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Author Topic: Your confidence as a gambler is important  (Read 704 times)
Somto9Light
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May 18, 2026, 02:07:48 PM
 #41

Having confidence in your game is not a bad thing, and at the same time, you don't need to be overconfident about the game. The confidence convinces you as the gambler to choose that game and the option, while allowing that same confidence to be excessive is what pushes you into staking more amounts than you should have easily staked. It's better for us to know the limit to which we handle this confidence of a thing in a game, as it determines how we can control the amount we use in playing. games.
I personally don’t see anything wrong with believing in your own prediction or strategy, but can also become detrimental to the gambler the moment this begins to turn into overconfidence, because the gambler begins to feel some level of control, assurance and entitlement when they gamble. And this here is usually the point where gamblers stops to make use of their rational reasoning but start relying more on their emotions to help them win. If a gambler wishes to keep their confidence in adequate control and in check, then they must learn to set boundaries and limits and be disciplined enough to stick to them, especially in critical moments.

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May 18, 2026, 02:37:57 PM
 #42

Hmmm. I am trying to understand your point, but there are holes.

A gambler with lesser confidence in his bet could mean he is not sure what he is doing. Sports betting is something that we should have confidence in our bets and it's not because we are being stubborn but because we did our homework to try and increase our chance of winning through statistics, records, and history.
Still, I do believe you have a good point too. Too much confidence in our bets could also mean harm to us. I think this is where biased betting will come in. A gambler who is confident because he is a fan of that team or a player. I think it's confusing confidence with blind betting just because the gambler love that team.

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May 18, 2026, 02:41:16 PM
 #43

Confidence in the team/player is different from confident on your bet is about to win and everyone who is following the sports must be aware of the results part which can be both win or loss, but if someone is being confident and takes a risky bet then they are confident on their bet which is not good that leads to financial loss.

I would like to say that we don't need to have confidence and shit to enjoy, just keep one thing clear which is winning and losing is part of the game while keep enjoying it.

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May 18, 2026, 02:41:24 PM
 #44


However since we now know the importance of our confidence towards our bets how then can we use it to our advantage?


Honestly to answer your discussion, I have no confidence at all in what I bet or even what I think in gambling, I often play meaningless bets (I win too).
I literally rely on luck and intuition, but every time I try to bet on a game that I think is simple I consistently lose them.
So I prefer to be more instinctive, the rest will be done by fate, from me they say: "comu veni si cunta" literally translated means what happens we will see.

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May 18, 2026, 02:45:16 PM
 #45

I was thinking basically about how we discuss the behaviors of gamblers how they lost a huge sum of money or how they kept on playing without considering the side effects of their actions and the it struck my mind that they must have something in their minds that would trigger them to make those decisions and then I realized that it's "Confidence".

In my own definition maybe I will have to put it in this way that it is overconfidence and not the confidence itself, because we are expected to see gambling as what constitutes risk to either lose or win, we must not also place a bet that will affect us at the end when we know that we stand under the probability of winning or losing, when you see a gambler lamenting on losing, then he must have made a wrong choice already to play the kind of bet you can't afford to lose, because you won't see such as a fun in return as compensation to him.

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May 18, 2026, 02:47:46 PM
 #46

I was thinking basically about how we discuss the behaviors of gamblers how they lost a huge sum of money or how they kept on playing without considering the side effects of their actions and the it struck my mind that they must have something in their minds that would trigger them to make those decisions and then I realized that it's "Confidence".

In my own definition maybe I will have to put it in this way that it is overconfidence and not the confidence itself, because we are expected to see gambling as what constitutes risk to either lose or win, we must not also place a bet that will affect us at the end when we know that we stand under the probability of winning or losing, when you see a gambler lamenting on losing, then he must have made a wrong choice already to play the kind of bet you can't afford to lose, because you won't see such as a fun in return as compensation to him.
Being confident about a bet is not going to change the outcome of the bet although it can motivate you to gamble more so that you can esrn with consistency. There is no way the outcome of a bet can change because a gambler has the mindset to gamble and expect good results that will bring profits to him.

