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Author Topic: Your confidence as a gambler is important  (Read 701 times)
Grace333 (OP)
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May 18, 2026, 07:01:58 AM
 #1

I tried using the BitList tool to search if there had been any previous same topic but couldn't find any pardon me if I'm wrong.

I was thinking basically about how we discuss the behaviors of gamblers how they lost a huge sum of money or how they kept on playing without considering the side effects of their actions and the it struck my mind that they must have something in their minds that would trigger them to make those decisions and then I realized that it's "Confidence".
The reason why we treat some bets differently from other isn't because we just want to loss big or expose ourselves to too much risk, it's a matter of confidence that we have toward something( the odds, desperation of the team, players available....) and most of our gambling decisions is based on some level of confidence, if it's something you're unsure of you are likely going to skip the game at the selection stage before it gets to your bet or place small stake on the bet.

However since we now know the importance of our confidence towards our bets how then can we use it to our advantage?
I'll start by saying nothing is certain in gambling even a big team or favorite team in their best form can still lose to an underdog by performing poorly on that match. So that would mean our confidence level should drop to 50% irrespective of the kind of teams playing. But as humans we likely wouldn't treat every game desame way probably because of the stat and desperation of the teams playing, irrespective of how informed any team is, your confidence level shouldn't exceed 60% because the greatest factor of luck still stands.

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May 18, 2026, 07:10:48 AM
 #2

I believe that hope is what makes a gambler to continue gambling because they have the hope that they can win their next bet or hit the jackpot which is a norm. However, having confidence in your bet isn't good because it might make you stake higher than the amount that you intended to stake and if you lose it, it might affect you emotionally.

Don't be too confident on any game because gambling is a game of luck and not a game of confidence because if luck isn't on your side, you confidence will lead you to big losses. Over confidence has made some gamblers to commit suicide after losing the bet.

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May 18, 2026, 07:42:27 AM
 #3

I believe that hope is what makes a gambler to continue gambling because they have the hope that they can win their next bet or hit the jackpot which is a norm. However, having confidence in your bet isn't good because it might make you stake higher than the amount that you intended to stake and if you lose it, it might affect you emotionally.

Don't be too confident on any game because gambling is a game of luck and not a game of confidence because if luck isn't on your side, you confidence will lead you to big losses. Over confidence has made some gamblers to commit suicide after losing the bet.

Confidence is needed if you plan on gambling as it is exactly this in the first place that makes you try out gambling, you have confidence that you will win. This is good for the beginning but we have to be very careful because this can also hit you hard when you keep trying to win at a slot when you have not been able to do so for let's say hours, in this case having confidence to continue is a really bad thing because chances are high the losing streak will continue. So we have to balance the confidence and make reality checks often so that we don't keep trying when loses are hitting us badly.


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May 18, 2026, 07:46:21 AM
 #4

Gamblers don't have to rely heavily on any game, because it will definitely trigger you if you don't know how to stop. Honestly, gambling with the mindset of doubling your money overnight should be the last thing a gambler would ever thanks about, because at end of the day it will still result in more losses.

Overconfidence in gambling is not good at all, because gambling is purely a luck-base game. That's why we don't need bother ourselves when gambling. It can only work out for you when luck is on your side, not by power or anything else.

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May 18, 2026, 07:50:28 AM
 #5

The correct word may be optimism. In gambling, gamblers tend to be optimistic people. No matter how many times they have lost, or how much money they have lost, there's always a condition where they will think, "next bet will be different". I think it's part of the ego play of gamblers. Most people have high ego, and when it comes to their gambling activity, it becomes a poison and can slowly kill them.

Optimism in gambling comes from the illusion of control. The bad part is when optimism and denial come in the same package. It makes a perfect loop of destruction. Optimism -> Ego Gambling -> Denial.

Also, I think people who gamble with ego always think their wins come from skill, not from luck. For example:
When they win: Oh, this is pure skill. I’m a good gambler.
When they lose: It’s because the casino is shady.

