Analysis based on stats might be useless

[Franctoshi]

With how things are going recently, I’m starting to believe that some games are really rigged. I won’t mention the specific league here, since I don’t want to offend the die hard fans.

But if my assessment is right, then sports betting may not be something we can beat through analysis alone. You can spend hours checking stats, injuries, and matchups, but if the result is already controlled, then all that analysis becomes useless.

Maybe the better thing to study is how the line moves, where most bettors are placing their money, and whether there is a trap. If most people are on one side, maybe the value is on the other side.

There was a time I did a thread regarding this match rigging of a thing, but wether they believe or not there are unseen hands and thing that happens around a match that you're not allow to see or talk about it. To me, I think you can't take this situation away, many things happen behind the scene.

All these data of a, I don't totally on data to make my bet, even the odds given longer deceive my eyes, once I check few other things personally I use to apply, I stake my game.

[Cantsay]

There was a time I did a thread regarding this match rigging of a thing, but wether they believe or not there are unseen hands and thing that happens around a match that you're not allow to see or talk about it. To me, I think you can't take this situation away, many things happen behind the scene.

All these data of a, I don't totally rely on data to make my bet, even the odds given longer deceive my eyes, once I check a few other things personally I use to apply, I stake my game.

In the past, I used to think that there were some leagues that were free from this rigging or tampering of things, but the more you look closely at them, the more you start to see some things that are suspicious.

If you are just relying on stats or past data, thinking it would help you make the right choice, the outcome of your bet is going to make you realise that those data are not going to do you any good, especially when behind-the-scenes work has been done that would affect the entire game. If you're making any prediction, just do it and don't think it is solid that nothing can make it not go as predicted.

[ejikeme24]

Skills in sport betting can only increase your potential of winning but not a guaranteed for winning because gambler's have the habits of thinking that because they are active in football game's watching and analysing the game make them to believe and trust in they own analysis but in most cases you have to depend only on luck and your risk management to actually make something sensible out of your bets.

Yeah, skill can only increase our chance of wining but doesn't give a guarantee that we will win, the thing is that some gamblers don't know when luck is working, they mistake luck to skill infact I would say that those winnings we have been making from gambling is just the work of luck and not by our strategy although strategy could help in bringing us closer to luck but  is not the actual reason why we win because sometimes a gambler might be going with that strategy and luck will not get to them but when luck comes around he will start wining from that strategy but still some gamblers don't believe on luck.

[danadc]

So do you think your colleagues make more successful predictions and bets because they stay actively immersed in the context and know the nuances related to matches and players? I think there is some truth to that. I have a similar feeling about Fantasy Premier League, which I take part in, but I understand football very poorly. I know at least something about national teams, but I definitely lack knowledge about English clubs. And it seems to me that all the other participants know much more, which is why they are higher in the standings and generally have excellent results. I am sure this cannot be explained иcключитeльнo by luck alone, although I do not deny the role of luck either

If you only listened to them, you'd agree with me. They're on top of everything and talk like sports commentators. I find that incredible, and some of them agree with what you say. It's like they think alike, but there are things they disagree on. I've learned a lot. They give details that aren't even offered in the news. Some follow the social media of clubs and players, some are subscribed to teams and are like members, bringing firsthand information.

[red4slash]

Skills in sport betting can only increase your potential of winning but not a guaranteed for winning because gambler's have the habits of thinking that because they are active in football game's watching and analysing the game make them to believe and trust in they own analysis but in most cases you have to depend only on luck and your risk management to actually make something sensible out of your bets.

It should be remembered that in the bets we make, of course there are matches that we have to watch and sometimes it has unexpected results so it will be quite natural when we believe that the increase in the probability of winning is getting bigger but in terms of results we only need to see the final result in a match that may not be in accordance with expectations.

In this case luck becomes one of the efforts that we must expect because after all, no matter how big the probability is, in the end luck is the final benchmark in a bet. We can be sure but that does not mean that belief can be a victory because of course in a bet in sportsbetting analysis and probability are 50 percent to win and 50 percent is luck.

