Betting on what the announcer will say?

[Ronsbit]

I do not think I will be comfortable for such because such bet could easily be manipulated and you would not know anything about it  Anyone who puts up such bet options should be investigated because many bettors would be on the loss if the organiser decides to act otherwise while the process is going on. I myself would not waste my time and resources on such bet and I will not advise anybody to do so.

[Cryptomultiplier]

Polymarket is really interesting I must say, that people even get to bet on words that has the probability of being repeated. Well, am sure the issue of insider information won't have a say in this because it is based on pure probability.
 I still prefer my sportsbook for now and have the predictions market under observation but there's no guarantee I may join in such kind of bets anytime sooner.

One thing I would do though, is to check on the results after today's final to see if any of both words were repeated as the bet say by the commentators.

[Stable090]

This is very stupid, later they will be complaining that people are manipulating with insider information. These kind of bet should not exist at all because of the big manipulation that can come out of it.

I don’t know why people just want to place bet on whatsoever they see but to me it doesn’t make any sense, and the risk is just to high, because it’s obvious that it can easily be manipulated and people are just going to complain at the end. we have different events to place bet on, so why thinking about placing bets on the number of time the commentator is going to mention a particular word in a match. I feel bets like this are not suppose to be allowed because it can easily be manipulated, and I know that some craze people are just the ones that are going to place bet on things like this.

[_act_]

Polymarket is really interesting I must say, that people even get to bet on words that has the probability of being repeated. Well, am sure the issue of insider information won't have a say in this because it is based on pure probability.

It can be manipulated, but the commentators may be afraid. That does not ruled out that it might not lead to insider trading. This does not make any sense at all by Polymarket.

I still prefer my sportsbook for now and have the predictions market under observation but there's no guarantee I may join in such kind of bets anytime sooner.

Me either, I prefer to be using sport bookmaker for betting on sports, but I noticed that many people are really making use of prediction market to bet on world cup.

[Hispo]

While I was looking at bets on the World Cup match to be played tonight on a few different platforms, I came across this:

https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-announcers-say-during-argentina-vs-spain-world-cup-match-20260716154956883

You can bet on how many times the commentator will say certain words during the Argentina vs. Spain match. For example, there’s an 82% chance he’ll say “VAR” and a 50% chance he’ll say “hat trick.” Since this is a market with relatively low volume, I thought maybe not everyone has noticed it yet. What do you think about this market? I think it makes sense to bet on certain words with odds around 50–60%.

I don't have personally anything against those kind of markets to be available for anyone who feel like betting of those things. But I also cannot avoid to believe it is a little bit ridiculous for people to bet on those markets with little volume and relevance, when they real deal is on betting either in favor of Argentina or in favor of Spain....

Not even mentioning these kind of markets can be abused by those commentators and those who may have privileged information on what they may or may not say during the match.

[Slow death]

While I was looking at bets on the World Cup match to be played tonight on a few different platforms, I came across this:

https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-announcers-say-during-argentina-vs-spain-world-cup-match-20260716154956883

You can bet on how many times the commentator will say certain words during the Argentina vs. Spain match. For example, there’s an 82% chance he’ll say “VAR” and a 50% chance he’ll say “hat trick.” Since this is a market with relatively low volume, I thought maybe not everyone has noticed it yet. What do you think about this market? I think it makes sense to bet on certain words with odds around 50–60%.

This prediction market has something strange to bet on every day. I wouldn't bet on that; I'm watching the game and I'm not hearing the commentator talking about "VAR" or "hat trick." So whoever bet on that will lose money. In final games, teams become very cautious, so things like that will be difficult for commentators to say. Now, if it were group stage games, it would make sense to bet on that; that's a stage that has a lot of that kind of thing.

[Odusko]

Gamblers can bet on things that are unimaginable sometimes, a lot of them have come up with ideas that can sounds redeculuse although not completely different as long as those games have good odds, commentary have it own pattern an event triggers them.
Like in the second half of the match we can see that pressure from both teams are beginning to make the commentator to mentioned those words repeatedly.

