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Author Topic: Analysis based on stats might be useless  (Read 1715 times)
Webutxo
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May 10, 2026, 01:11:34 PM
 #241

Whether they accept it or not, the fact doesn’t change that gambling was never designed for the player to always win, the house will always have the advantage at the end…
Once losses start coming again and again, emotions will as well come and people will start to look for excuses instead of accepting the reality of the game.. Rigging can happen sometimes, but not every loss is a planned thing or conspiracy..

I don't agree with this actually, gambling was never build to make anyone, not even the company but gambling behaves in a way that you don't know the outcome, all you do is probability. You are dependent on an outcome to be the way you want it. It's like you are been blindfolded with something and then you want to get something right which is nearly impossible, this is why the casino are always on the bright side while the players are on the losing side.

If you are gambling and you think you are going to win easily, then you are on a long thing. Sometimes stats help you but it's not a direction to win. It's like a hint for you to make decisions on what you want to bet but they are not even an assurance for you to overcome any prediction. This is why it's advisable to bet with what you can afford to lose.

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May 10, 2026, 07:46:52 PM
 #242

I completely agree with you, even though that analysis might give bettors the edge in detecting the game that would play in their favours, that doesn't also mean that the bettor is going to be right all the time, sometimes, the bettor needs luck so that the game can go according to how they have predicted it because even if they are very perfect in making predictions, they can still be wrong many times and what they need is to be responsible in playing so they don't fall into chasing losses.
I'm of the opinion that gamblers literally need luck all the time, This is because even if a gambler's strategy is good or his guts are accurate, something unexpected could actually come up at any point in time. For example, red cards, injuries and other unforseen circumstances could potentially ruin a perfectly made plan, and at this point, one needs nothing but luck to win, so even when gamblers are right, they still need luck.
You can not always hope on luck for you to be always profitable as a gambler. You need to add your skill so that it can make way for you when luck is not available to help you become profitable. Gambling in sport bet need skill which involves the ability for you to understand the history which can help you to make big money from betting.

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May 11, 2026, 03:21:40 PM
 #243

In general, I have heard that most matches are rigged in the lower leagues, where sports players realize that they cannot become superstars in their sport and because of this they often agree to match-fixing in order to earn at least some money to feed their family, but in the matches those who are in higher Leagues, this does not happen there, because everyone is trying to become stars and rise in their sport, so I would bet on those events that are in world class, because they are 100% not rigged.
In the major leagues, this is out of the question because there are high salaries and good advertising contracts; no fixed match is worth it. But in the lower leagues, it's common practice, and often the bookmakers themselves sponsor these clubs quite a coincidence. There's nothing to risk there only a few will become sports stars, while for others, it's just a good hobby for which they get paid.

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May 11, 2026, 03:27:16 PM
 #244

In general, I have heard that most matches are rigged in the lower leagues, where sports players realize that they cannot become superstars in their sport and because of this they often agree to match-fixing in order to earn at least some money to feed their family, but in the matches those who are in higher Leagues, this does not happen there, because everyone is trying to become stars and rise in their sport, so I would bet on those events that are in world class, because they are 100% not rigged.
We hear about this but none of us can actually say that It's true or it's something we are sure of. But in lower leagues there's a high chance that something like this goes on because there isn't going to be proper scrutiny to checkmate all of these illegal arrangements. The fact is that a game can be rigged and we might not even know.

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GiftedMAN
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May 11, 2026, 04:21:24 PM
 #245

You can not always hope on luck for you to be always profitable as a gambler. You need to add your skill so that it can make way for you when luck is not available to help you become profitable. Gambling in sport bet need skill which involves the ability for you to understand the history which can help you to make big money from betting.

Your skill helps you to have the idea of the possible outcome of the game due to the knowledge you have about the teams you are selecting the the past history, the current form and the squad depth of the teams. If you depend on luck when you make wrong selections you may still find it difficult to win but when you have used your knowledge to make good selections then luck helps you to perfect it when the teams selected performs well.