[Orpichukwu]

In gambling, most things are really unpredictable.

So for me, whichever works best for us then we just have do it.

Analysis are helpful and all sorts of factors that can help us decide which one to bet. It can be validate by each of us based on results or even in mere opinions.

Not just most things are unpredictable in gambling, which is a game of probability; everything that has to do with it can't be predicted with accuracy. We can only try with whatever method we have, but that can't show us an easy way to get the prediction right, not like some are easy to predict and others are hard to predict. I see all as something we can't completely predict.

[o48o]

With how things are going recently, I’m starting to believe that some games are really rigged. I won’t mention the specific league here, since I don’t want to offend the die hard fans.

But if my assessment is right, then sports betting may not be something we can beat through analysis alone. You can spend hours checking stats, injuries, and matchups, but if the result is already controlled, then all that analysis becomes useless.

Maybe the better thing to study is how the line moves, where most bettors are placing their money, and whether there is a trap. If most people are on one side, maybe the value is on the other side.

It was never an option, even if those games weren't rigged. Even if you have an edge to statistically guess majority of the results, you will get some of them wrong, as that's just part of statistics. And because odds are calculated in, it's likely that those few lost games will be enough to set you back and remove all gains.

Obviously there will be times when you make money with your analyzed games, but i am guessing that changes are that you would get those same results randomly at some point.

[Localhostspeed]

There was a time I did a thread regarding this match rigging of a thing, but wether they believe or not there are unseen hands and thing that happens around a match that you're not allow to see or talk about it. To me, I think you can't take this situation away, many things happen behind the scene.

All these data of a, I don't totally on data to make my bet, even the odds given longer deceive my eyes, once I check few other things personally I use to apply, I stake my game.

There is no league that is 100% clean to think that there is no manipulation. I read one article that president of Real Madrid Perez accuse Laporta of buying off 5 referee to manipulate matches and to help them win the trophy, this might false and might be true. If top club can make this such accusation against another club, that means things are not as transparent as many of us see on the top level, there are many things going underneath that are not talk about.

However, as a gambler without data you can't have a lead to make predictions, things qt at going to be difficult for you if you don't follow them. It will be better you look at stat and make the right call than depend on other things that are not factual. People that have made plenty of money from gambling use stats more often to get to where they are today, if you don't have stats to follow it means you are gambling on gambling and you will likely make nothing.

[GiftedMAN]

In gambling, most things are really unpredictable.

So for me, whichever works best for us then we just have do it.

Analysis are helpful and all sorts of factors that can help us decide which one to bet. It can be validate by each of us based on results or even in mere opinions.

Not just most things are unpredictable in gambling, which is a game of probability; everything that has to do with it can't be predicted with accuracy. We can only try with whatever method we have, but that can't show us an easy way to get the prediction right, not like some are easy to predict and others are hard to predict. I see all as something we can't completely predict.

It's crucial for gamblers to acknowledge the randomness of gambling, and also come to the realization that winning in gambling isn't basically about how good the gambler is but about luck, because this helps gamblers rely more on luck than they do on their skills and experience.

The raw truth is that, the unpredictability of gambling is actually what makes gambling fun and interesting, but most gamblers still don't know this, which is why they find it really hard to navigate gambling effectively.

[Versatile_choice]

The raw truth is that, the unpredictability of gambling is actually what makes gambling fun and interesting, but most gamblers still don't know this, which is why they find it really hard to navigate gambling effectively.

Some gamblers are aware of this but they are tied up with profit even to the point where they don't know what they are doing anymore, as a gambler and your aim is to make profit from gambling you won't find this interesting. Some gamblers even wish they could Predict the game accurately so that to enable them achieve their target but funny enough that gambling doesn't work that way so it's better we just treat it as fun than having too much expectations in gambling so that we don't end up regretting.

[Hazink]

Skills in sport betting can only increase your potential of winning but not a guaranteed for winning because gambler's have the habits of thinking that because they are active in football game's watching and analysing the game make them to believe and trust in they own analysis but in most cases you have to depend only on luck and your risk management to actually make something sensible out of your bets.

