I don't like how the semi finals has played out because it looks like the expected match between France and Argentina might not happen because bookies are already pricing England to beat Argentina and these guys have the data to back them, unless VAR and refs come to their rescue
At this point its may the best team win as can't separate them🏆 🙌
Perhaps there are simply more active England fans in the world than active Argentina fans? 🙋
Bookmakers' odds depend not only on the actual potential of football teams but also on fan bets. There are far more England fans than Argentina fans because there are far more English-speaking people in the world than Spanish-speaking people.
Furthermore, many fans don't want Argentina to win, as they are the current world champions. People want something new. I, for example, notice this sentiment among forum participants.
That's a valid reason, but only one problem these odds are prematch before anybody could even put in their bets..so can we still stick to the theory of having more fans from one camp putting money on team England?? Perhaps I would be a good strategy to track odds movement and go with what the majority are expecting to happen, Just hope I won't be a lost sheep because majority don't always win
Personally, I believe Argentina's chances of winning are much more realistic than England's. With all due respect to the English football team, in my opinion, they are weaker than Argentina.
Same boat on this one, guess sticking to ones gut feeling still carries weight..
Frankly, I prefer a different strategy: betting against the majority. This strategy works very well in trading. In my opinion, it works well in gambling as well. 🙋
Most people on our planet are prone to making mistakes regarding many obvious and unobvious things. By exploiting this fact, a professional bettor gains the opportunity to win in the long run by betting against the majority.
The majority only wins on the Polymarket platform! 🙂 But there's a catch...
In fact, it's not the majority at all, but smart experts and insiders who bet completely consciously because they understand they're betting real money.
As for bookmakers' preliminary odds, I think they take absolutely everything into account from the very beginning. Including information about the number of English-speaking and Spanish-speaking people on our planet. The bookmaking business is based on predictions, on anticipating the future. And businessmen (unlike bettors) analyze the information very carefully before setting odds. 💁
