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Author Topic: Is This Blind Betting?  (Read 687 times)
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May 21, 2026, 04:14:11 PM
 #81

Like you always pick the favorite because in your mind they have the better chance to win anyway, so why make it complicated. You don’t really check too much stats, injuries, line movement or anything like that, you just go with the team that looks stronger. I think a lot of bettors started like this. Betting on the favorite feels safer, because they are favorite for a reason right? But sometimes that is also where the trap is. The odds are low, the payout is not that good, and one bad game can already wipe out a few small wins.

So for those who have been doing this, how was your experience?

Was it actually fun and profitable for you, or just fun but not really profitable in the long run?
And when I was initially doing sports betting, I didn't actually do much detailed analysis myself, such as whether a player was injured or whether a team had any players in the squad.
I would only look at the ratings of the teams and how they had performed recently.
But gradually, when I experienced different matches here at different times where the team was losing to a weaker team due to the absence of just one key player. Then I did a little in-depth research on sports betting and then chose to do betting placement.

And now from my perspective, my answer would be that those who place bets without doing depth analysis are either completely blind betting or partially blind betting.

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May 21, 2026, 04:21:08 PM
 #82

Like you always pick the favorite because in your mind they have the better chance to win anyway, so why make it complicated. You don’t really check too much stats, injuries, line movement or anything like that, you just go with the team that looks stronger. I think a lot of bettors started like this. Betting on the favorite feels safer, because they are favorite for a reason right? But sometimes that is also where the trap is. The odds are low, the payout is not that good, and one bad game can already wipe out a few small wins.

So for those who have been doing this, how was your experience?

Was it actually fun and profitable for you, or just fun but not really profitable in the long run?

I do this almost every day too. I’m just too lazy to check the news, stats, injuries or even the standings of the games I’m betting on. That’s probably why I lose most of the time. Honestly, in all my years of gambling maybe 80% of my bets were made without even looking at stats or injuries.
I don’t know why, but even though I want to change this habit, I still can’t do it. There are also times when I deposit money for sports betting, but I end up playing slots instead. Which I think is pretty much the same scenario too.

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May 21, 2026, 04:48:06 PM
 #83

Was it actually fun and profitable for you, or just fun but not really profitable in the long run?
Yes, just fun and not profitable in the long run is the reality. Some people may say it is not like that, but they may even be gambling and not making any profit in long term.

I have been gambling for years, what I realized even before I join this forum was that gambling is not a business, or a means of making money or income. If you are doing it to make money, it might seem easy, but it will later be known that it is a wrong thinking.

You make money, you tell your friends, but later losses may follow. You argue today because of the profit made, but tomorrow is another thing and opposite. The house edge and odds are in a way the gambling sites like how they make money from people, yes they like it.
You really understand the reality of gambling from your experience. Many people go into gambling thinking that they’re going to make quick money, especially if they have win big bets before. But with time they will understand that the game doesn’t really favor the players on long run. When someone wins big money, they will start thinking that they’re expert and most times they will go about telling their friends that their strategy is really working that’s why they’re winning. Gambling is very dangerous you can win today and lose everything the next day. Because of this I always advise people not to see gambling as business or a source of income. Gambling site favors their house more than the players, even if the players wins regularly, The house already knows that there’s high advantage of the money coming back to them and the company will keep growing.

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May 21, 2026, 05:35:46 PM
 #84

Like you always pick the favorite because in your mind they have the better chance to win anyway, so why make it complicated. You don’t really check too much stats, injuries, line movement or anything like that, you just go with the team that looks stronger. I think a lot of bettors started like this. Betting on the favorite feels safer, because they are favorite for a reason right? But sometimes that is also where the trap is. The odds are low, the payout is not that good, and one bad game can already wipe out a few small wins.

So for those who have been doing this, how was your experience?

Was it actually fun and profitable for you, or just fun but not really profitable in the long run?
The favorite team basically has a much greater probability of winning than the opposing team and yes, we see many sides so that we assume that the favorite team is the strongest tum from the conclusions obtained, I think it is the same as what the casino concludes where it always gives small odds on the favorite team competing and that is sometimes the problem, when betting small, the rewards are also small when betting big not necessarily the favorite team can also win the match, as far as I feel today, not so profitable especially in a competitive season where many underdog teams manage to bring victory and make our bets lose.

I think no.

