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Author Topic: Jumping From One Party To Another Is A Weak Political Strategy  (Read 441 times)
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May 13, 2026, 10:43:56 PM
 #21

The party system in Nigeria now is extremely different from that of other countries because in Nigeria party decisions are made not on a legal situation but in such a way it will suit those in power, so when such is done those that have genuine intentions to reshape the country will be faced with no opinions than to leave for a better party with transparency and accountable lifes.
I will lay emphasise on the constant movement of obi because I think all will go directly to him. Looking at Obi's political  operating system you we see it is different from that of others because he has a genuine intention and will help alot if that chance is given .

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May 15, 2026, 05:23:31 AM
 #22

I don't really like political discussions, but one thing I can say is that Tinubu might likely still win the next election in this country by 2027 and that's because someone who came into power by hook or by crook due to mastery of structure and strategy and has built and maintained it for a long time, is now the current sitting president and grand commander of the federal Republic of this country.

It is always hard to win a sitting president in this country mostly during a second election and the one example I can give where this happened in the opposite direction, was when Late Buhari came into power, when he won over President Jonathan who was vying for a normal second tenure besides the years he had been at the top of government power for years from vise president to president.

I totally agree with you on this, I also believe that President Tinubu will definitely win the election in 2027, because we all know how he won the last election and now that he is in power I don't think anyone can stop him from winning in 2027. He has the INEC in his palm, so I am sure he is going to use that to his advantage.  We all know that the people don't want him anything,  but I am very sure that he will definitely be back as our president in 2027. So I thnk.we should just brace ourselves for another tenure of this Pharoah.

This is very correct President Tinubu is not some politicians that will Chicken out of office or the one that won't use his powers as a seating president to get what he wants and retain the presidential seat unlike former president Goodluck Ebelle Jonathan who was out of fear couldn't rig the elections in his favor and handed over power to Muhammadu Buhari, so voting Tinubu out will be difficult as he is going to place all his loyalist in strategic positions in the elections to rig and make him win.

You said something that melted my heart which is asking us to brace ourselves for 2027 because Tinubu is coming in for his second tenure and that's nothing but the truth, the sufferings will be much in his second tenure but there's nothing we can do to stop him as he will judiciously use all that is in his power to win the re-election. I won't discourage anyone not to vote for their preferred candidates because it's better to try than concluding that Tinubu will manipulate the results without exercising our franchise.

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May 15, 2026, 06:10:41 AM
 #23

So the new reality on the ground now is structure over movement and this is where i feel the likes of Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso and Peter Obi are still missing it. The game has changed, you cannot in good conscience, jump from party to party, depend on sentiment, rely on last minute alignment and expect to win. That model is clearly unstable, unpredictable, dependent on luck and luck is not a strategy.

You can't set a structure around people that have a contrary interest with tou. It will just take a matter of time before you end up being betrayed.

Structure is good and that's no doubt but in our Nigerian political system as it is till date, You need to time things very well,  yuu still need to have the right set of politicians in your team and still need to buy into the ethnic and religious bias that's very much a big deal in our today's society. If you set up a structure that doesn't touch on these key areas, you've even failed on arrival.

For the sake of peter Obi, he and his supporters believes he's the structure they are projecting and regardless the party he stands under, they want to see him win. We've seen how that played out in the last election where even opposition party still voted for him for presidency. Tinibu won't allow him remain in a single party setting all structure without trying to destroy the party and that's the reason why he has to smartly move out and start up something that if it's able to push him into office can become a structure that can be worked on.

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May 15, 2026, 09:58:29 AM
 #24

A lot of our governors who were strong flag bearers in their parties have jumped ship into the ruling party which is APC and the speculations are that if they don't join APC that the president will use EFCC to come after them to visit their corruption files. The goal is to use the influences of the governors to get the votes of their states for the presidency to win the forthcoming election so fingers are being pointed to any top politicians that jumping party that it is to evade corruption charges.

Now that Peter Obi, that many Nigerians are seeing like the messiah to take us to a better Nigeria, is now jumping from party to party I think that the narrative has changed that it is not only corrupt politicians that jump from one political party to the other. My conclusion is that politics is a game of interest and politicians move to where their interests aligns.

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May 15, 2026, 12:55:46 PM
 #25

I don't really like political discussions, but one thing I can say is that Tinubu might likely still win the next election in this country by 2027 and that's because someone who came into power by hook or by crook due to mastery of structure and strategy and has built and maintained it for a long time, is now the current sitting president and grand commander of the federal Republic of this country.