They are trapped in the loop. And never fully accept that gambling is designed around uncertainty and luck, not control.

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May 18, 2026, 07:57:16 AM
 #6

This overconfidence will plunge us into addiction, then believe gambling will be profitable because we ourselves are sure of what is at stake, this can backfire on you if you are not careful.
This means that self-confidence should not be excessive, because gambling is pure luck even if you bet at odds of 1.10x you can still lose, therefore I myself will not have excessive confidence just enough, or you can say that money is ready to be lost even though you are not confident because people end up saying this is just for fun.

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May 18, 2026, 07:58:59 AM
 #7

most of our gambling decisions is based on some level of confidence, if it's something you're unsure of you are likely going to skip the game at the selection stage before it gets to your bet or place small stake on the bet.

I find this convincing, normally we select an bet on a game because we had confident about the outcome of that game, if there was no slight confidence or hope of a game bringing positive result, then it will be difficult for the person to bet on such game,  although one might just follow their intuition in some situations where they strongly doubt the game's outcomes but because they are convinced in their spirit to bet on the game, they will do so and sometimes they end up winning or losing the game. People that stake with a huge amount that they can't afford to lose because of the confidence they have on a game are the ones that keeps twisting things up for themselves because if the game doesn't go as thought, it becomes a big slap on their face.

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May 18, 2026, 08:19:09 AM
 #8

I'll start by saying nothing is certain in gambling even a big team or favorite team in their best form can still lose to an underdog by performing poorly on that match. So that would mean our confidence level should drop to 50% irrespective of the kind of teams playing. But as humans we likely wouldn't treat every game desame way probably because of the stat and desperation of the teams playing, irrespective of how informed any team is, your confidence level shouldn't exceed 60% because the greatest factor of luck still stands.
That's why I get surprised when people say gambling isn't a game of luck. How then do you explain the difference in certainty of the games. Gambling is a game that deals with probability. We can never be sure which game would be a winner or a loser. We can't tell which game would be the biggest mistake or the biggest win we will make for the next long period of time. But what keeps you long enough in the game is your ability to understand why you are playing and stay disciplined. Some people gamble without having a plan. That why they end up losing so much money and still not win a penny. They get angry and suddenly blame the casino for cheating them. They are forgetting that gambling has always been a game of luck and they simply were just unlucky..

R


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May 18, 2026, 08:26:25 AM
 #9

your confidence level shouldn't exceed 60% because the greatest factor of luck still stands.
I agree because there should be a balance mix in your confidence, confident enough to make a bet and not too over confident that it goes goes badly. When a gambler is over confident, they become more possible to forget or ignore some details in their front, and it is in some of these details, that you may be able to make a better decision.
When a gambler lacks confidence too, they will ignore their gut feeling and instincts which is sometimes necessary to win well.

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May 18, 2026, 08:46:04 AM
 #10

Having confidence in our self isn't a bad idea but can be very misleading to some point if measures aren't taken. In the sense that gamble as a game isn't guaranteed it's just a thing of chance. But when one is over confidence of himself, it can make him to start taking some decisions that is not sure of and that can lead to lost. Furthermore, having confidence in ourself while gambling isn't completely a bad thing but were comes the problem and could place you in higher risk of losing funds is when you allow over confidence and over hyping blind you from the real fact.

I have see greater teams lose to the smaller one, I have experience sure banger turns into real disappointment, it is just not certain and the best you can do not to get drained is to aways pay close attention to every single game before choosing, because despite your confidence in a particular team the reverse can still be the case.

