Analysis based on stats might be useless

[Judith87403]

as far as I know, there are house edge, so we will have to pay the fee in the long run, thats why I feel sometime the games are rigged.

There is a house edge, and there is also the possibility of match-fixing in small leagues, but game rigging doesn't happen all the time. Even if you are playing slots, some games' results could be confirmed using the game and user seed for those casinos whose games are probably fair; not all are rigged like we suspect sometimes due to not winning enough.

Some gamblers just don't wanna come to the acceptance that the game is built to favour the casinos more than the gamblers, they don't wanna accept the fact that the odds are stacked up against them, so when they eventually begin to experience repeated losses, they often forget that that's just the natural order of gambling and start looking for who or what to blame, and of course the easiest people to blame is the casinos and the also the match fixture and rigging excuses. It's true that stuffs like this do happen, but just like you said, this isn't something we see everyday.

[lombok]

as far as I know, there are house edge, so we will have to pay the fee in the long run, thats why I feel sometime the games are rigged.

There is a house edge, and there is also the possibility of match-fixing in small leagues, but game rigging doesn't happen all the time. Even if you are playing slots, some games' results could be confirmed using the game and user seed for those casinos whose games are probably fair; not all are rigged like we suspect sometimes due to not winning enough.

Some gamblers just don't wanna come to the acceptance that the game is built to favour the casinos more than the gamblers, they don't wanna accept the fact that the odds are stacked up against them, so when they eventually begin to experience repeated losses, they often forget that that's just the natural order of gambling and start looking for who or what to blame, and of course the easiest people to blame is the casinos and the also the match fixture and rigging excuses. It's true that stuffs like this do happen, but just like you said, this isn't something we see everyday.

First of all, one needs to accept the mathematical advantage of the casino and become a more cognizant and objective player when he or she loses. Legal services such as provably fair are transparent, by showing that not every game results are manipulated unilaterally by online gambling services. Admittedly, accusing some outside contingencies such as match-fixing is often a defense mechanism of people who find it difficult to accept the ugly fact of an actual danger of defeat in the world of gambling.

[Crypto Library]

With how things are going recently, I’m starting to believe that some games are really rigged. I won’t mention the specific league here, since I don’t want to offend the die hard fans.

But if my assessment is right, then sports betting may not be something we can beat through analysis alone. You can spend hours checking stats, injuries, and matchups, but if the result is already controlled, then all that analysis becomes useless.

Maybe the better thing to study is how the line moves, where most bettors are placing their money, and whether there is a trap. If most people are on one side, maybe the value is on the other side.

It is not always true that there is no rigged games but it is also true that not always all games are rigged. Sometimes we have high expectations and when they are not met, we feel in our personal opinion that those games are rigged.

It's really hard to say what's really going on in your case right now. And the main reason is here that we don't know which types of games you are talking and who which match are you talking. If we could uncover these, maybe we could justify what actually happened to you.

[Lida93]

I believe that many bettors don't base their bets on statistics, but on what they think will happen. That's why there's so much reliance on parlays and raffles. But this is obvious; I don't see everyone looking for numbers to see what's most likely to happen or who will win. Maybe they can see numbers, but there are many bettors who simply don't understand those numbers or don't know how to interpret them.

If you don't based your bet on statistics you will still need it for you to know the performances of that club you want to add to your game whether they are in good formation or a weak team. All these statistics are important if you want to make a good prediction from your bets. You can not shy away from using past statistics to guess what the next match will be like.

But how does a gambler make their bets on sports games without looking into the stats of the teams he's betting for or against?! Does it really make sense not to, even though it seems not to have any proficiency in influencing what the bet outcome may be. I don't think I would want to rely on feeling to make my bet without adopting any form of analysis through the use of the stats available for different teams. It doesn't entails I trust the stats that much but just to give me a sense of direction

[Cossyblack]

Skill or strategy will not always work to win, to win sports betting we have to rely on luck absolutely true, if luck helps then we will win. But skill and strategy can bring us closer to winning and even save ourselves from ruin. Gambling is truly for entertainment, I think gambling can never be an easy way to make money. If we start looking at gambling as an easy way to make money then gambling can very easily lead us to ruin.

