My tests with AI and betting on the World Cup

[Slow death]

It's a good experiment you're doing, with that bankroll amount, and so far you haven't had any losses, on the contrary, you're making a profit. So, for now, the experiment can be considered positive. We'll see how AI performs in the recent games you bet on. I don't use AI and prefer to trust my own analysis, and I bet $5 on Brazil to win. It has decent odds, and I believe that, given Brazil's history of victories in their first World Cup games, their current good coach, and their good squad, they will win. I know Morocco shouldn't be underestimated, but Brazil has players and a coach with better skills than Morocco.

[KTChampions]

~
I agree with the AI ​​analysis and have already bet $3 on each
Total of $6 today.

Canada game - odds 1.68
USA game - odds 1.55

I'll see if I can post the prompt I used here, and if I can, I'll also post the AI ​​analysis so you can compare

I'll try to make my posts better and more informative
I won't bet on all the games, but at least today I will, and tomorrow I'll focus on the Brazil game, then I'll only bet on the most interesting ones

I bet on Total Under in the Korea vs. Czech Republic game and my bet was also lost 
But it seems to me that such a bet in the USA - Paraguay game was unfounded: both teams are playing in conditions that are familiar to them, and both are quite poor in defense, a good-scoring game was to be expected.
But still, as I understand it, after 3 bets you are in a small plus, let's see where the AI ​​takes you next.

[Wakate]

It's a good experiment you're doing, with that bankroll amount, and so far you haven't had any losses, on the contrary, you're making a profit. So, for now, the experiment can be considered positive. We'll see how AI performs in the recent games you bet on. I don't use AI and prefer to trust my own analysis, and I bet $5 on Brazil to win. It has decent odds, and I believe that, given Brazil's history of victories in their first World Cup games, their current good coach, and their good squad, they will win. I know Morocco shouldn't be underestimated, but Brazil has players and a coach with better skills than Morocco.

I have someone that was always giving me games to bet on and most time the games do end up in winning until it reaches a time that I have to be adjusting the game to my own suitable predictions because I no longer get a win like I used to see.
It was later I realized that the dude was using AI to make predictions which was disappointing to me because I know that artificial intelligence can lag a lot and we shouldn't be dependent on it.

[Jatiluhung]

It's a good experiment you're doing, with that bankroll amount, and so far you haven't had any losses, on the contrary, you're making a profit. So, for now, the experiment can be considered positive. We'll see how AI performs in the recent games you bet on. I don't use AI and prefer to trust my own analysis, and I bet $5 on Brazil to win. It has decent odds, and I believe that, given Brazil's history of victories in their first World Cup games, their current good coach, and their good squad, they will win. I know Morocco shouldn't be underestimated, but Brazil has players and a coach with better skills than Morocco.

Combining AI analysis with our own analysis does seem more effective. I personally do this as well. However, I only use it to check head-to-head records, player fitness data, and similar information, as well as the history of matches between the teams about to play. So what the OP is doing is actually quite common these days. It’s just that updating here and sharing the results here is actually pretty interesting. Because sometimes we’re always pretty curious about what others come up with. Hahaha

Regarding the Brazil vs. Morocco match, in terms of squad depth, Brazil is clearly the favorite. The odds for betting on Brazil also look pretty good. Head-to-head, Brazil is clearly superior as well.

But personally, I’m curious and want to take a small risk in this match by backing Morocco. morocco usually plays a fast-paced style. I hope they’re still like that.

[KTChampions]

~
Regarding the Brazil vs. Morocco match, in terms of squad depth, Brazil is clearly the favorite. The odds for betting on Brazil also look pretty good. Head-to-head, Brazil is clearly superior as well.

But personally, I’m curious and want to take a small risk in this match by backing Morocco. morocco usually plays a fast-paced style. I hope they’re still like that.

I don't know how it works, I "dodged" Qatar - Switzerland because Switzerland didn't seem to me to be such a clear favorite as the bookmakers made it out to be, but I also decided to take a chance with Brazil. And by the way, I had no illusions that Brazil was the clear favorite - Morocco is a strong team, they took 4th place at the last World Cup and are the current vice-champions of Africa. The odds seemed reasonable to me (1.70), but Brazil failed to win.

[Jatiluhung]

~
Regarding the Brazil vs. Morocco match, in terms of squad depth, Brazil is clearly the favorite. The odds for betting on Brazil also look pretty good. Head-to-head, Brazil is clearly superior as well.