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May 18, 2026, 02:59:56 PM
 #47

Being confident about a bet is not going to change the outcome of the bet although it can motivate you to gamble more so that you can esrn with consistency. There is no way the outcome of a bet can change because a gambler has the mindset to gamble and expect good results that will bring profits to him.
What does being confident do for a gambler, thats not even necessary since it doesn't change anything that wants to happen, for me, I'm gambler that believe me that no matter how I gamble or what I think that I know I'm gambling, it doesn't change the fact that when losing is is to occur it will surely do, same goes to winning, so what's really the usefulness if being confident, so I should be confident so that at the end I get bp, sometimes I ask how do people see gambling, why not we gamble, have our fun and be happy than putting much hope that may not come to fulfillment.

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May 18, 2026, 03:44:39 PM
 #48

Having confidence in your game is not a bad thing, and at the same time, you don't need to be overconfident about the game. The confidence convinces you as the gambler to choose that game and the option, while allowing that same confidence to be excessive is what pushes you into staking more amounts than you should have easily staked. It's better for us to know the limit to which we handle this confidence of a thing in a game, as it determines how we can control the amount we use in playing. games.
I personally don’t see anything wrong with believing in your own prediction or strategy, but can also become detrimental to the gambler the moment this begins to turn into overconfidence, because the gambler begins to feel some level of control, assurance and entitlement when they gamble. And this here is usually the point where gamblers stops to make use of their rational reasoning but start relying more on their emotions to help them win. If a gambler wishes to keep their confidence in adequate control and in check, then they must learn to set boundaries and limits and be disciplined enough to stick to them, especially in critical moments.
I wonder who provides the assurance, because a casino never does and what they are entitled to, because they're not entitled to any winning. Winning is not promised in gambling, it happens by chance, so gamblers feeling entitled are building a mental trap for themselves which would lead to great disappointment when they fail to get the win which they're felling entitled to. Such mindset of entitlement is what produces gambling addicts on a faster pace since they might believe the only time they would quit is after a big win and they keep chasing it mindlessly.

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May 18, 2026, 04:01:56 PM
 #49

Your confidence as a gambler is important
In my opinion, someone who often gambles then thinks that excessive self-confidence will endanger themselves, where they often think they have more ability to gamble, so they can take big risks by placing bets.

In general, those who are self-confident often carry out excessive illusory impulses and are no longer under control, this can influence and become trapped psychologically and it can harm them financially, excessive self-confidence, as if they were able todo all that.

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May 18, 2026, 04:26:50 PM
 #50

However since we now know the importance of our confidence towards our bets how then can we use it to our advantage?
I'll start by saying nothing is certain in gambling even a big team or favorite team in their best form can still lose to an underdog by performing poorly on that match. So that would mean our confidence level should drop to 50% irrespective of the kind of teams playing. But as humans we likely wouldn't treat every game desame way probably because of the stat and desperation of the teams playing, irrespective of how informed any team is, your confidence level shouldn't exceed 60% because the greatest factor of luck still stands.

Gambling is always dependent on luck. In sports betting , most of the time, if we can analyze the data correctly, the chances of winning  increase if we are experienced enough. But even then it is completely dependent on luck. We have seen  many times that the hot favorite team lost points against an underdog team. This is nothing  new. We have to accept these and gamble. It is not possible that we will always  win. And for this reason we should  avoid high risks. And avoid betting on large amounts.
I agree with you, especially that sports betting and winning in all gambling depend on luck. As you know, there is no need to analyze casino gambling; here, your win depends on your luck, so I think the casino is for everyone. Newbies can gamble because there is no need for experience. But in sports betting, your win depends on your analysis. My favorite team or the most popular team will never win, always. A small team can also win, because there is no guarantee which team will win, so we should bet a small amount, even if it is a loss, so that it is an affordable amount.

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May 18, 2026, 04:38:21 PM
 #51

However since we now know the importance of our confidence towards our bets how then can we use it to our advantage?
I'll start by saying nothing is certain in gambling even a big team or favorite team in their best form can still lose to an underdog by performing poorly on that match. So that would mean our confidence level should drop to 50% irrespective of the kind of teams playing. But as humans we likely wouldn't treat every game desame way probably because of the stat and desperation of the teams playing, irrespective of how informed any team is, your confidence level shouldn't exceed 60% because the greatest factor of luck still stands.