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May 18, 2026, 08:49:07 AM
 #11

This overconfidence will plunge us into addiction, then believe gambling will be profitable because we ourselves are sure of what is at stake, this can backfire on you if you are not careful.
This means that self-confidence should not be excessive, because gambling is pure luck even if you bet at odds of 1.10x you can still lose, therefore I myself will not have excessive confidence just enough, or you can say that money is ready to be lost even though you are not confident because people end up saying this is just for fun.
For me, I really do not like the idea of confidence in gambling, honestly, if you’re simply just having fun then what exactly do you need confidence for? The problem with confidence is that you never just know when the scales will tilt from just confidence to overconfidence. If a gambler comes to the realization that they don’t actually control the outcome of gambling, then they’ll realize they literally don’t need confidence, cos that can easily run you down the cliff.

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May 18, 2026, 09:07:24 AM
 #12

And how exactly would you know what you’re seeing as confidence isn’t actually overconfidence? Having a particular level of confidence can really be detrimental to a gambler as this can gradually increase and charge up your expectations seems you’ve become quite confident in your skills, and this here is the fastest way to lose your cool and engage in loss chasing.

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May 18, 2026, 09:10:57 AM
 #13

I tried using the BitList tool to search if there had been any previous same topic but couldn't find any pardon me if I'm wrong.

I was thinking basically about how we discuss the behaviors of gamblers how they lost a huge sum of money or how they kept on playing without considering the side effects of their actions and the it struck my mind that they must have something in their minds that would trigger them to make those decisions and then I realized that it's "Confidence".
The reason why we treat some bets differently from other isn't because we just want to loss big or expose ourselves to too much risk, it's a matter of confidence that we have toward something( the odds, desperation of the team, players available....) and most of our gambling decisions is based on some level of confidence, if it's something you're unsure of you are likely going to skip the game at the selection stage before it gets to your bet or place small stake on the bet.

However since we now know the importance of our confidence towards our bets how then can we use it to our advantage?
I'll start by saying nothing is certain in gambling even a big team or favorite team in their best form can still lose to an underdog by performing poorly on that match. So that would mean our confidence level should drop to 50% irrespective of the kind of teams playing. But as humans we likely wouldn't treat every game desame way probably because of the stat and desperation of the teams playing, irrespective of how informed any team is, your confidence level shouldn't exceed 60% because the greatest factor of luck still stands.

For me, confidence plays no role here in winning games. You build confidence, they win or lose, even when you have no confidence, they win and win very well and comfortably. So there is nothing to any of them. I wouldn't even be grading our confidence to any percentage, because nothing works. Gambling is risk, and we must just be ready to accept it, either win or lose.. gamble with what we can afford to lose, and stay relaxed.. nothing as expectations if you want to be safe

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May 18, 2026, 09:24:18 AM
 #14

I tried using the BitList tool to search if there had been any previous same topic but couldn't find any pardon me if I'm wrong.

I was thinking basically about how we discuss the behaviors of gamblers how they lost a huge sum of money or how they kept on playing without considering the side effects of their actions and the it struck my mind that they must have something in their minds that would trigger them to make those decisions and then I realized that it's "Confidence".
The reason why we treat some bets differently from other isn't because we just want to loss big or expose ourselves to too much risk, it's a matter of confidence that we have toward something( the odds, desperation of the team, players available....) and most of our gambling decisions is based on some level of confidence, if it's something you're unsure of you are likely going to skip the game at the selection stage before it gets to your bet or place small stake on the bet.

However since we now know the importance of our confidence towards our bets how then can we use it to our advantage?
I'll start by saying nothing is certain in gambling even a big team or favorite team in their best form can still lose to an underdog by performing poorly on that match. So that would mean our confidence level should drop to 50% irrespective of the kind of teams playing. But as humans we likely wouldn't treat every game desame way probably because of the stat and desperation of the teams playing, irrespective of how informed any team is, your confidence level shouldn't exceed 60% because the greatest factor of luck still stands.

Winning first and side effects later, by the way if I win all the pass losses doesn't matter anymore, this is how many gamblers think and that's why they don't stop even when all trial after trail keeps ending up in failure.