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May 11, 2026, 04:26:44 PM
 #246

You can not always hope on luck for you to be always profitable as a gambler. You need to add your skill so that it can make way for you when luck is not available to help you become profitable. Gambling in sport bet need skill which involves the ability for you to understand the history which can help you to make big money from betting.

Your skill helps you to have the idea of the possible outcome of the game due to the knowledge you have about the teams you are selecting the the past history, the current form and the squad depth of the teams. If you depend on luck when you make wrong selections you may still find it difficult to win but when you have used your knowledge to make good selections then luck helps you to perfect it when the teams selected performs well.
Though, in my experience, luck have more weight when comes to betting in sports than the perceived skill one could have to analyze and select winning teams.
Skill within the world of sportbetting is roughly 30-35% of one's chances to win money, while the rest is left for luck and entropy to decide.

That is why it is so difficult to become a professional sportbettor, even if one has literal years of experience within this ecosystem.
That is also why there are people who know literally nothing about sportbetting, and they still manage to score some wins on their time on casinos and bookies.

One needs to be very careful and not to mistake fool's luck with actually skill.

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May 11, 2026, 05:13:00 PM
 #247

as far as I know, there are house edge, so we will have to pay the fee in the long run, thats why I feel sometime the games are rigged.
There is a house edge, and there is also the possibility of match-fixing in small leagues, but game rigging doesn't happen all the time. Even if you are playing slots, some games' results could be confirmed using the game and user seed for those casinos whose games are probably fair; not all are rigged like we suspect sometimes due to not winning enough.
Some gamblers just don't wanna come to the acceptance that the game is built to favour the casinos more than the gamblers, they don't wanna accept the fact that the odds are stacked up against them, so when they eventually begin to experience repeated losses, they often forget that that's just the natural order of gambling and start looking for who or what to blame, and of course the easiest people to blame is the casinos and the also the match fixture and rigging excuses. It's true that stuffs like this do happen, but just like you said, this isn't something we see everyday.

In reality, gamblers can profit in the short term through research and luck but in the long term the casino profits, because in most cases gambling involves high loss and relatively low win. I think it is better to gamble with the money you can afford to lose gambling is mainly for entertainment it is not right to choose gambling to make quick money as a result the amount of losses increases. It is important to take time to cool down after losing while gambling, so that greed can be controlled.

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May 11, 2026, 05:15:04 PM
 #248

You can not always hope on luck for you to be always profitable as a gambler. You need to add your skill so that it can make way for you when luck is not available to help you become profitable. Gambling in sport bet need skill which involves the ability for you to understand the history which can help you to make big money from betting.
People who depend on luck to win in gambling are not supposed to be hoping to make profit from gambling. Those who put effort into analysing and did not depend on skill are the ones who calculate for profit even when it's not guaranteed, but they have more chance and possibility of achieving that than any other type of gambler.

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May 11, 2026, 07:19:21 PM
 #249

But if my assessment is right, then sports betting may not be something we can beat through analysis alone. You can spend hours checking stats, injuries, and matchups, but if the result is already controlled, then all that analysis becomes useless.
You surely cannot win with analysis alone because if it was so then individuals who are very good with analysis maybe statistics would have been very successful gamblers. In gambling after you've done your analysis it only points you in a likely outcome of the game you're about to bet on, there is also and always the room for you to make your bets or place your bets base on some intuition or guts feeling of how you think the game may turn out to be. I feel the best gamblers are gamblers who do not bets with their guts feeling alone or intuition or gamblers who make only analysis and then make bets base on their analysis, the best gamblers are gamblers who know how to combine their gut feeling intuition and then some analysis.

It is understood that one can't win via analysis alone but without analysis gambling is useless as one can't do without it as it more or less a guide to winnings in some cases. Analysis gives a gambler an incite of a game and what can be a possible outcome of it, winning in gambling most at times depends on luck because one can be gambling for years and if you are not lucky you won't win and that's why I feel people think analysis is useless because they are not winning from the analysis they do.