Gambling is always dependent on luck. In sports betting , most of the time, if we can analyze the data correctly, the chances of winning  increase if we are experienced enough. But even then it is completely dependent on luck. We have seen  many times that the hot favorite team lost points against an underdog team. This is nothing  new. We have to accept these and gamble. It is not possible that we will always  win. And for this reason we should  avoid high risks. And avoid betting on large amounts.
That's not the point. Confidence has a role to play, even though it may look like a minor role to you, it can sometimes be a foundation to your selection, and if it's not there, you begin to overthink, then overreact. In a situation where the level of uncertainty beats that of your confidence, then it's a lost game already
You talk about the top favourite team losing points to an underdog? Do you understand how confidence plays a role in having to select a dead game with a bigger odd, and expect it to show up, and it does?

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May 18, 2026, 04:42:32 PM
 #52

I have not noticed the issue of over confidence in any experienced gambler. This is usually seen in new gamblers, who bet on emotions due to lack of experience. Maybe they have been in a slightly more profitable state for some days, so they bet with excess confidence. And that is why they suffer losses. It is never possible to make a 100% sure prediction in gambling. In the case of sports betting, many are also seen betting a little confidently, but OP as you said here too you have to depend on luck. Because it is not possible to say when, due to any mistake, which team will win the match. So, whatever the confidence, you should not bet on emotions. And you should bet within that limit, which will not be difficult to accept mentally even if you lose while betting.

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May 18, 2026, 04:44:56 PM
 #53

I tried using the BitList tool to search if there had been any previous same topic but couldn't find any pardon me if I'm wrong.

I was thinking basically about how we discuss the behaviors of gamblers how they lost a huge sum of money or how they kept on playing without considering the side effects of their actions and the it struck my mind that they must have something in their minds that would trigger them to make those decisions and then I realized that it's "Confidence".
The reason why we treat some bets differently from other isn't because we just want to loss big or expose ourselves to too much risk, it's a matter of confidence that we have toward something( the odds, desperation of the team, players available....) and most of our gambling decisions is based on some level of confidence, if it's something you're unsure of you are likely going to skip the game at the selection stage before it gets to your bet or place small stake on the bet.

However since we now know the importance of our confidence towards our bets how then can we use it to our advantage?
I'll start by saying nothing is certain in gambling even a big team or favorite team in their best form can still lose to an underdog by performing poorly on that match. So that would mean our confidence level should drop to 50% irrespective of the kind of teams playing. But as humans we likely wouldn't treat every game desame way probably because of the stat and desperation of the teams playing, irrespective of how informed any team is, your confidence level shouldn't exceed 60% because the greatest factor of luck still stands.
It doesn't matter if you are confident. Change the term confidence with stubbornness and that's how i hear your point in my head. If you lose money because you think you lack confidence, that could also protect you from losing it, so it's not about confidence, it's about your experience of lack of confidence. You don't know the result beforehand, no matter the level of your confidence.

As like you said, it's about exposing yourself to risk (of losing your money). This doesn't however mean that you should stick to safe bets as there are no safe bets. There are safer bets with lower odds though.

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May 18, 2026, 04:46:29 PM
 #54

Honestly to answer your discussion, I have no confidence at all in what I bet or even what I think in gambling, I often play meaningless bets (I win too).
I literally rely on luck and intuition, but every time I try to bet on a game that I think is simple I consistently lose them.
So I prefer to be more instinctive, the rest will be done by fate, from me they say: "comu veni si cunta" literally translated means what happens we will see.
If you bet without confidence makes you to enjoy and feel the impact of the game positively, that means they are not gambling with pressure in them but gambling with the understanding that they can either lose or win and that is part of the game, and this way of gambling makes them to also understand that there is no point in trying to prove that analysis are right, as luck plays a role in gambling, stats or skill can try but win is definitely decided by luck and accepting this, makes everything easier for you.

