Are “safe bets” really safe, or just overpriced?

[Onyeeze]

Many bettors like to pick the favorite because it feels safer. Strong team, better players, better record, so it looks like the obvious side to take.

I am not aware of this but I want to assure you that in gambling I don't think that a gambling team or platform can be able to pick up favorite to the gamblers because I know quite well that whoever that means in any gambling platform has the experience losses are also take corrections so that it will not be able to make auto repeat a such mistake again, so I want to assure you that for someone to win in gambling the person have examine the performance of the boat team very well and know the strength if they can be able to defeat their openness or not so this is one of the things that make people to win from gambling.

[Uhwuchukwu53]

Well I can't completely comprehend the safe bet, no bet is safe because from experience I have seen occasionally where the bet that one gambler pick to be safe become what failed him, sorry to use this instance looking at the world cup match between USA and Paraguay how you a better look at the risk of see them conceiving four goals with Paraguay experience in football, luck play a major role. If bet have safe bet I think it would be more of positive outcome all time without negative outcome as many gambler See's in their bet, even confidence or experience has limitations because of high level of uncertainty, anything safe bet is partially overpriced.

[Findingnemo]

Many bettors like to pick the favorite because it feels safer. Strong team, better players, better record, so it looks like the obvious side to take.

But that is where the trap can start.

Sportsbooks already know most people will run to the favorite, so the odds or spread can become too expensive. The team may still win, but the bet itself might not be good anymore because the value is gone. This is why I’m starting to think that a safe-looking bet can still be a bad bet. Maybe the question should not be “will this team win?” but “am I paying too much for this pick?”

For those who do sports betting, do you still trust favorites when the odds are low, or do you avoid them once the price looks too expensive?

We can't really put the two words 'safe' and 'bet' together because there is no such thing. So when we think that we found one then it is just the illusion of taking the risk for nothing. This is one of the reason I just go with plain and simple math behind casino games, I mean there you have different level of calculations for winning but it is just simple, if you hit this x then you will win that much so kind of transparent but with sports betting the odds always keep chaing and it almost kind of being manipulated.

[mv1986]

Many bettors like to pick the favorite because it feels safer. Strong team, better players, better record, so it looks like the obvious side to take.

But that is where the trap can start.

Sportsbooks already know most people will run to the favorite, so the odds or spread can become too expensive. The team may still win, but the bet itself might not be good anymore because the value is gone. This is why I’m starting to think that a safe-looking bet can still be a bad bet. Maybe the question should not be “will this team win?” but “am I paying too much for this pick?”

For those who do sports betting, do you still trust favorites when the odds are low, or do you avoid them once the price looks too expensive?

No I think sports book balance the odds according to how bets coming in step by step. It is not true that everyone goes for the favourite under any and all circumstances.

One of the best examples against it is when you a play multi bet and have three strong picks already safe and then to boost the odds a little bit, you added one big favourite with odds of easy 1.20. I think you know what I am going to say, it is the favourite that messed up your multi bet. At least those who have been placing bets for a while, know that there is no safe way ever.

[Myleschetty]

Since the game is said to be a game of chance and the odds are always against us as gamblers, I believe safe betting in gambling is a myth because nothing guarantees a winner.

Many bettors like to pick the favorite because it feels safer. Strong team, better players, better record, so it looks like the obvious side to take.

Such betting strategies, in my opinion, are used by gamblers who don't have the time to thoroughly analyze the game and don't want to miss the game event due to their enthusiasm

[Orpichukwu]

I've lost too many what I thought would be "safe bets" to lose count.
Truth of the matter is that no bet is entirely safe considering all the variance in sports betting.

Bet safety and guaranteed winning are something out of line here. Anyone believing in that based on the data they have or odds selections are leading themselves to a trap. When odds appear too low, sometimes we should question it. The bookies don't know it all, but they can be very tricky in terms of playing with our minds.

[Crypto_Timothy]

The thing with gambling is that the house never wants you to win because if you did, you would never place another bet or at least not immediately. So the house is always against you, therefore the odds and everything is usually against the player. Unless you get a fixed match there is absolutely nothing like safe bets, at least that's what I like to think because you can't truly prevent indeed.

[Fredomago]

I've lost too many what I thought would be "safe bets" to lose count.
Truth of the matter is that no bet is entirely safe considering all the variance in sports betting.

Bet safety and guaranteed winning are something out of line here. Anyone believing in that based on the data they have or odds selections are leading themselves to a trap. When odds appear too low, sometimes we should question it. The bookies don't know it all, but they can be very tricky in terms of playing with our minds.

Bookies for sure do the deligence to investigate and with more advanced technology they'll have a better way to analyze before they'll going to provide the odd that they'll going to offer, as for that I agree that it's not something that they just missed look but something that may play tricks inside your mind that more likely lead a gambler to pick it up and being upset after.

