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Author Topic: Your confidence as a gambler is important  (Read 731 times)
Odusko
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May 18, 2026, 09:45:28 AM
 #21

Each time qmwe lose a game, we tend to discover new ways from the lessons and that pushes you to want to try what you have learnt on your next bet, this is what keeps gambler's on a consistent urge to keep gambling and the confidence that comes along with that, alot of time we have seen such high level of confidence putting people into troubles on their bets, because of over self reliance build confidence. As a gambler's one needs to have accurate management and limits for everything, because that's when you can be sure of not making decisions triggered by your Overconfidence.

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May 18, 2026, 09:48:48 AM
 #22

However since we now know the importance of our confidence towards our bets how then can we use it to our advantage?
I'll start by saying nothing is certain in gambling even a big team or favorite team in their best form can still lose to an underdog by performing poorly on that match. So that would mean our confidence level should drop to 50% irrespective of the kind of teams playing. But as humans we likely wouldn't treat every game desame way probably because of the stat and desperation of the teams playing, irrespective of how informed any team is, your confidence level shouldn't exceed 60% because the greatest factor of luck still stands.
I would not say confidence, but we should believed that our every bet is going to win before the actual game itself, specially if you're in the sports betting. Which means you trust everything in yourself, like analyzing it and then finding the value bet.

I you lose then obviously you can't blame anyone. You did your best, you rely on your ability and thinking that you will win. But then again, there is this element of luck that we can't control. But at least, you are that kind of gambler that is positive and that's what important.

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May 18, 2026, 09:49:12 AM
 #23

Confidence on your bet makes you not to panic as a gambler, and after placing your bet, but it doesn't guarantee a gambler winning. When you make your selections with very thoughtful research, something inside of you will tell you that you have won the game already, but this doesn't happen the way we think sometimes. During a match many things transpires. Ordinarily the big teams are supposed to win their match all the time, especially when playing with a smaller team, but player can sustain serious injury or red card sometimes a big team can decide to play a small team with their second team, and some of these can eventually fail the confidence you bestowed on your bet.
I can also say, based on my experience, that confidence is extremely important in betting. Without it, you can be smart, lucky, have a good strategy, and manage risk well, but nothing will work if you don't believe in yourself. I've spent a lot of time observing professionals, and they believe in themselves very well because they understand how they win. They also have a self-awareness and understanding that they can lose, but it will only be temporary while their strategy is in place. All of this helps them be strong players.

 
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May 18, 2026, 09:50:49 AM
 #24

Just my personal opinion, confidence usually a sign for me that I’m in total control on how I can enjoy my game. I’m not confident that I will guarantee win in the long run rather on every bet I put my trust that it will win.

This is part of enjoying the game by being optimistic with the result of my bet even with the presence of the house edge.

This confidence should always be accompanied by responsible gambling to avoid a delusion of total control of the game.

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May 18, 2026, 10:02:06 AM
 #25

However since we now know the importance of our confidence towards our bets how then can we use it to our advantage?
I'll start by saying nothing is certain in gambling even a big team or favorite team in their best form can still lose to an underdog by performing poorly on that match. So that would mean our confidence level should drop to 50% irrespective of the kind of teams playing. But as humans we likely wouldn't treat every game desame way probably because of the stat and desperation of the teams playing, irrespective of how informed any team is, your confidence level shouldn't exceed 60% because the greatest factor of luck still stands.
You are right about this, I am using small amount of money to gamble, but there are some matches that I will fee like I should use more about of money to gamble. Example of the recent one is the match between Arsenal and Burnley today. The odd is low which is not more than 1.08. This is enough to make som gamblers think twice because we know that Arsenal is going to win the match. Bit instead of going with higher amount of money, I bet just on the first half which is 1.35 odds just because I prefer to lose small amount of money that to use high amount of money to bet on small odds.

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May 18, 2026, 10:07:55 AM
 #26

Having confidence in gambling encourages players to stick to strict bankroll management and disciplined strategies, thus avoiding those wrong decisions and easily manage emotional stress. That is from a controlled confidence point of view.

However, overconfidence, or the unchecked confidence leads the gamblers to the opposite path and direction. It paves way to develop the ''illusion of control'' when gambling, chasing losses by increasing their stakes to win back previous losses, ignoring the house edge, ignoring the mathematical odds, and develop cognitive biases by distorting judgment and make excessively risky financial decisions.

Now if this confidence turns into a compulsion, that's where the bigger problem starts. It becomes a threat to gambling.

