Do stats actually help, or can they also mislead bettors?

[savetheFORUM]

That is why I am wondering if stats really help bettors, or if they also mislead us and just make us feel more confident than we should be. At some point, is it better to keep trusting analysis, or just slow down and bet with simpler judgment instead of overthinking everything?

"They make us feel more confident than we should be"... exactly that. We think that some team will win or that we can expect more/less goals, more yellow or red cards, whatever... and after analyzing stats, we get more confident that "something similar" will happen again...

Well, sometimes it happens like that, sometimes (many times) we get surprised... The ball is round, and anything can happen. That's why sports betting is gambling, you can bet on sports, or you can simply choose to buy a super bonus...

Good luck to all players.

Now having stats and analysis is getting new highs because people are feeling comfortable with them and have better results. Even many markets are helping them to have better results. A few years back, things were never easy, but now AI, with the help of many software programs, is helping people enjoy better results.

As mentioned, it never always works because surprise upsets are also part of sports, while people still manage to have many markets like shots on target cards and corners. This also works for good sports betting, touching almost every big boost just because of these stats and analyses.

[The Founding Titan]

I do sports betting myself, and I do spend time analyzing before I place a bet, and actually I even check different sources just to compare stats and make sure I am not missing anything. But even with all that effort, I still cannot say I am profitable. So now I am starting to question it. Am I just analyzing the wrong way or is it really that hard to win consistently even if you study the numbers? sometimes it feels like the more stats you look at, the more confused you get and in the end the result still goes against you.

That is why I am wondering if stats really help bettors, or if they also mislead us and just make us feel more confident than we should be. At some point, is it better to keep trusting analysis, or just slow down and bet with simpler judgment instead of overthinking everything?

Simpler judgment will probably still beat overthinking everything but it is still a judgment call and not some leave it to chances senerio where you don't even have any idea on how the games if going to play out just that you hope one teams wins and you place you bet on them to win, you don't know them or what they are capable of but just relying solely on your luck and frankly if that's how yo are going to gamble then you might as well just play with slot games instead.

[Tungbulu]

Usually what I have learnt from checking many sources like you is that yes you get confused but the most important lesson is that usually the event who is the most well known and who attracts most of the bettors end up being a losing bet. Even in some very rare cases like the finals of European competitions or group stages of such competitions when some bet that all people bet ends up being a winning one, pretty sure 100% the next day bets even when looking 100% to be easy to end up a winning bet in fact it will end up being a losing one, that is just the way it works. So with this I want to say that overall analyzing stats does not give us any edge or something like that, it is just psychologically makes us feel confident about a bet we place and nothing else.

I’ll agree partly with you on your assertion that popular bets often lose and that psychology plays a big role, but the part that stats have no values at all is what I’ll disagree with you. Basic stats or analysis kinda already priced in, which sometimes makes it feel useless sometimes, but the truth is that, when the analysis becomes deeper, with some touch of discipline, it becomes capable of revealing some slight loops and inefficiencies in the odds, this helps to come up with a more accurate and realistic prediction. So the analysis are not completely useless after all.

[colinistheman]

I do sports betting myself, and I do spend time analyzing before I place a bet, and actually I even check different sources just to compare stats and make sure I am not missing anything. But even with all that effort, I still cannot say I am profitable. So now I am starting to question it. Am I just analyzing the wrong way or is it really that hard to win consistently even if you study the numbers? sometimes it feels like the more stats you look at, the more confused you get and in the end the result still goes against you.

Almost everyone who take betting seriously has to deal with this crap at some point in their gambling live. Stats are undoubtedly useful. But this information overload of extra data is not a good thing. When you start adding more advanced level data like xG, PPDA, Expected Point to the table it become even harder to get the actual picture of field. I am personally going through this confusing situation. Sometimes a simple analysis like team's current form, motivation, head 2 head record and main player injury helps you to make more informed decisions than drowning in a sea of ​​data.

[Crypto Library]

Actually, here I will say that gambling is fully depends on luck and that is why indirect winning is present in all gambling but here I think specifically our first and main goal should be entertainment if not entertainment. If the sole purpose is to win then it will be seen that we will bet beyond our ability to lose and when we lose then we will go through a financial crisis where we will not get entertainment but rather stress in our brain.

So we need to understand that gambling is not only dependent on luck. And at the same time, we also need to understand that this is why we accept it as an entertainment source.

[xLays]

As someone who regularly bets on NBA player props, I can say that checking stats really helps when picking winning bets. I usually look at player’s average PRA over their last five games and sometimes I lower my pick to increase the chances of winning, eventhough the odds become lower too.
But there are also other important factors to consider, like how many minutes coach plans to give to player. Most bettors don’t really know that information and because of that, relying only on stats can sometimes be useless or mislead like you ask.

[Bitcoin_Budha]

Everyone is having his own view about this because there are many things involved in gambling. Most people are sure it's all about luck, but now in sports betting, stats and checking related data are bringing good changes and chances of winning because now many prop bets are also available in the market. But still, gambling or sports betting is having a strong connection with psychology because now, with the help of media, things are being manipulated, and it's always bringing surprises.