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May 21, 2026, 06:03:45 PM
 #85

Like you always pick the favorite because in your mind they have the better chance to win anyway, so why make it complicated. You don’t really check too much stats, injuries, line movement or anything like that, you just go with the team that looks stronger. I think a lot of bettors started like this. Betting on the favorite feels safer, because they are favorite for a reason right? But sometimes that is also where the trap is. The odds are low, the payout is not that good, and one bad game can already wipe out a few small wins.

So for those who have been doing this, how was your experience?

Was it actually fun and profitable for you, or just fun but not really profitable in the long run?

I thought the player's favorite team was the obvious choice here, but it seems the bookmaker's favorite is mentioned instead. And if you are someone who is always picking the favorite of the bookmaker, then you don't have to check anything else and it's more like betting on the casino game but you can watch the game you want and get the feel of how is it going to be at some stage before the game ends, this is not entirely the same as casino gambler type but there is resemblance to it.

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May 21, 2026, 06:34:04 PM
 #86

Al Fayha 0-1 Al Hilal
Al Nassr 0-0 Damac

Given the current situation, Al Hilal is set to win the Saudi Pro League. There’s still plenty of time left, and anything could still happen.
If the match ends up like this, one can imagine how painful it will be for Al Nassr to end the season.

I believe that among the bets placed, there are bettors hoping this situation will persist until the end of the match. It doesn’t matter whether Al Nassr or Al Hilal wins the league—winning the bet is more important.

R


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May 21, 2026, 06:46:45 PM
 #87

It's safe to bet on possible outcome than less possible outcome,  it might feel small but its safer than bigger odds. The experience has not always being profitable,  most times you could feel tempted to go beyond just betting on the safe side after a couple of losses and maybe try out the higher odds.

In some cases, games with the higher odd could seem more possible based on analysis,  but the bookmakers give odds that makes the outcome seem far-fetched but I take the risk regardless. Its best to play safe even during losses, that has being more profitable than betting on higher odds; also reducing the number of parlays should help mostly for big bettors.

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May 21, 2026, 09:08:47 PM
 #88

I think value betting is the safer bet on average but its probably worthy of a study to justify such a view either way.   If you overpay for the 'safe' bet on balance you should end up losing more then you gain in the end because safe doesn't always mean you win and you paid a premium to get the favorite hence its a bad bet in theory at least.

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May 21, 2026, 11:32:45 PM
 #89

I think value betting is the safer bet on average but its probably worthy of a study to justify such a view either way.   If you overpay for the 'safe' bet on balance you should end up losing more then you gain in the end because safe doesn't always mean you win and you paid a premium to get the favorite hence its a bad bet in theory at least.
It depends on the judgment of the bettor. Sometimes we think the side we picked is the safe side because it is probably what most people would also think, but in reality it can be the trap side and that is where many of us lose.

When evaluating the line, we need to be clever, not just look at stats like head-to-head record or which team looks better, but also how the odds are priced. If you see that the line is mispriced and there is real value there, that is value betting.

Always try to have that kind of mindset because it really helps. Bet the value, not just the team you think is better.

 
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May 21, 2026, 11:37:43 PM
 #90

So for those who have been doing this, how was your experience?
Well, I've no favorite team because for me each team has its own pros and cons and that's what matters for me. I personally try my best to watch the match before placing any bets and if a team with high odds perform good then I place my bet in favor of that team. In most matches I cash out before the match is finished and for me that works pretty well. I often do such type of betting on esport games.

 
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May 21, 2026, 11:49:44 PM
 #91

Like you always pick the favorite because in your mind they have the better chance to win anyway, so why make it complicated. You don’t really check too much stats, injuries, line movement or anything like that, you just go with the team that looks stronger. I think a lot of bettors started like this. Betting on the favorite feels safer, because they are favorite for a reason right? But sometimes that is also where the trap is. The odds are low, the payout is not that good, and one bad game can already wipe out a few small wins.
That's actually true, but the question is that what exactly do you expect from the gambler? Of course Gamblers will chose a game with low risk and small odd to increase the chances of winning but that is not the problem, the problem is that even though they play the opposite side, it may still never change anything , which means you ay still lose.

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May 21, 2026, 11:56:34 PM
 #92

So for those who have been doing this, how was your experience?

Was it actually fun and profitable for you, or just fun but not really profitable in the long run?
Picking a favorite team isn't fun because the odds are usually low, and the chances of winning are higher, but the results are mediocre.
I usually pick my favorite team, not the favorite in the match, and the results are always random because sports betting is about predicting, not determining the winner.