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May 18, 2026, 10:36:10 AM
 #27

I can also say, based on my experience, that confidence is extremely important in betting. Without it, you can be smart, lucky, have a good strategy, and manage risk well, but nothing will work if you don't believe in yourself. I've spent a lot of time observing professionals, and they believe in themselves very well because they understand how they win. They also have a self-awareness and understanding that they can lose, but it will only be temporary while their strategy is in place. All of this helps them be strong players.
As long as they are gambling with amounts they can be able to lose I don't see any problems in having confidence in your games. Placing bets on a team or player shows that you have confidence that they will win. Some people refused to cash out even when the game became tough because of the confidence they had. But I frown at those who use amounts they cannot afford to gamble because they have confidence in the game. Gambling outcomes cannot be predicted, so our confidence should have limits.

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May 18, 2026, 10:46:44 AM
 #28

Confidence within the world of gambling is actually a dangerous thing, as our results in gambling completely depend on luck, it does not matter how we feel and what our expectations are, you know?

If there is something a gambler or a bettor should feel confident about is being able to recover their lost money through their work or investments.

If someone is not confident about their ability to recover their money by other means which are unrelated to gambling, then that person is not supposed to be gambling in the first place anyways.

Just my two sats on this matter.

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May 18, 2026, 11:18:48 AM
 #29

When it comes to gambling, confidence can actually bring your downfall; this is because you don not control the game but rather make bets based on your analysis and perceived opinion. Confidence is not bad but should not be taken as a behavior that could bring you winnings always,  at some point its okay to take a rest when you're having a bad day.

Someone with overconfidence would make further deposit even after multiple losses rather than withdrawing for a while to recollect your thoughts. I lost a couple bets yesterday which I placed before the start of the match, but the bets failed after a couple of successful games so I took a break. Though there were other promising games I could stake again but I preferred to take a break and it actually worked for me.

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May 18, 2026, 11:32:28 AM
 #30

However since we now know the importance of our confidence towards our bets how then can we use it to our advantage?
I'll start by saying nothing is certain in gambling even a big team or favorite team in their best form can still lose to an underdog by performing poorly on that match. So that would mean our confidence level should drop to 50% irrespective of the kind of teams playing. But as humans we likely wouldn't treat every game desame way probably because of the stat and desperation of the teams playing, irrespective of how informed any team is, your confidence level shouldn't exceed 60% because the greatest factor of luck still stands.
Well, confidence can make or mar anyone, it all depends on what the gambler is confident on, being confident in the right team or sports or match can make you, atleast, you bet and win some money no matter how small or big.
But being confident in the wrong team or sports or match can mar the gambler, because when he places his bets, he will eventually lose and his money is gone.

And now, the big question would be, how do we know if the team we are being confident in is the right or wrong one? Some how, i feel we can never really find answers to this type of question and this is where it becomes very important we limit our confidence in any team so long as it involves we spending our hard earned money on betting on such a team, because anything can happen that will cause that team to lose, this helps us limit how much money we put at risk betting on such team.

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May 18, 2026, 11:55:55 AM
 #31

People can continue to gamble because of their self-confidence. If people did not have self-confidence, then perhaps people would not be able to continue to gamble. For example, when I bet on sports, I definitely have confidence in the team I am betting on. Because I have confidence, I choose one team from two teams and bet on that team. Moreover, my confidence in this gambling game is that as long as I gamble for entertainment, I will be able to keep myself responsible. I am confident that I will never gamble recklessly.

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May 18, 2026, 12:02:17 PM
 #32

I'll start by saying nothing is certain in gambling even a big team or favorite team in their best form can still lose to an underdog by performing poorly on that match. So that would mean our confidence level should drop to 50% irrespective of the kind of teams playing. But as humans we likely wouldn't treat every game desame way probably because of the stat and desperation of the teams playing, irrespective of how informed any team is, your confidence level shouldn't exceed 60% because the greatest factor of luck still stands.

The thing here is that we should not treat our confidence as an absolute win.  Even though we have the confidence that we have a higher chance of winning, we must also consider that in every bet, there is always a probability that we will lose.  This way, we won't be disappointed and we will always be conservative in ways we are spending money in our betting activities.

I agree that luck is the biggest factor in each game result.  It defines whether we will win or lose in our bet.  Even if we are almost certain that we will win, there is always this possiblity of last-minute change that will affect the result of the game

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May 18, 2026, 12:09:44 PM
 #33

I tried using the BitList tool to search if there had been any previous same topic but couldn't find any pardon me if I'm wrong.

I was thinking basically about how we discuss the behaviors of gamblers how they lost a huge sum of money or how they kept on playing without considering the side effects of their actions and the it struck my mind that they must have something in their minds that would trigger them to make those decisions and then I realized that it's "Confidence".
The reason why we treat some bets differently from other isn't because we just want to loss big or expose ourselves to too much risk, it's a matter of confidence that we have toward something( the odds, desperation of the team, players available....) and most of our gambling decisions is based on some level of confidence, if it's something you're unsure of you are likely going to skip the game at the selection stage before it gets to your bet or place small stake on the bet.

