Can AI really help with sports betting, or are we overrating it?

[Findingnemo]

I am sure we had this discussion a few times already and as I stated previously the data we give as input to the AI is gonna give the result accordingly. So yeah we can get better predictions with more accurate prompt of what you are looking for instead of just asking the team A or Team B. ANd what it does is simply analyse what most people talked about the game and when you include the criteria of check the recent form, any injury update and whatelse that might contribute to the outcome then it comes with a result for it.

While it is difficult and time-consuming for a human to analyze past data, AI can do it very easily and very quickly. And since analysis is very important for sports betting to make a potential prediction, Ai can definitely help a lot in making a successful prediction. By properly observing the winning history of a team and the performance history of the players in the past few years, a potential prediction can be made, which works very well. That is why I will definitely trust Ai in sports betting and I think that Ai will help me win more than I can on my own.

I won't say successful, still the result can go either way but I am leaning towards the time-consuming part and it is going to reduce a lot of time needed for the analysis and I tried this on few games and gave mixed result and most of the time with all three possible results along with what should be the choice with justification. I am not really a sports bettor but when I know the game already, I trust my instinct more than these AI tool data and analysis.

[Alphakilo]

First of all, I want to ask here that can chatgpt or artificial intelligent predict the future? Of course the answer will be no. And in the case of gambling, to get a guarantee of winning, you must know the future, which is not possible for anyone in the world except by doing black magic.  

So I personally think that artificial intelligence can never help us in gambling, be it casino gambling or sports betting. However, artificial intelligence can only help us in sports analysis by providing data, but it never guarantees us that we will win.

The only way AI can help is basically just for research and study and to assist in making better decisions, otherwise, I think it's just a waste of time relying on AI predictions, knowing fully well that most casino platforms that operate today have also gone as far as integrating AI tools and bots into their programs so as to have and maintain their edge against smart ass gamblers that think they can cheat the system using AI models.
The knowledge AI provides is at best a guiding light, because in the end, it boils down to the developers to teach AI which way to go and where to focus on and it's all human intelligence after all.

[Woodie]

The truth of the matter is that AI is as good as the source of its data, if it's fed with bogus information then expect it's answers or recommendations to be equally off.. otherwise not a fan of these bots doing the heavy lifting and don't want to be rigid to technology  but when AI works, it gets the job done and am certain analysis between it and the player wouldn't be much different as numbers or stats don't lie!

[nelson4lov]

You could have looked for the other threads to continue the discussion. There were discussions. AI cannot  give the accurate predictions of rhe bet but it will be like human predictions and the a analysis you as human do cannot be done by the robot or AI. It is good you use you own analysis to make your bets than using AI. I have not heard of any gambler who was helped by AI to bey and win streak. I don't trust AI predictions.

I did. I started this new discussion to see if there was anything new happening. It's the same way new AI models are being released by  Anthropic and OpenAI so I thought maybe these newer models have more luck and people have been been tinkering and playing around with it enough to  build something that "might" work. Based on the responses so far, it seems no one is working on such. I've been doing a bit of tinkering and wanted to know if there are others like that are tinkering as well.

[Pi-network314159]

There is nothing wrong if AI help in sports prediction but dont forget that it has limitations to how it function, it might be smart but not to that extent. I have seen in your previous comment when you explained in detail about the types of thing AI should do. Well AI will come to that level but it will just take some time. Note that there is revolution in whatever technology that has been produced. Even the AI has it different generations and the latest generation is the current one which will be overthrow someday by a smarter one.

[Rockstarguy]

Has anyone here tried building something like this, even as a personal project? And do you think AI can create a real edge in sports betting, or is it mostly hype for now?

When it comes to sport betting AI cant predict games thst are certain,  you can choose to use AI to play ypur bet but you shouldn't just rely on it with AI the game will end up with a good result. Gambling is a game of luck and it make no sense when people think their can be a way which they can win by all means. AI can really give good information about a team and it players,  it might have it own bet to give out but this is not certain.  AI prediction is just like that of any person who plays bet and relying for luck to win.

[Odusko]

Football games is a live event, and alot of factors contribute to sport games outcome, most matches have an unexpected outcome, this male predicting football game's to be a bit difficult but we can get data's and information that help us to pick our favourite team with higher chance of winning the match, AI will help us to male analysis and give possible outcomes but the results depends on team performance during the match.

[Beparanf]

AI gives a generalized prediction which is based on stats that’s why they suggesting a bet mostly expected by the bookie. I think sportsbook is also using an AI with their bet options in the casino that’s why it’s still very hard to win using AI if you will specifically pick a higher odds match.

I don’t use the AI because it removes the fun of analyzing a game to win. Sportsbook is also expecting users to use AI for analysis which in fact some sportsbook has built-in AI on their sportsbook to have a brief analysis and provide winning percentage on the game. That’s how confident the sportsbook even with the existence of AI.