But personally, I’m curious and want to take a small risk in this match by backing Morocco. morocco usually plays a fast-paced style. I hope they’re still like that.

I don't know how it works, I "dodged" Qatar - Switzerland because Switzerland didn't seem to me to be such a clear favorite as the bookmakers made it out to be, but I also decided to take a chance with Brazil. And by the way, I had no illusions that Brazil was the clear favorite - Morocco is a strong team, they took 4th place at the last World Cup and are the current vice-champions of Africa. The odds seemed reasonable to me (1.70), but Brazil failed to win.

But in the end, our bet didn’t pay off because the match ended in a draw. Morocco played as well as I expected, but Brazil is just a strong team, so beating them is really tough. honestly, though, I think a draw was a fair result for that match. in the first half, Morocco controlled the game, but in the second half, Brazil took over.

By the way, I asked about the upcoming Netherlands vs. Japan match. And the AI mentioned that the most likely outcome is a win for the Netherlands, of course. And well, the majority of us here would probably agree. It’s just that I want to take a risk one more time, just for fun. That is, I’ll be rooting for Japan. I think the score might be 1-2 or 0-1 in Japan’s favor.

[rohang]

Interested to follow this,

But @rdluffy could you perhaps update your bets and results so far so it can be easier to see how the project is going so far

I hope you end up with a profit, which I think is definitely possible since modern AIs can do insane things right now

[Agbe]

If AI was perfect prediction option, everyone would have used it to win their betting but AI is worst than human prediction. Like yesterday matches. The odds for Brazil and Switzerland were very high and everyone thought those two teams would win but all prediction on those teams were lost and people lost their bets. Therefore, I still prefer human prediction more than AI bot prediction.

[Fivestar4everMVP]

Interested to follow this,

But @rdluffy could you perhaps update your bets and results so far so it can be easier to see how the project is going so far

I hope you end up with a profit, which I think is definitely possible since modern AIs can do insane things right now

Some days ago, I made built a parley of about 8 legs in the ongoing  world Cup using Ai as the core base for my analysis, I came up with three different bets with 8 leg, 5 legs and 10 legs respectively and stake a small amount of money on each of those bets.

As I write this comment right now, all of those tickets are now closed and settled as a loss because one or more matches in that tickets have failed to play out exactly how the Ai predicted it will play out.
This is to show us all that even Ai can not better our chances of winning games in sports betting. And this is also another prove that Ai can never be a threat to sports betting or gambling, it can never be a threat to casinos because to be honest, I think human beings have better ability of predicting game outcomes correctly than Ai.

[hyudien]

But in the end, our bet didn’t pay off because the match ended in a draw. Morocco played as well as I expected, but Brazil is just a strong team, so beating them is really tough. honestly, though, I think a draw was a fair result for that match. in the first half, Morocco controlled the game, but in the second half, Brazil took over.

It's only the early stages and we've already been given a surprise in this world cup, no one expected Brazil to only get 1 point, I'm pretty sure many bettors didn't manage to win. Including me, so we're in the same boat, bro.

By the way, I asked about the upcoming Netherlands vs. Japan match. And the AI mentioned that the most likely outcome is a win for the Netherlands, of course. And well, the majority of us here would probably agree. It’s just that I want to take a risk one more time, just for fun. That is, I’ll be rooting for Japan. I think the score might be 1-2 or 0-1 in Japan’s favor.

Netherlands is not really a favorite, but of course if you ask AI and even in general people will definitely put them as favorites, but the odds of these two teams are not much different, Netherlands @ 2.25 and Japan @ 3.60. Tempting and risky. BTTS (yes) is also quite risky, with odds of 1.83, so maybe betting the under is much safer.

[qwertyup23]

It's a good experiment you're doing, with that bankroll amount, and so far you haven't had any losses, on the contrary, you're making a profit. So, for now, the experiment can be considered positive. We'll see how AI performs in the recent games you bet on. I don't use AI and prefer to trust my own analysis, and I bet $5 on Brazil to win. It has decent odds, and I believe that, given Brazil's history of victories in their first World Cup games, their current good coach, and their good squad, they will win. I know Morocco shouldn't be underestimated, but Brazil has players and a coach with better skills than Morocco.

I definitely agree with you.