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May 21, 2026, 11:57:00 PM
 #93

I do know someone who genuinely only place bet when his team is involved and i can understand why, he does it for the thrill of the game, win or lose his is with this team so the only otpion he has to believe in is winning, so if you strongly believe your team your team will win, i guess it is fair to say you will stake money on that believe and thats what he does. I do imagine the nights he wins and how he actually feels, it must be a thrilll indeed. To be fair again, people like that actually get the most out of gambling if you ask me and they often dont stake much if you notice but everytime their favs are playing, they stake a bet.

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May 22, 2026, 01:48:33 AM
 #94

~snip~
So for those who have been doing this, how was your experience?


I'm not really chasing low odds even though they’re the favorites with a higher chance of winning, it could still be a trap just like what you said. Even new bettors should know that chasing low odds is dangerous because the return is small while luck still plays a big role.

It’s better to look for favorite team with better odds and if we want to improve our chances of winning doing proper analysis would help a lot. Otherwise, we’re depending too much on luck when we only pick based on who the favorite is.

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May 22, 2026, 04:02:28 AM
 #95

Honestly, I've never understood the point of betting on the favorite. Yes, the favorite wins most of the time, but you'll likely only get a small profit from that win. It's a dead end. If you're playing for fun, there's little benefit in guessing who will win when the favorite is already known. And if you're playing for profit, it's even less rewarding, because your winnings will be microscopic, and any random miss will wipe out many of your previous micro-wins.

 
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May 22, 2026, 04:11:26 AM
 #96

Honestly, I rarely bet on favorites. Low odds just don’t feel worth the risk to me. That’s why lately I prefer betting on prop bets like total corners or total cards because I think they carry lower risk and are a bit easier to predict. On top of that, the odds are usually above 1.5, which feels more reasonable for me.

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May 22, 2026, 04:46:30 AM
 #97

Yes, this can be considered blind betting. First of all, you need to understand that gambling is all about luck, and in this situation, if you blindly bet on your favorite team, then it is one of the most foolish things anyone can do while risking their hard-earned money. In sports betting, factors such as playing conditions, pitch information, and the playing squad play an important role.

Yes, at the beginner level, many people do this by choosing their favorite team, but if you seriously want to make some money out of gambling, then you need to do proper analysis of the match being played. I don’t know about the rest, but I always do proper analysis before risking even one dollar on any match.

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May 22, 2026, 05:29:53 AM
 #98

In reality is there really anything like blind betting because what you consider not blind betting doesn't have any guarantee that you will win the game, I think that we should just analyze what we can or go with our instinct and just place the bet. Why I say this is that I've had to stress myself and gather stats, did everything I could to make sure that I will get the perfect prediction yet I lost, that wasn't a blind bet yet I lost. Before the final whistle of a game anything can happen, the favorite can prove why the are the preferred team or the underdog can spring up an upset and change the narrative. To win in gambling you need luck so there is really no perfection or blind bet, you should bet responsibly.

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coinrifft
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May 22, 2026, 10:06:19 AM
 #99

Honestly, I've never understood the point of betting on the favorite. Yes, the favorite wins most of the time, but you'll likely only get a small profit from that win. It's a dead end. If you're playing for fun, there's little benefit in guessing who will win when the favorite is already known. And if you're playing for profit, it's even less rewarding, because your winnings will be microscopic, and any random miss will wipe out many of your previous micro-wins.
Exactly, but there could be favorites that might have a higher odds, just like recently in NBA game between the OKC and Spurs. OKC is the favorite ML, but still a decent bet if you put a big amount of money as they have won game 2.

But if the odds for the favorite is very low, I don't see it as a good bet. We might as well look for other options. And there are cases that even the favorite might not win that game. At least if we bet on the underdog and see them putting a good effort to win, then it might as good for us bettors.

Orpichukwu
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May 22, 2026, 10:35:03 AM
 #100

Honestly, I rarely bet on favorites. Low odds just don’t feel worth the risk to me. That’s why lately I prefer betting on prop bets like total corners or total cards because I think they carry lower risk and are a bit easier to predict. On top of that, the odds are usually above 1.5, which feels more reasonable for me.
The corner and yellow card, together with other options which don't have to do with total winning or number of goals, sometimes appear, but it's not always that easy. Sometimes some games can just appear to be easy for us, but when it gets started, it will be hard for us to conceive the total number of corners or yellow cards depending on what you predicted.

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