In my few years of gambling, I have come to realize that no amount of knowledge and combination of intuition and ideas we use in analyzing games gives the winnings we want without an element of luck and I have not seen a gambler who is very successful in gambling too as one can't depend on gambling for survival. There's no best means of gambling that guarantees winning because it's a game that one can't predict it's outcome.

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May 12, 2026, 05:56:39 PM
 #250

You can not always hope on luck for you to be always profitable as a gambler. You need to add your skill so that it can make way for you when luck is not available to help you become profitable. Gambling in sport bet need skill which involves the ability for you to understand the history which can help you to make big money from betting.
People who depend on luck to win in gambling are not supposed to be hoping to make profit from gambling. Those who put effort into analysing and did not depend on skill are the ones who calculate for profit even when it's not guaranteed, but they have more chance and possibility of achieving that than any other type of gambler.

I agree to that, if you are just leaning to your luck then better to keep your gambling as part of your entertainment, but if you are aiming differently like aiming to earn that's something that's needed to do some efforts similar to what you said, analysing and doing your research may help though still not a guarantee, but it will give some edge especially if you fully understand the game.

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May 12, 2026, 06:38:25 PM
 #251

You can not always hope on luck for you to be always profitable as a gambler. You need to add your skill so that it can make way for you when luck is not available to help you become profitable. Gambling in sport bet need skill which involves the ability for you to understand the history which can help you to make big money from betting.
People who depend on luck to win in gambling are not supposed to be hoping to make profit from gambling. Those who put effort into analysing and did not depend on skill are the ones who calculate for profit even when it's not guaranteed, but they have more chance and possibility of achieving that than any other type of gambler.

I agree to that, if you are just leaning to your luck then better to keep your gambling as part of your entertainment, but if you are aiming differently like aiming to earn that's something that's needed to do some efforts similar to what you said, analysing and doing your research may help though still not a guarantee, but it will give some edge especially if you fully understand the game.
I think the whole point is that statistics can be interpreted in different ways. For example, a lot depends on the period at which we take it and subject it to analysis. It is important to take into account big statistics in order to perceive them correctly and draw conclusions that, with proper analysis, can allow us to win a little more. I think professionals use it well and fully understand how to analyze, but this also needs to be learned and not every player knows how to do it correctly. In any case, statistics will not hurt, the main thing is to be able to use them.

 
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May 12, 2026, 09:05:47 PM
 #252

In general, I have heard that most matches are rigged in the lower leagues, where sports players realize that they cannot become superstars in their sport and because of this they often agree to match-fixing in order to earn at least some money to feed their family, but in the matches those who are in higher Leagues, this does not happen there, because everyone is trying to become stars and rise in their sport, so I would bet on those events that are in world class, because they are 100% not rigged.
In the major leagues, this is out of the question because there are high salaries and good advertising contracts; no fixed match is worth it. But in the lower leagues, it's common practice, and often the bookmakers themselves sponsor these clubs quite a coincidence. There's nothing to risk there only a few will become sports stars, while for others, it's just a good hobby for which they get paid.
If you check some of these lower league clubs, they are mostly sponsored by casinos which can influence  their performances to earn money so that their contract can be extended. This is business and it is what most clubs are during trying to fix match which they already know what is going to be the outcome allowing gamblers to bet on the match so that they can make money which will be shared. Sport is full of manipulative influence by big companies that are sponsoring clubs to make money from their games.

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May 12, 2026, 09:35:55 PM
 #253

I think the whole point is that statistics can be interpreted in different ways. For example, a lot depends on the period at which we take it and subject it to analysis. It is important to take into account big statistics in order to perceive them correctly and draw conclusions that, with proper analysis, can allow us to win a little more. I think professionals use it well and fully understand how to analyze, but this also needs to be learned and not every player knows how to do it correctly. In any case, statistics will not hurt, the main thing is to be able to use them.
But they should be able to understand that luck plays its role in gambling and they should not forsake the power of it, and also they should also understand there is every chances for them to lose their bets in the game and if one doesn't exercise discipline in their lives when gambling, they can easily lose their minds and make decisions that won't be helpful and this is why most gamblers are always in trouble when gambling.