Even if I'm to trust luck, it's also not bad for me to trust my own prediction skills. That's what makes me different from those who don't know much about football. Luck has its role, so our experience in that particular sport have a role to play in how we analyze our games and decide which team is to when or base on what ever option we go with.

[lombok]

The raw truth is that, the unpredictability of gambling is actually what makes gambling fun and interesting, but most gamblers still don't know this, which is why they find it really hard to navigate gambling effectively.

Some gamblers are aware of this but they are tied up with profit even to the point where they don't know what they are doing anymore, as a gambler and your aim is to make profit from gambling you won't find this interesting. Some gamblers even wish they could Predict the game accurately so that to enable them achieve their target but funny enough that gambling doesn't work that way so it's better we just treat it as fun than having too much expectations in gambling so that we don't end up regretting.

An obsession with massive payoff usually leads to the loss of reason and rationality on how to use their own capital by gamblers. To be able to speculate precisely about the effect can only be an illusion and it will regret a lot in the future. Admittedly, gambling must be viewed as entertainment, so by reducing your expectation, you will likely enjoy the game without feeling that you are under pressure due to improperly high expectations.

[WhoYouCantKill]

Even if I'm to trust luck, it's also not bad for me to trust my own prediction skills. That's what makes me different from those who don't know much about football. Luck has its role, so our experience in that particular sport have a role to play in how we analyze our games and decide which team is to when or base on what ever option we go with.

Yes, it'll be unwise to completely rely on luck, especially in games that clearly requires on to put in some work. It's true that skills doesn't guarantee a win, but in games like sports betting, skills and experiences can go a long way in increasing the chances that a gambler has. This is literally what a lot of gamblers fail to understand, and that's why they can easily get themselves into trouble, due to not ignorance.

[Fredomago]

In gambling, most things are really unpredictable.

So for me, whichever works best for us then we just have do it.

Analysis are helpful and all sorts of factors that can help us decide which one to bet. It can be validate by each of us based on results or even in mere opinions.

Not just most things are unpredictable in gambling, which is a game of probability; everything that has to do with it can't be predicted with accuracy. We can only try with whatever method we have, but that can't show us an easy way to get the prediction right, not like some are easy to predict and others are hard to predict. I see all as something we can't completely predict.

And that's the nature of it, gambling is a risky way to make money and that's  the reason why we should take it as part of entertainment and not a good source to make profits, unless you have good discipline and you can handle pressure with good judegment, similar to what you said there's no assurance even how good your analysis and how huge the advantage bookies provides for the favorites that's not a guarantee to have a sure win.

It's more on how you trust your decision and how good you are in accepting the outcome to avoid being emotional if things won't go according to your plan, always remember that upset can happen you need to move forward and accept you fate.

[Etranger]

Yes, it'll be unwise to completely rely on luck, especially in games that clearly requires on to put in some work. It's true that skills doesn't guarantee a win, but in games like sports betting, skills and experiences can go a long way in increasing the chances that a gambler has. This is literally what a lot of gamblers fail to understand, and that's why they can easily get themselves into trouble, due to not ignorance.

Yes, in sports betting prior knowledge and a certain foundation play a huge role. It is not the same as casino gambling, where in my view there is no real strategy beyond managing your own deposit. In sports betting, being informed about the current state of teams, players, and the sporting landscape in general increases your chances of winning. This does not cancel out the importance of luck, since it is still gambling at the end of the day. But here there is a real chance to harness that luck and steer it in the direction you want.

[Fivestar4everMVP]

Skills in sport betting can only increase your potential of winning but not a guaranteed for winning because gambler's have the habits of thinking that because they are active in football game's watching and analysing the game make them to believe and trust in they own analysis but in most cases you have to depend only on luck and your risk management to actually make something sensible out of your bets.

Even if I'm to trust luck, it's also not bad for me to trust my own prediction skills. That's what makes me different from those who don't know much about football. Luck has its role, so our experience in that particular sport have a role to play in how we analyze our games and decide which team is to when or base on what ever option we go with.