Winnings In gambling is based on probability it's a 50-50 things which why some people will say gambling is a matter of luck. If we depend on skill or strategy to win game in gambling it wouldn't still be enough to guarantee winnings because success in gambling depends on our luck and not based on our skills and years of experience. In gambling there are no sure winning,even if  your are have the analysis tools  your winning would still depend on your luck. Having a good Strategy helps but it doesn't guarantee wins as you can still lose if it isn't your lucky day. We should see gambling as a matter for luck rather than the surest means to make quick money. Gambling is just for fun it shouldn't be taken as means to earn a living.

[kawetsriyanto]

It is not always true that there is no rigged games but it is also true that not always all games are rigged. Sometimes we have high expectations and when they are not met, we feel in our personal opinion that those games are rigged.

Indeed. Not all matches are manipulated, I'm sure it is just few matches only. Most of the matches must be normal matches, it means there is no manipulation at all. If the result of the match isn't as people's expected, it is what we say as the luck factor. It is quite often that unfavorite teams/players can win because they are lucky and play more solid with favorite teams/players.

It's really hard to say what's really going on in your case right now. And the main reason is here that we don't know which types of games you are talking and who which match are you talking. If we could uncover these, maybe we could justify what actually happened to you.

I think it is quite clear that he means football matches in sports betting. 
I personally can understand what he means, it is because sometimes referees can act suspicious during the matches. They make some illogical decisions. However, it can be a coincidence. So, we can't blindly accuse for manipulation on the matches.

[danadc]

Yeah that’s why we don’t need to chase every match or every sport. We should only bet on the sport we’re highly confident in, even if we watch football, basketball or e-sports like CS2, Valorant and many more. It’s better to focus on one that we truly confident. If we try to bet on too many sports, it’s no different from being greedy and forcing ourselves. I agree that statistics are one of the best tools we can use in sports betting, especially when we’re new to sports betting.

We can be very good at sports, but there's always one sport where we excel the most, where we have the most knowledge. That happens, but being an expert in all sports, I think that's impossible, because there are many things that happen, many details. In each sport you choose, you have to study a lot to become an expert; you need many hours of watching, of reading news. That's a job in the end.

[xenomorfo]

Winnings In gambling is based on probability it's a 50-50 things which why some people will say gambling is a matter of luck. If we depend on skill or strategy to win game in gambling it wouldn't still be enough to guarantee winnings because success in gambling depends on our luck and not based on our skills and years of experience. In gambling there are no sure winning,even if  your are have the analysis tools  your winning would still depend on your luck. Having a good Strategy helps but it doesn't guarantee wins as you can still lose if it isn't your lucky day. We should see gambling as a matter for luck rather than the surest means to make quick money. Gambling is just for fun it shouldn't be taken as means to earn a living.

It's not worth having a headache trying to figure out how to win money in a game that doesn't let you win money, otherwise we'd all be rich, right?
I don't advise you to fixate on winnings, it's the worst way to approach gambling.
The best way is to consider it for what it is, a game and secondly putting a little money helps too.

[Etranger]

If statistics were really that crucial in sports betting, then people who run very detailed statistics would be one of the richest people. However, those who collect detailed statistics of sports events are more geeks, than true fans and successful gamblers. Moreover, a lot of statistics are in free access, which means there would be even more people who have earned a lot by sports betting. Many casinos would go bankrupt. Nevertheless we see completely opposite situation, number of casinos grows (which means this is a successful business), number of gamblers grow, but amount of rich and really successful gamblers stay the same.

Yes, statistics help navigate games in general, but it is certainly not a universal method for building predictions.Yes, statistics help navigate games in general, but it is certainly not a universal method for building predictions. It is not enough on its own. And you always have to remember that it only provides a retrospective picture, which cannot be extrapolated onto future events. There are always factors in the future that cannot be accounted for, and even if they occurred in the past, that does not mean they will happen again in exactly the same way.