[Hispo]

Polymarket is really interesting I must say, that people even get to bet on words that has the probability of being repeated. Well, am sure the issue of insider information won't have a say in this because it is based on pure probability.
 I still prefer my sportsbook for now and have the predictions market under observation but there's no guarantee I may join in such kind of bets anytime sooner.

One thing I would do though, is to check on the results after today's final to see if any of both words were repeated as the bet say by the commentators.

To be fair, that is fairly why Polymarket is so popular on the internet, one can see markets which it would be impossible to find on other websites. Binance has its own prediction market to carter global clients and bettors, and they don't even dare to do what polymarket does and offer those wacky markets.

That is why there are so many regulators seeking to bring Polymarket to court, because those markets are quite easily to manipulate with insider information. This market on sport commentators is a good example of it.

[adultcrypto]

While I was looking at bets on the World Cup match to be played tonight on a few different platforms, I came across this:

https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-announcers-say-during-argentina-vs-spain-world-cup-match-20260716154956883

You can bet on how many times the commentator will say certain words during the Argentina vs. Spain match. For example, there’s an 82% chance he’ll say “VAR” and a 50% chance he’ll say “hat trick.” Since this is a market with relatively low volume, I thought maybe not everyone has noticed it yet. What do you think about this market? I think it makes sense to bet on certain words with odds around 50–60%.

The prediction market is becoming increasingly interesting everyday with their choice of option to bet on. They are indirectly saying that everything can be gambling which has been the argument of some people who view life itself as gambling. These new variations are extremely difficult to predict unless they can give something like a range instead of a specific number and let predicting specific number be like predicting correct score which comes with very high odds. At this pace, gambling is bound to expand in the near future.

[hyudien]

This will just be one of those bets that can be easily manipulated, especially by those broadcasters if they find out Polymarket provides this kind of type of bet, I personally have absolutely no interest in placing a bet, it will only make me lose money.

Placing a bet on a match is much more reasonable, which gives a really real chance of winning.

[Hazink]

This is very stupid, later they will be complaining that people are manipulating with insider information. These kind of bet should not exist at all because of the big manipulation that can come out of it.

Indeed, this can lead to manipulation, but this is exactly the type of bet you can easily see on prediction markets because it's not available on sport books, but if the commentator is aware of such a bet or some people have access to him, they could easily bargain on something, and it's easier to manipulate such game but then again you can't do anything about such game it will always be available.

[AmoreJaz]

This is very stupid, later they will be complaining that people are manipulating with insider information. These kind of bet should not exist at all because of the big manipulation that can come out of it.

Indeed, this can lead to manipulation, but this is exactly the type of bet you can easily see on prediction markets because it's not available on sport books, but if the commentator is aware of such a bet or some people have access to him, they could easily bargain on something, and it's easier to manipulate such game but then again you can't do anything about such game it will always be available.

This can really be manipulated because if you have the influence to the people involved, you can actually tell them about this betting line and they can just follow on where they are advantage of. Doubt if you start seeing large amount of bets because that for sure is having insider info. There are so many betting lines in the prediction market that somehow can really be tainted by outside manipulation.

The team behind the prediction market should also consider the betting lines if it is prone to manipulation or not. Because if they will ruin their reputation, would be hard for them to recover. And their business may go down with this simple mistake. They should not put their image on the line for relatively small mistake of handling business.

[blockman]

I do not think I will be comfortable for such because such bet could easily be manipulated and you would not know anything about it  Anyone who puts up such bet options should be investigated because many bettors would be on the loss if the organiser decides to act otherwise while the process is going on. I myself would not waste my time and resources on such bet and I will not advise anybody to do so.

It's best to avoid predictions like that. I guess that all of us have a way to discern if the bet is quite good and will be fair or not. If it's unfair, then it's best to just let it go and let all of the gamblers take their share into it. Because if you're one of those who bet for this kind, and it's manipulated that you've figured out later. That's going to give you a bad taste and will make you frustrated. We felt betrayed and emotional when that one very bet that we're confident to bet for turns out that it's manipulated.

[moneystery]

I will only focus on the match, while the things outside of that, I will not pay too much attention to it, because it is too risky to be able to bet on factors that are difficult to predict. Especially we never know whether there is already someone who knows what the commentator will say in the match, so that makes betting on whatever the commentator will say so unpredictable and highly speculative.