You definitely have the full right to trust your prediction skill but also understand that trusting your prediction skill does not automatically make you win your bets or even increase your chances of winning by an inche, cus in the end, your knowledge or how much you know in sports and how much you know the two teams playing and know the right term to put your bet on is what determines your level of chances of winning, and what finishes the whole thing is whether you are lucky or unlucky.

The place of luck is looked down upon in sports betting but it's only by those who really do not understand how powerful luck is, some call it grace, it actually grace but in gambling, we have gotten used to referring to it as luck.
When all you can do is place bets based on what you know about the team playing, and you have absolutely no way of influencing the outcome of the match, luck is simply what determines whether you end up as a winner or not.

[Africolo]

Some sports matches are being rigged actually, majorly in lower leagues and few of the higher leagues and when you place bets, it's mostly What you ordered vs What you get settings that play out, but every now and then we hear of people getting a big win, which makes me keep asking myself if it's just about me, or are the betting companies just staging winners . It brings us back to the fact that gambling is more about luck than accurate predictions, because after spending much time analyzing and predicting games, 90 minutes of play would still decide if we were lucky enough to win.

People do talked about how games are being rigged but I haven't really experienced it though with the way gamblers have been complaining I'm sure it will be true, what I know of is game fixing that one is very common in the premier League so in football you just have to expect unpredictable results, some betting companies stage winners just to lure gamblers to be using their site and it's has being a strategy that is being used which is not a new tactics.

Winning in gambling is just all about luck and the winnings don't depend on the analysis and stats that one does that makes you win  even though you have to have some good knowledge about the stats, odds and team performances you want to use, so you must first understand that without luck you can't win no matter the high stakes you make, just have the right knowledge and strategies with your skils inclusive of luck and you will win when luck decides to turn your way.

[Dr.Bitcoin_Strange]

Yes, it'll be unwise to completely rely on one luck, especially in games that clearly requires on to put in some work. It's true that skills doesn't guarantee a win, but in games like sports betting, skills and experiences can go a long way in increasing the chances that a gambler has. This is literally what a lot of gamblers fail to understand, and that's why they can easily get themselves into trouble, due to not ignorance.

Someone who doesn't have an experience in sports game will only bet on games by guessing what the outcome meanwhile someone with experience in sports games will make their predict predict based on facts that can determine the possible outcome of the game and so they will likely have more wins than bettors who doesn't know how to predict but only relying on luck.

[rachael9385]

In gambling, most things are really unpredictable.

So for me, whichever works best for us then we just have do it.

Analysis are helpful and all sorts of factors that can help us decide which one to bet. It can be validate by each of us based on results or even in mere opinions.

The problem most gamblers have is that they put too much reliance on analysis forgetting that it only increases their chances of winning and it doesn't really mean that it guarantees profits. Analysis are helpful that's true but they are not always going to be able to put you in profit because betting also requires luck.

[Fortify]

With how things are going recently, I’m starting to believe that some games are really rigged. I won’t mention the specific league here, since I don’t want to offend the die hard fans.

But if my assessment is right, then sports betting may not be something we can beat through analysis alone. You can spend hours checking stats, injuries, and matchups, but if the result is already controlled, then all that analysis becomes useless.

Maybe the better thing to study is how the line moves, where most bettors are placing their money, and whether there is a trap. If most people are on one side, maybe the value is on the other side.

Analysis based on stats is the only way that a sportsbook can evaluate a game to give you such specific odds. If what you are suggesting is fixed games, then it is something they are acutely aware of because each fixed game has the potential to cost them a lot of money. That is why so many different bookmakers often share odds providers, because they've built up systems that can detect suspicious looking matches over time and guard against it. Those companies will also supply suspicious looking evidence to the authorities to investigate, but there is bound to be a gap and not every suspicion will be provable. If it looks like there is systemic cheating going on by a player or team, they'll probably remove that target rather than eliminate the whole league - unless it's endemic.