[Crypto Library]

Indeed. Not all matches are manipulated, I'm sure it is just few matches only. Most of the matches must be normal matches, it means there is no manipulation at all. If the result of the match isn't as people's expected, it is what we say as the luck factor. It is quite often that unfavorite teams/players can win because they are lucky and play more solid with favorite teams/players.

Even in this current few years, I haven't seen any international or the big tournament like laliga, English tournament I haven't seen any fixed match although I can be also wrong that the match fixed happned but its news doesn't reach my eyes. But it is true if those match fixed or rigged are happening those are not in the internatoinal platform those could be the local matches .

I think it is quite clear that he means football matches in sports betting. 
I personally can understand what he means, it is because sometimes referees can act suspicious during the matches. They make some illogical decisions. However, it can be a coincidence. So, we can't blindly accuse for manipulation on the matches.

Even it is also happen some times that just becuase of the referees  decisions goes agaisnt our favourite team or against the favourite player, we also blame them. I am not saying that they don't make any illogical decision but it is also true now who knows from which point the op is saying these blame?

[hedgeh0g]

In general, I have heard that most matches are rigged in the lower leagues, where sports players realize that they cannot become superstars in their sport and because of this they often agree to match-fixing in order to earn at least some money to feed their family, but in the matches those who are in higher Leagues, this does not happen there, because everyone is trying to become stars and rise in their sport, so I would bet on those events that are in world class, because they are 100% not rigged.

[Felicity_Tide]

~snip

Maybe the better thing to study is how the line moves, where most bettors are placing their money, and whether there is a trap. If most people are on one side, maybe the value is on the other side.

Nah, I don't think sport betting works that way. Sport betting is not same as global trade where whales put money in a particular position to attract others. But I definitely agree with you that some league games should be questioned especially for match fixing. It's often hard to prove it, but with certain behaviours of the officiating officials_{(like the referees)}, or the players, you just have no other choice than to ask these questions.

But, I still believe in analyzing games based on stats, to some extent.
Just because their actions are questionable, doesn't necessarily mean that I should neglect a factor that is also important. Match fixing doesn't happen in all games, so there is still a need for stats.

[Achalugo BTC]

In general, I have heard that most matches are rigged in the lower leagues, where sports players realize that they cannot become superstars in their sport and because of this they often agree to match-fixing in order to earn at least some money to feed their family, but in the matches Those who are in higher Leagues, this does not happen there, because everyone is trying to become stars and rise in their sport, so I would bet on those events that are in world class, because they are 100% not rigged.

Let them just treat every bet as something that they are not sure about, its not even about being rigged or not, if gamblers stake what they got to spend and lose and treat gambling as a game they are not sure about, there is no how they will have to think for other shortcuts to make it in gambling or to justify their actions because every game has been decided by luck including losses, understanding that helps to stay informed and reduce any further damage it might have cause in their lives.

[kawetsriyanto]

Even in this current few years, I haven't seen any international or the big tournament like laliga, English tournament I haven't seen any fixed match although I can be also wrong that the match fixed happned but its news doesn't reach my eyes. But it is true if those match fixed or rigged are happening those are not in the internatoinal platform those could be the local matches

Indeed. We have less issues about fixed matches in La Liga and EPL. The latest issue that I heard about fixed match, it was from Serie A. Recently, VAR technology plays a bigger role in each match, so it may reduce the chance of fixed matches. Also, all teams/players in each league, they may be more aware of the potential punishments. They don't want to be involved in manipulation of the match because it will end up with huge problems to themselves.

Even it is also happen some times that just becuase of the referees  decisions goes agaisnt our favourite team or against the favourite player, we also blame them. I am not saying that they don't make any illogical decision but it is also true now who knows from which point the op is saying these blame?

True. Once a decision harms our favorite teams, we must blame the referees. This has happened since many years ago. Fanatic fans will never accept any decision that lead their favorite teams to get a lose. 

Well, OP has the right to express his opinion. He may refer to certain matches that he suspected to be manipulated or fixed matches.