[IsraelK]

Since ChatGPT came out in late 2022, AI has become mainstream enough that almost every industry has people trying to plug it into something. But I’m curious about sports betting specifically.

Is anyone here actually building or testing anything serious around AI and sports betting?

I don’t mean those random “AI prediction” websites that just say Team A will win,  Team B will lose, and gate it behind a paid service, and then disappear when the pick fails. I mean proper systems that try to model games, compare bookmaker odds, track closing line value, separate strong picks from watchlist picks, or even handle bankroll/risk decisions better.

For example, I’ve been playing around with the idea of a football betting system that does more than just predict match winners. Something that looks at team strength, expected goals, home/away scoring rates, goal probability models and using all of that data to make a goal grid to predict the probability of a fixture ending in over 1.5, over 2.5, etc.

The more I look at it, the more I feel AI may be more useful as a research assistant than as a magic prediction machine. Maybe it can help organize data, spot weak markets, compare lines across bookmakers, explain why a bet is risky, or separate “looks good” picks from bets that actually have some value behind them.

So far, I have had 2 wins and 1 loss and each bet was an acca of 2-4 odds.

Has anyone here tried building something like this, even as a personal project? And do you think AI can create a real edge in sports betting, or is it mostly hype for now?

Your approach to using AI as a research assistant rather than a "crystal ball" is spot-on. the real edge isn't in a model that says "Team A wins," but in a system that helps you identify Closing Line Value (CLV)—spotting when the bookies have mispriced a goal grid before the rest of the market catches up. If you're building a high-tech system, you shouldn't be settling for a low-tech bank. Bitcoin-betting is the perfect partner for an analytical, data-driven approach.

[Russlenat]

AI could broaden the information you want to get, so it can make research easier for you. However, it’s not automatic. Just because you get all the information you need does not mean a win is already guaranteed. The simple explanation is that it makes the job easier, but the decision-making still comes from you. So if you still make the wrong decision despite having all the information, you can still lose.

Overrating it really just depends on how we see it and how we use it.

[Joy- maker]

Has anyone here tried building something like this, even as a personal project? And do you think AI can create a real edge in sports betting, or is it mostly hype for now?

As for me I am not building anything of this kind, I intend to build something different. However, Al can't predict the outcome of a football match, I have tried using Al a multiple times to predict the outcome of  football games, yet I still haven't gotten results instead I keep losing money because I follow Al prediction. I use Al only for researching and to pull out statistics for recent matches. I also ask Al to give predictions based on the recent matches statistics, then compare them with my own predictions before making a final decision.

[retreat]

-snip-

Has anyone here tried building something like this, even as a personal project? And do you think AI can create a real edge in sports betting, or is it mostly hype for now?

This has been discussed before, and I always say that AI is a tool used by bettors to analyze a match. It can't be used as a magic bullet, hoping it will give you accurate predictions. AI works by analyzing information from various sources, so there's still a high chance that the AI's analysis will be wrong. Therefore, I believe the final decision rests with the bettor, and AI shouldn't be the sole source of predictions since it carries risks and its analysis results may not be relevant due to other unforeseen factors.

[Chinesebaby]

Have used Ai to predict Manchester United game against Liverpool tomorrow and he as show me that Manchester United can be the favorite to win the match dew to home advantage, so we will see who can win the game. But everyone knows that Liverpool are not in there best form currently, and that can give Carrick to win the match to qualify to ucl next season.

And just as O.P said, that's the wrong approach to use A.I in predicting the outcome of a football match, because when you ask A.I to predict which team will win between Home, Draw or Away, A.I will just give you its prediction base on the available information on the Internet at the moment. But when you ask A.I to analyze and predict what could be the total goals in the match between Manchester United vs Liverpool, A.I will be able to check their past records, including the total number of goals each club was able to score in their last previous 5 games, so as to determine what the outcome of the next game will be.

So Ai as give is opinion we don't know how the match will ended. So is better you predict sport betting by your self through the form of the team not to be depending on something that don't have guarantees, because betting is unpredictable is only lucky can make you win not by your expect.

A.I is privileged to have access to large volume of information online, and with the help of the right prompt, A.I can be a good tool at helping you make the perfect prediction. Rather than relying on yourself alone. So that's the beauty of A.I, but it's just sad majority of people don't know how to use it correctly.

[Orpichukwu]

Friend, AI only calculates probabilities from the data they have, the more data they have the better they are at making calculations, that's how AI works.
 
I have tried using AI this year and in the previous year because I think AI this year is much better at data problems than the previous years which are still lacking.
However, the results are still fairly random, there are wins and losses, so it's the same as when we bet without using AI, and AI friends just like humans cannot predict the future.

