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Author Topic: I'll watch a team to get profitable, this new season  (Read 837 times)
Floczy (OP)
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July 22, 2026, 06:58:12 PM
 #1

You know they said in significant amount of time your pnl in gambling will be in loss,
But I don't think that's the case for soccer gambling (for few people). At the end of this world cup I calculated all my profits and all my losses and I came to realize that I was in profit from the starting to the ending of the world cup so that got me thinking there is actually profitability in gambling as well
But you can only be profitable when you strictly follow some setting things and I will speak based on my experience.
Argentina had the upper hand of defending champions that alone will increase their desperation,
In addition they have good and experienced players and most importantly their keeper will prevent them from conceding goals, so with all these I definitely knew they might end up winning or worst case scenario getting to the finals, and with this I always place them to win in all their matches and results I got profitable in this world cup.

Now primer league is about to begin, and my team to watch and place most bets on every single week, is Arsenal for some reason similar to Argentina, with the target that at the end of every month I will be in good profits because what I can afford to risk is quite significant. I do take it serious, but the know it's not really a healthy way of Gambling, but it's kind of fun.
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July 22, 2026, 07:06:29 PM
 #2

A lot of sports bettors were on profit on this WC, at least the few that I know and am close to. Personally, I only placed bets on a few legs, which I can't use to calculate being in profit and being in long-term loss. As far as sports betting is concerned, knowing your things gives you an advantage, but you don't have to use your World Cup betting record to determine the result of all sport bettors; those unforeseen events are real. No matter how good you are, there are seasons that might appear to be bad luck for you.

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MuffinMaster
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July 22, 2026, 07:20:43 PM
 #3

You know they said in significant amount of time your pnl in gambling will be in loss,
But I don't think that's the case for soccer gambling (for few people). At the end of this world cup I calculated all my profits and all my losses and I came to realize that I was in profit from the starting to the ending of the world cup so that got me thinking there is actually profitability in gambling as well
But you can only be profitable when you strictly follow some setting things and I will speak based on my experience.
Argentina had the upper hand of defending champions that alone will increase their desperation,
In addition they have good and experienced players and most importantly their keeper will prevent them from conceding goals, so with all these I definitely knew they might end up winning or worst case scenario getting to the finals, and with this I always place them to win in all their matches and results I got profitable in this world cup.

Now primer league is about to begin, and my team to watch and place most bets on every single week, is Arsenal for some reason similar to Argentina, with the target that at the end of every month I will be in good profits because what I can afford to risk is quite significant. I do take it serious, but the know it's not really a healthy way of Gambling, but it's kind of fun.

In theory, everything is correct, but practice often differs.
Sportsbooks rely on detailed risk calculations. Therefore, when, for example, Argentina or Arsenal play a theoretically weaker team, the odds are very low, 1.20-1.30, and sometimes even lower. In the long run, if you only bet on the favorite to win, you'll end up with a draw or a loss, and unfortunately, your previous potential winnings will evaporate.
Another possibility - and you'll also need to be lucky -is to experiment with different amounts and events. But this requires deeper analysis.

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July 22, 2026, 07:28:25 PM
 #4

At the end of this world cup I calculated all my profits and all my losses and I came to realize that I was in profit from the starting to the ending of the world cup so that got me thinking there is actually profitability in gambling as well

and with this I always place them to win in all their matches and results I got profitable in this world cup.
Have you ever tried long term sports betting across multiple leagues? Or are you only talking about your experience with the WC?

I've tried it several times, and there have even been people here who experimented by always betting on the favorite in every match, like Arsenal or other top teams. In the long run, it wasn't profitable.