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May 18, 2026, 04:48:01 PM
 #55

It is very possible we have confidence in the bet we are taking in gambling, at least for us to have concluded on playing a particular game shows a level of awareness we have on it and how well informed we are about it at the same time, when you see people Gamble, the don't just play a random game.

Instead they go for their favorite and have fun playing because they are already used to how it is being played, which is the first confidence we have that we know what we are doing as regarding the game we are playing unlike a noob gambler, but this is not a reason why we should take extreme risk to gamble when we cannot afford losing.

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May 18, 2026, 04:51:32 PM
 #56

However since we now know the importance of our confidence towards our bets how then can we use it to our advantage?
I'll start by saying nothing is certain in gambling even a big team or favorite team in their best form can still lose to an underdog by performing poorly on that match. So that would mean our confidence level should drop to 50% irrespective of the kind of teams playing. But as humans we likely wouldn't treat every game desame way probably because of the stat and desperation of the teams playing, irrespective of how informed any team is, your confidence level shouldn't exceed 60% because the greatest factor of luck still stands.

You need confidence but it doesn't guarantee anything. I can analyze matches now and pick good games in my opinion and confidently bet on those games but because I may lack good skills in chosen close or accurate bet I may chose the wrong games which means I have confidently gamble and wasted money on gambling. As much as we respect and give attention to confidence, the skill of a gambler is equally important as well so you don't waste money.

If I'm ask to choose between confidence and skill, I will first go with skill, with it you can make good calls and that means you will even get assurance on the call you make than understanding little about gambling and be losing money all the time. Check gamblers that do win, they don't check on any confidence but rely solely on their skills, it's what the predict they can depend on and that is the best strategy all gamblers need to make win bet or gambling in general.

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May 18, 2026, 04:54:49 PM
 #57

I tried using the BitList tool to search if there had been any previous same topic but couldn't find any pardon me if I'm wrong.

I was thinking basically about how we discuss the behaviors of gamblers how they lost a huge sum of money or how they kept on playing without considering the side effects of their actions and the it struck my mind that they must have something in their minds that would trigger them to make those decisions and then I realized that it's "Confidence".
The reason why we treat some bets differently from other isn't because we just want to loss big or expose ourselves to too much risk, it's a matter of confidence that we have toward something( the odds, desperation of the team, players available....) and most of our gambling decisions is based on some level of confidence, if it's something you're unsure of you are likely going to skip the game at the selection stage before it gets to your bet or place small stake on the bet.

However since we now know the importance of our confidence towards our bets how then can we use it to our advantage?
I'll start by saying nothing is certain in gambling even a big team or favorite team in their best form can still lose to an underdog by performing poorly on that match. So that would mean our confidence level should drop to 50% irrespective of the kind of teams playing. But as humans we likely wouldn't treat every game desame way probably because of the stat and desperation of the teams playing, irrespective of how informed any team is, your confidence level shouldn't exceed 60% because the greatest factor of luck still stands.

For me, confidence plays no role here in winning games. You build confidence, they win or lose, even when you have no confidence, they win and win very well and comfortably. So there is nothing to any of them. I wouldn't even be grading our confidence to any percentage, because nothing works. Gambling is risk, and we must just be ready to accept it, either win or lose.. gamble with what we can afford to lose, and stay relaxed.. nothing as expectations if you want to be safe
That's the funniest part of gambling: it doesn't know or care how confident we are in our bets, so it should consider us a win in our bet because of that(that's not gonna work). All that confidence we put in our bets, doesn't play along to decide our gambling wins for us. If it is a bet that we are losing to, we are losing to it without mercy, regardless of how much money we have lost since we started gambling for the day. So, a gambler we care about their finances should think of gambling with the money they can afford to lose because gambling doesn't have pity over the amount of money lost to it any time

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May 18, 2026, 04:59:20 PM
 #58

Using our confidence when we gamble is like a two-edged sword. While that makes you fearless when you gamble, that can also lead you to losing more. That's when someone who's got so much confidence and they have no fear to what they do, the tendency of losing so much money is big. We as gamblers should have that confidence have in the right use and time. Because too much of it is going to lead us to something that we might not like and in the end, there can be instances that through our overconfidence, it's the reason why we're dealing with so much losses.