[Ziskinberg]

I guess there's really no safe bets with gambling. Everything is all about risky betting.

I don't just bet simply because its the bettors favorites. Although I'm actually more on betting what's the favorite team, favorite player, but at some point, betting blindly will often lead you to an unexpected loss. That's why if I bet on the favorite, that's because I actually see their winning edge, not because its the best choice of other players.

And when I chose the lower odds, that's because I think the winning probability is higher there compared to the higher odds.

[retreat]

Even though a bet has lower odds, that doesn't necessarily make it a safe bet. These odds are estimates made by the bookmaker and don't necessarily reflect the actual outcome of the match. Therefore, when participating in bets with low odds, one must understand that there is still a risk of loss and should not treat the bet as free money. Because with a smaller potential profit, you still run the risk of losing your money.

[Coyster]

It is not really about trusting your bet, that part is inconsequential. The thing about betting on the favorites is that you may have to stake very high to get any potential winning that is worthwhile. And if you stake very high, you greatly increase your risk and you may end up losing more than you can actually afford to lose.

I mix my bet up, not single bets, always parlays. But i mix the outcome, i like to take "risks" with underdogs and go for outcomes that are not so popular. Though i am able to comfortably do that because i gamble with a small amount of money.

[LastKiss]

~snip~

For those who do sports betting, do you still trust favorites when the odds are low, or do you avoid them once the price looks too expensive?

I still believe they have a very high chance of winning but I will avoid betting on them because the odds are too low, which makes the bet not worth to take and the potential reward is also quite small. It may look tempting because we tend to think that the favorite is the safest option to bet but unfortunately, the result  can sometimes be very different from what we expect. When we lose such a bet, it can be even more frustrating because the risk to reward was not worth it in the first place. As a result, we may feel a strong urge to chase our losses and place another bet to recover the money.

[SamReomo]

For those who do sports betting, do you still trust favorites when the odds are low, or do you avoid them once the price looks too expensive?

I never trust favorites, first I do my deep research by using various tools, and once research it done I always try my best to watch the match live where I place my bets, and for a few minutes I never place any bets, if favorite team does better by showing good performance then I support it by placing my bet in favor of it, but if the weaker team does better than I place my vote in support of that weaker team and most of the times I win my bets, and to be honest, I've won bets by supporting weaker teams that performed better in the matches.

[Darker45]

Otherwise, you won't have any safe bet.

But is this "safe bet" a real thing? ( considering you did all what you said).

No, and that's the reason why those words were italicized. Safe bets only exist in your mind. Just like sure wins, they're only imaginary. But the only way to feel confident that your bets are safe is to back them with analyses. You can't have safe bets if you're only betting based on the odds. Even if those are heavy favorite odds, you can't feel they're solid if you aren't even checking on the stats.

I've been grouping together 4-5 "safe bets" for parlay. Almost all of them lost.

[TopT3ns]

~snip~

For those who do sports betting, do you still trust favorites when the odds are low, or do you avoid them once the price looks too expensive?

I still believe they have a very high chance of winning but I will avoid betting on them because the odds are too low, which makes the bet not worth to take and the potential reward is also quite small. It may look tempting because we tend to think that the favorite is the safest option to bet but unfortunately, the result  can sometimes be very different from what we expect. When we lose such a bet, it can be even more frustrating because the risk to reward was not worth it in the first place. As a result, we may feel a strong urge to chase our losses and place another bet to recover the money.

Trying to win over a favourite team with low returns in terms of profits usually translates to frustration as poor performance is experienced. I feel that the only way to save your money is by not making such bet. Not every player can afford to play in high risk and with small return. Find other and much more lucrative possibilities.

[asriloni]

For those who do sports betting, do you still trust favorites when the odds are low, or do you avoid them once the price looks too expensive?

I think this is still depending on what team faced by our pick. If we get Arsenal to have low odds less than 1.25 against a relegation team. I do believe they can have 99% chance to win the game. Meanwhile, i'm often overthinking when it comes to their game against a midtable club. The fact that midtable club is often becoming a trap for me.

I remember so well when i was in favor City to win against Everton. City got small odds means they're favorite to win the game, but it's ended with the draw. This is the reason it's hard to determine whether it's safe bet or overpriced bet without knowing the opponent.

[TopTort777]

Gambler can think whatever they want, but statistics of losses show that there are no safe bets. Statistics show that even bets with ridiculous odds that a lower than 1.01 have chances to lose. Moreover, statistic show that in games where you have less that 2-5% of losing (limbo and dice games) you lose too often. Sometimes you have several losses that came one after another, which must be a rare scenario. All in all I better suggest not to rely on safe bets much or dont think about them at all.