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Ever-young
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May 12, 2026, 09:57:20 PM
 #254

You can not always hope on luck for you to be always profitable as a gambler. You need to add your skill so that it can make way for you when luck is not available to help you become profitable. Gambling in sport bet need skill which involves the ability for you to understand the history which can help you to make big money from betting.
Your skills doesn't make you win, the only thing that skills does for a gambler is to increase their chances, but if there's no luck by your side, there's really nothing your skills can do for you, except of course the game in question isn't luck based but skill based games, then we can say the gambler doesn't actually need luck to win, but if the game is luck based, or a mixture of both luck and skill like in games like sports betting, then you sure need to depend on luck to win.

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May 13, 2026, 07:38:21 AM
 #255

You can not always hope on luck for you to be always profitable as a gambler. You need to add your skill so that it can make way for you when luck is not available to help you become profitable. Gambling in sport bet need skill which involves the ability for you to understand the history which can help you to make big money from betting.
People who depend on luck to win in gambling are not supposed to be hoping to make profit from gambling. Those who put effort into analysing and did not depend on skill are the ones who calculate for profit even when it's not guaranteed, but they have more chance and possibility of achieving that than any other type of gambler.

I agree to that, if you are just leaning to your luck then better to keep your gambling as part of your entertainment, but if you are aiming differently like aiming to earn that's something that's needed to do some efforts similar to what you said, analysing and doing your research may help though still not a guarantee, but it will give some edge especially if you fully understand the game.
I think the whole point is that statistics can be interpreted in different ways. For example, a lot depends on the period at which we take it and subject it to analysis. It is important to take into account big statistics in order to perceive them correctly and draw conclusions that, with proper analysis, can allow us to win a little more. I think professionals use it well and fully understand how to analyze, but this also needs to be learned and not every player knows how to do it correctly. In any case, statistics will not hurt, the main thing is to be able to use them.
Actually searching for these numbers or statistics is really that a default on on which it would be that too impossible that you wont be checking out stats whenever you are doing some sports betting on which this is the most common action on which you would be needing to check before you would be choosing up your bets. Actually there are those who do bet mostly on highly favorites without even trying to check further changes or updates specially that there are factors that wont really be that the same on each game like player is injured, not be able to play or whatever common situations that do happen. This is why its best that you do need up to check at least with those things. Also even if you do rely with stats or not, there's no assurance about precision on which it is called prediction on the first place because you've been predicting and there's no one would be able to know on what would happen as long the game isnt over yet.

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May 13, 2026, 07:49:56 PM
 #256

snip
I'm of the opinion that gamblers literally need luck all the time, This is because even if a gambler's strategy is good or his guts are accurate, something unexpected could actually come up at any point in time. For example, red cards, injuries and other unforseen circumstances could potentially ruin a perfectly made plan, and at this point, one needs nothing but luck to win, so even when gamblers are right, they still need luck.
You can not always hope on luck for you to be always profitable as a gambler. You need to add your skill so that it can make way for you when luck is not available to help you become profitable. Gambling in sport bet need skill which involves the ability for you to understand the history which can help you to make big money from betting.

Yea, hoping completely on luck in sports betting, in my opinion, it's a sign of lack of experience and also means that the person is taking sports betting just as every other RNG games which is based only on luck and not skill. Like I have also said before, which is in agreement with what you said, having a good skill in making predictions already gives us an edge to winning more often than a bettor who is completely focused just on luck.

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May 14, 2026, 01:18:15 AM
 #257

Yea, hoping completely on luck in sports betting, in my opinion, it's a sign of lack of experience and also means that the person is taking sports betting just as every other RNG games which is based only on luck and not skill. Like I have also said before, which is in agreement with what you said, having a good skill in making predictions already gives us an edge to winning more often than a bettor who is completely focused just on luck.
I trust in my luck, but I don't know much about casino games or sports.,My coworkers talk about soccer all the time, and after hearing them talk about it so much, I've got a pretty good idea of ​​what they know. They talk about everything, but they say a lot of things they know who's injured, who's going to the World Cup, who wasn't called up, which players are doing well or poorly, and they turn on their TVs to watch the games. They don't care about work that whole environment is a great learning experience because they say things that make a lot of sense and that they pick up on during the matches.

