the hodl early under 1k and sell over 100k are the winners.
You took the time they held out of the equation. If you're talking about 1k to 100k, that means they held for about 12 years, so you shouldn't expect it to be the same with people who have held for 5 years from 2021 to 2026.
You also should use the same numbers for both people. If the person who bought at 1k held till it was 100k, then you would use the same for the person who bought at 64k. Meaning the person who bought at 64k made 87% in profit at 120k. If he did not sell then, it simply means he believes that the price can go higher than that.
but plenty of btc late comers are crushed.
If they are, it would be because they don't understand what they signed up for, or they have forgotten. The person who bought at 1k and held till over 100k held for almost 13 years at a time when Bitcoin increased faster, so any "late comer" has to know that they need to hold for a long time. I'm not saying they will get anything remotely close to a 9,900% increase, but they would be better than where they are currently.
No I used the april 2021 to April 2026
To show that the dow is way up
And that btc is not way up.
So today if you entered btc 5 years ago and you entered a match the dow 5 years years ago today the better choice was match the dow.
And that if you purchased at btc 1000 and sold at 100,000 yeah you did great.
The op is simply missing out that trillions were made on other investments.
Silver April 2021 18 an oz
Silver April 2026 83 an Oz
64,000 in silver 2021 april
295,000 in silver 2026 april
So btc sucks for 5 years against silver.
Even if you sold the btc in Oct 1 btc was 126k
Silver you could say if sold at 120 an Oz would be over 426,000
So the 5 year winner is silver not btc.
And the buyer of silver selling at peak won over the buyer of btc that sold at btc peak.
Now myself I sold all my silver,in Dec 2025 and Jan 2026. In fact my last silver sale was at 118 an Oz.
And I used it to buy around .25 btc at 63k
My point is btc buys can suck even with long 6 year holds.
Dec 2017 19k
Jan 2023 16.9k is more than a five year hodl to a loss
So many no coiners laugh at btc holders.
Especially the fact that btc people believe 4year price cycles are valid.
Yeah the 4 year mining cycle is real.
The 4 year price cycle with crypto winters is simply big money conning coiners.