The odds on favorites are simply too low, and all the profits you've made can be wiped out by a single upset, when an underdog beats the favorite. There are no guarantees of winning in the long run when it comes to sports betting.  Wink

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Cryptomultiplier
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July 22, 2026, 07:30:33 PM
 #5

A lot of sports bettors were on profit on this WC, at least the few that I know and am close to. Personally, I only placed bets on a few legs, which I can't use to calculate being in profit and being in long-term loss. As far as sports betting is concerned, knowing your things gives you an advantage, but you don't have to use your World Cup betting record to determine the result of all sport bettors; those unforeseen events are real. No matter how good you are, there are seasons that might appear to be bad luck for you.
I made a little profit from the world cup but I didn't bother betting on the finals because I just couldn't risk it for uncertain reasons. I just wanted to enjoy the game.
The EPL is a different kettle of fish altogether and if OP thinks picking only a favorite to bet on like Arsenal against any other teams, he might lose out entirely on the most profitable games after all.

Since I know the odds might be low if I intend to pick a favorite to bet on, I simply go for handicap or overs/unders or double chance, where I believe the percentage and odds is higher, instead of a straight win and get disappointed.

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Dogedegen
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July 22, 2026, 07:32:01 PM
 #6

You know they said in significant amount of time your pnl in gambling will be in loss,
But I don't think that's the case for soccer gambling (for few people). At the end of this world cup I calculated all my profits and all my losses and I came to realize that I was in profit from the starting to the ending of the world cup so that got me thinking there is actually profitability in gambling as well
There is no profitability in gambling, this is a fallacy that gamblers often have and it is how casinos keep people addicted because they keep getting hope that they will be rich after sometimes winning. Short streaks of profitability do not make up for your long term losses, you have lost much more money than you have gained now.

But you can only be profitable when you strictly follow some setting things and I will speak based on my experience.
This is false, there is no strategy, setting, idea or anything that can guarantee profitability in gambling. It may work once, and then the next time you try it it may fail and you will try to deny that you were wrong about this.

Now primer league is about to begin, and my team to watch and place most bets on every single week, is Arsenal for some reason similar to Argentina, with the target that at the end of every month I will be in good profits because what I can afford to risk is quite significant. I do take it serious, but the know it's not really a healthy way of Gambling, but it's kind of fun.
Your chance of winning consistently is very close to zero, so spreading this kind of false ideas to other people is really bad. You should not give false ideas to people who do not understand how the math behind gambling works, we have the science and there is no need to give personal opinions on it when we have objective truths about it.

In theory, everything is correct, but practice often differs.
A theory that is full of fallacies is not correct. If the practice differs from the theory, then the theory is wrong.


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July 22, 2026, 08:00:11 PM
 #7

A lot of sports bettors were on profit on this WC, at least the few that I know and am close to. Personally, I only placed bets on a few legs, which I can't use to calculate being in profit and being in long-term loss. As far as sports betting is concerned, knowing your things gives you an advantage, but you don't have to use your World Cup betting record to determine the result of all sport bettors; those unforeseen events are real. No matter how good you are, there are seasons that might appear to be bad luck for you.
What are people saying that they were profitable in the last World Cup because people around me complained so much about losses and this World Cup came with a lot of shocks and surprises as even countries were losing to smaller countries and the World Cup bets seemed almost very difficult because of the twisted results it came with.

I didn't really explore the options and the only time I was truly interested in placing a bet was during the finals because each of I was to bet $10 on each of the clubs, there was still possibilities of me making some profit no matter which of the counties that wins but I was skeptical they might end draw so I just held back and enjoyed the game without any strings attached.

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MuffinMaster
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July 22, 2026, 08:26:39 PM
 #8

In theory, everything is correct, but practice often differs.
A theory that is full of fallacies is not correct. If the practice differs from the theory, then the theory is wrong.

In theory, it's possible for a team, say Argentina, to win all their matches at the World Cup. However, in practice, such things are exceptional.

I just checked that in history, it's only happened four times that a national team has won all its matches at the World Cup:
Uruguay won 4 matches in 1930
Italy won 4 matches in 1938
Brazil won 6 matches in 1970
Brazil won 7 matches in 2002

So, betting only on a win is theoretically possible. But it's extremely difficult, because an incalculable number of surprises can occur.
Hence, the risk, which in practice we can't calculate, means that the element of luck is very high in such cases.

In the case of a league season, it is even more difficult, simply because there are more matches.