It is always hard to win a sitting president in this country mostly during a second election and the one example I can give where this happened in the opposite direction, was when Late Buhari came into power, when he won over President Jonathan who was vying for a normal second tenure besides the years he had been at the top of government power for years from vise president to president.

I totally agree with you on this, I also believe that President Tinubu will definitely win the election in 2027, because we all know how he won the last election and now that he is in power I don't think anyone can stop him from winning in 2027. He has the INEC in his palm, so I am sure he is going to use that to his advantage.  We all know that the people don't want him anything,  but I am very sure that he will definitely be back as our president in 2027. So I thnk.we should just brace ourselves for another tenure of this Pharoah.
The president will not win the  2027 election unless the election will be rigg as usual that's the only way the president can be able to win the 2027 election.
It doesn't change anything whether the inec is on his side or not, 2027 election will be different from the previous election because it Is not going to be that easy for the president and corrupt inec officials.

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May 15, 2026, 03:44:10 PM
 #26

It's easier said than done, and above all, it shows that you don't understand the dirtiness of Nigerian politics today.

One of how you know that talk is cheap is as a result of your constructive response to this: what would you have done if you are Peter Obi and Kwankwaso? When the ruling party didn't limit their wickedness to corruption and bad governance, but also to blackmailing and destruction of parties? And this is most potent because average Nigerian is corrupt. Just name your price for you to destroy your party, and you shall have it. That's the evil politics APC plays now.

And guess what? The low integrity of the powerful people in politics makes it easily possible. Now, I ask you again, what would have have done, especially when you know what's happening but can't compete with the insane money they buy people with? Stay there and fight? It will dawn on your when you don't see yourself on that ballot paper as a result of internal betrayals and court cases.

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May 15, 2026, 04:32:48 PM
 #27

From my point of view I think one of the reasons people joins a political party is because their ideology aligns with thar of the party, I stand to be corrected. So I don't understand why Nigerian politicians keeps jumping from one party to the other, is it that their ideology changed, because I don't think it right to keep changing ideology every election. What I think is that this people really don't care about ideology or structures,  because they don't even have one, all they are interested in just to grab power and loot public funds, that's why they keep jumping from one party to the other, just to get ticket to run for positions.

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May 15, 2026, 07:51:17 PM
 #28

Politics is a strategic game where you have no permanent friend nor a permanent enemy, so it is difficult to pledge loyalty to one political party and stand by it for a long time. Politics is just like when a coach is showing the players from a drawing board on the formation and strategy they should use to win their opponent. A politician has the right to decamp from one political party to another if he sees that the political party is not favoring him or they are not strategizing well to outsmart their opposition. Power is still built because let's take the APC as a case study, did you know how many years it took before they ousted PDP out of power. It even involved a strong coalition where a lot of people from other parties and some members of the PDP decamped before APC could succeed to takeover power. The problem with opposition parties is lack of wisdom because tell me while a coalition party will still be nursing grudges inside them when they are supposed to cooperate together and proffer ways to defeat the incumbent government.

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Abdulzuruku01
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May 15, 2026, 10:37:37 PM
 #29

I don't really like political discussions, but one thing I can say is that Tinubu might likely still win the next election in this country by 2027 and that's because someone who came into power by hook or by crook due to mastery of structure and strategy and has built and maintained it for a long time, is now the current sitting president and grand commander of the federal Republic of this country.

It is always hard to win a sitting president in this country mostly during a second election and the one example I can give where this happened in the opposite direction, was when Late Buhari came into power, when he won over President Jonathan who was vying for a normal second tenure besides the years he had been at the top of government power for years from vise president to president.

High quality and good records of their previous political career should be the first thing the people should consider before electing any candidate as a president regardless of any party, and if not that corruption has overcome the masses, politicians should also have that confidence in people that the masses can only consider their qualities, not their political parties.

Now it's confusing that they are jumping from one party to another because the majority of the people decamp from APC to ADC because of them. And even though it's now become tradition in Nigeria that presidents always do eight years before stepping down, the ruling party could gain more advantages from doing so.

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May 16, 2026, 08:49:27 PM
 #30

The party system in Nigeria now is extremely different from that of other countries because in Nigeria party decisions are made not on a legal situation but in such a way it will suit those in power, so when such is done those that have genuine intentions to reshape the country will be faced with no opinions than to leave for a better party with transparency and accountable lifes.
I will lay emphasise on the constant movement of obi because I think all will go directly to him. Looking at Obi's political  operating system you we see it is different from that of others because he has a genuine intention and will help alot if that chance is given .
Now I agree more when the foundation of something is bad, no matter how beautiful the esthetics are you will end up facing a collapse and no matter how ugly a structure looks, once it is built on a solid foundation, it will stand a test of time. Nigerians democracy was never built on a solid foundation, it was just a kind of scenario where some people who wanted power took opportunity of the time which came then at a time when people were already tired of the military regime and even when they took over I don't think they understood certain things or just didn't care about it. Such ill intentions have been the most reasons why we've only continued to suffer from the process even when you think we are winning, we are not winning. This primaries election from the ruling party thought me alot of lessons about how bad our democracy is and how a single person can find his way to show his power over others and get away with it. Governors are very strong undoubtedly.