A few things are surely needed to understand how this data and analysis work, but it also can give shocking results because matchday performance also counts in results, and sometimes teams fail to have the expected performance.

[Africolo]

I do sports betting myself, and I do spend time analyzing before I place a bet, and actually I even check different sources just to compare stats and make sure I am not missing anything. But even with all that effort, I still cannot say I am profitable. So now I am starting to question it. Am I just analyzing the wrong way or is it really that hard to win consistently even if you study the numbers? sometimes it feels like the more stats you look at, the more confused you get and in the end the result still goes against you.

That is why I am wondering if stats really help bettors, or if they also mislead us and just make us feel more confident than we should be. At some point, is it better to keep trusting analysis, or just slow down and bet with simpler judgment instead of overthinking everything?

Analysis doesn't guarantee winnings but it's actually gives direction to the gambler to know a team he will select, without carefully analyzing games I don't think one can actually bet and win successfully because what will you be betting on if you don't know the stats and team performances?, so as for me I think analysis helps in making someone win except you don't make your analysis right that's when you will begin to have problems.

Everyone can't be profitable from making analysis due to wrong and bad decision making and while gambling you should also understand that winning depends on luck, you can be gambling and making different analysis and yet you still won't win, one must not depend on the analysis he or she makes because it won't make you win but it only gives you an edge and knowledge of the games you are to select.

[Grace333]

I do sports betting myself, and I do spend time analyzing before I place a bet, and actually I even check different sources just to compare stats and make sure I am not missing anything. But even with all that effort, I still cannot say I am profitable. So now I am starting to question it. Am I just analyzing the wrong way or is it really that hard to win consistently even if you study the numbers? sometimes it feels like the more stats you look at, the more confused you get and in the end the result still goes against you.

That is why I am wondering if stats really help bettors, or if they also mislead us and just make us feel more confident than we should be. At some point, is it better to keep trusting analysis, or just slow down and bet with simpler judgment instead of overthinking everything?

gamble wasn't designed for you to use your brains and just figure out the game work and probably start winning like a pro. It's not a skill that we can learn because it's algorithm was built to function with random results for casino while for sports betting it also produces random result based on change in circumstances and opportunities. No 2 games are thesame irrespective of the fact that it's same team that's playing.  At every instance of time each player react based on what they see,  hear or feel so the result are definitely not going to be thesame.

[Synchronice]

I do sports betting myself, and I do spend time analyzing before I place a bet, and actually I even check different sources just to compare stats and make sure I am not missing anything. But even with all that effort, I still cannot say I am profitable. So now I am starting to question it. Am I just analyzing the wrong way or is it really that hard to win consistently even if you study the numbers? sometimes it feels like the more stats you look at, the more confused you get and in the end the result still goes against you.

That is why I am wondering if stats really help bettors, or if they also mislead us and just make us feel more confident than we should be. At some point, is it better to keep trusting analysis, or just slow down and bet with simpler judgment instead of overthinking everything?

Stats aren't only available for you, they are also available for sportsbooks and honestly, they put lots of efforts into stats and they also have a team of professionals who work around these stats to make sure that the odds they offer to you, will generate a profit for the sportsbook. You can use stats to analyze the situation and make a decision but stats don't always work. Sometimes unexpected things happen and all the statistical information becomes meaningless. Sometimes team or a player makes one huge mistake and the fate of the match/game changes.

[Wiwo]

Stats and analysis of games help a lot, I understand that we may have some bad days with our starts or analysis and this leads us to losses that we don't see in our stats, the conclusion of the matter is, you can profit from whatever market as long as you are doing every betting after careful observations.

Anything  betting that involves games and individuals can never be

[Hispo]

...

That is why I am wondering if stats really help bettors, or if they also mislead us and just make us feel more confident than we should be. At some point, is it better to keep trusting analysis, or just slow down and bet with simpler judgment instead of overthinking everything?

Statistics actually help bettors, being informed will always be better than not knowing anything and bet blindly, but statistics is not everything when comes to trying to get consistency in some specific sports, specially if you get your numbers from sources which are devious.

I personally believe betting is about thirty percent statistics and analysis and the rest seventy percent is just luck. So regardless how many hours you spend searching for data and patterns, you will still be at the mercy of luck and entropy. That is why being consistent in betting is something reserved fora very small percentage of bettors within this ecosystem.

Do not feel bad of you are not consistent yet, just be aware that your money is not guaranteed and betting is as wild and uncertain as gambling on casino games is.

[Cointxz]

That is why I am wondering if stats really help bettors, or if they also mislead us and just make us feel more confident than we should be. At some point, is it better to keep trusting analysis, or just slow down and bet with simpler judgment instead of overthinking everything?

Stats definitely help bettor to analyze what’s the possible winning percentage of a certain bet is. The problem is the odds given by the bookies that typically mislead bettor thinking it was the winning percentage of a certain bet.

Some bettor intentionally focus on odds instead of the stats that’s why they keep seeking higher odds that has low chance of winning in reality based on the stats. Some bettor is willing to take a risk for a higher return.