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July 22, 2026, 08:27:46 PM
 #9

Now primer league is about to begin, and my team to watch and place most bets on every single week, is Arsenal for some reason similar to Argentina, with the target that at the end of every month I will be in good profits because what I can afford to risk is quite significant. I do take it serious, but the know it's not really a healthy way of Gambling, but it's kind of fun.

Basically what you are saying is that betting on defending champions would always be profitable. Your explanation is that they would be desperate to win the competition again. Let me take a sample of the five major leagues in Europe. Defending champions in the Bundesliga,  La Liga, and Ligue one retained their trophies. But in the English Premier League and Serie A,  they had new champions. Apart from PSG, there is no guarantee that the clubs that won last season will retain their trophy. I doubt that Arsenal will win the League next season, so you might end up not making a profit.

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July 22, 2026, 08:39:24 PM
 #10

You got lucky, that's all I can say about you being in profit despite picking Argentina over other teams in every match but is it even categorized as a strategy? I don't think so because you did nothing, you just picked a strong team and bet on them just like the majority of sports bettors. Probably you did that for the whole tournament which makes you different from casual ones.

Arsenal for the Premier League is a good pick but I don't think you can be in profit all the time with this strategy.

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July 22, 2026, 09:12:02 PM
 #11

The few times I placed a bet I had good win's and also people around me were saying the same thing also. Although there were lots of surprises from the performances of the new teams that came to the world cup which I closely observed the few times I placed a bet.
The finals was very easy for me to predict as I took my time to watch the Spain last match before the finals and that gave me a strong conviction that Spain would win the finals so I placed my bet and it ended as I predicted.

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July 22, 2026, 09:15:44 PM
 #12

Now primer league is about to begin, and my team to watch and place most bets on every single week, is Arsenal for some reason similar to Argentina, with the target that at the end of every month I will be in good profits because what I can afford to risk is quite significant. I do take it serious, but the know it's not really a healthy way of Gambling, but it's kind of fun.

Do you know that setting target is what mostly makes some people be out of fate?
Yes, i mean it when gambling and you have already had that decision within yourself that you must be making specific winning from your favorite team or clubs and if you didn't meet your target or expectations you keep over working yourself just to make sure you see to your decisions where you wouldn't know when you could go take a loan to continue gambling.
Of course, that is not a right way for gambling and you should be able to put entertainment at the forefront, so that even though you didn't meet to your target you won't be that having that mixed feelings of losing your hand earned money for gambling.


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July 22, 2026, 09:57:23 PM
 #13

At the end of this world cup I calculated all my profits and all my losses and I came to realize that I was in profit from the starting to the ending of the world cup so that got me thinking there is actually profitability in gambling as well
Congratulations if I must commend on yourd profitable bet records in this just concluded 2026 FIFA World Cup.
The FIFA World Cup event has also seem active in less than 5 weeks which short is why I would consider possibilities of tracking ones record else, for a longer time it will be difficult as stressful to have all your bets records on track to determine if you were profitable or not.

I would say it was a lucky season on your side because while you are celebrating your profits accountability now, there are many out there regretting every experience of their bets because they are on loses.
I also want you to understand that you could fall at loss when you gathers a long term of your bets records.











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July 22, 2026, 10:26:46 PM
 #14

The few times I placed a bet I had good win's and also people around me were saying the same thing also. Although there were lots of surprises from the performances of the new teams that came to the world cup which I closely observed the few times I placed a bet.
The finals was very easy for me to predict as I took my time to watch the Spain last match before the finals and that gave me a strong conviction that Spain would win the finals so I placed my bet and it ended as I predicted.
there are people who win gambling by the grace and the at their first time the participate in gambling they will win why the process of predicting their games they did a random selection and at the end they win in the gambling so that is why we always emphasize at the gambling is all about luck so you might be privilege to gamble today and it is your first time and you win so there are people who are lucky who does not stress their self in gambling for them to win but they win because there are lucky to win not because of perfection in prediction

R


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July 22, 2026, 10:37:24 PM
 #15

I do take it serious, but the know it's not really a healthy way of Gambling, but it's kind of fun.
Your approach is a good one. Because when you enjoy it and understanding it that it's not that healthy at all. You're into profit and who's not when they bet in football or any other sports, right?