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May 22, 2026, 07:33:53 AM
 #31

Moving from one party to another have never been a taboo which is why everyone is free to join any political party and leave any political party, it’s a thing of choice and decision, if you’re in a party that you feel that you can’t accomplish anything or you can’t accomplish your ambition then why are you there, you have to leave that party and join a political party that will help you accomplish your goals, would you prefer staying with enemies that also have their own interests and the interest collide and you can’t achieve what you’re supposed to achieve there, don’t you think it’s just better you leave the party, what we need in Nigeria is free and fair elections and jumping from one political party have never been a problem, it’s normal in Nigeria.

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May 24, 2026, 12:57:25 PM
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 #32

From my point of view I think one of the reasons people joins a political party is because their ideology aligns with thar of the party, I stand to be corrected. So I don't understand why Nigerian politicians keeps jumping from one party to the other, is it that their ideology changed, because I don't think it right to keep changing ideology every election. What I think is that this people really don't care about ideology or structures,  because they don't even have one, all they are interested in just to grab power and loot public funds, that's why they keep jumping from one party to the other, just to get ticket to run for positions.
Nigeria politicians don't switched parties because of ideology but because of the solid structure of that party. Sometimes it could be because of political intimidation and for Immunity from prosecution. Political party is like a safe haven for politicians with corrupt cases,they can grant you immunity and forgiveness. However, politics all over the world is all about personal interests and the public interests but Nigeria politicians is interested in only themselves and what they stand to benefit. Politics is Nigeria is a game of personal interest and not the public interests,if you think your favourite politician has the interest of Nigerian at heart,it is just a matter of time before you will find out about what his true intentions are.

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May 25, 2026, 07:38:02 PM
 #33

I don't really like political discussions, but one thing I can say is that Tinubu might likely still win the next election in this country by 2027 and that's because someone who came into power by hook or by crook due to mastery of structure and strategy and has built and maintained it for a long time, is now the current sitting president and grand commander of the federal Republic of this country.

It is always hard to win a sitting president in this country mostly during a second election and the one example I can give where this happened in the opposite direction, was when Late Buhari came into power, when he won over President Jonathan who was vying for a normal second tenure besides the years he had been at the top of government power for years from vise president to president.
This is very correct , I don’t like politics and I don’t want to get involved because what is the need of one voting for who we feel is right and the bad once use crook to get what they want , it’s obvious we don’t have say , however they want it , we are just here , the last time they rigged everything, they uses power and money to change so many things , how is it possible to  bring an acting president down , as for me nothing surprises me again in this country, sometimes things that happen feels like a nollywood for me , it will be too hard to be true but in our reality is just the truth,

Ah, you are just my man. For the past how many years what citizens have been doing is not voting, they have been deceived to think they are voting. My voters card lost sometime ago,  it is not as if I even give a fuck on where it is, because voting is just a joke here. The person that we want to win is not the person that will win because person have to and rigged everything.

Why in the hell should person even leave his house and stand under got sun just to vote, when they will still go and rig the whole thing.

If everyone of us has this mentality that because our votes don't count and the politicians rig it we won't come out to vote anymore then we will be doing more harm to ourselves than good because tell me who is going to vote for the changes we want?, it's proper we come out to vote and make sure that our votes counts and in that way we are sure of what we want as a people, so I will encourage you to go and get another voter's card so you will exercise your franchise come 2027 let's vote out the bad leaders and if we don't stand up for our rights as Youths no one will stand in our stead.

It's better we keep trying from our end to vote and they manipulate it than not making any steps and they manipulate the results and we keep crying and saying we are suffering when we didn't make any efforts to effect the changes we want. And the Youths should stop selling their votes for peanuts because that's why the politicians are not doing anything when they get into power because they believe they have bought the votes and they have settled us.


