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Author Topic: Is This Blind Betting?  (Read 700 times)
DrBeer
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May 21, 2026, 08:07:09 AM
 #61

Like you always pick the favorite because in your mind they have the better chance to win anyway, so why make it complicated. You don’t really check too much stats, injuries, line movement or anything like that, you just go with the team that looks stronger. I think a lot of bettors started like this. Betting on the favorite feels safer, because they are favorite for a reason right? But sometimes that is also where the trap is. The odds are low, the payout is not that good, and one bad game can already wipe out a few small wins.

So for those who have been doing this, how was your experience?

Was it actually fun and profitable for you, or just fun but not really profitable in the long run?

Interesting concept Smiley
Since betting on the favorite doesn't always result in a win, this means that a "blind" bet, or a random one, would, according to probability theory, have at least as good a chance of winning! I'm curious-has anyone tried betting this way? What were the results?


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May 21, 2026, 08:20:58 AM
 #62

Like you always pick the favorite because in your mind they have the better chance to win anyway, so why make it complicated. You don’t really check too much stats, injuries, line movement or anything like that, you just go with the team that looks stronger. I think a lot of bettors started like this. Betting on the favorite feels safer, because they are favorite for a reason right? But sometimes that is also where the trap is. The odds are low, the payout is not that good, and one bad game can already wipe out a few small wins.

So for those who have been doing this, how was your experience?

Was it actually fun and profitable for you, or just fun but not really profitable in the long run?
I myself am not good at sports betting because of my lack of knowledge, so I only bet on my favorite team with the aim of adding excitement to the game, although as you said with But sometimes that's the trap. The odds are low, the payouts are not that great I don't really care.
 
It's fun of course especially if the result is that my favorite team wins, with that profit is not certain because there is a chance of losing but this is fun for me in the long run but not profitable.

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May 21, 2026, 09:23:04 AM
 #63

Betting on the favorite teams don't really add much value to your bet unless you accumulate a lot of games but from experience these teams are not always In their best form and a lot of times the bookmakers hide these details so they can use it as a trap.if you don't think out of the box you would always go for the team with the high chance of winning as indicated by the bookies but if you don't do your personal research you are not going to be able to spot the red flags, this is the reason why doing analysis and research is important.
I agree with you. I follow in myself thinking . I try to select a relatively strong team with all my experience and analytical skills. It is not always the right prediction. Even though I know it all depends on luck, I still try to bet on the team that is stronger and in good form for me. And if there is a match with my favorite team, I can't really control my emotions. I bet on my favorite team. I have lost a lot of times because that kind of decision  .  though that team is not in good form. But I don't like to bet against .

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May 21, 2026, 09:41:38 AM
 #64

After going through what the OP has illustrated, I was meant to understand that, sometimes we gamblers gamble blindly because most of the gamblers here can't deny the fact that sometimes we do gamble blindly by not be able of assessing a proper check on the particular teams you are to predict on to give you winning but will allow emotions to always be at the head of our prediction and quickly i was made to understand the fact that, once you are able to figure out if the teams you are predicting on, is not suffering from injurying and none of the their keys players went for international break because of their local League competition and so on, once you are be able identify all that, you will definitely gamble for fun and also be profitable at this time, so for me i do analyze all the fact that will make the team I'm about to predict on,  if they are in right position to win in point in time, so i don't gamble blindly.

R


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May 21, 2026, 09:48:52 AM
 #65

I myself am not good at sports betting because of my lack of knowledge, so I only bet on my favorite team with the aim of adding excitement to the game, although as you said with But sometimes that's the trap. The odds are low, the payouts are not that great I don't really care.
 
It's fun of course especially if the result is that my favorite team wins, with that profit is not certain because there is a chance of losing but this is fun for me in the long run but not profitable.
When you are aware that pocket money is harmful; it is not good to predict the result of matches every now and then using it. The habit may cause us to end up wasting money unconsciously on saving which can be used in other important areas. Worst still, the most appropriate would be to substitute that excitement with fun, hands off guess.