However since we now know the importance of our confidence towards our bets how then can we use it to our advantage?
I'll start by saying nothing is certain in gambling even a big team or favorite team in their best form can still lose to an underdog by performing poorly on that match. So that would mean our confidence level should drop to 50% irrespective of the kind of teams playing. But as humans we likely wouldn't treat every game desame way probably because of the stat and desperation of the teams playing, irrespective of how informed any team is, your confidence level shouldn't exceed 60% because the greatest factor of luck still stands.

The moment when he sees the odds offered by bookmakers for matches adds a lot to each person's confidence. Imagine that you saw a favorite and a dark horse, and believe me, your opinion will immediately change about what you assumed before you saw these coefficients. Psychologically, this puts pressure on the personality, because he immediately thinks "these coefficients reflect either the opinion of the majority of people or the clever calculation of the guys who understand better than me." I am sure that every bettor is familiar with such thoughts, and everyone immediately questioned their own judgments about the upcoming bet.

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May 18, 2026, 12:20:17 PM
 #34

However since we now know the importance of our confidence towards our bets how then can we use it to our advantage?
I'll start by saying nothing is certain in gambling even a big team or favorite team in their best form can still lose to an underdog by performing poorly on that match. So that would mean our confidence level should drop to 50% irrespective of the kind of teams playing. But as humans we likely wouldn't treat every game desame way probably because of the stat and desperation of the teams playing, irrespective of how informed any team is, your confidence level shouldn't exceed 60% because the greatest factor of luck still stands.
I tend to use my confidence on poker with a little bit mix of bluff to fully execute a well plan and move. Opponents on poker are wise and clever so you need to be confident like when you are betting too or raising the bet even its just a bluff. But for slots haha I really jist play my luck and having confidence there wouldnt be helpful at all.

Maybe fot some other games or gambling. Sports betting is also nice game to use your confidence.

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May 18, 2026, 12:59:39 PM
 #35

We can’t be 100% certain about anything, I’m not even that certain about myself, let alone about gambling. It’s important to stay positive about the outcome, but it’s also important not to make the result of the game the most important priority in life. You need to separate yourself from the game. I can set strict rules for myself, and following them helps me feel confident that when I leave the game, I’ll still be satisfied with the result regardless of the outcome.

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May 18, 2026, 01:27:13 PM
 #36

One thing that can give a gambler confidence is their strategy and also the level at which they minimize their risks but doing all of these does not making is hundred percent safe and it doesn't mean that winning is guaranteed, that's the more reason why you shouldn't be too confident in your predictions. Even though confidence in your decisions is necessary it can be dangerous if you get overconfident. This is the reason why some gamblers get motivated to stake a high amount of money that they cannot afford to lose because they become too sure of their bets, this can lead to losses.

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May 18, 2026, 01:50:51 PM
 #37

In my case, I prefer not to let emotions influence my sports betting. I analyze the game without favoring any particular team; I only bet on the team that, after analyzing both sides, I believe has the highest probability of winning. And if I happen to be wrong, I don't get upset, I don't dwell on the loss. If I've accepted a winning bet, I don't become overconfident and think I'll get it right in the next few games. For me, losing or winning is viewed the same way.

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May 18, 2026, 01:52:18 PM
 #38

Having confidence in your game is not a bad thing, and at the same time, you don't need to be overconfident about the game. The confidence convinces you as the gambler to choose that game and the option, while allowing that same confidence to be excessive is what pushes you into staking more amounts than you should have easily staked. It's better for us to know the limit to which we handle this confidence of a thing in a game, as it determines how we can control the amount we use in playing. games.

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May 18, 2026, 01:55:50 PM
 #39

Confidence is not really important in gambling because the more confident you are, the more risk you will take, although if you take a big risk there will be a chance of winning, but if you are not lucky then you will lose all the money you bet. When you have confidence, even if you lose, you will feel that you will win the next bet and thinking about this, you will not stop gambling. So I think that being confident is not important, what is important is to be confident in yourself that you will never be addicted to gambling. And you will be able to control yourself. If you have this confidence then of course you will be able to stay away from gambling addiction and this is very important for you.

Gambling winning does not depend on someone's confidence. Gambling winning depends entirely on luck. So the better the luck, the more likely he is to win, and the worse the luck, no matter how confident he is and no matter how unique a strategy he creates, he will never be able to win.

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Pandu Geddon
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May 18, 2026, 02:00:20 PM
 #40

But as humans we likely wouldn't treat every game desame way probably because of the stat and desperation of the teams playing, irrespective of how informed any team is, your confidence level shouldn't exceed 60% because the greatest factor of luck still stands.

I have a friend who always bets with a fixed amount on every bet. No matter the type of bet, whether it's a single bet or a parlay, I always see him using a fixed amount. 
I believe confidence can influence the amount you bet. Some gamblers lose all their confidence when placing a bet and will depend on luck. Being overconfident might affect the level of stress and disappointment when losing.

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