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May 18, 2026, 05:03:55 PM
 #59

I tried using the BitList tool to search if there had been any previous same topic but couldn't find any pardon me if I'm wrong.

I was thinking basically about how we discuss the behaviors of gamblers how they lost a huge sum of money or how they kept on playing without considering the side effects of their actions and the it struck my mind that they must have something in their minds that would trigger them to make those decisions and then I realized that it's "Confidence".
The reason why we treat some bets differently from other isn't because we just want to loss big or expose ourselves to too much risk, it's a matter of confidence that we have toward something( the odds, desperation of the team, players available....) and most of our gambling decisions is based on some level of confidence, if it's something you're unsure of you are likely going to skip the game at the selection stage before it gets to your bet or place small stake on the bet.

However since we now know the importance of our confidence towards our bets how then can we use it to our advantage?
I'll start by saying nothing is certain in gambling even a big team or favorite team in their best form can still lose to an underdog by performing poorly on that match. So that would mean our confidence level should drop to 50% irrespective of the kind of teams playing. But as humans we likely wouldn't treat every game desame way probably because of the stat and desperation of the teams playing, irrespective of how informed any team is, your confidence level shouldn't exceed 60% because the greatest factor of luck still stands.

Your confidence as a gambler is important, but overconfidence is a great problem, because being overconfidence will motivate a gambler to take reckless decisions. If you don't have confidence in yourself or you doubt yourself, the best thing is to do is to avoid gambling. A lots of things can actually lead a gambler to misconceptions, and you don't have to force yourself to believe in what doesn't align with your thinking. If a gambler is so desperate to win so much in gambling, that is another way of creating room, opportunity or space for loss to penetrate in your gambling life or affairs.

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May 18, 2026, 05:33:46 PM
 #60

I tried using the BitList tool to search if there had been any previous same topic but couldn't find any pardon me if I'm wrong.

I was thinking basically about how we discuss the behaviors of gamblers how they lost a huge sum of money or how they kept on playing without considering the side effects of their actions and the it struck my mind that they must have something in their minds that would trigger them to make those decisions and then I realized that it's "Confidence".
The reason why we treat some bets differently from other isn't because we just want to loss big or expose ourselves to too much risk, it's a matter of confidence that we have toward something( the odds, desperation of the team, players available....) and most of our gambling decisions is based on some level of confidence, if it's something you're unsure of you are likely going to skip the game at the selection stage before it gets to your bet or place small stake on the bet.

However since we now know the importance of our confidence towards our bets how then can we use it to our advantage?
I'll start by saying nothing is certain in gambling even a big team or favorite team in their best form can still lose to an underdog by performing poorly on that match. So that would mean our confidence level should drop to 50% irrespective of the kind of teams playing. But as humans we likely wouldn't treat every game desame way probably because of the stat and desperation of the teams playing, irrespective of how informed any team is, your confidence level shouldn't exceed 60% because the greatest factor of luck still stands.

Your confidence as a gambler is important, but overconfidence is a great problem, because being overconfidence will motivate a gambler to take reckless decisions. If you don't have confidence in yourself or you doubt yourself, the best thing is to do is to avoid gambling. A lots of things can actually lead a gambler to misconceptions, and you don't have to force yourself to believe in what doesn't align with your thinking. If a gambler is so desperate to win so much in gambling, that is another way of creating room, opportunity or space for loss to penetrate in your gambling life or affairs.
Alot of the misconceptions that gamblers hold before betting because they are confident in their bet selection is most times not subject to metrics that can assure them of their confidence in the right light.
We know unlike any other emotions like anger, confidence is also an emotional response because there is believed that the probability of success is high and this advices how much can be allocated to make the bet.

Mathematical, we have the Kelly Criterion to know exactly if ones confidence in a bet is precise and positive.
We also have the positive expected value, +EV, that helps a professional gambler know how to allocate and enter a bet,  there's also the closing line value, CLV, that measures the price a gambler gets versus the final price before the event they are betting on starts.
I also think that some platforms have a look into analytics that tracks a user confidence level and it is wise to know how to mathematically track ones confidence level before staking on a bet about to go down.
This separates the amateur from the professional gamblers.


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