 
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May 21, 2026, 11:00:00 AM
 #66

I think a lot of bettors started like this[...] Was it actually fun and profitable for you, or just fun but not really profitable in the long run?
I'm one of those who started betting like that [in addition to a few other issues], but I quickly learned from my mistakes and changed my behavior... To answer your question, I experienced neither of these things, since the way I started took the fun out of gambling and even though I sometimes got lucky, for the most part it led to an unprofitable outcome.

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May 21, 2026, 11:05:02 AM
 #67

After going through what the OP has illustrated, I was meant to understand that, sometimes we gamblers gamble blindly because most of the gamblers here can't deny the fact that sometimes we do gamble blindly by not be able of assessing a proper check on the particular teams you are to predict on to give you winning but will allow emotions to always be at the head of our prediction and quickly i was made to understand the fact that, once you are able to figure out if the teams you are predicting on, is not suffering from injurying and none of the their keys players went for international break because of their local League competition and so on, once you are be able identify all that, you will definitely gamble for fun and also be profitable at this time, so for me i do analyze all the fact that will make the team I'm about to predict on,  if they are in right position to win in point in time, so i don't gamble blindly.
I also try to constantly analyze teams, predict whether and how they'll win, come up with multiple scenarios, and choose the one I think is most likely. Of course, I don't expect to win very well or very often; I just try to bet thoughtfully. It's much better than simply betting blindly or just for the sake of betting. Almost any player who bets blindly expects to lose in the long run, unless they're incredibly lucky. Although there are plenty of players today who think luck has chosen them, I think that's overly presumptuous.

 
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May 21, 2026, 11:29:51 AM
 #68

Like you always pick the favorite because in your mind they have the better chance to win anyway, so why make it complicated. You don’t really check too much stats, injuries, line movement or anything like that, you just go with the team that looks stronger. I think a lot of bettors started like this. Betting on the favorite feels safer, because they are favorite for a reason right? But sometimes that is also where the trap is. The odds are low, the payout is not that good, and one bad game can already wipe out a few small wins.

So for those who have been doing this, how was your experience?

Was it actually fun and profitable for you, or just fun but not really profitable in the long run?

I try to bet on medium odds like 1.60 to 2 most of the time while also choosing what in our mind is presented by bookies as the "favorite". However I and also many others are soon disappointed with the results as there is never except on very few cases a true favorite does not really exist. Just a personal example from yesterday games in Algeria Ligue 1 which the second plase was playing against last place stadium away from home yet them as heavy favorite team were not able to win. So there is no favorite in sport betting because even the last team on the standings makes your bet a losing one.


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May 21, 2026, 11:34:13 AM
 #69

How many of us take our time to research before gambling in order to make some findings about the formation and the strength of a particular team we are considering for bet, when we take our time to get some necessary information about sportsbet and various teams we are going to consider when gambling, it will be of more advantage to us than when we only work by guesses and later end up losing despite we are playing the favorite match.

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May 21, 2026, 11:42:13 AM
 #70

Betting on favorite team without doing any form of analysis is not strategy, you will end up losing more in bets where you are so sure of the outcome and therefore decided to stake with more money, that's where the trap will catch you and kill your money. I don't bet on favorite team because they are strong, I bet on them only if I have done my analysis and have proven to myself that they still have the same capacity as their previous match and then I can stake on them again, if not, I'm not giving them a straight win. I take not of home advantage of the team they are playing against.

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May 21, 2026, 11:53:16 AM
 #71

Like you always pick the favorite because in your mind they have the better chance to win anyway, so why make it complicated. You don’t really check too much stats, injuries, line movement or anything like that, you just go with the team that looks stronger. I think a lot of bettors started like this. Betting on the favorite feels safer, because they are favorite for a reason right? But sometimes that is also where the trap is. The odds are low, the payout is not that good, and one bad game can already wipe out a few small wins.

So for those who have been doing this, how was your experience?

Was it actually fun and profitable for you, or just fun but not really profitable in the long run?

Betting on big teams with low odds is neither fun nor profitable. I have been disappointed by small odds, and big teams several times. If you want to place a bet, it is necessary to to make indepth research. To do this, you need to place your bet responsibly, you don't have to bet without making proper research on your games, this will enable you to place informed bet . Placing bet without proper research is an old fashion way of betting, you are likely to loose more bets than when when you bet based on informed decision.
I feel someone is likely to bet blindly if he or she bets without making research. When i started gambling, I was being this way, I bet looking at odds, and teams only without going on research.