We're all for the profit even if we're only doing it for fun. But don't remove that essence of enjoyment because that will be your way of skipping the painful part when your bets lose.

And if you said that you're in profit for this wc then, you deserve a congratulations. Although let's see if your progress will be the same for the premier league and wc.

 
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July 22, 2026, 10:40:36 PM
 #16

Now primer league is about to begin, and my team to watch and place most bets on every single week, is Arsenal for some reason similar to Argentina, with the target that at the end of every month I will be in good profits because what I can afford to risk is quite significant. I do take it serious, but the know it's not really a healthy way of Gambling, but it's kind of fun.

If Arsenal performs the same way they did last season, I have no doubt you will make a significant profit from your PL betting endeavors. FYI, for the outright bet on who will win the PL, Arsenal currently leads the pack with @2,80 in odds. With all that, I think you've got a solid foundation. Good luck, mate Wink.

R


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July 22, 2026, 10:41:16 PM
Last edit: July 22, 2026, 11:39:18 PM by Z-tight
 #17

Now primer league is about to begin, and my team to watch and place most bets on every single week, is Arsenal for some reason similar to Argentina, with the target that at the end of every month I will be in good profits because what I can afford to risk is quite significant. I do take it serious, but the know it's not really a healthy way of Gambling, but it's kind of fun.
Were you playing single bets or parlays during the World Cup? If you were going with single bets, i am sure the odds would be very small for Argentina to win in most games, so you cannot be profitable doing that. What makes your story worse is the fact Argentina needed extra time to beat Cape Verde and Switzerland, so if you simply bet on them to win, your bets failed.

If you are planning to do this when club football returns, then you should change your mind, because it would not work. How much do you intend to wager on Arsenal single bets, lol, the odds would often be small and you'd need good funds to make anything of it, which increases your risks, and anytime your bet fails, you lose whatever you may have won before and more.

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July 22, 2026, 10:49:03 PM
 #18

A lot of sports bettors were on profit on this WC, at least the few that I know and am close to. Personally, I only placed bets on a few legs, which I can't use to calculate being in profit and being in long-term loss. As far as sports betting is concerned, knowing your things gives you an advantage, but you don't have to use your World Cup betting record to determine the result of all sport bettors; those unforeseen events are real. No matter how good you are, there are seasons that might appear to be bad luck for you.
I also have a friend that made above 300$ and another one won above 600 dollars too in similar arrangement of bets and I am so excited they did because it came like a reward to me being able to make such an amount within a short period of time. These guys are not even regular gambling players as far as I know yet they made this much in profit within few weeks means gambling can be rewarding to people but the fear has always been attached to the risks and the uncertainty that follows and that’s why you are not supposed to be carrying gambling on your head as a source of income.

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July 22, 2026, 10:55:19 PM
 #19

Now primer league is about to begin, and my team to watch and place most bets on every single week, is Arsenal for some reason similar to Argentina, with the target that at the end of every month I will be in good profits because what I can afford to risk is quite significant. I do take it serious, but the know it's not really a healthy way of Gambling, but it's kind of fun.
It’s better as you said you do not take the gambling serious you only put the amount of money that you can afford to risks, I think if others gamblers can did the same thing the numbers of people’s that lose their money in gambling will be reduced, follow the same step as you did in the World Cup can definitely help you. But is just premier league is not like World Cup, so my advise to you is that you have to be careful when coming to bet any game to prevent you from losing the amount of money that you didn’t expect.

R


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July 22, 2026, 11:04:49 PM
 #20

You are talking about short term gambling considering only one event, world cup. It's perfectly possible for gamblers to profit considering only that short time period. But if you continue gambling, you will inevitably lose at some point. The same happens at casino games such as traditional ones. You were lucky along world cup, and that is a good thing, so instead of believing you can overcome the house on long run, why not being thankful for what you have already made by putting this money into good use?

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