Bitcoin prediction thread for July

[maydna]

This $50,000 drop may not happen because we can see that Bitcoin is now above $64K around mid-July 2026. To be honest, Bitcoin is still trending upwards despite the recent sell-off of Saylor’s Bitcoin and the recent resurgence of the war, so it is clear to us at this point that Bitcoin may be able to reach higher. You should notice that those who want to buy Bitcoin at a discounted price should buy it now instead of waiting because in my opinion, you have to deposit BTC continuously to achieve the desired amount of BTC from the investment.

I also share the same assumption, hoping the price continues to rise and doesn't stall again this weekend. Of course, some people are accumulating, as usual, buying while the price is still good before it rises. I believe the BTC price will improve over the next three months, especially if geopolitical tensions ease.

It is obviously Bitcoin can increase in the future so with the lower price now, we have more chances to buy at low. We should use this time to buy according our funds so we will not be late buying at low and make a profit later. Accumulation will be the best but we don't need to be aggressive doing that because the price will still fluctuating and we should search for the low price to buy. I don't know whether the price will be improved over the next three months or not but I hope that will happens.

[summonerrk]

With US regime destabilizing the global markets and trade routes again, the energy prices such as oil price are shooting up once more. This has already started a new round of increasing inflation. We already know inflation is positive for bitcoin (fiat dumping, bitcoin rising) and we are seeing how it has been helping the recovery and the new round of testing the $65k resistance level.

As I said before, if we can break this resistance and go above it then we can expect the bull run to begin. So the coming days are crucial.

Inflation is just one factor influencing Bitcoin's price, and in my personal opinion, it's not the most significant.
Yes, oil prices are also a factor, but I think the most decisive factor right now is the global flow of liquidity into ETFs. It's too tempting for many investors (who, by the way, are using leverage) to quickly pour money into the already overheated ETF market. I don't know what the current situation is with US bonds, but the last time I checked, their yields were excellent, and this is another stream of liquidity from the crypto world.

And of course, I'd like to point out Fed policy and the situation with ETF inflows and outflows. The latter is of paramount importance, and unfortunately, it's not encouraging, as there are continuous outflows, especially from BlackRock. And, of course, Saylor's statements about selling Bitcoin are a negative.  

And what I want to note is that I am surprised that Bitcoin has managed to grow since July 1st, right from the 57,800 mark, which became a local minimum.
The leading cryptocurrency is stubbornly enduring all these negative factors and moving upward. It seems the next stop is 70k.

[Zlantann]

With US regime destabilizing the global markets and trade routes again, the energy prices such as oil price are shooting up once more. This has already started a new round of increasing inflation. We already know inflation is positive for bitcoin (fiat dumping, bitcoin rising) and we are seeing how it has been helping the recovery and the new round of testing the $65k resistance level.

As I said before, if we can break this resistance and go above it then we can expect the bull run to begin. So the coming days are crucial.

Inflation is just one factor influencing Bitcoin's price, and in my personal opinion, it's not the most significant.
Yes, oil prices are also a factor, but I think the most decisive factor right now is the global flow of liquidity into ETFs. It's too tempting for many investors (who, by the way, are using leverage) to quickly pour money into the already overheated ETF market. I don't know what the current situation is with US bonds, but the last time I checked, their yields were excellent, and this is another stream of liquidity from the crypto world.

Sadly, when I thought that prices would keep stabilizing since there has been a drop in the price of crude, hostilities have resumed again. When one party refuses to abide by the terms of the ceasefire, there will always be a recurrence of attacks. 

The global oil price affects all the sectors of the economy. The rate of inflow would also be influenced by the oil price. An increase in oil price causes inflation with will make Central Banks high interest rates or keep them steady. In this case, investors might consider buying less volatile assets like gold rather than investing in Bitcoin ETFs.

[pooya87]

I don't know what the current situation is with US bonds, but the last time I checked, their yields were excellent, and this is another stream of liquidity from the crypto world.

Yeah, that has been one of the negative factors for a while creating an outflow of capital from a lot of markets. That's what high interest rates do, apart from recession they suck all the money out of other markets. In fact one of the reasons they keep the rates high is to gather all the capital to fund their wars.

With that in mind, it is phenomenal that bitcoin has stayed up and has not crashed so much harder. The fact that it is still above $60k shows how strong the demand for it still is.