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May 21, 2026, 12:12:23 PM
 #72

This kind of betting in which I bet almost without looking has happened to me several times, and it was always unwise. This happened during a long series of incorrect bets, when I misjudged the outcome of matches or similar indicators more than five times. And then I was angry because I was punished by spending money for not being able to draw conclusions correctly. He was not attentive or patient. And it really pisses me off, so at the time I just thought that if I started betting the opposite of what I understood, then the winnings would come. This is blind betting, or reverse betting is the dumbest thing I've ever come up with.

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May 21, 2026, 12:15:15 PM
 #73


Was it actually fun and profitable for you, or just fun but not really profitable in the long run?
There's no very profitable strategy in sports games betting just as there's no strategy that can not give a win. All strategy can give you a win but these strategy is not going to be so profitable because gambling is based on luck. You are not wrong to have said most people have used this strategy, it was not very profitable to me but it's just normal like other strategies but this favorite betting is more like betting based on odds which is not totally good, odds can be deceiving that's why you have to read the updates by yourself before picking sides.
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May 21, 2026, 12:16:00 PM
 #74

Betting on the favorite team is just to calm your mind. Because if you win by betting on the favorite team after choosing it, the profit is not very much because the team is already chosen by me. Again, the favorite team does not mean that it will definitely win. Maybe your or my favorite team may be strong on paper, but the outcome of the match depends on certain circumstances of the match. Yes, many people do this by choosing their own favorite team because they think that low odds mean low risk, but the problem with low odds is that the profit is also very low. The profit that comes from a few small wins, one wrong favorite bet can wipe out part of that profit.

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May 21, 2026, 12:18:53 PM
 #75

This kind of betting in which I bet almost without looking has happened to me several times, and it was always unwise. This happened during a long series of incorrect bets, when I misjudged the outcome of matches or similar indicators more than five times. And then I was angry because I was punished by spending money for not being able to draw conclusions correctly. He was not attentive or patient. And it really pisses me off, so at the time I just thought that if I started betting the opposite of what I understood, then the winnings would come. This is blind betting, or reverse betting is the dumbest thing I've ever come up with.

It is always absolutely wrong to do this. I understand your feelings at times like this, but personally, I've never done anything like this. So I can only guess what kind of feeling you get when you try and analyze, and then you get disappointed and lose the experience, but in fact because of tilt.It's always important to be able to tell yourself that I've had enough, I've calmed down. There is no need to make any blind bets, no bets against your logic, all this reduces the chances of winning to zero.

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May 21, 2026, 12:21:39 PM
 #76

Betting on the favorite team is just to calm your mind. Because if you win by betting on the favorite team after choosing it, the profit is not very much because the team is already chosen by me. Again, the favorite team does not mean that it will definitely win. Maybe your or my favorite team may be strong on paper, but the outcome of the match depends on certain circumstances of the match. Yes, many people do this by choosing their own favorite team because they think that low odds mean low risk, but the problem with low odds is that the profit is also very low. The profit that comes from a few small wins, one wrong favorite bet can wipe out part of that profit.

Sometimes it seems to me that betting on your favorite team is exactly the kind of betting when it is practically impossible to lose. If your favorite team wins, it's always incredibly cool: you guessed right, you believed, and you're rewarded for your efforts. And if they lose, it's okay, because these are your favorites. In general, when I see my favorite team losing, I start calling them names loudly in front of the TV, but I do it out of love, as it usually happens with friends when they behave like cretins.

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imthegreat
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May 21, 2026, 12:28:51 PM
 #77

This kind of betting in which I bet almost without looking has happened to me several times, and it was always unwise. This happened during a long series of incorrect bets, when I misjudged the outcome of matches or similar indicators more than five times. And then I was angry because I was punished by spending money for not being able to draw conclusions correctly. He was not attentive or patient. And it really pisses me off, so at the time I just thought that if I started betting the opposite of what I understood, then the winnings would come. This is blind betting, or reverse betting is the dumbest thing I've ever come up with.