The problem lies on how people view AI given that they treat it like their primary tool instead of choosing it as a means of alternative of providing information. On its own, AI intelligence should always been inferior to the efforts and knowledge of an actual live person.

If AI was perfect prediction option, everyone would have used it to win their betting but AI is worst than human prediction. Like yesterday matches. The odds for Brazil and Switzerland were very high and everyone thought those two teams would win but all prediction on those teams were lost and people lost their bets. Therefore, I still prefer human prediction more than AI bot prediction.

If AI prediction is accurate, then such market would have been defeated in the current time. Not to mention, that will destroy and bankrupt each gambling platform that will cause its downfall quickl.y
\

[Jatiluhung]

But in the end, our bet didn’t pay off because the match ended in a draw. Morocco played as well as I expected, but Brazil is just a strong team, so beating them is really tough. honestly, though, I think a draw was a fair result for that match. in the first half, Morocco controlled the game, but in the second half, Brazil took over.

It's only the early stages and we've already been given a surprise in this world cup, no one expected Brazil to only get 1 point, I'm pretty sure many bettors didn't manage to win. Including me, so we're in the same boat, bro.

Yeahh bro  .. But in that match, especially when Morocco scored first, I was really happy because at first I thought Morocco actually looked like they might be able to score more than one goal. however, after scoring that first goal, Morocco actually changed their playing style a bit. They probably felt they needed to protect that lead rather than score more goals. Even though we might not have won the bet, at least we were entertained by the two teams’ playing styles, which were far from boring.

By the way, I asked about the upcoming Netherlands vs. Japan match. And the AI mentioned that the most likely outcome is a win for the Netherlands, of course. And well, the majority of us here would probably agree. It’s just that I want to take a risk one more time, just for fun. That is, I’ll be rooting for Japan. I think the score might be 1-2 or 0-1 in Japan’s favor.

Netherlands is not really a favorite, but of course if you ask AI and even in general people will definitely put them as favorites, but the odds of these two teams are not much different, Netherlands @ 2.25 and Japan @ 3.60. Tempting and risky. BTTS (yes) is also quite risky, with odds of 1.83, so maybe betting the under is much safer.

But I’m also curious if this match will end in another draw. For some reason, though, I have a different perspective than what the AI analysis and most people’s predictions suggest. Maybe it’s because I’m from Asia and, emotionally, I want to root for an Asian team.

[HONDACD125]

Interesting experiment, I would love to follow along to see how the overall bankroll ends up after the world cup ends, or whether you can make some profits from it or lose it even before the tournament ends.

OP, wouldn't it be nice if you could add updates about the bets you've made and their results in the opening post? It would be easier for everyone to see the progress. I literally had to see through all the pages of this thread only to find your bets and their results and the bankroll after it. So I suggest that you add all your bets, their results, and the current bankroll in the OP and keep updating them there so that we can easily see how it's going.

Even though I personally don't trust predictions from AI that much, but they can surely help with analysis. By the way, correct me if I'm wrong, but as far as I know, the free version of ChatGPT can't access the info currently available online and has been trained with data from the past. I think Google Gemini could be a good option in this regard. Have you tried it?

[|MINER|]

I think there is one option missing in the poll you created which is "depends on your luck". I personally would say that no one can tell you the result of the match with 100% guarantee whether you use artificial intelligence or take the help of the best sports analyst in the world. For example, in the previous match between Brazil and Morocco, everyone thought that Brazil would win, but here the Moroccan team was seen to perform aggressively and on the other hand Brazil was seen to be weak.
So I think it would be foolish to always assume that the result of artificial intelligence will be true. Because the ultimate result of everything here depends mainly on luck.

[GiftedMAN]

If AI was perfect prediction option, everyone would have used it to win their betting but AI is worst than human prediction. Like yesterday matches. The odds for Brazil and Switzerland were very high and everyone thought those two teams would win but all prediction on those teams were lost and people lost their bets. Therefore, I still prefer human prediction more than AI bot prediction.

Humans prediction will still predict that Switzerland and Brazil would be winners in their games same thing with Al because they had the small odds and the better squad depth but as you already know both AI and human prediction failed because the two matches ended in a 1:1 draw there by making bettors to lose their bet. For whatever reason you don't need to depend on any prediction for your gambling because anything is possible in football and the performance of the teams has nothing to do with the odds that they are given.