about you, what is your real score when judging your bets? And what weakness do you notice most in your own style?

I don't understand what you call a score, if it's about confidence, I think I always have 100%. How can a gambler not be 100% sure of the bets he makes?

That 100% confidence doesn't necessarily mean I'll win the bet I make, because it's just self-confidence & doesn't affect the final outcome of the bet. The mistake I usually make & experience is that I'm too confident in big teams, for example when Real Madrid played against Alaves, I didn't think long & immediately bet on Real Madrid.

[Dunamisx]

Most times i will have to go for 50/50 because this same is the value of what we stand to have from attempting to play, we either lose or win, the risk to either of this remain constant and we cant avoid such, i always assume on this percentage because there is no confidence in gambling until the result is out and we know where we stand, either on winning or losing side.

[Findingnemo]

Most people think confidence = edge, but in reality, it’s often just emotion dressed up as certainty. If I say I am 90% confident about winning my bet doesn't necessarily mean the probability of winning my bet is 90% and it doesn't give us 9 wins out of 10 bets. These are just arbitrary, not based on the real probability.

[pawanjain]

So what about you, what is your real score when judging your bets? And what weakness do you notice most in your own style?

Maybe if people answer honestly, we can have a decent discussion and maybe learn something from each other.

I won't lie but I am really bad at guessing the outcome of sports betting.
Sometimes I win, sometimes I lose but the latter is much often.
So my confidence score is on the lower side and may be it's because of my lack of research about the particular match that I bet on.
Proper analysis is definitely needed to predict the outcome of the bet more accurately.

[robelneo]

I want to be realistic and have false hope in my bets, so it's 50/50 for me, because whatever the outcome of your analysis is, it's not 100% that's going to come out, which is why it's called gambling.

But every gambler is different; some gamblers gave themselves 100% confidence score because they put trust in their analysis and bets, and as long as you do not lure yourself in trying to hit that 100% results and accept whatever the outcome then you are good to go.

[Mahiyammahi]

Personal skill certainly plays an important role in gambling. But even more important is luck, which is very uncertain and unpredictable it is impossible to predict when someone's luck will turn good or bad. So I think it is very important to control your emotions when betting on sports or any type of gambling. If you can stay away from the influence of emotions, you will be able to analyze the situation more clearly and consciously make the right decisions.