The results are indeed random. I have not given the AI predicting thing much time, but those who have been using it can only say it helped them reduce the stress of sourcing data from different sources and compiling them together, but at the end we have access to almost the same data, and our predictions are based on history and updated team data. Even with that, we still can't get it accurate all the time, likewise the AI.

[coinlary]

This has been discussed and the  answer is still clear. The AI is going to do same thing you would have done but  the analysis that could have taken you  2 to 3 hours can be achived in just seconds to minutes .

With how fast that is , you can achieve even more to get a cleare pictrure for your  analysis.

AI won't  predict future unless you want it to  even complicate it more for you. All predictions  will be based on the information it was able to get, don't  expect  magics but it could be close to giving something right without  wrong informations.

There should be AI models trained on sports analysis, just do your search and don't  alow Machine to replace your  thinking and decision s entirely.

[programmer3666]

Since ChatGPT came out in late 2022, AI has become mainstream enough that almost every industry has people trying to plug it into something. But I’m curious about sports betting specifically.

Is anyone here actually building or testing anything serious around AI and sports betting?


Has anyone here tried building something like this, even as a personal project? And do you think AI can create a real edge in sports betting, or is it mostly hype for now?

Obviously AI can help a bit, but people are overhyping it. It is not something that will just give you winning bets all the time. It is more like a helper. It can check stats fast, compare teams and point out good or risky games. For instance, instead of you spending hours checking team form, AI can quickly show you which team is playing better or scoring more goals. But it can’t predict surprises, like a red card or last minute goals for you.

[Accardo]

The only way AI can help is basically just for research and study and to assist in making better decisions, otherwise, I think it's just a waste of time relying on AI predictions, knowing fully well that most casino platforms that operate today have also gone as far as integrating AI tools and bots into their programs so as to have and maintain their edge against smart ass gamblers that think they can cheat the system using AI models.
The knowledge AI provides is at best a guiding light, because in the end, it boils down to the developers to teach AI which way to go and where to focus on and it's all human intelligence after all.

AI is good at question and answer, making it the best tool for analysis, before prediction. If the human brain can't build up a winning strategy successfully, then AI won't, the trouble with humans who didn't study the purpose of AI, is that they assume it's smarter than the human brain, AI is merely a garbage compared to what the human brain can handle and do, AI is weak and can't do much better than the brain.

[yahoo62278]

Since ChatGPT came out in late 2022, AI has become mainstream enough that almost every industry has people trying to plug it into something. But I’m curious about sports betting specifically.

Is anyone here actually building or testing anything serious around AI and sports betting?

I don’t mean those random “AI prediction” websites that just say Team A will win,  Team B will lose, and gate it behind a paid service, and then disappear when the pick fails. I mean proper systems that try to model games, compare bookmaker odds, track closing line value, separate strong picks from watchlist picks, or even handle bankroll/risk decisions better.

For example, I’ve been playing around with the idea of a football betting system that does more than just predict match winners. Something that looks at team strength, expected goals, home/away scoring rates, goal probability models and using all of that data to make a goal grid to predict the probability of a fixture ending in over 1.5, over 2.5, etc.

The more I look at it, the more I feel AI may be more useful as a research assistant than as a magic prediction machine. Maybe it can help organize data, spot weak markets, compare lines across bookmakers, explain why a bet is risky, or separate “looks good” picks from bets that actually have some value behind them.

So far, I have had 2 wins and 1 loss and each bet was an acca of 2-4 odds.

Has anyone here tried building something like this, even as a personal project? And do you think AI can create a real edge in sports betting, or is it mostly hype for now?

AI makes a prediction based on facts that they have. They have all the data from previous matches, all the injury reports, all the scouting reports, everything that's out in the world they have access to. The issue is stats aren't guarantees, they are just a guideline basically and they don't factor in the human factor.

I like you think that AI is more of a research tool.

[L E G E N D A R Y]

It won't provide you with accurate future predictions, but still, it can help you with analysis that might take hours or days for you to complete and that alone is a big win. I am not a fan of just leaving AI to do the prediction and then relying entirely on it, but it can be used as a tool in combination with your own skill to make predictions more accurate.

I experimented using AI to help me make some predictions some time ago, I must confess, it did a great job in analyzing the games, When it comes to giving the most logical predictions, AIs are surely the best. But it's too bad that winning in gambling isn't dependent on logic or even emotions. you could arrive at the most logical predictions and analysis, but if luck isn't involved? then you've already lost the game, especially in games that re based on luck or a combination of both luck and skills.

[Botnake]

AI can be a helpful tool, but it does not guarantee winning from sports betting. Yes, with AI it creates an edge and help increase winning rate, but AI cannot eliminate the inherent randomness in sports like a star player suddenly getting injured or poor player performance at the last minute of the game. However, using AI increased accuracy, creates good data analysis, and can even help in better bankroll management as it can provide confidence scores in order to manage the money well.

But AI never creates magic for instant winning. Only luck can do that.