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May 14, 2026, 01:31:18 AM
 #258

snip
I'm of the opinion that gamblers literally need luck all the time, This is because even if a gambler's strategy is good or his guts are accurate, something unexpected could actually come up at any point in time. For example, red cards, injuries and other unforseen circumstances could potentially ruin a perfectly made plan, and at this point, one needs nothing but luck to win, so even when gamblers are right, they still need luck.
You can not always hope on luck for you to be always profitable as a gambler. You need to add your skill so that it can make way for you when luck is not available to help you become profitable. Gambling in sport bet need skill which involves the ability for you to understand the history which can help you to make big money from betting.

Yea, hoping completely on luck in sports betting, in my opinion, it's a sign of lack of experience and also means that the person is taking sports betting just as every other RNG games which is based only on luck and not skill. Like I have also said before, which is in agreement with what you said, having a good skill in making predictions already gives us an edge to winning more often than a bettor who is completely focused just on luck.
You don't need skill to predict, what you need to predict is knowledge, skill and knowledge are absolutely two different things or abilities, skill is what is required to play or engage in something physically, like if you are playing football for example, you need a good playing skill to better your chances of winning your opponent, then it comes to trading, you know both skill and knowledge, skill serves you on how to effective and efficiently use trading tools and knowledge serves you on prediction making.

Now coming back to betting, betting on sports requires no tools which we need skill to use, so skill does nothing for us here, what does the job for us is knowledge, you predict based on what you know about a team or about a player, and then after predicting, you rely on luck to make your prediction comes to pass, whether we like it or not, or believe it or not, luck is and will always remain an important component of driving either betting winnings or losses, your knowledge can bring you winnings, it can only up your chances, this is why people with the most knowledge in sports still lost their bet sometimes.

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tread93
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May 14, 2026, 02:37:46 AM
 #259

With how things are going recently, I’m starting to believe that some games are really rigged. I won’t mention the specific league here, since I don’t want to offend the die hard fans.

But if my assessment is right, then sports betting may not be something we can beat through analysis alone. You can spend hours checking stats, injuries, and matchups, but if the result is already controlled, then all that analysis becomes useless.

Maybe the better thing to study is how the line moves, where most bettors are placing their money, and whether there is a trap. If most people are on one side, maybe the value is on the other side.

It really is infuriating isn't it. These folks have the nerve to just scam you of your hard earned money for their own selfish gain.  Greed really is a major character flaw, isnt it? Hurting people with money is not as bad as actually hurting people but that doesn't mean that its not a work of evil. Hopefully gamblers will steer clear of these scams, they're already gambling for goodness sake

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May 14, 2026, 06:47:27 AM
 #260

In general, I have heard that most matches are rigged in the lower leagues, where sports players realize that they cannot become superstars in their sport and because of this they often agree to match-fixing in order to earn at least some money to feed their family, but in the matches those who are in higher Leagues, this does not happen there, because everyone is trying to become stars and rise in their sport, so I would bet on those events that are in world class, because they are 100% not rigged.
We hear about this but none of us can actually say that It's true or it's something we are sure of. But in lower leagues there's a high chance that something like this goes on because there isn't going to be proper scrutiny to checkmate all of these illegal arrangements. The fact is that a game can be rigged and we might not even know.

Well, small leagues can be rigged, that's a fact. The only problem is that most of them are not listed on sports bookies. So, there's no way one could take advantage of it unless they bet against a person or a group directly.

There are rigged games in professional leagues, but it will be difficult to prove them. Sometimes when you watch the whole game, you will actually feel that something is wrong, maybe that's it. The problem here is that only picked personalities know that the game will be rigged, and I bet some players are also participating in it. The referees may also be a part of how it will materialize.
I mean, we have seen some crazy calls from the referees, and most of them are booed by fans because it's too obvious. But the sad part is that their call will be the one that should be followed, and there's no way it can be reversed.

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