It's just betting and you shouldn't be too hard on yourself, if you think you can guess all the bets in the world, then you need to change your way of thinking. We are all human beings and we are not computers, even if we are fighting against mathematics in betting and gambling. Even a streak of five defeats is fine. After all, many bettors remember their wins from five successful bets in a row, so why do you have to forget your similar defeats? And of course, I doubt the tactics of "reverse" betting.

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May 21, 2026, 01:23:10 PM
 #78

This kind of betting in which I bet almost without looking has happened to me several times, and it was always unwise. This happened during a long series of incorrect bets, when I misjudged the outcome of matches or similar indicators more than five times. And then I was angry because I was punished by spending money for not being able to draw conclusions correctly. He was not attentive or patient. And it really pisses me off, so at the time I just thought that if I started betting the opposite of what I understood, then the winnings would come. This is blind betting, or reverse betting is the dumbest thing I've ever come up with.

It is always absolutely wrong to do this. I understand your feelings at times like this, but personally, I've never done anything like this. So I can only guess what kind of feeling you get when you try and analyze, and then you get disappointed and lose the experience, but in fact because of tilt.It's always important to be able to tell yourself that I've had enough, I've calmed down. There is no need to make any blind bets, no bets against your logic, all this reduces the chances of winning to zero.
You would definitely be having this kind of thinking at the moment that you are getting align with your usual strategy and analysis but ending up on loses at the end specially if you do able to experience it for how many times, then you would definitely be having that kind of thinking on what if you would be trying out to reverse your strategy and look on what would be the result?. Yes, its not bad to test out but sooner or later you would be able to realize that its much better to get aligned with your own ways of choosing up your bet rather than on trying out to reverse it just because the results were opposite. Well, its your choice though but its not something ideal on long term aspect yet it can cause up that kind of mind-boggling or disrupt you to focus on how you would be doing the right way of analysis just because you are being hindered with those previous results.

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May 21, 2026, 01:39:44 PM
 #79

Like you always pick the favorite because in your mind they have the better chance to win anyway, so why make it complicated. You don’t really check too much stats, injuries, line movement or anything like that, you just go with the team that looks stronger. I think a lot of bettors started like this. Betting on the favorite feels safer, because they are favorite for a reason right? But sometimes that is also where the trap is. The odds are low, the payout is not that good, and one bad game can already wipe out a few small wins.

So for those who have been doing this, how was your experience?

Was it actually fun and profitable for you, or just fun but not really profitable in the long run?
What is the goal here? To have fun or to profit? If it is to have fun, there is nothing wrong with pursuing this approach. I have the feeling that many people who write that gambling is for entertainment in this section are just bullshit and they actually do not see it that way, they are just pretending to align with the majority and shitpost. Here is a simple why. I place a bet on the favorite, I watch the game and see how my bet and how the match will turn out -- I am entertaining myself. Where is the problem? There simply isn't one, this is what entertainment means in the context of gambling -- it is the equivalent of watching a movie, you are doing it to "see what will happen".

If your goal is to invest more time into gambling with some attempt at profiting (but not any kind of delusional ideas about the long-term profitability of gambling), then you need to do things differently. It has been mentioned by a few different people in other threads where favorites are mentioned, i.e., that they are a favorite trap by the bookies. Many average people will bet exactly in the way that you have described and they will lose. Many big parleys have been lost over a single match that was on a strong favorite. It is probably the most consistent way that serious big parleys are prevented from being winners. You add some game at 1.2 odds or whatever similar number, and end up preventing yourself from winning a 5 or 6 figure amount.

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May 21, 2026, 04:06:56 PM
 #80

Sometimes it seems to me that betting on your favorite team is exactly the kind of betting when it is practically impossible to lose. If your favorite team wins, it's always incredibly cool: you guessed right, you believed, and you're rewarded for your efforts. And if they lose, it's okay, because these are your favorites. In general, when I see my favorite team losing, I start calling them names loudly in front of the TV, but I do it out of love, as it usually happens with friends when they behave like cretins.
Its not actually right for one to fully trust their team in gambling, as they might get disappointed because since they can't really predict the outcome which might affect their mood and can even lead them into becoming addicted to gambling due to the way they think of gambling and this will really cause them pains and regrets, when they have done something different like betting with a small money despite they are picking their teams and also accepting that anything can happen.











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