[Miles2006]

Wondering what exactly inspired the thought of predicting words the commentator will say more often, this prediction is knowing exactly what the outcome will look like basically the commentator is involve and the number of words spoken often so what makes you think this bet will be smooth without cheating. I don’t bother giving my attention to such because at the end it’s all a game of loss nothing else, honestly I would prefer to bet the normal way when you don’t feel cheated.

[PX-Z]

You can bet on how many times the commentator will say certain words during the Argentina vs. Spain match. For example, there’s an 82% chance he’ll say “VAR” and a 50% chance he’ll say “hat trick.” Since this is a market with relatively low volume, I thought maybe not everyone has noticed it yet. What do you think about this market? I think it makes sense to bet on certain words with odds around 50–60%.

That's  a weird and skeptical, it's way better if the commentator is an AI or something and not a person. Because what if someone knows who the commentator is? Like its son, friend or what. Then it's easy to predict and win for such bet or sqy fixe match.

[Marykeller]

You can bet on how many times the commentator will say certain words during the Argentina vs. Spain match. For example, there’s an 82% chance he’ll say “VAR” and a 50% chance he’ll say “hat trick.” Since this is a market with relatively low volume, I thought maybe not everyone has noticed it yet. What do you think about this market? I think it makes sense to bet on certain words with odds around 50–60%.

The result of the match between Spain and Argentina has shown itself, and from what we have seen from the beginning of the match to its end, none of the predictions of the commentators came true the way they thought. That's why I don't give much meaning when I hear different opinions or predictions from anyone when it's based on a football match. I try to disregard their predictions because it's filled with wrong analysis.

[henmark]

You can bet on how many times the commentator will say certain words during the Argentina vs. Spain match. For example, there’s an 82% chance he’ll say “VAR” and a 50% chance he’ll say “hat trick.” Since this is a market with relatively low volume, I thought maybe not everyone has noticed it yet. What do you think about this market? I think it makes sense to bet on certain words with odds around 50–60%.

It doesn't make sense betting on any word, because all the words and options given in such betting platforms are all situational words which will only be said if something like that is going to happen within the match. Take the example of the word "VAR", the commentator would only say that word if there is a situation in the game when the referee has to check through the VAR system to find if there was a foul or not, but if nothing like that happens in the game, then the commentators won't say it. This is why it's called gambling, because there might be high probabilities, but there is never a guarantee for one to win in gambling.

I still remember watching that video about a guy making a bet on Trump on the polymarket about him saying a specific word in that month. I think the word was "f*ck" and he bet $1,000 on Trump saying that word at least once in the month of January or something, and surprisingly the guy won that bet and he had also recorded and added his reaction of the press conference where Trump actually said that. However, we all should know that it's all gambling, even if a word says to have a high probability of being said, it doesn't mean it's a guaranteed shot.

[Rashlyowl]

What do you think about this market? I think it makes sense to bet on certain words with odds around 50–60%.

It is not a good idea to place bets in that category, as it is vulnerable to insider influence. It is similar to the market betting on whether Trump will utter specific words within a certain timeframe. The world cup final match is over. So, what was the result? can you tell us the outcome?

[fredericktaylor]

You can bet on how many times the commentator will say certain words during the Argentina vs. Spain match. For example, there’s an 82% chance he’ll say “VAR” and a 50% chance he’ll say “hat trick.” Since this is a market with relatively low volume, I thought maybe not everyone has noticed it yet. What do you think about this market? I think it makes sense to bet on certain words with odds around 50–60%.

The result of the match between Spain and Argentina has shown itself, and from what we have seen from the beginning of the match to its end, none of the predictions of the commentators came true the way they thought. That's why I don't give much meaning when I hear different opinions or predictions from anyone when it's based on a football match. I try to disregard their predictions because it's filled with wrong analysis.

In reality, it is not the case that predictions about football games will always be correct because something can happen in the game that can completely change the outcome of the game. Therefore, it is not right to gamble with excessive confidence depending on the words of others. As a result, the risk of losing money can increase manifold. Therefore, I think it is better to have confidence in your own research rather than gambling based on the words of others.