Call me an idiot but fear would do you or anyone more good than harm as a gambler, your fear could keep you in check all the time, you will always remember to play safe, but confidence? You can doing stupid things with full confidence.

Where you play your confidence is far more important, gambling doesn't need you to be confidence before you become a winner or a loser, it doesn't care, luck comes and go like a thief in the night.

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May 18, 2026, 09:29:59 AM
 #15

That’s quite a solid point you made there. I’m also of the opinion that a gambler’s confidence plays a crucial role in their decision making. But gamblers should always be on the lookout and always approach gambling with realistic expectations so as not to turn their confidence into overconfidence because this can literally make a gambler to ignore the risks involved and go ahead to increase their stakes emotionally.

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May 18, 2026, 09:36:56 AM
 #16

Confidence is key but being too confident can get you into a lot of trouble as a gambler and the reason for that is because there is no prediction you can make that can be certain because gambling is 50/50 you can either win or lose. A lot of gamblers get too confident that's the reason why stake high and end up losing.

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May 18, 2026, 09:37:03 AM
 #17

In my opinion, I believe confidence works in two ways, it can either be a gamblers biggest strength or their weakness as far as gambling is concerned. When the confidence is well regulated, it can help gamblers make decisions, but the moment it becomes too much, gamblers can be easily pushed into taking unnecessary risks. That’s the point where some gamblers start to think that their skills and analysis alone are enough to guarantee them a win, and even when they lose on the process, they still trust their skills to help them recover the lost funds, and as far as we know, this only gets gamblers deeper and deeper into losses and possible addiction.

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May 18, 2026, 09:41:18 AM
 #18

Confidence on your bet makes you not to panic as a gambler, and after placing your bet, but it doesn't guarantee a gambler winning. When you make your selections with very thoughtful research, something inside of you will tell you that you have won the game already, but this doesn't happen the way we think sometimes. During a match many things transpires. Ordinarily the big teams are supposed to win their match all the time, especially when playing with a smaller team, but player can sustain serious injury or red card sometimes a big team can decide to play a small team with their second team, and some of these can eventually fail the confidence you bestowed on your bet.

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May 18, 2026, 09:42:58 AM
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However since we now know the importance of our confidence towards our bets how then can we use it to our advantage?
I'll start by saying nothing is certain in gambling even a big team or favorite team in their best form can still lose to an underdog by performing poorly on that match. So that would mean our confidence level should drop to 50% irrespective of the kind of teams playing. But as humans we likely wouldn't treat every game desame way probably because of the stat and desperation of the teams playing, irrespective of how informed any team is, your confidence level shouldn't exceed 60% because the greatest factor of luck still stands.

Gambling is always dependent on luck. In sports betting , most of the time, if we can analyze the data correctly, the chances of winning  increase if we are experienced enough. But even then it is completely dependent on luck. We have seen  many times that the hot favorite team lost points against an underdog team. This is nothing  new. We have to accept these and gamble. It is not possible that we will always  win. And for this reason we should  avoid high risks. And avoid betting on large amounts.

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May 18, 2026, 09:44:58 AM
 #20

Confidence on your bet makes you not to panic as a gambler, and after placing your bet, but it doesn't guarantee a gambler winning. When you make your selections with very thoughtful research, something inside of you will tell you that you have won the game already, but this doesn't happen the way we think sometimes. During a match many things transpires. Ordinarily the big teams are supposed to win their match all the time, especially when playing with a smaller team, but player can sustain serious injury or red card sometimes a big team can decide to play a small team with their second team, and some of these can eventually fail the confidence you bestowed on your bet.
Detailed research gives you a feeling of assurance but no one in the business can be sure than something will happen that negatively affects the carefully planned betting situation. The occurrence of player injuries or red cards are random elements which are hard to predict correctly. The fact is that confidence does not always lead to success, and it is a good step of any skilled sports bettor to remain on the alert to all possibilities.

 
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