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May 25, 2026, 10:34:18 PM
 #34

The party system in Nigeria now is extremely different from that of other countries because in Nigeria party decisions are made not on a legal situation but in such a way it will suit those in power, so when such is done those that have genuine intentions to reshape the country will be faced with no opinions than to leave for a better party with transparency and accountable lifes.
I will lay emphasise on the constant movement of obi because I think all will go directly to him. Looking at Obi's political  operating system you we see it is different from that of others because he has a genuine intention and will help alot if that chance is given .
Now I agree more when the foundation of something is bad, no matter how beautiful the esthetics are you will end up facing a collapse and no matter how ugly a structure looks, once it is built on a solid foundation, it will stand a test of time. Nigerians democracy was never built on a solid foundation, it was just a kind of scenario where some people who wanted power took opportunity of the time which came then at a time when people were already tired of the military regime and even when they took over I don't think they understood certain things or just didn't care about it. Such ill intentions have been the most reasons why we've only continued to suffer from the process even when you think we are winning, we are not winning. This primaries election from the ruling party thought me alot of lessons about how bad our democracy is and how a single person can find his way to show his power over others and get away with it. Governors are very strong undoubtedly.
I see know reason challenling the problem of Nigeria to a bad foundation of democracy when this same failed democracy was the one goodluck Jonathan stood on yet the cost of living was cheap. The problem of Nigeria is corrupt leadership system and bad leaders and not democracy, the democracy i know is the government of the people by the people and for the people which is supposed to be practiced in Nigeria assuming we have good leaders.  To make the long story short,  the problem of Nigeria in not democracy or anything but corrupt leaders that are only interested in there selfish interest and not of that of the country at large.

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May 25, 2026, 10:43:37 PM
 #35

Moving from one party to another have never been a taboo which is why everyone is free to join any political party and leave any political party, it’s a thing of choice and decision, if you’re in a party that you feel that you can’t accomplish anything or you can’t accomplish your ambition then why are you there, you have to leave that party and join a political party that will help you accomplish your goals, would you prefer staying with enemies that also have their own interests and the interest collide and you can’t achieve what you’re supposed to achieve there, don’t you think it’s just better you leave the party, what we need in Nigeria is free and fair elections and jumping from one political party have never been a problem, it’s normal in Nigeria.
Thank you for this bro why those people see it a bigger deal there is no where that said an aspirant of the president sit should jump from one party to another party where is it been made mention, the real play in this all now is that people can’t detects how he moves in this he’s new party and at first that was he plan…he want to drag everybody mindset to that party now he is making it so hard for them people to tell he next moves what a smart move…

Politics they say is a very smart game to play..the bitter truth is the having to win this election it not just with words they should strategize against the other party…now this how It’s been done..

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May 26, 2026, 05:41:55 PM
 #36

Thank you for this bro why those people see it a bigger deal there is no where that said an aspirant of the president sit should jump from one party to another party where is it been made mention, the real play in this all now is that people can’t detects how he moves in this he’s new party and at first that was he plan…he want to drag everybody mindset to that party now he is making it so hard for them people to tell he next moves what a smart move…

Politics they say is a very smart game to play..the bitter truth is the having to win this election it not just with words they should strategize against the other party…now this how It’s been done..
Exactly, politics is more about strategy than making noise, and there is actually no law stopping a presidential aspirant from moving from one party to another, what everyone one is looking for is success if changing is the way forward then it’s allowed. So many people today are only reacting because they are actually trying to predict his next move and he is it making that difficult for them.

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May 26, 2026, 09:33:17 PM
 #37

Thank you for this bro why those people see it a bigger deal there is no where that said an aspirant of the president sit should jump from one party to another party where is it been made mention, the real play in this all now is that people can’t detects how he moves in this he’s new party and at first that was he plan…he want to drag everybody mindset to that party now he is making it so hard for them people to tell he next moves what a smart move…

Politics they say is a very smart game to play..the bitter truth is the having to win this election it not just with words they should strategize against the other party…now this how It’s been done..
Exactly, politics is more about strategy than making noise, and there is actually no law stopping a presidential aspirant from moving from one party to another, what everyone one is looking for is success if changing is the way forward then it’s allowed. So many people today are only reacting because they are actually trying to predict his next move and he is it making that difficult for them.
Every country has there own constitution that helps govern there activities thereby letting them know the did and the not do which they will work with and in Nigeria i don't see any where it is enshrined in the constitution for a presidential candidate to remain in a particular party even if they are doing things different from there own choices because everyone has what he will like and not like when all activities are consigned. 
From the initial reason why ADC was formed,  I know it is a collision that was done just to help liberate citizens from the boundage of this current administration but with what I am seeing now I can clearly tell that everything has changed because of greed

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May 28, 2026, 12:32:56 PM
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 #38