[jcojci]

You do the right thing analyzing before you pick the choice but the result will not always be the same as your analysis, that can makes you difficult to win and feels losing money. Statistic helps bettors so they can analyzing the game to pick the right although they don't know if that can win or lose.

That will be better than not analyzing because you pick the team based on your analysis which could be your wins, you should always research and analyze before placing your bet and don't thinks the result.

[ruykeri]

I do sports betting myself, and I do spend time analyzing before I place a bet, and actually I even check different sources just to compare stats and make sure I am not missing anything. But even with all that effort, I still cannot say I am profitable. So now I am starting to question it. Am I just analyzing the wrong way or is it really that hard to win consistently even if you study the numbers? sometimes it feels like the more stats you look at, the more confused you get and in the end the result still goes against you.

Almost everyone who take betting seriously has to deal with this crap at some point in their gambling live. Stats are undoubtedly useful. But this information overload of extra data is not a good thing. When you start adding more advanced level data like xG, PPDA, Expected Point to the table it become even harder to get the actual picture of field. I am personally going through this confusing situation. Sometimes a simple analysis like team's current form, motivation, head 2 head record and main player injury helps you to make more informed decisions than drowning in a sea of ​​data.

I have actually noticed this too. The more data and information you add, the more confusing the prediction becomes. And in gambling, it is not possible to make a guaranteed win prediction. In the case of sports betting, this deep analysis does not always work. Because sometimes many strong teams lose to weak teams. And while analyzing with more info and data, sometimes extra seriousness works and a lot of time is wasted. It is better to be mentally relaxed by betting on a slightly smaller amount. Considering this aspect, I take the matter very simply. Where I do not waste so much time and select a team through basic data and bet.

[yhiaali3]

No, it's not your fault. This is normal and happens to everyone because I simply believe that betting or gambling in general depends primarily and ultimately on luck, and therefore all those huge amounts of accumulated statistics that give you a headache and increase the anxiety will not be of any use.

Gambling is based on the principle of luck and probability, therefore all statistics, data, information, analyses, evaluations, etc., only give you a small percentage, and the rest depends on luck.

[LogitechMouse]

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That is why I am wondering if stats really help bettors, or if they also mislead us and just make us feel more confident than we should be. At some point, is it better to keep trusting analysis, or just slow down and bet with simpler judgment instead of overthinking everything?

TBH, it can be either way. It can help other bettors, but it can also be misleading as well.

I've done the same thing as you in the past as well. I've tried getting the average PPG of the top 3 scorers of both teams, and I still ended up losing my money. I've also done it with rebounds, assists and blocks as well, and it didn't end up well in my favor. I stopped it after doing it and losing 5 consecutive bets. I don't know the reason, but I lost that's why I quit.

Just like in trading, we are being presented with the same data, and it's up to us bettor on how do we utilize it. It can favor us or go against us as well. It didn't work for me, but it doesn't mean that it will not work to others.

[Don Pedro Dinero]

I do sports betting myself, and I do spend time analyzing before I place a bet, and actually I even check different sources just to compare stats and make sure I am not missing anything. But even with all that effort, I still cannot say I am profitable. So now I am starting to question it. Am I just analyzing the wrong way or is it really that hard to win consistently even if you study the numbers? sometimes it feels like the more stats you look at, the more confused you get and in the end the result still goes against you.

That is why I am wondering if stats really help bettors, or if they also mislead us and just make us feel more confident than we should be.

That’s exactly what it’s all about. If you look at the comments on sports events, people are constantly mentioning statistics, trying to convince you that thanks to them you’ll be able to make good money from betting. But the access to statistics and the ability to analyse them that you have will always be inferior to that of the bookmakers, who also have the freedom to set the odds.

If you want to make a consistent profit, analysing statistics is a must, but you’ll need to find a niche – it won’t be in the major leagues, and it’s getting harder and harder. For everyone else, it’s better to bet every now and then, following your gut feeling, and avoid all the hassle.

[Woodie]

Lets look at it this way, stats might be available to us but unfortunately we ignore other variables like bad weather, incomplete teams , travelling, players gaining or maybe player fatigue and lost goes on... Personally I think stats just give us a slight edge instead of having the 50/50 chance of winning.. it jumps up to 60:40 , otherwise a bit of luck in the equation should tilt things in our favour..

[batang_bitcoin]

But even with all that effort, I still cannot say I am profitable. So now I am starting to question it. Am I just analyzing the wrong way or is it really that hard to win consistently even if you study the numbers? sometimes it feels like the more stats you look at, the more confused you get and in the end the result still goes against you.

I'll take a guess that out of 100% of the sports bettors, it might even be that 90% are losers including me too.

That is why I am wondering if stats really help bettors, or if they also mislead us and just make us feel more confident than we should be. At some point, is it better to keep trusting analysis, or just slow down and bet with simpler judgment instead of overthinking everything?

Don't feel bad when your own stats doesn't go well. It only means that you're live and actually betting. The others might just be sports betting for their own entertainment and we should also be like that. Because if we keep track on this stats, I'm sure that the majority of us won't even near to break even.