Moving from one party to another have never been a taboo which is why everyone is free to join any political party and leave any political party, it’s a thing of choice and decision, if you’re in a party that you feel that you can’t accomplish anything or you can’t accomplish your ambition then why are you there, you have to leave that party and join a political party that will help you accomplish your goals, would you prefer staying with enemies that also have their own interests and the interest collide and you can’t achieve what you’re supposed to achieve there, don’t you think it’s just better you leave the party, what we need in Nigeria is free and fair elections and jumping from one political party have never been a problem, it’s normal in Nigeria.
Of course it is a normal thing in Nigeria and I don't think it is a poor political strategy, we have multiple political parties in Nigeria in which anyone can decide to join at anytime if the finds it more better to fly under any of the platform, Nigeria is not like united states that have only two political party which is either Democrats or Republicans, since it is only than two parties, if you're aggrieved maybe decides to jump ship, it can only be this two parties, I think that's where things are not that complicated, the multiple political system of Nigeria is the contributing factor that has weakened oppositions in this country, just imagine if we have only two parties in this country, the ruling party would've sit up y now, although I don't think it is wise for anyone to remain where he is not wanted but for a stronger opposition, there should be a collective effort and agreement by party me to present strong candidates to suits what their opponents have.

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May 29, 2026, 11:44:25 AM
 #39

A lot of our governors who were strong flag bearers in their parties have jumped ship into the ruling party which is APC and the speculations are that if they don't join APC that the president will use EFCC to come after them to visit their corruption files. The goal is to use the influences of the governors to get the votes of their states for the presidency to win the forthcoming election so fingers are being pointed to any top politicians that jumping party that it is to evade corruption charges.

Now that Peter Obi, that many Nigerians are seeing like the messiah to take us to a better Nigeria, is now jumping from party to party I think that the narrative has changed that it is not only corrupt politicians that jump from one political party to the other. My conclusion is that politics is a game of interest and politicians move to where their interests aligns.
I cannot trust any of them because what they hunt is power and all of them are not going there just to bring us out from all this problems rather they are going there to enjoy themselves and their family, instead they should all come together that is when we will know that they really care for us, it is not necessary you must be President before you can help this country out, at least support system that are very good even though you did not like the government but all they do is to criticize making all the masses to be looking at the president with very bad intention.

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May 30, 2026, 07:16:32 AM
 #40

The party system in Nigeria now is extremely different from that of other countries because in Nigeria party decisions are made not on a legal situation but in such a way it will suit those in power, so when such is done those that have genuine intentions to reshape the country will be faced with no opinions than to leave for a better party with transparency and accountable lifes.
I will lay emphasise on the constant movement of obi because I think all will go directly to him. Looking at Obi's political  operating system you we see it is different from that of others because he has a genuine intention and will help alot if that chance is given .

Yen yen yen... Sorry if I responded to you this way but if at the stage you still believe Peter Obi will be the person who will change the dynamics of the politics and leadership in Nigeria I think we are still wasting our time because I want to seriously believe Peter Obi is also hungry for power and it's the reason why he's appearing on one ballot to the other when he could have done some more strategic calculations to get there. By the time Peter Obi is done contesting this election and does not win, it will be his second time being on the ballot plus when he contested as a running mate to Atiku.

I am also a fan of Peter Obi becoming the president o if you ask me deeply because I trust he's someone who will uphold integrity and would wish to see Nigeria in the forward direction or at least even if not Peter Obi someone else aside from Tinubu and Atiku, but with the way Peter Obi is going if he does not be careful he may end up as another Atiku Abubakar who has continously come out to greedily contest all the time regardles of the party. Now, in 2019 Peter Obi contested with Atiku under PDP, in 2023 he contested under the banner of Labour Party, today he is contesting under the banner of NDC after romancing around with the ADC people. If he eventually loses, it will be a turn of the north and them too go wan do 8 years before you know Peter Obi will be 72 by then and still counting.

Since them talk say them they form this their coalition I know say na joke them they joke but if you talk now person go see am like say you hate this person or the other, but in politics you also need to be very calculated and it is not just all about moving from one place to another but remaining in one party and building it from buttom top even if it will take you several years to achieve it. Though with this Kwankwaso alignment, it is good but how many states in the north can Kwankwaso deliver too, maybe Kano and Jigawa and we are even hearing Kwankwaso is working for Tinubu underground and it's the reason why his in law, the present Kano governor went to APC.

Abeg make we just advocate for a younger candidate, galvanize our support around him even if it is going to take the person the next 20 years, we don't mind, let's just keep pushing the person and remain consistent under one party and keep building forces and alliances gradually but who be the person wey we trust as a young person wey we fit support like this?

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